999 resultados para estima


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Recentemente, o mercado brasileiro de ensino superior à distância (ESAD) apresentou forte crescimento (33% ao ano de 2005 até 2013). Esse trabalho cruza as informações do Instituto Nacional de Estudos e Pesquisas Educacionais Anísio Teixeira (INEP) e do Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE) para cada município brasileiro, no ano de 2013, e propõem fatores que explicam a demanda por ESAD. Com base em aproximadamente 70 mil registros, um dos resultados indica que a demanda por ESAD tem sido represada, e não apenas pelas restrições de oferta impostas pelo regulador, mas, também, pela política de financiamento estudantil (FIES), que favorece a modalidade presencial. Para uma redução de 10 pontos percentuais na oferta do FIES, estima-se um crescimento de 1,4 pontos percentuais na demanda por ESAD, sugerindo que novas autorizações de expansão da oferta de ESAD são uma alternativa para contrabalançar eventuais cortes de subsídios do FIES. Outro resultado interessante é o de que a demanda por ESAD tende a ser maior tanto em municípios da região sul quanto em municípios onde a procura por cursos de pedagogia e serviço social é maior.

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Este artigo analisa a importância dos atrasos portuários para a competitividade da indústria de transformação no Brasil. Com base em estimativas recentes sobre o custo diário dos atrasos comerciais e em bases de dados do Banco Mundial e do GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project), revela a magnitude destas barreiras sob a forma de seus equivalentes ad valorem. Em seguida, por meio de simulações em equilíbrio geral, estima o impacto da melhoria dos processos aduaneiros sobre o desempenho da indústria de transformação no Brasil, sob diferentes cenários. Os resultados obtidos ressaltam o caráter estratégico da facilitação do comércio para o Brasil e da sua inclusão como item relevante para a agenda de crescimento de longo prazo do país

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Qual o efeito de eleições em ativos reais? É possível mensurar diretamente a diferença de preços mesmo que só possamos enxergar um dos resultados potenciais? Essa dissertação estima esses efeitos utilizando metodologia baseada em opções sobre ações. O modelo aqui desenvolvido adaptção tradicional Black-Scholes para incorporar dois novos parâmetros: um salto no preço do ativo perfeitamente antecipado e uma série de probabilidades diárias refletindo as crenças sobre quem venceria a corrida eleitoral. Aplicamos esse método para o caso brasileiro das Eleições Presidenciais de 2014 e a Petrobras - uma importante companhia do setor petrolífero do país -utilizando dados de bolsa do segundo turno das eleições. Os resultados encontrados mostram uma diferença de 65-77% para o valor da companhia, dependendo de quem vencesse nas urnas. Isso é equivalente a aproximadamente 2.5% do PIB de 2014 do país.

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Unidade 6. Duração: 20min.

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A transição da escola elementar para a Escola Básica traz consigo maus momentos para muitos alunos. No momento em que as mudanças da adolescência a nível físico, emocional e social começam, as crianças encontram-se num ambiente escolar radicalmente diferente daquele a que estavam habituadas. Para alguns alunos esta mudança marca o começo de uma descida em espiral em relação ao rendimento académico, desistência escolar e outros problemas sérios. No nosso país, cerca de 41.1 por cento dos adolescentes desistem da escola antes de completarem o ensino secundário. Portugal é o país da União Europeia com a mais elevada taxa de abandono escolar precoce. A percentagem de crianças/jovens até aos 15 anos que não completam a escolaridade básica é de 2.7 por cento (17.874). De acordo com o estudo “Insucesso e Abandono Escolar” elaborado pelo Ministério da Educação em 2003, as taxas de abandono escolar são insignificantes no 1º ciclo, revelando-se crescentes nos ciclos seguintes e acentuam-se de forma marcante nos anos seguintes à passagem de ciclo (5º, 7º e 10º). Segundo o mesmo estudo, o abandono escolar tem muito mais a ver com a idade do que com o ano de escolaridade que se frequenta e é geralmente precedido de histórias de insucesso repetido. Os anos de escolaridade críticos para a retenção dos alunos são os que se seguem à mudança de ciclo. O referido estudo chama a atenção para o excesso de transferências de escola a que os alunos estão sujeitos. No grupo dos pré adolescentes é comum verem-se descidas de níveis académicos, descida de auto estima e declínio de motivação. Resultados de investigações sugerem que a transição de ciclo quando envolve mudança de escolas não é um factor benigno. A maneira como o ambiente e contexto da nova escola satisfaz as necessidades dos prés adolescentes tem um papel importante nos seus percursos académicos e nas suas vidas. Nesta comunicação, faremos o resumo de algumas investigações sobre os efeitos de transição de ciclo e escola, analisaremos as perspectivas de todos os alunos do 5º ano duma Escola Básica e Secundária que passaram por essa transição e apresentaremos sugestões práticas para uma suave transição entre o 1º e o 2º ciclo.

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Este artigo apresenta a concepção e validação dum Programa de estratégias de motivação para a aprendizagem para adolescentes com insucesso escolar. Trata-se duma pesquisa quasi-experimental, com pré e pós-teste, grupos de controle (GC) e experimental (GE), na faixa etária dos 14-15 anos a frequentar o 9º ano de escolaridade. Avaliou-se o efeito do programa na auto-estima, atribuições causais de sucesso, hábitos de estudo, rendimento escolar e opiniões dos professores. O programa inclui também perfis de interesses profissionais dos alunos. Inclui ainda perfis dos professores que melhor podem motivar os alunos para aprender, tendo em conta as variáveis acima descritas. O GE (n=110) melhorou significativamente comparativamente ao GC (n=99) indicando que o Programa traz benefícios em termos de motivação para aprender escolares e, consequentemente, benefícios em termos de sucesso académico e pessoal, nomeadamente, aos estudantes portugueses com insucesso escolar.

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Nos dias de hoje verifica-se que no contexto escolar surgem diversas situações em que os alunos demonstram ter baixa motivação, o que resulta de uma baixa auto-estima e baixa auto-eficácia académica. Nesta perspectiva torna-se fulcral clarificar estes construtos e também outros não menos importantes, nomeadamente as atribuições causais e metas académicas e a pertinência dos mesmos no sucesso académico dos alunos. Nesta óptica, o objectivo central deste estudo consiste em tentar evidenciar se as características motivacionais, tais como, a auto-estima global, a auto-eficácia académica, as atribuições causais e as metas académicas influenciam de alguma forma o sucesso académico dos alunos que frequentam o 9º e 12ºanos, operacionalizado através das classificações dos exames nacionais (Língua Portuguesa/Português e Matemática). Complementarmente pretende-se perceber se as características motivacionais variam em função das variáveis sociodemográficas (idade, ano de escolaridade, género, habilitações literárias dos pais e área de residência). Neste estudo participaram 450 alunos de ambos os sexos, sendo 54,2% do sexo feminino e 45,8% do sexo masculino, que frequentam o 9º e 12º ano de escolaridade, em várias escolas da Região Autónoma da Madeira no ano lectivo 2009/2010. Os resultados apontam para a existência correlações positivas e negativas entre as características motivacionais e o sucesso académico, tais como a auto-estima global, a auto-eficácia académica, as atribuições causais e as metas académicas encontram-se de alguma forma correlacionadas com o sucesso académico. Relativamente às variáveis sociodemográficas, os resultados evidenciam a existência de diferenças significativas entre as atribuições causais para factores aleatórios e evitamento pressão social em contexto escolar e o ano de escolaridade. Foram evidenciadas diferenças significativas na auto-eficácia académica para o género, habilitações literárias dos pais e área de residência. Para a auto-estima global não foram constatadas diferenças em função das variáveis sociodemográficas.

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Este estudo visa contribuir para a ampliação do conhecimento sobre o Desenvolvimento Vocacional na Infância, através da construção de uma escala teórica que seja capaz de avaliar a consciência de Carreira dos alunos do 1º Ciclo do Ensino Básico. As bases conceptuais para a construção do instrumento assentam nas nove dimensões do modelo teórico do Desenvolvimento de Carreira na Infância de Super (1990): curiosidade, exploração, informação, figuras de referência, interesses, locus de controlo, perspectiva de tempo, autoconceito e capacidade de planeamento. O objectivo principal desta investigação consiste na construção e validação da escala. A construção inicial da escala, incluindo a geração e o exame dos itens envolveu três peritos vocacionais da área da Psicologia, um pertencente ao Departamento de Psicologia da Universidade da Madeira e os outros, à Direcção Regional de Educação. Este estudo pressupôs uma revisão da literatura acerca do desenvolvimento vocacional na infância, procurando fazer uma análise aos modelos conceptuais com maior representatividade neste campo. Pretende dar sustentação à importância da integração progressiva desta orientação, no contexto educativo e fomentar a discussão e reflexão acerca da importância da educação para a carreira a partir da infância, nomeadamente a partir do primeiro ciclo do ensino básico, através da realização de actividades de exploração vocacional, desenvolvidas de forma transversal ao currículo escolar. Estas visam o desenvolvimento de competências de responsabilidade, autonomia, auto-estima, sociabilidade, hábitos de trabalho, planeamento do futuro e tomada de decisão, indispensáveis às escolhas conscientes e realistas.

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The microorganisms play very important roles in maintaining ecosystems, which explains the enormous interest in understanding the relationship between these organisms as well as between them and the environment. It is estimated that the total number of prokaryotic cells on Earth is between 4 and 6 x 1030, constituting an enormous biological and genetic pool to be explored. Although currently only 1% of all this wealth can be cultivated by standard laboratory techniques, metagenomic tools allow access to the genomic potential of environmental samples in a independent culture manner, and in combination with third generation sequencing technologies, the samples coverage become even greater. Soils, in particular, are the major reservoirs of this diversity, and many important environments around us, as the Brazilian biomes Caatinga and Atlantic Forest, are poorly studied. Thus, the genetic material from environmental soil samples of Caatinga and Atlantic Forest biomes were extracted by direct techniques, pyrosequenced, and the sequences generated were analyzed by bioinformatics programs (MEGAN MG-RAST and WEBCarma). Taxonomic comparative profiles of the samples showed that the phyla Proteobacteria, Actinobacteria, Acidobacteria and Planctomycetes were the most representative. In addition, fungi of the phylum Ascomycota were identified predominantly in the soil sample from the Atlantic Forest. Metabolic profiles showed that despite the existence of environmental differences, sequences from both samples were similarly placed in the various functional subsystems, indicating no specific habitat functions. This work, a pioneer in taxonomic and metabolic comparative analysis of soil samples from Brazilian biomes, contributes to the knowledge of these complex environmental systems, so far little explored

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The system built to characterize electrodes and, consequently, deposited fine films are constituted by a hollow cathode that works to discharges and low pressures (approximately 10-3 to 5 mbar), a source DC (0 to 1200 V), a cylindrical camera of closed borossilicato for flanges of stainless steel with an association of vacuum bombs mechanical and spread. In the upper flange it is connected the system of hollow cathode, which possesses an entrance of gas and two entrances for its refrigeration, the same is electrically isolated of the rest of the equipment and it is polarized negatively. In front of the system of hollow cathode there is a movable sample in stainless steel with possibility of moving in the horizontal and vertical. In the vertical, the sample can vary its distance between 0 and 70 mm and, in the horizontal, can leave completely from the front of the hollow cathode. The sample and also the cathode hollow are equipped with cromel-alumel termopares with simultaneous reading of the temperatures during the time of treatment. In this work copper electrodes, bronze, titanium, iron, stainless steel, powder of titanium, powder of titanium and silício, glass and ceramic were used. The electrodes were investigated relating their geometry change and behavior of the plasma of the cavity of hollow cathode and channel of the gas. As the cavity of hollow cathode, the analyzed aspects were the diameter and depth. With the channel of the gas, we verified the diameter. In the two situations, we investigated parameters as flow of the gas, pressure, current and applied tension in the electrode, temperature, loss of mass of the electrode with relationship at the time of use. The flow of gas investigated in the electrodes it was fastened in a work strip from 15 to 6 sccm, the constant pressure of work was among 2.7 to 8 x 10-2 mbar. The applied current was among a strip of work from 0,8 to 0,4 A, and their respective tensions were in a strip from 400 to 220 V. Fixing the value of the current, it was possible to lift the curve of the behavior of the tension with the time of use. That curves esteem in that time of use of the electrode to its efficiency is maximum. The temperatures of the electrodes were in the dependence of that curves showing a maximum temperature when the tension was maximum, yet the measured temperatures in the samples showed to be sensitive the variation of the temperature in the electrodes. An accompaniment of the loss of mass of the electrode relating to its time of use showed that the electrodes that appeared the spherical cavities lost more mass in comparison with the electrodes in that didn't appear. That phenomenon is only seen for pressures of 10-2 mbar, in these conditions a plasma column is formed inside of the channel of the gas and in certain points it is concentrated in form of spheres. Those spherical cavities develop inside of the channel of the gas spreading during the whole extension of the channel of the gas. The used electrodes were cut after they could not be more used, however among those electrodes, films that were deposited in alternate times and the electrodes that were used to deposit films in same times, those films were deposited in the glass substrata, alumina, stainless steel 420, stainless steel 316, silício and steel M2. As the eletros used to deposit films in alternate time as the ones that they were used to deposit in same times, the behavior of the thickness of the film obeyed the curve of the tension with relationship the time of use of the electrode, that is, when the tension was maximum, the thickness of the film was also maximum and when the tension was minimum, the thickness was minimum and in the case where the value of the tension was constant, the thickness of the film tends to be constant. The fine films that were produced they had applications with nano stick, bio-compatibility, cellular growth, inhibition of bacterias, cut tool, metallic leagues, brasagem, pineapple fiber and ornamental. In those films it was investigated the thickness, the adherence and the uniformity characterized by sweeping electronic microscopy. Another technique developed to assist the production and characterization of the films produced in that work was the caloteste. It uses a sphere and abrasive to mark the sample with a cap impression, with that cap form it is possible to calculate the thickness of the film. Through the time of life of the cathode, it was possible to evaluate the rate of waste of its material for the different work conditions. Values of waste rate up to 3,2 x 10-6 g/s were verified. For a distance of the substratum of 11 mm, the deposited film was limited to a circular area of 22 mm diameter mm for high pressures and a circular area of 75 mm for pressure strip. The obtained films presented thickness around 2,1 µm, showing that the discharge of arch of hollow cathode in argon obeys a curve characteristic of the tension with the time of life of the eletrodo. The deposition rate obtained in this system it is of approximately 0,18 µm/min

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It is estimated that the Brazilian karst areas sum about 200.000 km2. The caves, one of the main components of karst, are important windows into the biological studies on hypogean environments. In Rio Grande do Norte are known 563 caves, and 476 of them are in the municipalities of Baraúna, Felipe Guerra, Governador Dix-Sept Rosado, Apodi and Mossoró, the Western region of the State. However, like in the rest of the country, the cave fauna of the State is still poorly understood. This study used data from invertebrates harvested in 47 caves and aimed to analyze the effect of environmental change between the dry and rainy seasons in the communities of cave invertebrates, characterize these communities and evaluate the relationships between morphological and biotic variables of the caves and surroundings, and to define priority areas for conservation of cave environments of the study area from biotic parameters. Strong effects were found in the community structure of cave invertebrates due environmental changes between seasons, with values of total richness, abundance, diversity and ecological complexity significantly higher in the rainy season. It was possible to assess how the morphology of the cave and the external environment variables affect the biotic system, so that the variety of resources, forest cover in the vicinity, the area of the cave and its entrance were the variables that best explained the structure communities of cave invertebrates in the region. High values of total richness of invertebrates (36,62 ± 14,04 spp / cave) and troglomorphic species (61 species, mean 1,77 ± 2,34 spp / cave) were found and, given the biological relevance in the context of the area national and the imminent anthropogenic pressures existing, we defined four priority areas for actions aiming cave biodiversity conservation in the region.

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This anthropological study investigates the lived-experience of oral diseases in the context of poverty in Northeast Brazil. During six months in 2004???, ethnographic interviews, narratives and participant-observation with 31 residents of the low-income community, Dendê, located in Fortaleza, Ceará were conducted and analyzed utilizing a hermeneutic-dialetic method. It is revealed that precarious life conditions make prioritizing caretaking a difficult task. Despite suffering tooth pain, seeking a dentist's care is perceived as "a luxury" not a citzens' right. Difficulties in accessing services and poor quality restorations, favor tooth extractions as the most effective intervention. The deterioration of one's oral health is lamented by community members who seek help from popular clinics, politicians and traditional healers. The experience of dental disease differs according to social class, leaves oral scars of inequity, harms self-esteem and inhibits social inclusion. In this context, "treating" the Teeth of Inequity demands that we deepen our comprehension of the social determinants of health, reduce injustice in the access to quality care, remove demoralizing stigmas and empower the community to confront structural forces which affect its life

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This work demonstrates the importance of using tools used in geographic information systems (GIS) and spatial data analysis (SDA) for the study of infectious diseases. Analysis methods were used to describe more fully the spatial distribution of a particular disease by incorporating the geographical element in the analysis. In Chapter 1, we report the historical evolution of these techniques in the field of human health and use Hansen s disease (leprosy) in Rio Grande do Norte as an example. In Chapter 2, we introduced a few basic theoretical concepts on the methodology and classified the types of spatial data commonly treated. Chapters 3 and 4 defined and demonstrated the use of the two most important techniques for analysis of health data, which are data point processes and data area. We modelled the case distribution of Hansen s disease in the city of Mossoró - RN. In the analysis, we used R scripts and made available routines and analitical procedures developed by the author. This approach can be easily used by researchers in several areas. As practical results, major risk areas in Mossoró leprosy were detected, and its association with the socioeconomic profile of the population at risk was found. Moreover, it is clearly shown that his approach could be of great help to be used continuously in data analysis and processing, allowing the development of new strategies to work might increase the use of such techniques in data analysis in health care

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Resilience consists of a capacity to adapt and overcome situations of risk, from the aid of protective factors. This construct constitutes a process of preventive and multidimensional present in all stages of human development. During this development, it has been immersed in the elderly biopsychosocial changes resulting from the aging process. In this sense, there was a need for a multidisciplinary study, combining psychology, medicine, nursing, social work and gerontology in order to check the resilience, its risk factors, such as life events and health, and protection, such as self-esteem and social support. For this, we performed a descriptive exploratory study of cross-sectional nature, along with a convenience sample consisting of 65 elderly users of the public health of the district east of the city of Natal/RN, Brazil. This research allowed the collection of socio-demographic, economic, relational, physical, biological and psychological in understanding the aging process. It is observed that the studied sample socio-economic status and chronic health conditions in their own lives and their families, that demand for care and attention every day, are resilient, have faced significant losses, have positive self-esteem and social support perceived as external satisfactory. Given this multidimensional nature, the aging process deserves the attention of many professionals and health policies, seeking provide to the elderly a better living conditions and mechanisms that promote well-being and health

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Individual lifestyle includes health and risk behaviors that can altar health status. Excess weight is a public health problem of modern civilization and there is an estimated mean prevalence of 45% in European countries. In Spain, the Murcia Region is an area of high morbidity and mortality from cardiovascular disorders. In this study we assess the differences in health and risk behaviors in ove/weight and normal weight undergraduates at the Universidad Católica San Antonio de Murcia (UCAM). Methods: Transversal design of parallel groups (overweight - cases and normal weight - control) , formed using the anthropometric technique. A questionnaire applied to a sample of 471 undergraduates of either sex, between the ages of 18 and 29 years, enrolled in 4 bachelor degree courses (ADE, CA, PER, PUB) at UCAM. We performed a standardized measurement of body mass (weight in kg), height (in meters) using a Seca® scale with calibrated stadiometer, waist and hip circumferences (in cm) with an inelastic tape and skinfolds thickness (triceps and subscapular in mm) with a Holtain® caliper, to calculate body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) and the sum of skinfolds (SSF). We applied a lifestyle questionnaire about alcohol and tobacco consumption, knowledge and behaviors related to health indicators (arterial pressure and cholesterol), diet and physical activity. The information was collected in April and May, 2001 at the UCAM laboratory of Applied Nutrition. Statistical analysis: analysis of independent groups, contingency tables that reveal which qualitativa variables show differences and associations between the groups, Pearson's chi-square,and a significance levei of p < 0.05 followed by a residual analysis (1.96). Descriptive statistics (mean and standard deviation) were used to establish the two groups: case and contrai with 65 men and 26 women each who had BMI < 25 kg/m2. Results: A total of 65 of the men assessed (14%) and 26 (6%) of the women were overweight. Mean body mass index of the case group was 27. 78 ±: 2.83 kg/m2 in the men and 26.26 ± 1.37 kg/m2 in the women, while contrai group men had mean BMI of 22.36 ± 1.72 kg/m2, while for the women it was 20.76 ±: 2.13 kg/m2. The self-declared values of weight and height were underestimated, but with high accuracy, sensitivity and specificity. Thus, these can be used to calculate the BMI of overweight Spanish undergraduates. Regular vigorous physical activity was observed only in normal weight men. The analysis showed the following significant differences for the qualitativa variables of the two groups. The contrai group was interested in arterial hypertension, believed that they were not overweight, that they had no abdominal fat, and had not considered controlling 'fatty food consumption. Those who thought of controlling it sometimes, did so without professional help. However, part of the overweight group believed that they were overweight and had abdominal fat between average and considerable, had often or always considered controlling fatty foods and had often or always tried to control consumption with the help of professionals. They had always thought of engaging in physical activities, unlike the normal weight individuals. Nearly all (95%) of the overweight undergraduates and most (75%) of the normal weight group reported that they sometimes or always controlled fatty food ingestion. Mean physical activity was nearly twice as high in the summer than in the winter. Conclusions: The overweight undergraduates in this sample displayed a lifestyle with a greater number of healthy behaviors when compared to normal weight individuals