The top 100 questions of importance to the future of global agriculture

Despite a significant growth in food production over the past half-century, one of the most important challenges facing society today is how to feed an expected population of some nine billion by the middle of the 20th century. To meet the expected demand for food without significant increases in prices, it has been estimated that we need to produce 70-100 per cent more food, in light of the growing impacts of climate change, concerns over energy security, regional dietary shifts and the Millennium Development target of halving world poverty and hunger by 2015. The goal for the agricultural sector is no longer simply to maximize productivity, but to optimize across a far more complex landscape of production, rural development, environmental, social justice and food consumption outcomes. However, there remain significant challenges to developing national and international policies that support the wide emergence of more sustainable forms of land use and efficient agricultural production. The lack of information flow between scientists, practitioners and policy makers is known to exacerbate the difficulties, despite increased emphasis upon evidence-based policy. In this paper, we seek to improve dialogue and understanding between agricultural research and policy by identifying the 100 most important questions for global agriculture. These have been compiled using a horizon-scanning approach with leading experts and representatives of major agricultural organizations worldwide. The aim is to use sound scientific evidence to inform decision making and guide policy makers in the future direction of agricultural research priorities and policy support. If addressed, we anticipate that these questions will have a significant impact on global agricultural practices worldwide, while improving the synergy between agricultural policy, practice and research. This research forms part of the UK Government's Foresight Global Food and Farming Futures project.

Novel reduction (Zn-AcOH) of DDHQ esters - A new route to tropone synthesis

Zn/acetic acid reaction of DDHQ esters 1 a-d gave the saturated acids 3 a-d and the hydrocarbons 7 a-d. The intermediacy of the aldehydes 10 and 11 in the formation of the products has been established. Oxidation of hydrocarbons 7a and 7b gave the corresponding tropones (5a and 5b).

A checking method for probabilistic seismic-hazard assessment: case studies on three cities

The conventional Cornell's source-based approach of probabilistic seismic-hazard assessment (PSHA) has been employed all around the world, whilst many studies often rely on the use of computer packages such as FRISK (McGuire FRISK-a computer program for seismic risk analysis. Open-File Report 78-1007, United States Geological Survey, Department of Interior, Washington 1978) and SEISRISK III (Bender and Perkins SEISRISK III-a computer program for seismic hazard estimation, Bulletin 1772. United States Geological Survey, Department of Interior, Washington 1987). A ``black-box'' syndrome may be resulted if the user of the software does not have another simple and robust PSHA method that can be used to make comparisons. An alternative method for PSHA, namely direct amplitude-based (DAB) approach, has been developed as a heuristic and efficient method enabling users to undertake their own sanity checks on outputs from computer packages. This paper experiments the application of the DAB approach for three cities in China, Iran, and India, respectively, and compares with documented results computed by the source-based approach. Several insights regarding the procedure of conducting PSHA have also been obtained, which could be useful for future seismic-hazard studies.

Connectivity-aware Routing in Sensor Networks

Sensor network applications such as environmental monitoring demand that the data collection process be carried out for the longest possible time. Our paper addresses this problem by presenting a routing scheme that ensures that the monitoring network remains connected and hence the live sensor nodes deliver data for a longer duration. We analyze the role of relay nodes (neighbours of the base-station) in maintaining network connectivity and present a routing strategy that, for a particular class of networks, approaches the optimal as the set of relay nodes becomes larger. We then use these findings to develop an appropriate distributed routing protocol using potential-based routing. The basic idea of potential-based routing is to define a (scalar) potential value at each node in the network and forward data to the neighbor with the highest potential. We propose a potential function and evaluate its performance through simulations. The results show that our approach performs better than the well known lifetime maximization policy proposed by Chang and Tassiulas (2004), as well as AODV [Adhoc on demand distance vector routing] proposed by Perkins (1997).

(Dimethylamino)borylene and Related Complexes of Electron-Rich Metal Fragments: Generation of Nucleophile-Resistant Cations by Spontaneous Halide Ejection

Spontaneous halide ejection from a three-coordinate Lewis acid has been shown to offer a remarkable new route to cationic metal complexes featuring a linear, multiply bonded boron-donor Ligand. The exploitation of electron-rich [CpM(PR3)(2)] fragments within boryl systems of the type LnMB(hal)NR2 leads to the spontaneous formation in polar solvents of chemically robust borylene complexes, [LnM(BNR2)](+), with exceptionally low electrophilicity and short M-B bonds. This is reflected by M-B distances (ca. 1.80 angstrom for FeB systems) which are more akin to alkyl-/aryl-substituted borylene complexes and, perhaps most strikingly, by the very low exothermicity associated with the binding of pyridine to the two-coordinate boron center (Delta H = -7.4 kcal mol(-1), cf. -40.7 kcal mol(-1) for BCl3). Despite the strong pi electron release from the metal fragment implied by this suppressed reactivity and by such short M-B bonds, the barrier to rotation about the Fe=B bond in the unsymmetrical variant [CpFe(dmpe)(BN{C6H4OMe-4}Me)](+) is found to be very small (ca. 2.9 kcal mol(-1)). This apparent contradiction is rationalized by the orthogonal orientations of the HOMO and HOMO-2 orbitals of the [CpML2](+) fragment, which mean that the M-B pi interaction does not fall to zero even in the highest energy conformation.

Liquid-drop model for the surface energy of nanoparticles

Based on the liquid-drop model, we have evaluated the Tolman length and surface energy of nanoparticles for different elements and compared with other theoretical models as well as the available simulated data. The predictions of the model show good agreement with the simulated results. Like the cohesive energy and melting temperature, the size-dependency of surface energy is also shape-dependent. (c) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Averting biodiversity collapse in tropical forest protected areas

The rapid disruption of tropical forests probably imperils global biodiversity more than any other contemporary phenomenon(1-3). With deforestation advancing quickly, protected areas are increasingly becoming final refuges for threatened species and natural ecosystem processes. However, many protected areas in the tropics are themselves vulnerable to human encroachment and other environmental stresses(4-9). As pressures mount, it is vital to know whether existing reserves can sustain their biodiversity. A critical constraint in addressing this question has been that data describing a broad array of biodiversity groups have been unavailable for a sufficiently large and representative sample of reserves. Here we present a uniquely comprehensive data set on changes over the past 20 to 30 years in 31 functional groups of species and 21 potential drivers of environmental change, for 60 protected areas stratified across the world's major tropical regions. Our analysis reveals great variation in reserve `health': about half of all reserves have been effective or performed passably, but the rest are experiencing an erosion of biodiversity that is often alarmingly widespread taxonomically and functionally. Habitat disruption, hunting and forest-product exploitation were the strongest predictors of declining reserve health. Crucially, environmental changes immediately outside reserves seemed nearly as important as those inside in determining their ecological fate, with changes inside reserves strongly mirroring those occurring around them. These findings suggest that tropical protected areas are often intimately linked ecologically to their surrounding habitats, and that a failure to stem broad-scale loss and degradation of such habitats could sharply increase the likelihood of serious biodiversity declines.

The peptide NCbz-Val-Tyr-OMe and aromatic pi-pi interactions

The peptide N-benzyloxycarbonyl-L-valyl-L-tyrosine methyl ester or NCbz-Val-Tyr-OMe (where NCbz is N-benzyloxycarbonyl and OMe indicates the methyl ester), C23H28N2O6, has an extended backbone conformation. The aromatic rings of the Tyr residue and the NCbz group are involved in various attractive intra- and intermolecular aromatic - interactions which stabilize the conformation and packing in the crystal structure, in addition to NH...O and OH...O hydrogen bonds. The aromatic - interactions include parallel-displaced, perpendicular T-shaped, perpendicular L-shaped and inclined orientations.

Differences in host species relationships and biogeographic influences produce contrasting patterns of prevalence, community composition and genetic structure in two genera of avian malaria parasites in southern Melanesia

1. Host-parasite interactions have the potential to influence broadscale ecological and evolutionary processes, levels of endemism, divergence patterns and distributions in host populations. Understanding the mechanisms involved requires identification of the factors that shape parasite distribution and prevalence. 2. A lack of comparative information on community-level host-parasite associations limits our understanding of the role of parasites in host population divergence processes. Avian malaria (haemosporidian) parasites in bird communities offer a tractable model system to examine the potential for pathogens to influence evolutionary processes in natural host populations. 3. Using cytochrome b variation, we characterized phylogenetic diversity and prevalence of two genera of avian haemosporidian parasites, Plasmodium and Haemoproteus, and analysed biogeographic patterns of lineages across islands and avian hosts, in southern Melanesian bird communities to identify factors that explain patterns of infection. 4. Plasmodium spp. displayed isolation-by-distance effects, a significant amount of genetic variation distributed among islands but insignificant amounts among host species and families, and strong local island effects with respect to prevalence. Haemoproteus spp. did not display isolation-by-distance patterns, showed marked structuring of genetic variation among avian host species and families, and significant host species prevalence patterns. 5. These differences suggest that Plasmodium spp. infection patterns were shaped by geography and the abiotic environment, whereas Haemoproteus spp. infection patterns were shaped predominantly by host associations. Heterogeneity in the complement and prevalence of parasite lineages infecting local bird communities likely exposes host species to a mosaic of spatially divergent disease selection pressures across their naturally fragmented distributions in southern Melanesia. Host associations for Haemoproteus spp. indicate a capacity for the formation of locally co-adapted host-parasite relationships, a feature that may limit intraspecific gene flow or range expansions of closely related host species.

A Study of Pressure-Dependent Squeeze Film Stiffness as a Resonance Modulator Using Static and Dynamic Measurements

We report on the resonant frequency modulation of inertial microelectromechanical systems (MEMS) structures due to squeeze film stiffness over a range of working pressures. Squeeze film effects have been studied extensively, but mostly in the context of damping and Q-factor determination of dynamic MEMS structures, typically suspended over a fixed substrate with a very thin air gap. Here, we show with experimental measurements and analytical calculations how the pressure-dependent air springs (squeeze film stiffness) change the resonant frequency of an inertial MEMS structure by as much as five times. For capturing the isolated effect of the squeeze film stiffness, we first determine the static stiffness of our structure with atomic force microscope probing and then study the effect of the air spring by measuring the dynamic response of the structure, thus finding the resonant frequencies while varying the air pressure from 1 to 905 mbar. We also verify our results by analytical and Finite Element Method calculations. Our findings show that the pressure-dependent squeeze film stiffness can affect a rather huge range of frequency modulation (>400%) and, therefore, can be used as a design parameter for exploiting this effect in MEMS devices. 2014-0310]

Asymptotic behavior and interpretation of virtual states: The effects of confinement and of basis sets

A real-space high order finite difference method is used to analyze the effect of spherical domain size on the Hartree-Fock (and density functional theory) virtual eigenstates. We show the domain size dependence of both positive and negative virtual eigenvalues of the Hartree-Fock equations for small molecules. We demonstrate that positive states behave like a particle in spherical well and show how they approach zero. For the negative eigenstates, we show that large domains are needed to get the correct eigenvalues. We compare our results to those of Gaussian basis sets and draw some conclusions for real-space, basis-sets, and plane-waves calculations. (C) 2016 AIP Publishing LLC.

Two-Dimensional Flood Simulation of the Lower Yellow River from Huayuankou to Jiahetan

黄河下游花园口至夹河滩河段系典型的游荡型河段.在该河段,黄河大堤内范围宽广,一般洪水频率年份,水流主要限制在主槽内,因此大堤内分布有不少居民点以及纵横交错的保护居民点的生产堤和不少高于地面的灌溉渠堤和公路,使洪水行洪范围受到了很大的限制.当洪峰流量很大时,洪水将造成生产堤溃决,极大地危害滩区居民的生活.因此,设计模拟模型计算网格时需要考虑大堤、生产堤、明显高于地面的道路等阻水建筑物的影响,使这些堤及公路成为计算格网的边.不规则四边形网格能够很好地拟合黄河这种复杂的计算域.数值模拟时采用有限体积法,为确保通量的单向性,文中使用Osher格式计算通量.通过对1982年洪水的模拟,模拟结果表明了模型的合理性.

细粒尾矿动力特性的试验研究

通过室内动三轴试验,测试了有色金属铜矿的细粒尾矿动力特性,获得了细粒尾矿在动荷载作用下的动应力与动应变、动应变与动模量及动阻尼比、动孔隙水压与动应力等相关关系,得出动孔隙水压对细粒尾矿动强度的影响有限等结论,对研究细粒尾矿的动力特性作了一些探索.

Estudio preliminar del cultivo in vitro de ápices caulinares de quequisque (Xanthosoma sagittifolium L. Shott)

El presente trabajo se realizó en el Laboratorio de Cultivo de Tejidos Vegetales del Programa Recursos Genéticos Nicaraguenses (REGEN-UNA). En los ensayos realizados fueron estudiados 9 Concentraciones de hipoclorito de sodio en la desinfectación de los explantes de quequisque y se determinó que concentraciones entre 55% y 70% v/v, fueron las más adecuadas. Sin embargo, al estudiar el efecto del BAP, ANA y el efecto del Hipoclorito de Sodio sobre la tasa de crecimiento del tallo, se observó que las altas concentraciones de cloro utilizados en el proceso de desinfección del explante y la utilización de ANA en el medio nutritivo de establecimiento reducen la tasa de crecimiento. Por otra parte se observó que las concentraciones de BAP utilizadas no tuvieron ningún efecto sobre la tasa de crecimiento. En el estudio del efecto de 4 concentraciones de sacarosa (23 g, 30 g, 37 g y 44 g) las plantas mostraron una tasa de crecimiento similar. En la tasa de multiplicación acelerada, donde se estudió el efecto de la consistencia del medio sobre el ahijamiento no se observó diferencias y en la tasa de enraizamiento donde se evaluaron 3 niveles de AIA (0.0 mg/l y 0.1 mg/l). También no se encontró diferencia en cuanto a la formacion de raíces. El comportamiento de las Vitroplantas de quequisque en condiciones de vivero reflejo resultados satisfactorios las cuales mostraron una buena capacidad de adaptación siguiendo un normal crecimiento y desarrollo.

Efecto de diferentes frijoles abonos sobre la dinámica de macronutrientes (N,P,K) del suelo, el aporte de materia orgánica, la incidencia de las diferentes pestes agrícolas y sobre el crecimiento y rendimiento de la pitahaya (Hylocereus undatus Britton y Rose)

Durante la época de postrera en 1997 se estableció un experimento de campo en la finca Frutas Tropicales y Cia Ltda, ubicada en el km 38 carretera MasayaTipitapa, Nicaragua para evaluar el efecto de diferentes frijoles abonos sobre la dinámica de macronutrientes del suelo, aporte de materia orgánica y la incidencia de las diferentes pestes agrícolas sobre el crecimiento y rendimiento de la pitahaya (Hylocereus undatus, Britton & Rose). El diseño experimental utilizado fue un bloque completo al azar con tres repeticiones. Los tratamientos evaluados fueron: Mucuna pruriens (L), Cajanus cajan (L), Canavalia ensiformis (L), Vigna unguiculata (L), Dolichos lablab (L) y el tratamiento sin frijol. Los fríjoles abonos ejercen un efecto positivo en el aporte de nutriente y reciclaje de los mismos mejoran la fertilidad del suelo. También aportan gran cantidad de materia orgánica a partir de los restos vegetales produciendo mayor biomasa C. ensiformis, C. cajan y M pruriens. Las malas hierbas fueron controladas eficazmente por los frijoles abonos, principalmente las monocotiledóneas; no así en el tratamiento sin frijol. Las malas hierbas que más predominaron fueron: Acalypha alopecuroides (L), Hybanthus attenuatus (H&B), Chamaesyce hirta (L), Rícharcdia scabra (L), Hyparrhenia rufa (Nees), Digitaria sanguinalis (L), Panicum decumbens (L), Panicum reptans (L) y Cynodon nlejluensis (Vanderyst). Las poblaciones de insectos plagas fueron menores en los tratamientos que predominaba el clon más resistente al ataque de insectos plagas. Los insectos plagas de suelo fueron controlados por los frijoles abonos, al igual que los nematodos. La incidencia de las enfermedades Colletotrichum goesporiodes Penz (Antracnosis) y Dotiorella sp (Ojo de Pescado) fue menor en los tratamientos donde predominaba el clon Cebra. La Erwinia carotovora Iones (Bacteriosis) presentó menor incidencia bajo el efecto de D. lablab y C. ensiformis. El efecto positivo del asocio de estos fríjoles abonos con la pitahaya mejora su crecimiento produciendo más brotes bajo la presencia de C. cajan, se obtuvieron incremento en los rendimientos tanto en el número de fiutos por hectárea como en el rendimiento en kg/ha bajo el efecto de C. cajan, M pruriens y D. lablab