951 resultados para Hormesis Decision Theory


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Children are an especially vulnerable population, particularly in respect to drug administration. It is estimated that neonatal and pediatric patients are at least three times more vulnerable to damage due to adverse events and medication errors than adults are. With the development of this framework, it is intended the provision of a Clinical Decision Support System based on a prototype already tested in a real environment. The framework will include features such as preparation of Total Parenteral Nutrition prescriptions, table pediatric and neonatal emergency drugs, medical scales of morbidity and mortality, anthropometry percentiles (weight, length/height, head circumference and BMI), utilities for supporting medical decision on the treatment of neonatal jaundice and anemia and support for technical procedures and other calculators and widespread use tools. The solution in development means an extension of INTCare project. The main goal is to provide an approach to get the functionality at all times of clinical practice and outside the hospital environment for dissemination, education and simulation of hypothetical situations. The aim is also to develop an area for the study and analysis of information and extraction of knowledge from the data collected by the use of the system. This paper presents the architecture, their requirements and functionalities and a SWOT analysis of the solution proposed.

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The occurrence of Barotrauma is identified as a major concern for health professionals, since it can be fatal for patients. In order to support the decision process and to predict the risk of occurring barotrauma Data Mining models were induced. Based on this principle, the present study addresses the Data Mining process aiming to provide hourly probability of a patient has Barotrauma. The process of discovering implicit knowledge in data collected from Intensive Care Units patientswas achieved through the standard process Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining. With the goal of making predictions according to the classification approach they several DM techniques were selected: Decision Trees, Naive Bayes and Support Vector Machine. The study was focused on identifying the validity and viability to predict a composite variable. To predict the Barotrauma two classes were created: “risk” and “no risk”. Such target come from combining two variables: Plateau Pressure and PCO2. The best models presented a sensitivity between 96.19% and 100%. In terms of accuracy the values varied between 87.5% and 100%. This study and the achieved results demonstrated the feasibility of predicting the risk of a patient having Barotrauma by presenting the probability associated.

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Dissertação de mestrado integrado em Psicologia

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This paper deals with the problem of estimation maintenance costs for the case of the pitch controls system of wind farms turbines. Previous investigations have estimated these costs as (traditional) “crisp” values, simply ignoring the uncertainty nature of data and information available. This paper purposes an extended version of the estimation model by making use of the Fuzzy Set Theory. The results alert decision-makers to consequent uncertainty of the estimations along with their overall level, thus improving the information given to the mainte-nance support system.

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This paper presents an improved version of an application whose goal is to provide a simple and intuitive way to use multicriteria decision methods in day-to-day decision problems. The application allows comparisons between several alternatives with several criteria, always keeping a permanent backup of both model and results, and provides a framework to incorporate new methods in the future. Developed in C#, the application implements the AHP, SMART and Value Functions methods.

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The computation of the optical conductivity of strained and deformed graphene is discussed within the framework of quantum field theory in curved spaces. The analytical solutions of the Dirac equation in an arbitrary static background geometry for one dimensional periodic deformations are computed, together with the corresponding Dirac propagator. Analytical expressions are given for the optical conductivity of strained and deformed graphene associated with both intra and interbrand transitions. The special case of small deformations is discussed and the result compared to the prediction of the tight-binding model.

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A modified version of the metallic-phase pseudofermion dynamical theory (PDT) of the 1D Hubbard model is introduced for the spin dynamical correlation functions of the half-filled 1D Hubbard model Mott– Hubbard phase. The Mott–Hubbard insulator phase PDT is applied to the study of the model longitudinal and transverse spin dynamical structure factors at finite magnetic field h, focusing in particular on the sin- gularities at excitation energies in the vicinity of the lower thresholds. The relation of our theoretical results to both condensed-matter and ultra-cold atom systems is discussed.

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We study the low frequency absorption cross section of spherically symmetric nonextremal d-dimensional black holes. In the presence of α′ corrections, this quantity must have an explicit dependence on the Hawking temperature of the form 1/TH. This property of the low frequency absorption cross section is shared by the D1-D5 system from type IIB superstring theory already at the classical level, without α′ corrections. We apply our formula to the simplest example, the classical d-dimensional Reissner-Nordstr¨om solution, checking that the obtained formula for the cross section has a smooth extremal limit. We also apply it for a d-dimensional Tangherlini-like solution with α′3 corrections.

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We analyze the low frequency absorption cross section of minimally coupled massless scalar fields by different kinds of charged static black holes in string theory, namely the D1–D5 system in d=5 and a four dimensional dyonic four-charged black hole. In each case we show that this cross section always has the form of some parameter of the solution divided by the black hole Hawking temperature. We also verify in each case that, despite its explicit temperature dependence, such quotient is finite in the extremal limit, giving a well defined cross section. We show that this precise explicit temperature dependence also arises in the same cross section for black holes with string \alpha' corrections: it is actually induced by them.

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Tese de Doutoramento em Filosofia (área de especialização em Filosofia Moderna e Contemporânea).

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Objective Conduct a systematic review to investigate whether healthy elderly have deficits in the decision-making process when compared to the young. Methods We performed a systematic search on SciELO, Lilacs, PsycINFO, Scopus and PubMed database with keywords decision making and aging (according to the description of Mesh terms) at least 10 years. Results We found nine studies from different countries, who investigated 441 young and 377 elderly. All studies used the IOWA Gambling Task as a way of benchmarking the process of decision making. The analysis showed that 78% of the articles did not have significant differences between groups. However, 100% of the studies that assessed learning did find relevant differences. Furthermore, studies that observed the behavior of individuals in the face of losses and gains, 60% of articles showed that the elderly has more disadvantageous choices throughout the task. Conclusion: The consulted literature showed no consensus on the existence of differences in performance of the decision-making process between old and young, but it is observed that the elderly has deficits in learning and a tendency to fewer advantageous choices.

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Football is considered nowadays one of the most popular sports. In the betting world, it has acquired an outstanding position, which moves millions of euros during the period of a single football match. The lack of profitability of football betting users has been stressed as a problem. This lack gave origin to this research proposal, which it is going to analyse the possibility of existing a way to support the users to increase their profits on their bets. Data mining models were induced with the purpose of supporting the gamblers to increase their profits in the medium/long term. Being conscience that the models can fail, the results achieved by four of the seven targets in the models are encouraging and suggest that the system can help to increase the profits. All defined targets have two possible classes to predict, for example, if there are more or less than 7.5 corners in a single game. The data mining models of the targets, more or less than 7.5 corners, 8.5 corners, 1.5 goals and 3.5 goals achieved the pre-defined thresholds. The models were implemented in a prototype, which it is a pervasive decision support system. This system was developed with the purpose to be an interface for any user, both for an expert user as to a user who has no knowledge in football games.

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Patient blood pressure is an important vital signal to the physicians take a decision and to better understand the patient condition. In Intensive Care Units is possible monitoring the blood pressure due the fact of the patient being in continuous monitoring through bedside monitors and the use of sensors. The intensivist only have access to vital signs values when they look to the monitor or consult the values hourly collected. Most important is the sequence of the values collected, i.e., a set of highest or lowest values can signify a critical event and bring future complications to a patient as is Hypotension or Hypertension. This complications can leverage a set of dangerous diseases and side-effects. The main goal of this work is to predict the probability of a patient has a blood pressure critical event in the next hours by combining a set of patient data collected in real-time and using Data Mining classification techniques. As output the models indicate the probability (%) of a patient has a Blood Pressure Critical Event in the next hour. The achieved results showed to be very promising, presenting sensitivity around of 95%.

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Este proyecto se enmarca en la utlización de métodos formales (más precisamente, en la utilización de teoría de tipos) para garantizar la ausencia de errores en programas. Por un lado se plantea el diseño de nuevos algoritmos de chequeo de tipos. Para ello, se proponen nuevos algoritmos basados en la idea de normalización por evaluación que sean extensibles a otros sistemas de tipos. En el futuro próximo extenderemos resultados que hemos conseguido recientemente [16,17] para obtener: una simplificación de los trabajos realizados para sistemas sin regla eta (acá se estudiarán dos sistemas: a la Martin Löf y a la PTS), la formulación de estos chequeadores para sistemas con variables, generalizar la noción de categoría con familia utilizada para dar semántica a teoría de tipos, obtener una formulación categórica de la noción de normalización por evaluación y finalmente, aplicar estos algoritmos a sistemas con reescrituras. Para los primeros resultados esperados mencionados, nos proponemos como método adaptar las pruebas de [16,17] a los nuevos sistemas. La importancia radica en que permitirán tornar más automatizables (y por ello, más fácilmente utilizables) los asistentes de demostración basados en teoría de tipos. Por otro lado, se utilizará la teoría de tipos para certificar compiladores, intentando llevar adelante la propuesta nunca explorada de [22] de utilizar un enfoque abstracto basado en categorías funtoriales. El método consistirá en certificar el lenguaje "Peal" [29] y luego agregar sucesivamente funcionalidad hasta obtener Forsythe [23]. En este período esperamos poder agregar varias extensiones. La importancia de este proyecto radica en que sólo un compilador certificado garantiza que un programa fuente correcto se compile a un programa objeto correcto. Es por ello, crucial para todo proceso de verificación que se base en verificar código fuente. Finalmente, se abordará la formalización de sistemas con session types. Los mismos han demostrado tener fallas en sus formulaciones [30], por lo que parece conveniente su formalización. Durante la marcha de este proyecto, esperamos tener alguna formalización que dé lugar a un algoritmo de chequeo de tipos y a demostrar las propiedades usuales de los sistemas. La contribución es arrojar un poco de luz sobre estas formulaciones cuyos errores revelan que el tema no ha adquirido aún suficiente madurez o comprensión por parte de la comunidad. This project is about using type theory to garantee program correctness. It follows three different directions: 1) Finding new type-checking algorithms based on normalization by evaluation. First, we would show that recent results like [16,17] extend to other type systems like: Martin-Löf´s type theory without eta rule, PTSs, type systems with variables (in addition to systems in [16,17] which are a la de Bruijn), systems with rewrite rules. This will be done by adjusting the proofs in [16,17] so that they apply to such systems as well. We will also try to obtain a more general definition of categories with families and normalization by evaluation, formulated in categorical terms. We expect this may turn proof-assistants more automatic and useful. 2) Exploring the proposal in [22] to compiler construction for Algol-like languages using functorial categories. According to [22] such approach is suitable for verifying compiler correctness, claim which was never explored. First, the language Peal [29] will be certified in type theory and we will gradually add funtionality to it until a correct compiler for the language Forsythe [23] is obtained. 3) Formilizing systems for session types. Several proposals have shown to be faulty [30]. This means that a formalization of it may contribute to the general understanding of session types.