Competition, innovation and growth with limited commitment

We study how barriers to business start-up affect the investment in knowledge capital when contracts are not enforceable. Barriers to business start-up lower the competition for knowledge capital and, in absence of commitment, reduce the incentive to accumulate knowledge. As a result, countries with large barriers experience lower income and growth. Our results are consistent with cross-country evidence showing that the cost of business start-up is negatively correlated with the level and growth of income.

The effects of uncertainty avoidance on brand performance: Marketing creativity, product innovation and the brand duration

This paper investigates the link between brand performance and cultural primes in high-risk,innovation-based sectors. In theory section, we propose that the level of cultural uncertaintyavoidance embedded in a firm determine its marketing creativity by increasing the complexityand the broadness of a brand. It determines also the rate of firm product innovations.Marketing creativity and product innovation influence finally the firm marketingperformance. Empirically, we study trademarked promotion in the Software Security Industry(SSI). Our sample consists of 87 firms that are active in SSI from 11 countries in the period1993-2000. We use the data coming from SSI-related trademarks registered by these firms,ending up with 2,911 SSI-related trademarks and a panel of 18,213 observations. We estimatea two stage model in which first we predict the complexity and the broadness of a trademarkas a measure of marketing creativity and the rate of product innovations. Among severalcontrol variables, our variable of theoretical interest is the Hofstede s uncertainty avoidancecultural index. Then, we estimate the trademark duration with a hazard model using thepredicted complexity and broadness as well as the rate of product innovations, along with thesame control variables. Our evidence confirms that the cultural avoidance affects the durationof the trademarks through the firm marketing creativity and product innovation.

Horizontal innovation in the theory of growth and development

We analyze recent contributions to growth theory based on the model of expanding variety of Romer (1990). In the first part, we present different versions of the benchmark linear model with imperfect competition. These include the labequipment model, labor-for-intermediates and directed technical change . We review applications of the expanding variety framework to the analysis of international technology diffusion, trade, cross-country productivity differences, financial development and fluctuations. In many such applications, a key role is played by complementarities in the process of innovation.

On the drivers of commodity co-movement: Evidence from biofuels

We use the recent introduction of biofuels to study the effect of industry factors on the relationshipsbetween wholesale commodity prices. Correlations between agricultural products and oilare strongest in the 2005-09 period, coinciding with the boom of biofuels, and remain substantialuntil 2011. We disentangle three possible drivers for the linkage: substitution, energy costs, andfinancialization. The timing and magnitude of the biofuels-to-oil relationships are different to thoseof other commodities, and far higher than can be justified by costs and financialization. Substitutionand costs drive the monthly correlations of long-term futures, and each of the three contributeequally to the daily co-movement of the short-term ones. The findings survive many robustnesschecks and appear in the stock market.

ETYK III-vaihe (Tasavallan Presidentin esittämä Suomen puheenvuoro 31.7.1975 = Conference on Security and Co-operation in Europe = main speech of Finland delivered by President Urho Kekkonen July 31, 1975)

Puhe

Co-infecção por vírus da hepatite B e vírus da imunodeficiência humana em países africanos

Introdução: Actualmente, estima-se que existam dois milhões de indivíduos infectados por vírus da hepatite B (VHB) e que, cerca de 25% dos indivíduos com infecção crónica morrem devido a sequelas resultantes da infecção por VHB. Paralelamente, calcula-se que existam cerca de 33 milhões de indivíduos infectados por VIH, sendo que 22, 5 milhões residem na região de África a sul do Sara. Na região de África a sul do Sara existem poucos estudos efectuados no âmbito da co-infecção por VIH/VHB. Contudo, dos estudos existentes, esta taxa pode situar-se entre os 2,4% e os 9,9%. Objectivo: Avaliar as taxas de seroprevalência de VHB e VIH, assim como a taxa de co-infecção por VIH/VHB em Angola, Cabo Verde, Guiné-Bissau e Moçambique. Métodos: Foram efectuadas duas pesquisas bibliográficas neste estudo. A primeira, realizada nos meses de Setembro/Outubro 2008, tinha como objectivo contextualizar a infecção por VHB, VIH e a co-infecção por VIH/VHB nos países desenvolvidos e nos países em desenvolvimento. A segunda pesquisa foi efectuada durante o mês de Agosto de 2009, e visava apenas cobrir a realidade dos países em análise, relativamente aos objectivos previamente delineados do estudo. Resultados: Em Moçambique, constatou-se que a seroprevalência de VIH-1 tinha quadriplicado entre 1993 (1,17%) e o ano 2000 (4,5%). Na Guiné-Bissau, entre 1997 e 1999, também a seroprevalência de VIH-1 duplicou (2,5% e 5,2%, respectivamente). Em Cabo-Verde, no ano de 2006, a seroprevalência de VIH era 2,4%, enquanto que a seroprevalência da infecção por VHB era 4,4%. Em Angola, no ano de 2005, a seroprevalência de VIH era de 2,5%. Neste estudo também foi avaliada a co-infecção, sendo que nenhum caso foi diagnosticado. Conclusão: É urgente realizarem-se mais estudos nos países PALOP, no âmbito da seroprevalência das monoinfecções VIH e VHB, assim como na co-infecção por VIH/VHB, uma vez que existe pouca informação disponível. De qualquer modo, sendo a infecção por VHB uma doença prevenível por vacina, é fundamental que os planos de vacinação continuem a ser postos em prática nos países onde já estão implementados e, no caso dos países que ainda não os têm, que a sua implementação seja efectuada de forma sustentada e o mais brevemente possível.

Lobbying, innovation and protectionist cycles

This paper explains why trade liberalizations occur in developing countries,and why they are often reversed. It does so by focusing on the use oflobbying for protection by import competing firms as a means to postponecostly product quality upgrades to keep up with foreign competitors. Giventhe availability of a political market for import tariffs, domestic firmswill lobby for a sequence of tariffs that insulate domestic profits from awidening quality gap, thereby allowing adjustment to be postponed. But asthe contributions required by the government grow with the size of thequality gap, it will be optimal to adjust quality and to decrease thelobbying effort at some time, leading to liberalization and technologicalcatch-up. But then the equilibrium tariff will again be small and "cheap",and it will pay to start lobbying anew, until the next quality adjustment.Therefore, cycles in protection will occur as a result of the use oflobbying as a substitute for innovation. The model thus sheds new light onthe impact of the costs of protection on the effectiveness of the lobbyingeffort over time, and on their implications for the timing and the timehorizon of trade reforms in developing countries.

A leverage theory of reputation building with co-branding: Complementarity in reputation building

We present a leverage theory of reputation building with co-branding. We showthat under certain conditions, co-branding that links unknown firms in a new sectorwith established firms in a mature sector allows the unknown firms to signal a highproduct quality and establish their own reputation. We compare this situationwith a benchmark in which both sectors are new and firms signal their qualityonly with prices. We investigate how this comparison is affected by the nature ofthe technology linking the two sectors and a cross-sector inference problem thatconsumers might face in identifying the true cause of product failure. We find thatco-branding facilitates the process in which a Þrm in the new sector to signal itsproduct quality only if the co-branding sectors produce complementary inputs andconsumers face a cross-sector inference problem. We apply our insight to economicsof superstars, multinational firms and co-authorship.

Entrepreneurial risk, investment and innovation

In this paper I develop a general equilibrium model with risk averse entrepreneurialfirms and with public firms. The model predicts that an increase in uncertainty reducesthe propensity of entrepreneurial firms to innovate, while it does not affect thepropensity of public firms to innovate. Furthermore, it predicts that the negativeeffect of uncertainty on innovation is stronger for the less diversified entrepreneurialfirms, and is stronger in the absence of financing frictions in the economy. In thesecond part of the paper I test these predictions on a dataset of small and mediumItalian manufacturing firms.

Neglected risks, financial innovation and financial fragility

We present a standard model of financial innovation, in which intermediaries engineer securities with cash flows that investors seek, but modify two assumptions. First, investors (and possibly intermediaries) neglect certain unlikely risks. Second, investors demand securities with safe cash flows. Financial intermediaries cater to these preferences and beliefs by engineering securities perceived to be safe but exposed to neglected risks. Because the risks are neglected, security issuance is excessive. As investors eventually recognize these risks, they fly back to safety of traditional securities and markets become fragile, even without leverage, precisely because the volume of new claims is excessive.

(Re)configuração identitária das mulheres cujos maridos/companheiros emigraram: Uma análise a partir das mulheres de Pilão-Cão

Esta dissertação visa investigar a realidade das mulheres cujos maridos/companheiros emigraram em Pilão Cão de modo a compreender se as mudanças ocorridas a partir da saída dos seus cônjuges as levam a construir uma nova imagem de si e por conseguinte uma nova identidade. Para a concretização desse objectivo realizou-se uma pesquisa etnográfica junto dessas mulheres onde foram recolhidos os dados que retractam vários aspectos relacionados às suas experiências pessoais e familiares, concretamente os papéis desempenhados, os sentimentos experimentados, o controle social a que são sujeitas e sua relação com os próprios familiares e com os familiares do marido/companheiro. A análise dos dados mostrou que as modificações às quais foram sujeitas são percebidas de uma forma diferente por essas mulheres, dependendo da relação que mantém com os seus maridos/companheiros no estrangeiro. Entretanto ficou patente que em alguns casos assumiram mudanças e a construção de uma nova identidade e noutros casos houve apenas a alteração dos papéis de género.

Complementarity between technology make and buy in innovation strategies: Evidence from Belgiam manufacturing firms

This paper characterizes the innovation strategy of manufacturing firms andexamines the relation between the innovation strategy and importantindustry-, firm- and innovation-specific characteristics using Belgiandata from the Eurostat Community Innovation Survey. In addition to importantsize effects explaining innovation, we find that high perceived risks andcosts and low appropriability of innovations do not discourage innovation,but rather determine how the innovation sourcing strategy is chosen. Withrespect to the determinants of the decision of the innovative firm toproduce technology itself (Make) or to source technology externally (Buy),we find that small firms are more likely restrict their innovation strategyto an exclusive make or buy strategy, while large firms are more likely tocombine both internal and external knowledge acquisition in their innovationstrategy. An interesting result that highlights the complementary nature ofthe Make and Buy decisions, is that, controlled for firm size, companies forwhich internal information is an important source for innovation are morelikely to combine internal and external sources of technology. We find thisto be evidence of the fact that in-house R&D generates the necessaryabsorptive capacity to profit from external knowledge acquisition. Also theeffectiveness of different mechanisms to appropriate the benefits ofinnovations and the internal organizational resistance against change areimportant determinants of the firm's technology sourcing strategy.