On the drivers of commodity co-movement: Evidence from biofuels
Contribuinte(s) |
Universitat Pompeu Fabra. Departament d'Economia i Empresa |
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Data(s) |
02/11/2009
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Resumo |
We use the recent introduction of biofuels to study the effect of industry factors on the relationshipsbetween wholesale commodity prices. Correlations between agricultural products and oilare strongest in the 2005-09 period, coinciding with the boom of biofuels, and remain substantialuntil 2011. We disentangle three possible drivers for the linkage: substitution, energy costs, andfinancialization. The timing and magnitude of the biofuels-to-oil relationships are different to thoseof other commodities, and far higher than can be justified by costs and financialization. Substitutionand costs drive the monthly correlations of long-term futures, and each of the three contributeequally to the daily co-movement of the short-term ones. The findings survive many robustnesschecks and appear in the stock market. |
Identificador | |
Idioma(s) |
eng |
Direitos |
L'accés als continguts d'aquest document queda condicionat a l'acceptació de les condicions d'ús establertes per la següent llicència Creative Commons info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/</a> |
Palavras-Chave | #Finance and Accounting #Macroeconomics and International Economics #Statistics, Econometrics and Quantitative Methods #biofuels #commodities #co-movement #ethanol #oil #structural breaks |
Tipo |
info:eu-repo/semantics/workingPaper |