972 resultados para Delphi Method
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Rakennustuotteena käytettävien teräskokoonpanojen lisääntyneet CE- merkintävaatimukset ovat aiheuttaneet runsaasti hämmennystä alan toimijoiden keskuudessa. Tämän tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli selvittää teräskokoonpanojen SFS-EN 1090-1 standardin soveltamisala suhteessa konedirektiiviin sekä kartoittaa mahdollisen muutoksen aiheuttamat toimenpiteet ilmansuojelulaitetoimituksissa. Työssä tutustuttiin asetusten teoreettiseen viitekehykseen, standardeihin sekä alan kirjallisuuteen. Teoriaa sovellettiin tulevaisuudentutkimuksen Delfoi- menetelmään, jossa asiantuntijahaastatteluiden perusteella arvioitiin asetuksen soveltamisalaa ja vaatimuksia. Tutkimuksen avaintuloksia ovat standardin SFS-EN 1090-1 vaatimuksenmukaisuuteen vaikuttavien tekijöiden tunnistaminen ja niiden perusteella laaditut ehdotukset yritystoiminnan kehittämiseksi.
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The future of paying in the age of digitalization is a topic that includes varied visions. This master’s thesis explores images of the future of paying in the Single Euro Payment Area (SEPA) up to 2020 and 2025 through the views of experts specialized in paying. This study was commissioned by a credit management company in order to obtain more detailed information about the future of paying. Specifically, this thesis investigates what could be the most used payment methods in the future, what items could work as a medium of exchange in 2020 and how will they evolve towards the year 2025. Changing consumer behavior, trends connected to payment methods, security and private issues of new cashless payment methods were also part of this study. In the empirical part of the study the experts’ ideas about probable and preferable future images of paying were investigated through a two-round Disaggregative Delphi method. The questionnaire included numeric statements and open questions. Three alternative future images were created with the help of cluster analysis: “Unsurprising Future”, “Technology Driven Future” and “The Age of the Customer”. The plausible images had similarities and differences, which were reflected to the previous studies in the literature review. The study’s findings were formed based on the images of futures’ similarities and to the open questions answers that were received from the questionnaire. The main conclusion of the study was that development of technology will unify and diversify SEPA; the trend in 2020 seems to be towards more cashless payment methods but their usage depends on the countries’ financial possibilities and customer preferences. Mobile payments, cards and cash will be the main payment methods but the banks will have competitors from outside the financial sector. Wearable payment methods and NFC technology are seen as widely growing trends but subcutaneous payment devices will likely keep their niche position until 2025. In the meantime, security and private issues are seen to increase because of identity thefts and various frauds. Simultaneously, privacy will lose its meaning to younger consumers who are used to sharing their transaction and personal data with third parties in order to get access to attractive services. Easier access to consumers’ transaction data will probably open the door for hackers and cause new risks in paying processes. There exist many roads to future, and this study was not an attempt to give any complete answers about it even if some plausible assumptions about the future’s course were provided.
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While the influence of computer technology has been widely studied in a variety of contexts, the drawing teaching studio is a particularly interesting context because of the juxtaposition of traditional medium and computer technology. For this study, 5 Canadian postsecondary teachers engaged in a 2-round Delphi interview process to discuss their responses to computer technology on their drawing pedagogy. Data sources included transcribed interviews. Findings indicated that artist teachers are both cautious to embrace and curious to explore appropriate use of computer technology on their drawing pedagogy. Artist teachers are both critical and optimistic about the influence of computer technology.
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Esta investigación descriptiva, tiene como objetivo presentar el diseño y análisis de la validez de contenido de un instrumento que evalúa el nivel en que se encuentran los elementos modeladores de la percepción de riesgo los cuales se han denominado determinantes. La estrategia metodológica contempló la identificación de estos determinantes, con base en una revisión de estudios y planteamientos realizados por expertos en diferentes campos relacionados con la gestión y percepción del riesgo. Una vez identificados se agruparon en cuatro dimensiones: determinantes vinculados a la persona, los vinculados al entorno, los relacionados con la comprensión del riesgo y los asociados a la organización, a partir de esto se diseñó un instrumento que responde a una serie de ítems sobre cada uno de los cuales se manifiesta el nivel de acuerdo o desacuerdo, utilizando una escala tipo Likert. Se espera que con la información resultado de la aplicación del instrumento se obtenga un perfil de la población analizada, a través de este se podrán definir las áreas foco a intervenir, buscando una percepción de riesgos más adecuada. Finalmente se desarrolló una validación de contenido por expertos, siguiendo el método de validación Delphi.
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A presente dissertação têm como problemática a violência conjugal sobre a mulher por parte do seu companheiro masculino, e como objeto empírico de investigação, o diagnóstico de necessidades de competências do Agente da PSP para efetuar um atendimento eficaz à mulher vítima de violência conjugal. Em termos específicos pretende estabelecer-se um perfil de competências profissionais, ao nível dos conhecimentos, habilidades e atitudes, que o profissional da PSP deve possuir para efetuar este atendimento com eficácia, dignidade e respeitando todos os aspetos dos direitos destas vítimas. Cientificamente, a realização de um diagnóstico de necessidades de competências conjetura várias etapas que objetivam definir as competências necessárias, as que se encontram em falta, e expor as que atualmente se possuem. Para atingir tal propósito auscultaram-se as visões dos diferentes atores que intervém neste crime através de três amostras distintas, respetivamente, Especialistas, Vítimas e Polícia. Em concreto catorze reconhecidos especialistas nacionais da área da violência doméstica, cem mulheres vítimas deste crime com denúncia efetuada à PSP, e cem profissionais desta Força de Segurança que acuam neste crime. O procedimento que delimita estas etapas anuncia no seu âmago os objetivos específicos. Neste âmbito, pediu-se aos especialistas o delinear das competências necessárias, as vítimas que descrevessem as lacunas do atendimento, e aos Agentes para elencar as competências atuais. Com a triangulação dos dados obtidos foi possível obter o diagnóstico de competências e responder à pergunta de partida: Quais as competências que existem e quais as que se evidenciam como necessárias no Agente da PSP para o atendimento à mulher vítima de violência conjugal? Neste âmbito, Várias questões se levantaram de forma a responder a esta pergunta de partida: Quais as competências necessárias aos Agentes da PSP para efetuarem um eficaz atendimento perante este crime? Será que estas vítimas se encontram satisfeitas com o atendimento dos elementos policiais que responderam à denúncia do crime? Será que estes Agentes se sentem preparados para intervir com competência a este tipo de crime? Ao nível metodológico, após a pesquisa exploratória, utilizou-se uma metodologia transversal, quali-quantitativa e quantitativa, com recolha de dados assente no método de Delphi, com inquéritos por questionários semiestruturados e estruturados e a análise de conteúdo de dados estatísticos. Perante a análise dos resultados, o diagnóstico de necessidades competências efetuado permitiu concluir que existe um conjunto de competências que têm de ser melhoradas, outro que têm de ser adquiridas pelo Agente da PSP, definido por estes e pelas vítimas.
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Bakgrund: Under senare år har allt fler kliniska träningscentra för färdighetsträning etablerats för att möjliggöra en trygg och säker lärandemiljö med simuleringsmöjligheter för studerande och personal. Klinisk färdighetsträning är en viktig del i sjuksköterskeutbildningen vid Högskolan Dalarna (HDa) där lärandemiljön på Kompetenscentrum (KC) kan bidra till en förbättring av lärandemiljön i den kliniska färdighetsutbildningen. Syfte: Syftet med denna studie var att undersöka sjuksköterskestudenters upplevelser via skattning av lärandemiljön för klinisk färdighetsutbildning före och efter inrättandet av Kompetenscentrum. Metod: Studien genomfördes som en enkätundersökning med kvasiexperimentell design. Enkätens baserades på Saarikoski och Leino-Kilpis mätinstrument CLES där frågeställningar om lärandemiljön modifierades med hjälp av Delphimetoden utifrån de tre olika dimensionerna: utbildningsmiljö, relation och lärarens roll. Mätningen före inrättandet genomfördes under hösten 2010 och mätningen efter inrättandet genomfördes hösten 2011. Totalt ingick 266 sjuksköterskestudenter i studien varav 198 (74 %) besvarade enkäten. Resultat: Sjuksköterskestudenter skattade upplevelsen av lärandemiljön mer positiv efter inrättandet av Kompetenscentrum där resultatet visar en signifikant högre skattning i 8 de av de 16 frågorna. Sjuksköterskestudenterna skattade att de upplever att utbildningsmiljön är mer verklighetstrogen, de är mer nöjda med färdighetsträningen samt att den inspirerar dem till att arbeta som sjuksköterska. Att relationen mellan dem och läraren bygger på respekt och att det är en mer positiv atmosfären under färdighetsträningen. Däremot påvisades ingen signifikant skillnad i studenternas upplevelse av den kliniska lärarens roll. Slutsats: Det är uppenbart att lärandemiljö har betydelse för sjuksköterskestudentens integration av såväl teoretiska som praktiska kunskaper vilket medför att färdigheterna förbättras och ger en bra grund för arbetet som sjuksköterska. Strategier bör vidtas för att vidmakthålla och utveckla lärandemiljön på KC samt fokusera ytterligare på integrering av teori och praktik.
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Increasing energy use has caused many environmental problems including global warming. Energy use is growing rapidly in developing countries and surprisingly a remarkable portion of it is associated with consumed energy to keep the temperature comfortable inside the buildings. Therefore, identifying renewable technologies for cooling and heating is essential. This study introduced applications of steel sheets integrated into the buildings to save energy based on existing technologies. In addition, the proposed application was found to have a considerable chance of market success. Also, satisfying energy needs for space heating and cooling in a single room by using one of the selected applications in different Köppen climate classes was investigated to estimate which climates have a proper potential for benefiting from the application. This study included three independent parts and the results related to each part have been used in the next part. The first part recognizes six different technologies through literature review including Cool Roof, Solar Chimney, Steel Cladding of Building, Night Radiative Cooling, Elastomer Metal Absorber, and Solar Distillation. The second part evaluated the application of different technologies by gathering the experts’ ideas via performing a Delphi method. The results showed that the Solar Chimney has a proper chance for the market. The third part simulated both a solar chimney and a solar chimney with evaporation which were connected to a single well insulated room with a considerable thermal mass. The combination was simulated as a system to estimate the possibility of satisfying cooling needs and heating needs in different climate classes. A Trombe-wall was selected as a sample design for the Solar Chimney and was simulated in different climates. The results implied that the solar chimney had the capability of reducing the cooling needs more than 25% in all of the studied locations and 100% in some locations with dry or temperate climate such as Mashhad, Madrid, and Istanbul. It was also observed that the heating needs were satisfied more than 50% in all of the studied locations, even for the continental climate such as Stockholm and 100% in most locations with a dry climate. Therefore, the Solar Chimney reduces energy use, saves environment resources, and it is a cost effective application. Furthermore, it saves the equipment costs in many locations. All the results mentioned above make the solar chimney a very practical and attractive tool for a wide range of climates.
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The main objective of this paper is to make a prospective analysis about the tendencies of the world wide strategies of commercial vehicles development, in relation of the current local and international scenery. It has been done a research by using the Delphi method, which consists into regulate, systematically, the presentation of questions about a specified problem to a group of specialists. In order to guarantee more representative data, it has been adopted three distinct groups: academics, OEMs managers and Tier 1 suppliers managers. The results showed that the three mentioned groups have similar opinion about the necessity of having a product development in the subsidiaries companies; also it has been pointed the necessity of having more taylor made vehicles, due to the intrinsic characteristics of this industry segment. Copyright © 2008 SAE International.
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A Digital Factory is a concept which improves the collaboration among product development processes. Despite the benefits brought by this concept, failures may occur in its implementation. This paper aims to present the Critical Success Factors in the implementation of a Digital Factory project in a Brazilian company. These factors were identified by an exploratory survey on the implementation of Enterprise Resource Planning and Product Lifecycle Management among other systems. Following this identification, the factors were prioritized using the Delphi Method and the Analytic Hierarchy Process; this evaluation was carried out by professionals from enterprises which implement Digital Factory projects, in Brazil and abroad. Nine factors were identified. The five main priorities were: Continuous Support and Commitment from Top Management; Comprehensive Business Reengineering; Skilled and Experienced Partners; Participation and Commitment of Users; and Appropriate Role of the Project Manager.
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)
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This study compares information-seeking behavior of Bachelor of Science and Master of Science students in the fields of agricultural extension and education. The authors surveyed Iranian students in departments of agricultural extension and education at four universities in Tehran, Shiraz, Mollasani, and Kermanshah. This study focused on three aspects: (1) comparison of amounts of information-seeking behavior between Bachelor of Science and Master of Science agricultural extension and education students; (2) comparison of information-seeking behavior varieties in Bachelor of Science and Master of Science agricultural extension and education students; (3) Comparison of amounts of available information resources at four universities and its effectiveness on students' information-seeking behavior; and (4) comparison of research and educational outputs in Bachelor of Science and Master of Science students. Scale free technique, division by mean method, principal components analysis technique, Delphi method, t-test, correlation and regression tools were used for data analysis. This study revealed that Bachelor of Science students' information-seeking behavior is for improving educational output, but Master of Science students' information-seeking behavior is for promoting research output. Among varieties of Internet searching skills, library searching skills, and awareness of library information-seeking methods with students' information-seeking behavior, there are not significant differences between two groups of students.
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Extracorporeal treatments (ECTRs), such as hemodialysis and hemoperfusion, are used in poisoning despite a lack of controlled human trials demonstrating efficacy. To provide uniform recommendations, the EXTRIP group was formed as an international collaboration among recognized experts from nephrology, clinical toxicology, critical care, or pharmacology and supported by over 30 professional societies. For every poison, the clinical benefit of ECTR is weighed against associated complications, alternative therapies, and costs. Rigorous methodology, using the AGREE instrument, was developed and ratified. Methods rely on evidence appraisal and, in the absence of robust studies, on a thorough and transparent process of consensus statements. Twenty-four poisons were chosen according to their frequency, available evidence, and relevance. A systematic literature search was performed in order to retrieve all original publications regardless of language. Data were extracted on a standardized instrument. Quality of the evidence was assessed by GRADE as: High = A, Moderate = B, Low = C, Very Low = D. For every poison, dialyzability was assessed and clinical effect of ECTR summarized. All pertinent documents were submitted to the workgroup with a list of statements for vote (general statement, indications, timing, ECTR choice). A modified Delphi method with two voting rounds was used, between which deliberation was required. Each statement was voted on a Likert scale (1-9) to establish the strength of recommendation. This approach will permit the production of the first important practice guidelines on this topic.
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[EN] Background: Spain has gone from a surplus to a shortage of medical doctors in very few years. Medium and long-term planning for health professionals has become a high priority for health authorities. Methods: We created a supply and demand/need simulation model for 43 medical specialties using system dynamics. The model includes demographic, education and labour market variables. Several scenarios were defined. Variables controllable by health planners can be set as parameters to simulate different scenarios. The model calculates the supply and the deficit or surplus. Experts set the ratio of specialists needed per 1000 inhabitants with a Delphi method. Results: In the scenario of the baseline model with moderate population growth, the deficit of medical specialists will grow from 2% at present (2800 specialists) to 14.3% in 2025 (almost 21 000). The specialties with the greatest medium-term shortages are Anesthesiology, Orthopedic and Traumatic Surgery, Pediatric Surgery, Plastic Aesthetic and Reparatory Surgery, Family and Community Medicine, Pediatrics, Radiology, and Urology. Conclusions: The model suggests the need to increase the number of students admitted to medical school. Training itineraries should be redesigned to facilitate mobility among specialties. In the meantime, the need to make more flexible the supply in the short term is being filled by the immigration of physicians from new members of the European Union and from Latin America.
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[ES] La finalidad de la presente investigación fue construir una herramienta de carácter pragmático, fiable y válido que permita evaluar la gestión efectiva de instalaciones deportivas públicas. Se utilizó el metodo Delphi para la validación de expertos, análisis factorial exploratorio y un análisis de consistencia interna a través del Alfa de Cronbach.