Carbon prices. Dynamic analysis of European and Californian markets

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Alterações Climáticas e Políticas de Desenvolvimento Sustentável

Função visual e desempenho na leitura em crianças do 1º ciclo do ensino básico do concelho de Lisboa

RESUMO - Esta tese pretende ser um contributo para o estudo das anomalias da função visual e da sua influência no desempenho da leitura. Apresentava como objetivos: (1) Identificar a prevalência de anomalias da função visual, (2) Caracterizar o desempenho da leitura em crianças com e sem anomalias da função visual, (3) Identificar de que modo as anomalias da função visual influenciam o desempenho da leitura e (4) Identificar o impacto das variáveis que determinam o desempenho da leitura. Foi recolhida uma amostra de conveniência com 672 crianças do 1º ciclo do ensino básico de 11 Escolas do Concelho de Lisboa com idades compreendidas entre os 6 e os 11 anos (7,69±1,19), 670 encarregados de educação e 34 Professores. Para recolha de dados, foram utilizados três instrumentos: 2 questionários de perguntas fechadas, avaliação da função visual e prova de avaliação da leitura com 34 palavras. Após observadas, as crianças foram classificadas em dois grupos: função visual normal (FVN=562) e função visual alterada (FVA=110). Identificou-se uma prevalência de 16,4% de crianças com FVA. No teste de leitura, estas crianças apresentaram um menor número de palavras lidas corretamente (FVA=31,00; FVN=33,00; p<0,001) e menor precisão (FVA=91,18%; FVN=97,06%; p<0,001). Esta tendência também foi observada na comparação entre os 4 anos de escolaridade. As crianças com função visual alterada mostraram uma tendência para a omissão de letras e a confusão de grafema. Quanto à fluência (FVA=24,71; FVN=27,39; p=0,007) esta foi inferior nas crianças com FVA para todos os anos de escolaridade, exceto o 3º ano. As crianças com hipermetropia (p=0,003) e astigmatismo (p=0,019) não corrigido leram menos palavras corretamente (30,00; 31,00) e com menor precisão (88,24%; 91,18%) que as crianças sem erro refrativo significativo (32,00; 94,12%). A performance escolar classificada pelos professores foi inferior nas crianças com FVA e mais de ¼ necessitavam de medidas de apoio especial na escola. Não se verificaram diferenças significativas na performance da leitura das crianças com FVA por grupos de habilitações dos encarregados de educação. Verificou-se que o risco de ter um desempenho na leitura alterado é superior [OR=4,29; I.C.95%(2,49;7,38)] nas crianças que apresentam FVA. Relativamente ao 1º ano de escolaridade, o 2º, 3º e 4º anos apresentam um menor risco de ter um desempenho na leitura alterado. As variáveis método de ensino, habilitações dos encarregados de educação, tipo de escola (pública/privada), idade do Professor e número de anos de experiência do Professor, não foram fatores estatisticamente significativos para explicar a alteração do desempenho na leitura, quando o efeito da função visual se encontra contemplado no modelo. Um mau desempenho na leitura foi considerado nas crianças que apresentaram uma precisão inferior a 90%. Este indicador pode ser utilizado para identificar crianças em risco, que necessitam de uma observação Ortóptica/Oftalmológica para confirmação ou exclusão da existência de alterações da função visual. Este trabalho constitui um contributo para a identificação de crianças em desvantagem educacional devido a anomalias da função visual tratáveis, propondo um modelo que pretende orientar os professores na identificação de crianças que apresentem um baixo desempenho na leitura.

A influência da posição postural no ciclo percepção - acção durante estimulação visual dinâmica

A influência da posição postural no ciclo percepção – acção foi investigada com base no potencial evocado visual relacionado com o movimento (M-VEP). Para tal, sinais EEG multicanal de 25 indivíduos saudáveis foram adquiridos durante as posições posturais ortostática (O) e sentada (S), sob estimulação visual dinâmica (ED) de afastamento (AF) e aproximação (AP) de um cenário virtual. Para gerar ED, os móveis e utensílios do cenário virtual foram expandidos (ou reduzidos) enquanto o piso, as paredes e o teto deslocam-se linearmente no sentido anterior (ou posterior) com uma velocidade de 1,2 m/s durante 1 s. O M-VEP foi estimado para cada posição e estimulação pelo cálculo da média coerente dos sinais EEG sincronizados com o início do movimento da ED, a qual evidenciou as componentes P1, N2 e P3 (dominânica N2 em relação a P1). Embora o M-VEP não dependa do sentido da estimulação (Wilcoxon, p > 0,20), o running t-test indicou que no intervalo 470 a 900 ms, após o início da ED, o grand-averaged do M-VEP para posição O difere (p < 0,10) daquele da posição S nas derivações parietais, frontais e centrais. Além disso, a distribuição da latência da componente P3 para O também difere daquela de S (Wilcoxon: p < 0,06), para as mesmas derivações, independentemente do sentido da ED. A correlação cruzada indicou atraso da componente P3 de S em relação à de O, em particular (p < 0,10) nas derivações frontais e centrais durante AP (50 ms) e somente centrais durante AF (30 ms). Estes resultados reflectem a antecipação do processamento cortical hierárquico relacionado com a cognição, o planeamento e a acção motora, associados às maiores exigências da posição ortostática para manter o equilíbrio evidenciando, portanto, a potencialidade deste protocolo para investigar o ciclo percepção – acção durante posições posturais distintas.

Dissuasão Visual: Arte, Cinema, Cronopolítica e Guerra em Directo

A percepção é essencial na cultura militar e as tecnologias da informação deram-lhe uma nova consistência. As funções perceptivas do ser humano estão agora plasmadas nas máquinas de guerra, replicando comportamentos e características fisiológicas próprias aos seres vivos. As máquinas de guerra são já sensíveis à luz, a variações térmicas ou acústicas. A essência humana, assim cristalizada sobre toda a aparelhagem de guerra, coloca em tensão os limites da diferenciação entre os campos da Arte, Cinema, Política e Guerra. Contudo, e antes ainda da era da máquina, o mundo estaria já repleto de motores naturais e poéticos. É Gilbert Simondon quem o diz, lembrando que por antecipação científica há muito que a mecanologia existe, antevendo a relação entre a indústria mais perfeita, a ciência mais bem equipada, e uma natureza no seu estado mais natural. Este será um ponto de partida verdadeiramente essencial – é que sempre tivemos a ilusão de que a técnica seria uma invenção humana quando, no fundo, foi a técnica militar e a guerra aquilo que permitiu a «fabricação do humano». Esta tese procura desvelar como o surgimento de novas tecnologias e de novos espaços para a guerra, forçaram a sua reproblematização em novas vias epistemológicas. Recuando até ao originário movimento geo-político, entroncamos numa interdefinição entre a ordem espacial e a individuação dos objectos técnicos, e procuraremos, a partir daí, saber como se concretizou a expansão da guerra moderna a todo os domínios e a todo o mundo.

Application of NMR RDC’s, relaxation and self-diffusion for the study of dynamic processes of small molecules in solution

Spin-lattice Relaxation, self-Diffusion coefficients and Residual Dipolar Couplings (RDC’s) are the basis of well established Nuclear Magnetic Resonance techniques for the physicochemical study of small molecules (typically organic compounds and natural products with MW < 1000 Da), as they proved to be a powerful and complementary source of information about structural dynamic processes in solution. The work developed in this thesis consists in the application of the earlier-mentioned NMR techniques to explore, analyze and systematize patterns of the molecular dynamic behavior of selected small molecules in particular experimental conditions. Two systems were chosen to investigate molecular dynamic behavior by these techniques: the dynamics of ion-pair formation and ion interaction in ionic liquids (IL) and the dynamics of molecular reorientation when molecules are placed in oriented phases (alignment media). The application of NMR spin-lattice relaxation and self-diffusion measurements was applied to study the rotational and translational molecular dynamics of the IL: 1-butyl-3-methylimidazolium tetrafluoroborate [BMIM][BF4]. The study of the cation-anion dynamics in neat and IL-water mixtures was systematically investigated by a combination of multinuclear NMR relaxation techniques with diffusion data (using by H1, C13 and F19 NMR spectroscopy). Spin-lattice relaxation time (T1), self-diffusion coefficients and nuclear Overhauser effect experiments were combined to determine the conditions that favor the formation of long lived [BMIM][BF4] ion-pairs in water. For this purpose and using the self-diffusion coefficients of cation and anion as a probe, different IL-water compositions were screened (from neat IL to infinite dilution) to find the conditions where both cation and anion present equal diffusion coefficients (8% water fraction at 25 ºC). This condition as well as the neat IL and the infinite dilution were then further studied by 13C NMR relaxation in order to determine correlation times (c) for the molecular reorientational motion using a mathematical iterative procedure and experimental data obtained in a temperature range between 273 and 353 K. The behavior of self-diffusion and relaxation data obtained in our experiments point at the combining parameters of molar fraction 8 % and temperature 298 K as the most favorable condition for the formation of long lived ion-pairs. When molecules are subjected to soft anisotropic motion by being placed in some special media, Residual Dipolar Couplings (RDCs), can be measured, because of the partial alignment induced by this media. RDCs are emerging as a powerful routine tool employed in conformational analysis, as it complements and even outperforms the approaches based on the classical NMR NOE or J3 couplings. In this work, three different alignment media have been characterized and evaluated in terms of integrity using 2H and 1H 1D-NMR spectroscopy, namely the stretched and compressed gel PMMA, and the lyotropic liquid crystals CpCl/n-hexanol/brine and cromolyn/water. The influence that different media and degrees of alignment have on the dynamic properties of several molecules was explored. Different sized sugars were used and their self-diffusion was determined as well as conformation features using RDCs. The results obtained indicate that no influence is felt by the small molecules diffusion and conformational features studied within the alignment degree range studied, which was the 3, 5 and 6 % CpCl/n-hexanol/brine for diffusion, and 5 and 7.5 % CpCl/n-hexanol/brine for conformation. It was also possible to determine that the small molecules diffusion verified in the alignment media presented close values to the ones observed in water, reinforcing the idea of no conditioning of molecular properties in such media.

Dynamic stiffness of the piled foundation of a onshore wind turbine

One of today's biggest concerns is the increase of energetic needs, especially in the developed countries. Among various clean energies, wind energy is one of the technologies that assume greater importance on the sustainable development of humanity. Despite wind turbines had been developed and studied over the years, there are phenomena that haven't been yet fully understood. This work studies the soil-structure interaction that occurs on a wind turbine's foundation composed by a group of piles that is under dynamic loads caused by wind. This problem assumes special importance when the foundation is implemented on locations where safety criteria are very demanding, like the case of a foundation mounted on a dike. To the phenomenon of interaction between two piles and the soil between them it's given the name of pile-soil-pile interaction. It is known that such behavior is frequency dependent, and therefore, on this work evaluation of relevant frequencies for the intended analysis is held. During the development of this thesis, two methods were selected in order to assess pile-soil-pile interaction, being one of analytical nature and the other of numerical origin. The analytical solution was recently developed and its called Generalized pile-soil-pile theory, while for the numerical method the commercial nite element software PLAXIS 3D was used. A study of applicability of the numerical method is also done comparing the given solution by the nite element methods with a rigorous solution widely accepted by the majority of the authors.

Study of the electromyographic signal dynamic behavior in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS)

Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) is a neurodegenerative disease characterized by motor neurons degeneration, which reduces muscular force, being very difficult to diagnose. Mathematical methods are used in order to analyze the surface electromiographic signal’s dynamic behavior (Fractal Dimension (FD) and Multiscale Entropy (MSE)), evaluate different muscle group’s synchronization (Coherence and Phase Locking Factor (PLF)) and to evaluate the signal’s complexity (Lempel-Ziv (LZ) techniques and Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA)). Surface electromiographic signal acquisitions were performed in upper limb muscles, being the analysis executed for instants of contraction for ipsilateral acquisitions for patients and control groups. Results from LZ, DFA and MSE analysis present capability to distinguish between the patient group and the control group, whereas coherence, PLF and FD algorithms present results very similar for both groups. LZ, DFA and MSE algorithms appear then to be a good measure of corticospinal pathways integrity. A classification algorithm was applied to the results in combination with extracted features from the surface electromiographic signal, with an accuracy percentage higher than 70% for 118 combinations for at least one classifier. The classification results demonstrate capability to distinguish members between patients and control groups. These results can demonstrate a major importance in the disease diagnose, once surface electromyography (sEMG) may be used as an auxiliary diagnose method.

Transactions in dynamic reactive environments

Most of today’s systems, especially when related to the Web or to multi-agent systems, are not standalone or independent, but are part of a greater ecosystem, where they need to interact with other entities, react to complex changes in the environment, and act both over its own knowledge base and on the external environment itself. Moreover, these systems are clearly not static, but are constantly evolving due to the execution of self updates or external actions. Whenever actions and updates are possible, the need to ensure properties regarding the outcome of performing such actions emerges. Originally purposed in the context of databases, transactions solve this problem by guaranteeing atomicity, consistency, isolation and durability of a special set of actions. However, current transaction solutions fail to guarantee such properties in dynamic environments, since they cannot combine transaction execution with reactive features, or with the execution of actions over domains that the system does not completely control (thus making rolling back a non-viable proposition). In this thesis, we investigate what and how transaction properties can be ensured over these dynamic environments. To achieve this goal, we provide logic-based solutions, based on Transaction Logic, to precisely model and execute transactions in such environments, and where knowledge bases can be defined by arbitrary logic theories.

The Visual and Virtual in Contemporary European Learning Contexts

Special issue of Anthropology in Action originated from the Working Images Conference, a joint meeting of TAN and VAN EASA networks

Tool for spatial and dynamic representation of artistic performances

This proposal aims to explore the use of available technologies for video representation of sets and performers in order to serve as support for composition processes and artistic performer rehearsals, while focusing in representing the performer’s body and its movements, and its relation with objects belonging to the three-dimensional space of their performances. This project’s main goal is to design and develop a system that can spatially represent the performer and its movements, by means of capturing processes and reconstruction using a camera device, as well as enhance the three-dimensional space where the performance occurs by allowing interaction with virtual objects and by adding a video component, either for documentary purposes, or for live performances effects (for example, using video mapping video techniques in captured video or projection during a performance).

Dynamic behavior of sylvatic yellow fever in Brazil (1954-2008)

INTRODUCTION: Sylvatic yellow fever (SYF) is enzootic in Brazil, causing periodic outbreaks in humans living near forest borders or in rural areas. In this study, the cycling patterns of this arbovirosis were analyzed. METHODS: Spectral Fourier analysis was used to capture the periodicity patterns of SYF in time series. RESULTS: SYF outbreaks have not increased in frequency, only in the number of cases. There are two dominant cycles in SYF outbreaks, a seven year cycle for the central-western region and a 14 year cycle for the northern region. Most of the variance was concentrated in the central-western region and dominated the entire endemic region. CONCLUSIONS: The seven year cycle is predominant in the endemic region of the disease due the greater contribution of variance in the central-western region; however, it was possible identify a 14 cycle that governs SYF outbreaks in the northern region. No periodicities were identified for the remaining geographical regions.

Biblioteca de Arte Inclusiva: Informação e Conhecimento Acessíveis aos Leitores com Deficiência Visual

O presente relatório descreve a atividade realizada na Biblioteca de Arte da Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian, no âmbito do Mestrado em Ciências da Informação e da Documentação, tendo por tema o acesso à informação pelos leitores com deficiência visual. Nele procura-se abordar que medidas têm sido tomadas para assegurar a integração destes leitores, tendo em vista alcançar a sua autonomia a nível de utilização dos serviços disponíveis. Nesse sentido, explicitam-se os conceitos inerentes a esta temática (biblioteca inclusiva e acessibilidade), destaca-se a importância da interação com outros utilizadores como forma de integração, refere-se a importância da cooperação interinstitucional, salienta-se o papel do bibliotecário e das tecnologias de informação e da comunicação, como meio de permitir ao deficiente visual aceder a um conjunto diversificado de serviços, através da utilização de equipamentos e software específicos. Através da aplicação de uma metodologia de pesquisa bibliográfica, observação direta e entrevista, efetua-se um estudo de caso com uma análise detalhada ao nível da acessibilidade física e dos recursos materiais assim como da atitude e preparação dos profissionais para lidar com a deficiência. Conclui-se que a Biblioteca de Arte deve continuar a investir na exploração de novos recursos e potencialidades, de modo a disponibilizar todo o tipo de meios humanos e tecnológicos para apoiar os leitores com deficiência visual, promovendo a sua inclusão e participação na sociedade da informação e do conhecimento.

DYNAMOD – A dynamic agent based modelling framework for digital businesses

Digital Businesses have become a major driver for economic growth and have seen an explosion of new startups. At the same time, it also includes mature enterprises that have become global giants in a relatively short period of time. Digital Businesses have unique characteristics that make the running and management of a Digital Business much different from traditional offline businesses. Digital businesses respond to online users who are highly interconnected and networked. This enables a rapid flow of word of mouth, at a pace far greater than ever envisioned when dealing with traditional products and services. The relatively low cost of incremental user addition has led to a variety of innovation in pricing of digital products, including various forms of free and freemium pricing models. This thesis explores the unique characteristics and complexities of Digital Businesses and its implications on the design of Digital Business Models and Revenue Models. The thesis proposes an Agent Based Modeling Framework that can be used to develop Simulation Models that simulate the complex dynamics of Digital Businesses and the user interactions between users of a digital product. Such Simulation models can be used for a variety of purposes such as simple forecasting, analysing the impact of market disturbances, analysing the impact of changes in pricing models and optimising the pricing for maximum revenue generation or a balance between growth in usage and revenue generation. These models can be developed for a mature enterprise with a large historical record of user growth rate as well as for early stage enterprises without much historical data. Through three case studies, the thesis demonstrates the applicability of the Framework and its potential applications.

Dynamic delta hedging of autocallables under a discrete rebalancing context

This work tests different delta hedging strategies for two products issued by Banco de Investimento Global in 2012. The work studies the behaviour of the delta and gamma of autocallables and their impact on the results when delta hedging with different rebalancing periods. Given its discontinuous payoff and path dependency, it is suggested the hedging portfolio is rebalanced on a daily basis to better follow market changes. Moreover, a mixed strategy is analysed where time to maturity is used as a criterion to change the rebalancing frequency.

Visual and verbal processing effects on human memory

In this study in the field of Consumer Behavior, brand name memory of consumers with regard to verbal and visual incongruent and congruent information such as memory structure of brands was tested. Hence, four experimental groups with different constellations of verbal and visual congruity and incongruity were created to compare their brand name memory performance. The experiment was conducted in several classes with 128 students, each group with 32 participants. It was found that brands, which are presented in a congruent or moderately incongruent relation to their brand schema, result in a better brand recall than their incongruent counterparts. A difference between visual congruity and moderately incongruity could not be confirmed. In contrast to visual incongruent information, verbal incongruent information does not result in a worse brand recall performance.