CIRAS News Annual Report 2006, September 4, 2007

CIRAS professionals, the equipment they use to do their jobs, and the latest in technical support equipment. With these investments, CIRAS continues to meet the needs of Iowa manufacturers, whether in doing routine problem solving, long-range planning, or transferring newer technologies. In all of its services, but most notably in product development projects, one of the strengths of CIRAS lies in bringing ISU students into the picture, both to help reach project goals and as real-job learning experiences for the students.

Iowa In Motion: State Transportation Plan, 1997

What is Iowa in Motion? The Iowa Department of Transportation is continuing the journey to develop Iowa’s future transportation system. This ongoing planning process, known as Iowa in Motion, was developed in response to the Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act (ISTEA) and Iowa’s changing transportation needs. The completion of Parts I, II and III of Iowa in Motion has led to development of this State Transportation Plan. Part IV includes activities, both current and future, to support the plan. This State Transportation Plan represents the thoughts and concerns of thousands of Iowans. Individuals, metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs), regional planning affiliations (RPAs), associations and organizations have become involved and have made recommendations concerning which direction should be followed regarding transportation investments. This plan represents their extensive input into the Iowa in Motion process and consensus building as we moved towards adoption of this State Transportation Plan. The adopted plan serves as a guide for development of transportation policies, goals, objectives, initiatives and investment decisions through the year 2020.

06033-015 Fox River Watershed Final Report

With WIRB funding the Fox River Ecosystem Development board will install prioritized practices identified by assessments within the impaired segment of Fox River that currently will not be funded by Iowa Section 319 or Watershed Protection Funds. The FRED board is also asking for funding for a three year position for continuing assessment, planning, and technical assistance. Through various funding sources local work groups have been able to address some of the critical and high priority areas. But, as further assessments are made, commitment, and need expressed from landowners grow, the FRED board and SWCD districts in both Iowa and Missouri are committed not only to seek funding to continue water quality efforts for more practices but also enhance and protect existing practices and investments that protect our water quality and economic viability in both states.

Market Index Biases and Minimum Risk Indices

Markets, in the real world, are not efficient zero-sum games where hypotheses of the CAPM are fulfilled. Then, it is easy to conclude the market portfolio is not located on Markowitz"s efficient frontier, and passive investments (and indexing) are not optimal but biased. In this paper, we define and analyze biases suffered by passive investors: the sample, construction, efficiency and active biases and tracking error are presented. We propose Minimum Risk Indices (MRI) as an alternative to deal with to market index biases, and to provide investors with portfolios closer to the efficient frontier, that is, more optimal investment possibilities. MRI (using a Parametric Value-at-Risk Minimization approach) are calculated for three stock markets achieving interesting results. Our indices are less risky and more profitable than current Market Indices in the Argentinean and Spanish markets, facing that way the Efficient Market Hypothesis. Two innovations must be outlined: an error dimension has been included in the backtesting and the Sharpe"s Ratio has been used to select the"best" MRI

06004-003 Big Sioux River Watershed Final Report

Controlling and managing manure-contaminated runoff is a responsibility of every livestock producer. The minimum requirement of all confined feeding operations in Iowa, regardless of size, is to settle solids. Two separate watershed assessments conducted in 2003-2004 by the Lyon SWCD of 141 feedlot sites indicated only 29% have solid settling basins in place. Regulating agencies generally recommend a holding pond followed by irrigation land application which require large capital investments, specialized machinery and additional management skill sets. Producers are looking for more cost-effective alternatives for controlling feedlot runoff and regulating agencies need to know these alternatives will protect the environment.

Aggregate Costs of Gender Gaps in the Labor Market: A Quantitative Estimate

[eng] This paper examines the quantitative effects of gender gaps in entrepreneurship and labor force participation on aggregate productivity and income per capita. We simulate an occupational choice model with heterogeneous agents in entrepreneurial ability, where agents choose to be workers, self-employed or employers. The model assumes that men and women have the same talent distribution, but we impose several frictions on women's opportunities and pay in the labor market. In particular, we restrict the fraction of women participating in the labor market.

09020-012 Fox River Watershed Final Report

With WIRB funding the Fox River Ecosystem Development board will continue to install prioritized practices identified by assessments within the impaired segment of Fox River. The FRED board is also asking to continue funding for a new 5 year position for assessment, planning and technical assistance. With new assessments and water quality monitoring already being done on the impaired segment of the Fox River a lot of valuable information is at hand. Ecosystem Development board is requesting funding from WIRB to install grade stabilization structures, water sediment basins, and terraces to reduce sediment delivery to Fox River. The FRED board in both Iowa and Missouri are committed not only to seek funding to continue water quality efforts for more practices but also to enhance and protect existing practices and investments that protect our water quality and economic viability in both states. We are off to a good start and want to continue our progress on the Fox River.

Aggregate Costs of Gender Gaps in the Labor Market: A Quantitative Estimate

This paper examines the quantitative effects of gender gaps in entrepreneurship and labor force participation on aggregate productivity and income per capita. We simulate an occupational choice model with heterogeneous agents in entrepreneurial ability, where agents choose to be workers, self-employed or employers. The model assumes that men and women have the same talent distribution, but we impose several frictions on women's opportunities and pay in the labor market. In particular, we restrict the fraction of women participating in the labor market.

Aggregate Costs of Gender Gaps in the Labor Market: A Quantitative Estimate

This paper examines the quantitative effects of gender gaps in entrepreneurship and labor force participation on aggregate productivity and income per capita. We simulate an occupational choice model with heterogeneous agents in entrepreneurial ability, where agents choose to be workers, self-employed or employers. The model assumes that men and women have the same talent distribution, but we impose several frictions on women's opportunities and pay in the labor market. In particular, we restrict the fraction of women participating in the labor market.

High-growth firms and innovation: an empirical analysis for Spanish firms

This paper analyses the effect of R&D investment on firm growth. We use an extensive sample of Spanish manufacturing and service firms. The database comprises diverse waves of Spanish Community Innovation Survey and covers the period 2004–2008. First, a probit model corrected for sample selection analyses the role of innovation on the probability of being a high-growth firm (HGF). Second, a quantile regression technique is applied to explore the determinants of firm growth. Our database shows that a small number of firms experience fast growth rates in terms of sales or employees. Our results reveal that R&D investments positively affect the probability of becoming a HGF. However, differences appear between manufacturing and service firms. Finally, when we study the impact of R&D investment on firm growth, quantile estimations show that internal R&D presents a significant positive impact for the upper quantiles, while external R&D shows a significant positive impact up to the median. Keywords : High-growth firms, Firm growth, Innovation activity. JEL Classifications : L11, L25, L26, O30

Modeling and mitigation of supply-demand mismatches

In this thesis, I develop analytical models to price the value of supply chain investments under demand uncer¬tainty. This thesis includes three self-contained papers. In the first paper, we investigate the value of lead-time reduction under the risk of sudden and abnormal changes in demand forecasts. We first consider the risk of a complete and permanent loss of demand. We then provide a more general jump-diffusion model, where we add a compound Poisson process to a constant-volatility demand process to explore the impact of sudden changes in demand forecasts on the value of lead-time reduction. We use an Edgeworth series expansion to divide the lead-time cost into that arising from constant instantaneous volatility, and that arising from the risk of jumps. We show that the value of lead-time reduction increases substantially in the intensity and/or the magnitude of jumps. In the second paper, we analyze the value of quantity flexibility in the presence of supply-chain dis- intermediation problems. We use the multiplicative martingale model and the "contracts as reference points" theory to capture both positive and negative effects of quantity flexibility for the downstream level in a supply chain. We show that lead-time reduction reduces both supply-chain disintermediation problems and supply- demand mismatches. We furthermore analyze the impact of the supplier's cost structure on the profitability of quantity-flexibility contracts. When the supplier's initial investment cost is relatively low, supply-chain disin¬termediation risk becomes less important, and hence the contract becomes more profitable for the retailer. We also find that the supply-chain efficiency increases substantially with the supplier's ability to disintermediate the chain when the initial investment cost is relatively high. In the third paper, we investigate the value of dual sourcing for the products with heavy-tailed demand distributions. We apply extreme-value theory and analyze the effects of tail heaviness of demand distribution on the optimal dual-sourcing strategy. We find that the effects of tail heaviness depend on the characteristics of demand and profit parameters. When both the profit margin of the product and the cost differential between the suppliers are relatively high, it is optimal to buffer the mismatch risk by increasing both the inventory level and the responsive capacity as demand uncertainty increases. In that case, however, both the optimal inventory level and the optimal responsive capacity decrease as the tail of demand becomes heavier. When the profit margin of the product is relatively high, and the cost differential between the suppliers is relatively low, it is optimal to buffer the mismatch risk by increasing the responsive capacity and reducing the inventory level as the demand uncertainty increases. In that case, how¬ever, it is optimal to buffer with more inventory and less capacity as the tail of demand becomes heavier. We also show that the optimal responsive capacity is higher for the products with heavier tails when the fill rate is extremely high.

Timing of Capacity Change: Models for Capital Intensive Industry

The suitable timing of capacity investments is a remarkable issue especially in capital intensive industries. Despite its importance, fairly few studies have been published on the topic. In the present study models for the timing of capacity change in capital intensive industry are developed. The study considers mainly the optimal timing of single capacity changes. The review of earlier research describes connections between cost, capacity and timing literature, and empirical examples are used to describe the starting point of the study and to test the developed models. The study includes four models, which describe the timing question from different perspectives. The first model, which minimizes unit costs, has been built for capacity expansion and replacement situations. It is shown that the optimal timing of an investment can be presented with the capacity and cost advantage ratios. After the unit cost minimization model the view is extended to the direction of profit maximization. The second model states that early investments are preferable if the change of fixed costs is small compared to the change of the contribution margin. The third model is a numerical discounted cash flow model, which emphasizes the roles of start-up time, capacity utilization rate and value of waiting as drivers of the profitable timing of a project. The last model expands the view from project level to company level and connects the flexibility of assets and cost structures to the timing problem. The main results of the research are the solutions of the models and analysis or simulations done with the models. The relevance and applicability of the results are verified by evaluating the logic of the models and by numerical cases.

Market entry order and competitive advantage of the firm

A firm that wishes to launch a new product to the market is faced with a difficult task of deciding what the best moment for the launch is. Timing may also be critical when a firm plans to adopt new processes or intends to head for new markets. The critical question the firm needs to tackle is whether it will try to reach the so-called first-mover advantage by acting earlier than its rivals. The first-mover position may reward the entrant with various opportunities to gain competitive advantage over later movers. However, there are also great risks involved in the early market entry, and sometimes the very first entrant fails even before the followers enter the market. The follower, on the other hand, may be able to free-ride on the earlier entrants' investments and gain from the languished uncertainties that characterize the new markets. According to the current understanding the occurrence of entry order advantages depends not only on the mechanism and attributes in the firm's environment that provide the initial opportunities but also on the firm's ability to capitalize on these advantage opportunities. This study contributes to this discussion by analyzing the linkages between the asset base of the firm, characteristics of the operating environment and the firm's entry timing orientation. To shed light on the relationship between the entry timing strategy and competitive advantage, this study utilizes the concept of entry timing orientation. The rationale for choosing this type of approach arises from the inability of previously employed research tools to reach the underlying factors that result in entry timing advantage. The work consists of an introductory theoretical discussion on entry timing advantages and of four research publication. The empirical findings support the understanding that entry timing advantage is related to the characteristics of the firm's operating environment but may also be related to firm-specific factors. This in turn suggests that some of the traditional ways of detecting and measuring first-mover advantage - which to some extent ignore these dimensions - may be outdated.

Konenäköinvestoinnin soveltuvuus- ja esikannattavuustukimus sahalaitoksessa

Diplomityön tavoitteena oli selvittää sahalaitokselle mahdollisen konenäköinvestoinninsoveltuvuus ja kannattavuus. Tutkimus rajattiin vaihtoehtojen tunnistamisen ja investoinnin kannattavuuden alustavaan analyysiin. Tutkimuksessa arvioitiin konenäkötekniikan mahdollisuuksia sahateollisuusprosessissa yleisesti sekä erityisesti sahatavaran pitkittäis- ja poikittaissuuntaisissa sahatavaran pinnantarkastuksissa. Konenäköjärjestelmien toimittajia ja heidän referenssejään haastattelemalla saatiin selvitettyä tarjottujen järjestelmien tekninen soveltuvuus. Tutkimus liitettiin työn toimeksiantajan toimintastrategiaan, jotta voitiin arvioida mahdollisimman kattavasti kaikki investoinnilla saavutettavat hyödyt. Kannattavuuslaskentaa varten arvioitiin investoinnilla saavutettavat nettotuotot suunnitellulle pitoajalle. Laskennassa käytettiin perinteisiä investointilaskentamenetelmiä kuten nykyarvomenetelmää, takaisinmaksuaikaa ja sisäistä korkokantaa. Poikittaissuuntainen sahatavaran pinnantarkastus tuoreen ja kuivan tavaran tasaamolla todettiin teknisesti toteuttamiskelpoiseksi vaihtoehdoksi. Kyseisessä vaihtoehdossa liitännäisinvestointien määrän arvioidaan jäävän melko vähäisiksi. Konenäköinvestoinnin voidaan arvioida kannattavan, muttakannattavuuden edellytyksenä on vahva johdon ja muun henkilöstön sitoutuminen uuteen haasteeseen.

Tietojärjestelmäinvestoinnin jälkitarkkailumalli

Tämän työn ensisijaisena tavoitteena oli kehittää tietojärjestelmähankkeiden investointiprosessia luomalla kohdeyritykseen yhtenäinen toimintatapa hankkeiden jälkitarkkailuun. Tavoiteltu muutos koskee järjestelmäinvestointien arviointiperusteita sekä niiden käyttöönoton jälkeistä seurantaa. Jälkitarkkailumalli on rakennettu tasapainotettujen mittaristojen viitekehyksestä mittaamalla onnistumista johdon, loppukäyttäjän sekä projektin näkökulmasta. Työn tuloksena on Excel -sovellus sekä toimintatapa sovelluksen käytölle. Esimerkki-investoinnista kerätyn kokemuksen perusteella malli tukee investointiin liittyvien sidosryhmien sitoutumista yhteisiin tavoitteisiin sekä selkeyttää roolijakoa IT - vetoisen projektiryhmän ja yrityksen liiketoiminnallisen johdon välillä. Lisäksi mallin koettiin tukevan käyttöönotetun järjestelmän tavoitelähtöistä johtamista. Käytön laajentuessa mallilla uskotaan olevan yksittäistenhankkeiden lisäksi positiivinen vaikutus myös yrityksen tietojärjestelmähankkeiden investointiprosessiin.