面向烟草行业的MES系统模型研究与设计

MES系统模型构建是系统实施和正常运行的前提和条件,也是MES方案设计和系统配置的基础和难点。本文结合烟草生产过程特点,以某卷烟企业为研究和应用背景,建立了MES系统模型。实际系统运行效果良好,验证了模型的合理性。

卷烟厂制丝线计划仿真系统开发

文章首先分析了卷烟厂制造执行系统(MES)的特点以及发展现状,在此基础上对制丝线进行了介绍,指出了当前制丝线计划与调度管理中存在的不足,并提出了用于解决问题的计划仿真系统,最后在一个模拟的卷烟厂制丝线环境下实现了该系统。

卷烟厂制丝线生产过程建模与计划仿真技术研究

本课题结合国家863高技术计划“面向流程与混合行业的可配置MES产品及行业解决方案”项目2007AA040702和“吉林省延吉卷烟厂制丝生产线生产管理系统”项目选题进行研究与软件开发。是项目研究的主要内容之一，本人主要负责仿真模型建立模块中各项功能的设计与开发。 烟草行业作为一个特殊的行业，它面临着来自市场和国家计划的双重压力，面对这些压力，为了更好的应对市场，烟草企业采用制造执行系统(Manufacturing Execution System，MES)来对卷烟的整个生产过程进行管理。用于完成制丝的制丝生产线是烟草企业最重要的环节，它的工作性能直接决定了卷烟的质量及生产效益。其中，计划的合理性程度以及具体的执行情况是影响其工作性能的关键因素。当前制丝线MES系统的计划调度模块是通过基于规则的调度策略来获得调度方案以对制丝线的生产进行管理，这些规则是根据实际的经验从生产现场抽取得到，在一定程度上保证了计划调度的合理性，但不能保证获得符合实际情况的最优的调度方案，并且在此过程中没有考虑异常事件发生时的应对措施，由于这种调度策略的局限性以及生产线中异常事件发生的随机性，当前制丝线MES系统的计划调度模块已无法很好的管理制丝线的生产。 为解决上述问题，本文在对卷烟厂制丝线生产过程进行建模的基础上，提出并开发了制丝线的计划仿真系统。通过仿真模拟整个制丝生产过程，不仅能确定计划制定的合理性程度，还能预测异常事件发生时对整个计划执行的影响程度，进而采取相应的措施来保证生产的效率。本文的主要研究工作如下： 1、概述了当前主要的生产过程建模方法和离散事件仿真方法，对每种方法的特点进行了概括和总结，在此基础上提出了本文所采用的建模和仿真方法。其中的仿真方法较已有方法在程序实现上做了改进。 2、在对现有的烟草企业制丝线生产过程进行分析的基础上，采用面向对象的建模方法对其进行建模，为生产计划仿真提供基础。 3、设计了生产计划仿真系统的整体框架，对各功能模块设计、系统设计及其实现技术作了细致的阐述。 4、开发实现了该计划仿真系统并针对延吉卷烟厂新厂区制丝线进行计划仿真，分析表明，仿真效果良好。

Modification of a poly(methyl methacrylate) injection-molded microchip and its use for high performance analysis of DNA

Inexpensive and permanently modified poly(methyl methacrylate)(PMMA) microchips were fabricated by an injection-molding process. A novel sealing method for plastic microchips at room temperature was introduced. Run-to-run and chip-to-chip reproducibility was good, with relative standard deviation values between 1-3% for the run-to-run and less than 2.1% for the chip-to-chip comparisons. Acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene (ABS) was used as an additive in PMMA substrates. The proportions of PMMA and ABS were optimized. ABS may be considered as a modifier, which obviously improved some characteristics of the microchip, such as the hydrophilicity and the electro-osmotic flow (EOF). The detection limit of Rhodamine 6G dye for the modified microchip on the home-made microchip analyzer showed a dramatic 100-fold improvement over that for the unmodified PMMA chip. A detection limit of the order of 10(-20) mole has been achieved for each injected phiX-174/HaeIII DNA fragment with the baseline separation between 271 and 281 bp, and fast separation of 11 DNA restriction fragments within 180 seconds. Analysis of a PCR product from the tobacco ACT gene was performed on the modified microchip as an application example.

Manual de identificação de doenças de soja.

Doenças causadas por fungos: Antracnose (Colletotrichum truncatum), Cancro da haste (Diaporthe phaseolorum var. meridionalis e D. phaseolorum var. caulivora), Crestamento foliar de cercóspora e mancha púrpura (Cercospora kikuchii), Ferrugem (Phakopsora pachyrhizi e P. meibomiae), Mancha alvo e podridão radicular de corinéspora (Corynespora cassiicola), Mancha foliar de ascoquita (Ascochyta sojae), Mancha foliar de mirotécio (Myrothecium roridum), Mancha olho-de-rã (Cercospora sojina), Mancha parda (Septoria glycines), Mela ou requeima (Rhizoctonia solani AG1), Míldio (Peronospora manshurica), Tombamento e morte em reboleira de rizoctonia (Rhizoctonia solani), Tombamento e murcha de esclerócio (Sclerotium rolfsii), Oídio (Erysiphe diffusa), Podridão branca da haste (Sclerotinia sclerotiorum), Podridão de carvão da raiz (Macrophomina phaseolina), Podridão parda da haste (Cadophora gregata), Podridão radicular de roselínia (Rosellinia necatrix), Seca da haste e da vagem (Phomopsis spp.), Podridão radicular de fitóftora (Phytophthora sojae), Podridão vermelha da raiz (Fusarium spp.). Doenças causadas por bactérias: Crestamento bacteriano (Pseudomonas savastanoi pv. glycinea), Fogo Selvagem (Pseudomonas syringae pv. tabaci), Pústula bacteriana (Xanthomonas axonopodis pv. glycines). Doenças causadas por vírus: Mosaico cálico (Alfalfa Mosaic Virus - AMV), Mosqueado do feijão (Bean Pod Mottle Virus - BPMV), Mosaico comum da soja (Soybean Mosaic Virus - SMV), Necrose da haste (Cowpea Mild Mottle Virus - CPMMV), Queima do broto (Tobacco Streak Virus - TSV). Doenças causadas por nematóides: Nematóide de cisto (Heterodera glycines), Nematóides de galhas (Meloidogyne incognita e M. javanica), Nematóide das lesões (Pratylenchus spp.), Nematóide reniforme (Rotylenchulus reniformis). Estádios de desenvolvimento da soja.

How smokers may react to cigarette taxes and price increases in Brazil: data from a national survey

Background: Despite being the third largest tobacco producer in the world, Brazil has developed a comprehensive tobacco control policy that includes a broad restriction on both advertising and smoking in indoor public places, compulsory pictorial warning labels, and a menthol cigarette ban. However, tax and pricing policies have been developed slowly and only very recently were stronger measures implemented. This study investigated the expected responses of smokers to hypothetical price increases in Brazil.Methods: We analyzed smokers' responses to hypothetical future price increases according to sociodemographic characteristics and smoking conditions in a multistage sample of Brazilian current cigarette smokers aged >= 14 years (n = 500). Logistic regression analysis was used to examine the relationship between possible responses and different predictors.Results: in most subgroups investigated, smokers most frequently said they would react to a hypothetical price increase by taking up alternatives that might have a positive impact on health, i.e., they would try to stop smoking (52.3%) or smoke fewer cigarettes (46.8%). However, a considerable percentage responded that they would use alternatives that would reduce the effect of price increases, such as the same brand with lower cost (48.1%). After controlling for sex age group (14-19, 20-39, 40-59, and >= 60 years), schooling level (>= 9 versus <= 9 years), number of cigarettes per day (>20 versus <= 20), and stage of change for smoking cessation (precontemplation, contemplation, and preparation), lower levels of dependence were positively associated with the response I would try to stop smoking (odds ratio [OR], 2.19). Young age was associated with I would decrease the number of cigarettes (OR, 3.44). A low schooling level was strongly associated with all responses.Conclusions: Taxes and prices increases have great potential to stimulate cessation or reduction of cigarette consumption further among two important vulnerable populations of smokers in Brazil: young smokers and those of low educational level. the results from the present study also suggest that seeking illegal products may reduce the impact of increased taxes, but does not eliminate it.

Centenarians and their hearts: a prospective registry with comprehensive geriatric assessment, electrocardiogram, echocardiography, and follow-up

Background Data on the cardiac characteristics of centenarians are scarce. Our aim was to describe electrocardiogram (ECG) and echocardiography in a cohort of centenarians and to correlate them with clinical data. Methods We used prospective multicenter registry of 118 centenarians (28 men) with a mean age of 101.5 ± 1.7 years. Electrocardiogram was performed in 103 subjects (87.3%) and echocardiography in 100 (84.7%). All subjects underwent a follow-up for at least 6 months. Results Centenarians with abnormal ECG were less frequently females (72% vs 93%), had higher rates of previous consumption of tobacco (14% vs 0) and alcohol (24% vs 12%), and scored lower in the perception of health status (6.8 ± 2.0 vs 8.3 ± 6.8). Centenarians with significant abnormalities in echocardiography were less frequently able to walk 6 m (33% vs 54%). Atrial fibrillation/flutter was found in 27 subjects (26%). Mean left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction was 60.0 ± 10.5%. Moderate or severe aortic valve stenosis was found in 16%, mitral valve regurgitation in 15%, and aortic valve regurgitation in 13%. Diastolic dysfunction was assessed in 79 subjects and was present in 55 (69.6%). Katz index and LV dilation were independently associated with the ability to walk 6 m. Age, Charlson and Katz indexes, and the presence of significant abnormalities in echocardiography were associated with mortality. Conclusions Centenarians have frequent ECG alterations and abnormalities in echocardiography. More than one fifth has atrial fibrillation, and most have diastolic dysfunction. Left ventricular dilation was associated with the ability to walk 6 m. Significant abnormalities in echocardiography were associated with mortality.

Consumo de tabaco, álcool e drogas ilícitas nos jovens

Dissertação de Mestrado apresentada à Universidade Fernando Pessoa como parte dos requisitos para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Psicologia da Educação e Intervenção Comunitária.

Intervenção dos Médicos Dentistas na cessação tabágica

Projeto de Pós-Graduação/Dissertação apresentado à Universidade Fernando Pessoa como parte dos requisitos para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Medicina Dentária

Cancro oral

Projeto de Pós-Graduação/Dissertação apresentado à Universidade Fernando Pessoa como parte dos requisitos para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Medicina Dentária

Esquemas terapêuticos no carcinoma da bexiga

Projeto de Pós-Graduação/Dissertação apresentado à Universidade Fernando Pessoa como parte dos requisitos para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Ciências Farmacêuticas

Impact of the smoke-free workplace legislation on smoking behaviour, risk perception & stigmatisation

The Republic of Ireland became the first European country to implement nationwide smoke-free workplace legislation. Aims: To determine prevalence of smoking among bar workers and estimate the impact of the smoke-free workplace legislation on their smoking behaviour to that of a comparable general population sample. To approximate the influence of tobacco control measures on risk perception of second-hand smoke (SHS) among the general population. To explore the de-normalisation of smoking behaviour and the potential increased stigmatisation of smokers and their smoking. Methods: Prevalence estimates and behavioural changes were examined among a random sample of bar workers before and 1 year after the smoke-free legislation; comparisons made with a general population sub-sample. Changes in risk knowledge related to SHS exposure were based on general population data. Qualitative interviews were conducted among a purposive sample of smokers and non-smokers four years after the implementation of the legislation. Results: Smoking prevalence was extremely high among bar workers. Smoking prevalence dropped in bar workers and significantly among the general population 1 year post ban while cigarette consumption dropped significantly among bar workers. Disparity in knowledge between smokers and non-smoker of risk associated with SHS exposure reduced. Lack of understanding of the risk of ear infections in children posed by SHS exposure was notable. Evidence for advanced de-normalisation of smoking behaviour and intensification of stigma because of the introduction of the legislation was dependent on many factors, quality of smoking facilities played a key role. Conclusions: Ireland’s smoke-free legislation was associated with a drop in prevalence and cigarette consumption. Disparity in knowledge between smokers and non-smokers of the risk posed by SHS exposure reduced however the risk of ear infections in children needs to be effectively disseminated. The proliferation of ‘good’ smoking areas may diminish the potential to reduce smoking behaviour and de-normalise smoking.

Are mature smokers misinformed?

While there are many reasons to continue to smoke in spite of its consequences for health, the concern that many smoke because they misperceive the risks of smoking remains a focus of public discussion and motivates tobacco control policies and litigation. In this paper we investigate the relative accuracy of mature smokers' risk perceptions about future survival, and a range of morbidities and disabilities. Using data from the survey on smoking (SOS) conducted for this research, we compare subjective beliefs elicited from the SOS with corresponding individual-specific objective probabilities estimated from the health and retirement study. Overall, consumers in the age group studied, 50-70, are not overly optimistic in their perceptions of health risk. If anything, smokers tend to be relatively pessimistic about these risks. The finding that smokers are either well informed or pessimistic regarding a broad range of health risks suggests that these beliefs are not pivotal in the decision to continue smoking. Although statements by the tobacco companies may have been misleading and thus encouraged some to start smoking, we find no evidence that systematic misinformation about the health consequences of smoking inhibits quitting.

If smoking increases absences, does quitting reduce them?

OBJECTIVE: This study examined the impact of smoking, quitting, and time since quit on absences from work. METHODS: Data from the nationally representative Tobacco Use Supplements of the 1992/93, 1995/96, and 1998/99 Current Population Surveys were used. The study included full time workers aged between 18-64 years, yielding a sample size of 383 778 workers. A binary indicator of absence due to sickness in the last week was analysed as a function of smoking status including time since quit for former smokers. Extensive demographic variables were included as controls in all models. RESULTS: In initial comparisons between current and former smokers, smoking increased absences, but quitting did not reduce them. However, when length of time since quit was examined, it was discovered that those who quit within the last year, and especially the last three months, had a much greater probability of absences than did current smokers. As the time since quitting increased, absences returned to a rate somewhere between that of never and current smokers. Interactions between health and smoking status significantly improved the fit of the model. CONCLUSIONS: Smokers who quit reduced their absences over time but increase their absences immediately after quitting. Quitting ill may account for some but not all of this short run impact.

The effect of involuntary job loss on smoking intensity and relapse.

AIMS: To assess the impact of involuntary job loss due to plant closure or layoff on relapse to smoking and smoking intensity among older workers. DESIGN, PARTICIPANTS, SAMPLE: Data come from the Health and Retirement Study, a nationally representative survey of older Americans aged 51-61 in 1991 followed every 2 years beginning in 1992. The 3052 participants who were working at the initial wave and had any history of smoking comprise the main sample. METHODS: Primary outcomes are smoking relapse at wave 2 (1994) among baseline former smokers, and smoking quantity at wave 2 among baseline current smokers. As reported at the wave 2 follow-up, 6.8% of the sample experienced an involuntary job loss between waves 1 and 2. FINDINGS: Older workers have over two times greater odds of relapse subsequent to involuntary job loss than those who did not. Further, those who were current smokers prior to displacement that did not obtain new employment were found to be smoking more cigarettes, on average, post-job loss. CONCLUSIONS: The stress of job loss, along with other significant changes associated with leaving one's job, which would tend to increase cigarette consumption, must outweigh the financial hardship which would tend to reduce consumption. This highlights job loss as an important health risk factor for older smokers.