968 resultados para Censoring. Dairy cattle. Kaplan-Meier estimator. Proportional hazards model


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Homozygous (delta ccr5/delta ccr5) and heterozygous (CCR5/delta ccr5) deletions in the beta-chemokine receptor 5 (CCR5) gene, which encodes for the major co-receptor for macrophage-tropic HIV-1 entry, have been implicated in resistance to HIV infection and in protection against disease progression, respectively. The CCR5/delta ccr5 genotype was found more frequently in long-term nonprogressors (LTNP) (31.0%) than in progressors (10.6%, p < 0.0001), in agreement with previous studies. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses showed that a slower progression of disease, i.e. higher proportion of subjects with CD4+ T cell counts > 500/microl (p = 0.0006) and a trend toward a slower progression to AIDS (p = 0.077), was associated with the CCR5/delta ccr5 genotype. However, when LTNP were analyzed separately, no significant differences in CD4+ T cell counts (p = 0.12) and viremia levels (p = 0.65) were observed between the wild-type (69% of LTNP) and the heterozygous (31.0%) genotypes. Therefore, there are other factors which play a major role in determining the status of nonprogression in the majority of LTNP. Furthermore, there was no evidence that the CCR5/delta ccr5 genotype was associated with different rates of disease progression in the group of progressors. Taken together, these results indicate that the CCR5/delta ccr5 genotype is neither essential nor sufficient for protection against the progression of HIV disease.

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The objective of this work was to obtain prevalence estimates of cloudy vaginal mucus in artificially inseminated Holstein cows raised under intense heat, in order to assess the effect of meteorological conditions on its occurrence during estrus and to determine its effect on conception rate. In a first study, an association was established between the occurrence of cloudy vaginal mucus during estrus and the conception rate of inseminated cows (18,620 services), raised under intense heat (mean annual temperature of 22°C), at highly technified farms, in the arid region of northern Mexico. In a second study, data from these large dairy operations were used to assess the effect of meteorological conditions throughout the year on the occurrence of cloudy vaginal mucus during artificial insemination (76,899 estruses). The overall rate of estruses with cloudy vaginal mucus was 21.4% (16,470/76,899; 95% confidence interval = 21.1-21.7%). The conception rate of cows with clean vaginal mucus was higher than that of cows with abnormal mucus (30.6 vs. 22%). Prevalence of estruses with cloudy vaginal mucus was strongly dependent on high ambient temperature and markedly higher in May and June. Acceptable conception rates in high milk-yielding Holstein cows can only be obtained with cows showing clear and translucid mucus at artificial insemination.

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BACKGROUND: Rivaroxaban, an oral factor Xa inhibitor, may provide a simple, fixed-dose regimen for treating acute deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) and for continued treatment, without the need for laboratory monitoring. METHODS: We conducted an open-label, randomized, event-driven, noninferiority study that compared oral rivaroxaban alone (15 mg twice daily for 3 weeks, followed by 20 mg once daily) with subcutaneous enoxaparin followed by a vitamin K antagonist (either warfarin or acenocoumarol) for 3, 6, or 12 months in patients with acute, symptomatic DVT. In parallel, we carried out a double-blind, randomized, event-driven superiority study that compared rivaroxaban alone (20 mg once daily) with placebo for an additional 6 or 12 months in patients who had completed 6 to 12 months of treatment for venous thromboembolism. The primary efficacy outcome for both studies was recurrent venous thromboembolism. The principal safety outcome was major bleeding or clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding in the initial-treatment study and major bleeding in the continued-treatment study. RESULTS: The study of rivaroxaban for acute DVT included 3449 patients: 1731 given rivaroxaban and 1718 given enoxaparin plus a vitamin K antagonist. Rivaroxaban had noninferior efficacy with respect to the primary outcome (36 events [2.1%], vs. 51 events with enoxaparin-vitamin K antagonist [3.0%]; hazard ratio, 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.44 to 1.04; P<0.001). The principal safety outcome occurred in 8.1% of the patients in each group. In the continued-treatment study, which included 602 patients in the rivaroxaban group and 594 in the placebo group, rivaroxaban had superior efficacy (8 events [1.3%], vs. 42 with placebo [7.1%]; hazard ratio, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.09 to 0.39; P<0.001). Four patients in the rivaroxaban group had nonfatal major bleeding (0.7%), versus none in the placebo group (P=0.11). CONCLUSIONS: Rivaroxaban offers a simple, single-drug approach to the short-term and continued treatment of venous thrombosis that may improve the benefit-to-risk profile of anticoagulation. (Funded by Bayer Schering Pharma and Ortho-McNeil; ClinicalTrials.gov numbers, NCT00440193 and NCT00439725.).

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BACKGROUND: To evaluate feasibility and preliminary outcomes associated with sequential whole abdomen irradiation (WAI) as consolidative treatment following comprehensive surgery and systemic chemotherapy for advanced endometrial cancer. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients treated at our institution from 2000 to 2011. Inclusion criteria were stage III-IV endometrial cancer patients with histological proof of one or more sites of extra-uterine abdomen-confined disease, treated with WAI as part of multimodal therapy. Endpoints were feasibility, acute toxicity, late effects, recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). Twenty patients were identified. Chemotherapy consisted of 3 to 6 cycles of a platinum-paclitaxel regimen in 18 patients. WAI was delivered using conventional technique to a median total dose of 27.5 Gy. RESULTS: No grade 4 toxicities occurred during chemotherapy or radiotherapy. No radiation dose reduction was necessary. Three patients developed small bowel obstruction, all in the context of recurrent intraperitoneal disease. Kaplan-Meier estimates and 95% confidence intervals for RFS and OS at one year were 63% (38-80%) and 83% (56-94%) and at 3 years 57% (33-76%) and 62% (34-81%), respectively. On univariate Cox analysis, stage IVB and serous papillary (SP) histology were found to be statistically significantly (at the p = 0.05 level) associated with worse RFS and OS. The peritoneal cavity was the most frequent site of initial failure. CONCLUSIONS: Consolidative WAI following chemotherapy is feasible and can be performed without interruption with manageable acute and late toxicity. Patients with endometrioid adenocarcinoma, especially stage FIGO III, had favorable outcomes possibly meriting prospective evaluation of the addition of WAI following chemotherapy in selected patients. Patients with SP do poorly and do not routinely benefit from this approach.

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To compare the prediction of hip fracture risk of several bone ultrasounds (QUS), 7062 Swiss women > or =70 years of age were measured with three QUSs (two of the heel, one of the phalanges). Heel QUSs were both predictive of hip fracture risk, whereas the phalanges QUS was not. INTRODUCTION: As the number of hip fracture is expected to increase during these next decades, it is important to develop strategies to detect subjects at risk. Quantitative bone ultrasound (QUS), an ionizing radiation-free method, which is transportable, could be interesting for this purpose. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Swiss Evaluation of the Methods of Measurement of Osteoporotic Fracture Risk (SEMOF) study is a multicenter cohort study, which compared three QUSs for the assessment of hip fracture risk in a sample of 7609 elderly ambulatory women > or =70 years of age. Two QUSs measured the heel (Achilles+; GE-Lunar and Sahara; Hologic), and one measured the heel (DBM Sonic 1200; IGEA). The Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the hazard of the first hip fracture, adjusted for age, BMI, and center, and the area under the ROC curves were calculated to compare the devices and their parameters. RESULTS: From the 7609 women who were included in the study, 7062 women 75.2 +/- 3.1 (SD) years of age were prospectively followed for 2.9 +/- 0.8 years. Eighty women reported a hip fracture. A decrease by 1 SD of the QUS variables corresponded to an increase of the hip fracture risk from 2.3 (95% CI, 1.7, 3.1) to 2.6 (95% CI, 1.9, 3.4) for the three variables of Achilles+ and from 2.2 (95% CI, 1.7, 3.0) to 2.4 (95% CI, 1.8, 3.2) for the three variables of Sahara. Risk gradients did not differ significantly among the variables of the two heel QUS devices. On the other hand, the phalanges QUS (DBM Sonic 1200) was not predictive of hip fracture risk, with an adjusted hazard risk of 1.2 (95% CI, 0.9, 1.5), even after reanalysis of the digitalized data and using different cut-off levels (1700 or 1570 m/s). CONCLUSIONS: In this elderly women population, heel QUS devices were both predictive of hip fracture risk, whereas the phalanges QUS device was not.

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BACKGROUND: Thrombin potently activates platelets through the protease-activated receptor PAR-1. Vorapaxar is a novel antiplatelet agent that selectively inhibits the cellular actions of thrombin through antagonism of PAR-1. METHODS: We randomly assigned 26,449 patients who had a history of myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or peripheral arterial disease to receive vorapaxar (2.5 mg daily) or matching placebo and followed them for a median of 30 months. The primary efficacy end point was the composite of death from cardiovascular causes, myocardial infarction, or stroke. After 2 years, the data and safety monitoring board recommended discontinuation of the study treatment in patients with a history of stroke owing to the risk of intracranial hemorrhage. RESULTS: At 3 years, the primary end point had occurred in 1028 patients (9.3%) in the vorapaxar group and in 1176 patients (10.5%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio for the vorapaxar group, 0.87; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80 to 0.94; P<0.001). Cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or recurrent ischemia leading to revascularization occurred in 1259 patients (11.2%) in the vorapaxar group and 1417 patients (12.4%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.82 to 0.95; P=0.001). Moderate or severe bleeding occurred in 4.2% of patients who received vorapaxar and 2.5% of those who received placebo (hazard ratio, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.43 to 1.93; P<0.001). There was an increase in the rate of intracranial hemorrhage in the vorapaxar group (1.0%, vs. 0.5% in the placebo group; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Inhibition of PAR-1 with vorapaxar reduced the risk of cardiovascular death or ischemic events in patients with stable atherosclerosis who were receiving standard therapy. However, it increased the risk of moderate or severe bleeding, including intracranial hemorrhage. (Funded by Merck; TRA 2P-TIMI 50 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00526474.).

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Résumé :Il existe peu d'études dans la littérature comparant les caractéristiques anatomo-cliniques et évolutives des principales formes histologiques de carcinome rénal. Dans nombre de ces études, les carcinomes rénaux étudiés étaient de grades et de stades différents.Buts de l'étude :L'objet de notre étude était d'examiner les caractéristiques anatomo-cliniques d'une série de carcinome rénaux à cellules chromophobes (CRCCh) et de les comparer à celles des carcinomes rénaux conventionnels (CRC) et des carcinomes rénaux papillaires de type 1 (CRP1), à grade et stade équivalents.Matériel et méthodes :41 CRCCh, 40 CRP1 et 153 CRC ont été examinés en se concentrant sur les paramètres suivants : âge et sexe du patient, taille de la tumeur, stade, grade et caractéristiques histologiques. Les survies globales, survies sans récidive et survies sans métastase de chaque groupe tumoral ont été comparées, à grade et stade équivalents (méthode de Kaplan Meier). Les facteurs pronostiques les plus importants ont été recherchés (modèle de Cox).Résultats :En analyse univariée, le CRCCh est celui qui a le meilleur pronostic en terme de survie globale et de survie sans métastase parmi les tumeurs de grade et de stade équivalents. En analyse multivariée, l'histologie CRC est le facteur pronostique le plus important et le plus défavorable.Conclusion A grade et stade équivalents, le pronostic du CRCCh est sensiblement le même que celui du CRP 1 mais significativement meilleur que celui du CRC, avec lequel il ne doit pas être confondu.

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Résumé Etude de la valeur pronostique de la biopsie du ganglion sentinelle dans une étude prospective monocentrique de 327 patients atteints de mélanome malin But II s'agit de confirmer la validité de la biopsie du ganglion sentinelle, d'en définir la morbidité, d'investiguer les facteurs prédictifs pour le statut du ganglion sentinelle ainsi que de déterminer les facteurs pronostiques pour la survie sans récidive et la survie spécifique liée à la maladie. Matériel et méthode D'octobre 1997 à décembre 2004, 327 patients consécutifs présentant un mélanome cutané primaire des membres, du tronc et de la tête, sans adénopathie clinique ni métastase à distance ont été inclus. La biopsie du ganglion sentinelle a été réalisée selon la triple technique (lymphoscintigraphie, colorant bleu vital et sonde de détection gamma). Les paramètres et la survie ont été évalués par différentes analyses de régression logistique multiple selon Cox et la survie évaluée selon Kaplan Meier. Résultats Vingt-trois pour cent des patients présentaient au moins un ganglion sentinelle métastatique, ce qui était associé de façon significative à l'épaisseur selon Breslow (p<0.001). Le taux de succès de la biopsie du ganglion sentinelle était de 99.1% et sa morbidité de 7.6%. Avec une durée médiane de suivi de 33 mois, la survie sans récidive à 5 ans était de 43% pour les patients avec un ganglion sentinelle positif et de 83.5% pour ceux avec un ganglion sentinelle négatif. La survie spécifique liée à la maladie à 5 ans était de 49% pour les patients avec un ganglion sentinelle positif et de 87.4% pour ceux avec un ganglion sentinelle négatif. Le taux de faux négatif de la biopsie du ganglion sentinelle était de 8.6%. L'analyse multivariée a démontré que la survie sans récidive était significativement péjorée par :l'épaisseur selon Breslow (RR=5.6, p<0.001), un ganglion sentinelle positif (RR=5.0, p<0.001), et le sexe masculin (RR=2.9, p=0.001). La survie spécifique liée à la maladie était significativement diminuée par : un ganglion sentinelle métastatique (RR=8.4, p<O.OOI), le sexe masculin (RR=6.1, p<0.001), l'épaisseur selon Breslow (RR=3.2, p=0.013), et la présence d'une ulcération (RR=2.6, p=0.015). Conclusion La biopsie du ganglion sentinelle est une procédure fiable avec une haute sensibilité (91.4%) et une faible morbidité (7.6%). L'épaisseur selon Breslow était le seul facteur prédictif significatif pour le statut du ganglion sentinelle. La survie sans récidive était péjorée selon un ordre décroissant par :l'épaisseur selon Breslow, un ganglion sentinelle métastatique, et le sexe masculin. De façon similaire la survie spécifique liée à la maladie était péjorée par : un ganglion sentinelle métastatique, le sexe masculin, l'épaisseur selon Breslow, et une ulcération. Ces données renforcent le statut du ganglion sentinelle en tant que puissant moyen pour évaluer le stade tumoral ainsi que le pronostic.

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BACKGROUND: Adverse effects of combination antiretroviral therapy (CART) commonly result in treatment modification and poor adherence. METHODS: We investigated predictors of toxicity-related treatment modification during the first year of CART in 1318 antiretroviral-naive human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected individuals from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study who began treatment between January 1, 2005, and June 30, 2008. RESULTS: The total rate of treatment modification was 41.5 (95% confidence interval [CI], 37.6-45.8) per 100 person-years. Of these, switches or discontinuations because of drug toxicity occurred at a rate of 22.4 (95% CI, 19.5-25.6) per 100 person-years. The most frequent toxic effects were gastrointestinal tract intolerance (28.9%), hypersensitivity (18.3%), central nervous system adverse events (17.3%), and hepatic events (11.5%). In the multivariate analysis, combined zidovudine and lamivudine (hazard ratio [HR], 2.71 [95% CI, 1.95-3.83]; P < .001), nevirapine (1.95 [1.01-3.81]; P = .050), comedication for an opportunistic infection (2.24 [1.19-4.21]; P = .01), advanced age (1.21 [1.03-1.40] per 10-year increase; P = .02), female sex (1.68 [1.14-2.48]; P = .009), nonwhite ethnicity (1.71 [1.18-2.47]; P = .005), higher baseline CD4 cell count (1.19 [1.10-1.28] per 100/microL increase; P < .001), and HIV-RNA of more than 5.0 log(10) copies/mL (1.47 [1.10-1.97]; P = .009) were associated with higher rates of treatment modification. Almost 90% of individuals with treatment-limiting toxic effects were switched to a new regimen, and 85% achieved virologic suppression to less than 50 copies/mL at 12 months compared with 87% of those continuing CART (P = .56). CONCLUSIONS: Drug toxicity remains a frequent reason for treatment modification; however, it does not affect treatment success. Close monitoring and management of adverse effects and drug-drug interactions are crucial for the durability of CART.

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Objetivo: determinar en qué etapas del curso de vida previo a los setenta años se acortan las expectativas de vida en salud. Método: análisis longitudinal retrospectivo. La población a estudio es una cohorte de 1286 individuos de entre 70 y 74 años de edad que viven en áreas metropolitanas no institucionalizados. La discapacidad se mide mediante el desarrollo de las actividades instrumentales de la vida diaria (AIVD) y las actividades básicas de la vida diaria (ABVD). Se calculan las esperanzas de vida libre de discapacidad y la probabilidades de supervivencia mediante Kaplan-Meier Resultados: La incidencia de discapacidad básica se incrementó a partir del tramo de 50 a 54 años acelerándose progresivamente hasta los 65-69 años donde la probabilidad de padecer discapacidad instrumental fue ligeramente superior en hombres que en mujeres (0,23 en hombres versus 0,19 en mujeres). La supervivencia sin discapacidad de las mujeres fue peor que la de los hombres tanto para cualquier tipo de discapacidad (LogRank = 5,80; p = 0,016) como para la discapacidad básica (LogRank = 4,315; p = 0,038). Conclusiones: se pone de manifiesto el importante peso que para la autonomía de la población masculina de estas edades tiene la falta de habilidad instrumental para cuestiones domésticas. Además, las mujeres ostentan un peor pronóstico de supervivencia sin discapacidad tanto para cualquier tipo de discapacidad como para la discapacidad básica. Para ambos sexos, desde los 40 hasta los 60 años de edad, hay un ligero descenso de la supervivencia sin discapacidad. A partir de esta edad, el descenso se acelera notablemente.

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The GS-distribution is a family of distributions that provide an accurate representation of any unimodal univariate continuous distribution. In this contribution we explore the utility of this family as a general model in survival analysis. We show that the survival function based on the GS-distribution is able to provide a model for univariate survival data and that appropriate estimates can be obtained. We develop some hypotheses tests that can be used for checking the underlying survival model and for comparing the survival of different groups.

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INTRODUCTION: Periprosthetic femur fracture (PFF) is a serious complication after total hip arthroplasty that can be treated using different internal fixation devices. However, the outcomes with curved non-locking plates with eccentric holes in this indication have not been reported previously. The objectives of this study were to determine: (1) the union rate; (2) the complication rate; (3) autonomy in a group of patients with a Vancouver type B PFF who were treated with this plate. HYPOTHESIS: Use of this plate results in a high union rate with minimal mechanical complications. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Forty-three patients with a mean age of 79 years±13 (41-98) who had undergone fixation of Vancouver type B PFF with this plate between 2002 and 2007 were included in the study. The time to union and Parker Mobility Score were evaluated. The revision-free survival (all causes) was calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. The average follow-up was 42 months±20 (16-90). RESULTS: Union was obtained in all patients in a mean of 2.4 months±0.6 (2-4). One patient had varus malunion of the femur. The Parker Mobility Score decreased from 5.93±1.94 (2-9) to 4.93±1.8 (1-9) (P=0.01). Two patients required a surgical revision: one for an infection after 4.5 years and one for stem loosening. The survival of the femoral stem 5 years after fracture fixation was 83.3%±12.6%. CONCLUSION: Use of a curved plate with eccentric holes for treating type B PFF led to a high union rate and a low number of fixation-related complications. However, PFF remains a serious complication of hip arthroplasty that is accompanied by high morbidity and mortality rates. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Retrospective study, level IV.

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PURPOSE: Rechallenge with temozolomide (TMZ) at first progression of glioblastoma after temozolomide chemoradiotherapy (TMZ/RT→TMZ) has been studied in retrospective and single-arm prospective studies, applying temozolomide continuously or using 7/14 or 21/28 days schedules. The DIRECTOR trial sought to show superiority of the 7/14 regimen. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Patients with glioblastoma at first progression after TMZ/RT→TMZ and at least two maintenance temozolomide cycles were randomized to Arm A [one week on (120 mg/m(2) per day)/one week off] or Arm B [3 weeks on (80 mg/m(2) per day)/one week off]. The primary endpoint was median time-to-treatment failure (TTF) defined as progression, premature temozolomide discontinuation for toxicity, or death from any cause. O(6)-methylguanine DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) promoter methylation was prospectively assessed by methylation-specific PCR. RESULTS: Because of withdrawal of support, the trial was prematurely closed to accrual after 105 patients. There was a similar outcome in both arms for median TTF [A: 1.8 months; 95% confidence intervals (CI), 1.8-3.2 vs. B: 2.0 months; 95% CI, 1.8-3.5] and overall survival [A: 9.8 months (95% CI, 6.7-13.0) vs. B: 10.6 months (95% CI, 8.1-11.6)]. Median TTF in patients with MGMT-methylated tumors was 3.2 months (95% CI, 1.8-7.4) versus 1.8 months (95% CI, 1.8-2) in MGMT-unmethylated glioblastoma. Progression-free survival rates at 6 months (PFS-6) were 39.7% with versus 6.9% without MGMT promoter methylation. CONCLUSIONS: Temozolomide rechallenge is a treatment option for MGMT promoter-methylated recurrent glioblastoma. Alternative strategies need to be considered for patients with progressive glioblastoma without MGMT promoter methylation.

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PURPOSE: To evaluate the clinical characteristics of the 3 classifications of vitreous seeds in retinoblastoma-dust (class 1), spheres (class 2), and clouds (class 3)-and their responses to intravitreal melphalan. DESIGN: Retrospective, bi-institutional cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 87 patient eyes received 475 intravitreal injections of melphalan (median dose, 30 μg) given weekly, a median of 5 times (range, 1-12 times). METHODS: At presentation, the vitreous seeds were classified into 3 groups: dust, spheres, and clouds. Indirect ophthalmoscopy, fundus photography, ultrasonography, and ultrasonic biomicroscopy were used to evaluate clinical response to weekly intravitreal melphalan injections and time to regression of vitreous seeds. Kaplan-Meier estimates of time to regression and ocular survival, patient survival, and event-free survival (EFS) were calculated and then compared using the Mantel-Cox test of curve. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Time to regression of vitreous seeds, patient survival, ocular survival, and EFS. RESULTS: The difference in time to regression was significantly different for the 3 seed classes (P < 0.0001): the median time to regression was 0.6, 1.7, and 7.7 months for dust, spheres, and clouds, respectively. Eyes with dust received significantly fewer injections and a lower median and cumulative dose of melphalan, whereas eyes with clouds received significantly more injections and a higher median and cumulative dose of melphalan. Overall, the 2-year Kaplan-Meier estimates for ocular survival, patient survival, and EFS (related to target seeds) were 90.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 79.7-95.6), 100%, and 98.5% (95% CI, 90-99.7), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The regression and response of vitreous seeds to intravitreal melphalan are different for each seed classification. The vitreous seed classification can be predictive of time to regression, number, median dose, and cumulative dose of intravitreal melphalan injections required.

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Background: To characterize and analyze in the Swiss IBD Cohort: a) reported Azathioprine (AZA) and 6-Mercaptopurine (6-MP) adverse effects (AE), b) causes of discontinuation and c) response to therapy according to gastroenterologists' clinical judgment, d) whether level of 6-TGN < 235pmol/8 x108 red blood cells (RBC) is associated with a higher risk of "flare" occurrence. Methods: Retrospective statistical description, Cox model and Kaplan-Meier survival estimation. Results: 1499 patients with Crohn's Disease (CD) and 1066 with Ulcerative colitis (UC).