A Percepção da População Local Sobre os Impactos Económicos do Turismo na Ilha de São Vicente

A actividade turística só faz sentido, e torna-se viável, quando se proporciona uma experiência qualitativa aos principais agentes envolvidos, isto é, quando haja a optimização da experiência turística, a conservação ambiental e cultural e a inclusão social, pela participação activa das comunidades locais. Assim, esta monografia debruça-se sobre a análise de um desses pilares, mais concretamente, a população local, e como tal, objectiva-se analisar a sua percepção sobre os impactos económicos do turismo no desenvolvimento da ilha de São Vicente. Contudo, para dar uma resposta coerente à problemática deste estudo, que é identificar os impactos económicos do turismo percebido pelos residentes, recorreu-se à uma abordagem económica do turismo, tendo em conta as nomenclaturas desenvolvidas no âmbito da Conta Satélite do Turismo. Na avaliação dos impactos, fez-se a aplicação de um inquérito por questionário, dirigido aos residentes das zonas de Norte Baía, Ribeira de Calhau, São Pedro e o Centro da Cidade. Definiu-se uma amostra representativa de 200 indivíduos, analisando a relação entre o turismo e um conjunto de variáveis económicas tais como o emprego, o rendimento, as receitas governamentais, as infra-estruturas, a sazonalidade, os investimentos, e a inflação. Pelos resultados obtidos, concluiu-se que o turismo contribui positivamente para aumentar o emprego, o rendimento, melhorar a qualidade de vida, o aparecimento de novas empresas, o aumento do Produto Interno Bruto e ainda contribui para o desenvolvimento económico da ilha. Contudo, os resultados permitiram concluir que a ilha não depende, do ponto de vista económico, exclusivamente do turismo. Touristic activity only makes sense and becomes profitable when it brings a qualitative experience to the parties involved, i.e. when it results in an improvement of the touristic experience, with an environmental and cultural protection and social inclusion, through the active participation of the local communities, we developed this monograph based on the analysis of the people´s perception about the economic impact of the tourism in the development of São Vicente island. However, in order to have a coherent answer to the issues this document is concerned with, i.e to identify the economic impact of the tourism on people´s live, we went through an economic approach of the tourism, taking in consideration the nomenclature developed in the sphere of Tourism Satellite Account. For the evaluation of the impact we resorted to an enquiry to the residents of Norte Baía, Ribeira de Calhau, São Pedro, and Mindelo. A representative sample of 200 individuals has been defined, to analyze the relationship between the tourism itself and several economic targets, such as: employment, profits, infrastructure, season, investment, inflation. According to the analysis we concluded that the tourism has positively contributed to the uprising of new enterprise, to the increasing of the gross domestic product, to rise up the employment rate, to increase family´s incomes and consequently a better life quality and also to the economic development of São Vicente Island. Nevertheless we also concluded that economically São Vicente does not depend only on the tourism incomes.

A-1 Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, November 2007

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program - Nov 2007

The impact of interest-rate subsidies on long-term household debt: Evidence from a large program

The responsiveness of long-term household debt to the interest rate is acrucial parameter for assessing the effectiveness of public policies aimedat promoting specific types of saving. This paper estimates the effect ofa reform of Credito Bonificado, a large program in Portugal that subsidizedmortgage interest rates, on long-term household debt. The reform establisheda ceiling in the price of the house that could be financed through theprogram, and provides plausibly exogenous variation in incentives. Usinga unique dataset of matched household survey data and administrative recordsof debt, we document a large decrease in the probability of signing a newloan after the removal of the subsidy.

Financial intermediation and equity investment with costly monitoring

This paper studies the efficiency of equilibria in a productive OLG economy where the process of financial intermediation is characterized by costly state verification. Both competitive equilibria and Constrained Pareto Optimal allocations are characterized. It is shown that market outcomes can be socially inefficient, even when a weaker notion than Pareto optimality is considered.

Is lumpy investment really irrelevant for the business cycle?

New-Keynesian (NK) models can only account for the dynamic effects of monetary policy shocks if it is assumed that aggregate capital accumulation is much smoother than it would be the case under frictionless firm-level investment, as discussed in Woodford (2003, Ch. 5). We find that lumpy investment, when combined with price stickiness and market power of firms,can rationalize this assumption. Our main result is in stark contrast with the conclusions obtained by Thomas (2002) in the context of a real business cycle (RBC) model. We use our model to explain the economic mechanism behind this difference in the predictions of RBC and NK theory.

Short-term investment and equilibrium multiplicity

I study the effects of the heterogeneity of traders'horizon in the context of a 2-period NREE model whereall traders are risk averse. Owing to inventory effects,myopic trading behavior generates multiplicity ofequilibria. In particular, two distinct patterns arise.Along the first equilibrium, short term tradersanticipate higher second period price reaction toinformation arrival and, owing to risk aversion,scale back their trading intensity. This, in turn,reduces both risk sharing and information impoundinginto prices enforcing a high returns' volatility-lowprice informativeness equilibrium. In the second one,the opposite happens and a low volatility-high priceinformativeness equilibrium arises.

Does foreign direct investment crowd out domestic entrepreneurship?

In analyzing firm entry and exit across Belgian manufacturing industries,this paper presents evidence that import competition and foreign directinvestment discourage entry and stimulate exit of domestic entrepreneurs.These results are in line with theoretical occupational choice modelsthat predict foreign direct investment would crowd out domesticentrepreneurs through their selections in product and labor markets.However, the empirical results also suggest that this crowding out effectmay be moderated or even reversed in the long-run due to the long termpositive effects of FDI on domestic entrpreneurship as a result oflearning, demonstration, networking and linkage effects between foreignand domestic firms.

A-1 Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, January 2008

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

A-1 Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, Februray 2008

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

A-1 Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, March 2008

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

Financing constraints, irreversibility and investment dynamics

We develop a model of an industry with many heterogeneous firms that face both financingconstraints and irreversibility constraints. The financing constraint implies that firmscannot borrow unless the debt is secured by collateral; the irreversibility constraint thatthey can only sell their fixed capital by selling their business. We use this model to examinethe cyclical behavior of aggregate fixed investment, variable capital investment, and outputin the presence of persistent idiosyncratic and aggregate shocks. Our model yields threemain results. First, the effect of the irreversibility constraint on fixed capital investmentis reinforced by the financing constraint. Second, the effect of the financing constraint onvariable capital investment is reinforced by the irreversibility constraint. Finally, the interactionbetween the two constraints is key for explaining why input inventories and materialdeliveries of US manufacturing firms are so volatile and procyclical, and also why they arehighly asymmetrical over the business cycle.

Testing financing constraints on firm investment using variable capital

We consider a dynamic multifactor model of investment with financing imperfections,adjustment costs and fixed and variable capital. We use the model to derive a test offinancing constraints based on a reduced form variable capital equation. Simulation resultsshow that this test correctly identifies financially constrained firms even when the estimationof firms investment opportunities is very noisy. In addition, the test is well specified inthe presence of both concave and convex adjustment costs of fixed capital. We confirmempirically the validity of this test on a sample of small Italian manufacturing companies.

A-1 Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, April 2008

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

A-1 Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, May 2008

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program

A-1 Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program, December 2007

A-1 - Monthly Public Assistance Statistical Report Family Investment Program