An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector in the Bahamas

The Bahamas is at great risk and vulnerability given its geographical features as a low-lying, sea encircled country. If projected sea level rise is reached by 2050, between 10-12% of territory will be lost, especially in coastal zones where the main tourism assets are located. Vulnerability could also be manifested if flight carbon emission taxes are established in the main source markets, representing an economic threat to the tourism sector for the islands. The impact of climate change on main tourism demand variables will cause some losses to the country‟s income and government revenues. This would be acting conjointly with some local threats to tourism assets and trends in future global tourism demand. The second and no less important threat is tropical cyclones, which may be associated with raising sea level. Estimations posited the amount of losses in excess of 2400 million US$ for the four decades under examination. It is to be pointed out that there is still a lack of comparatively accurate data collection and analysis on this subject, a point deserving more attention in order to deepen the understanding of, and to extract better lessons from these extreme events. In the same period, total estimated impacts of progressive climate change are between 17 and 19 billions of B$ with estimated discount rates applied. The Bahamas is a Small Island Developing State with low growth on GHG emissions (second in Latin America), as well as a relative short capacity to lower emissions in the future. The country has a relative delay in the application of renewable energy systems, a solution that, provided documented studies on-site, might turn out to be fundamental in the country‟s efforts to establish mitigation related policies. The Bahamas currently has institutions and organizations that deal with climate change-related issues and an important number of measures and courses of action have been set up by the government. Nevertheless, more coordination among them is needed and should include international institutions. This coordination is essential even for the first steps, i.e. to conduct studies with a bottom-up approach in order to draw more accurate programs on adaptation and mitigation. It is fundamental for tourism to keep track of potential losses in tourist attractions (and to act accordingly), related to correspondent losses in biodiversity, water resources and coastal erosion. Also, actions to fight climate change impacts might improve the islands security standards, quality of living and protect cultural and heritage assets. These elements may definitely shape the future of the country‟s competitiveness as a tourism destination. It is possible and necessary to decide about the options with good cost-benefit ratio and reasonable payback periods, notwithstanding that cost-benefit analysis requires more refined and accurate data to provide precise and locally adapted options.

An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector in Jamaica

Climate change is a continuous process that began centuries ago. Today the pace of change has increased with greater rapidity because of global warming induced by anthropogenically generated greenhouse gases (GHG). Failure to effectively deal with the adverse outcomes can easily disrupt plans for sustainable economic development. Because of the failure of export agriculture over the last several decades, to provide the economic stimuli needed to promote economic growth and development, Jamaica, like many other island states in the Caribbean subregion, has come to rely on tourism as an instrument of transformation of the macro-economy. It is believed this shift in economic imperative would eventually provide the economic impetus needed to generate much needed growth and development. This assessment has shown that tourism is not only a leading earner of foreign exchange in Jamaica and a major creator of both direct and indirect jobs but, also, one of the principal contributors to the country‟s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The rapid expansion of the industry which occurred over the last several decades coupled with disregard for sound environmental practices has led to the destruction of coral reefs and the silting of wetlands. Because most of the industry is located along the coastal region it is extremely vulnerable to the adverse effects of climate change. Failure to address the predictable environmental challenges of climate change, with some degree of immediacy, will not only undermine, but quickly and seriously impair the capacity of industry to stimulate and contribute to the process of economic development. To this end, it important that further development of industry be characterised by sound economic and social planning and proper environmental practices.

An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the coastal and marine sector in Saint Kitts And Nevis

Owing to their high vulnerability and low adaptive capacity, Caribbean islands have legitimate concerns about their future, based on observational records, experience with current patterns and consequences of climate variability, and climate model projections. Although emitting less than 1% of global greenhouse gases, islands from the region have already perceived a need to reallocate scarce resources away from economic development and poverty alleviation, and towards the implementation of strategies to adapt to the growing threats posed by global warming (Nurse and Moore, 2005). The objectives of this Report are to conduct economic analyses of the projected impacts of climate change to 2050, within the context of the IPCC A2 and B2 scenarios, on the coastal and marine resources of St. Kitts and Nevis (SKN). The Report presents a valuation of coastal and marine services; quantitative and qualitative estimates of climate change impacts on the coastal zone; and recommendations for possible adaptation strategies and costs and benefits of adaptation.

An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the coastal and marine sector in the British Virgin Islands

Owing to their high vulnerability and low adaptive capacity, Caribbean islands have legitimate concerns about their future, based on observational records, experience with current patterns and consequences of climate variability, and climate model projections. Although emitting less than 1% of global greenhouse gases, islands from the region have already perceived a need to reallocate scarce resources away from economic development and poverty reduction, and towards the implementation of strategies to adapt to the growing threats posed by global warming (Nurse and Moore, 2005). The objectives of this Report are to conduct economic analyses of the projected impacts of climate change to 2050, within the context of the IPCC A2 and B2 scenarios, on the coastal and marine resources of the British Virgin Islands (BVI). The Report presents a valuation of coastal and marine services; quantitative and qualitative estimates of climate change impacts on the coastal zone; and recommendations of possible adaptation strategies and costs and benefits of adaptation. A multi-pronged approach is employed in valuing the marine and coastal sector. Direct use and indirect use values are estimated. The amount of economic activity an ecosystem service generates in the local economy underpins estimation of direct use values. Tourism and fisheries are valued using the framework developed by the World Resources Institute. Biodiversity is valued in terms of the ecological functions it provides, such as climate regulation, shoreline protection, water supply erosion control and sediment retention, and biological control, among others. Estimates of future losses to the coastal zone from climate change are determined by considering: (1) the effect of sea level rise on coastal lands; and (2) the effect of a rise in sea surface temperature (SST) on coastal waters. Discount rates of 1%, 2% and 4% are employed to analyse all loss estimates in present value terms. The overall value for the coastal and marine sector is USD $1,606 million (mn). This is almost 2% larger than BVI’s 2008 GDP. Tourism and recreation comprise almost two-thirds of the value of the sector. By 2100, the effects of climate change on coastal lands are projected to be $3,988.6 mn, and $2,832.9 mn under the A2 and B2 scenarios respectively. In present value terms, if A2 occurs, losses range from $108.1-$1,596.8 mn and if B2 occurs, losses range from $74.1-$1,094.1 mn, depending on the discount rate used. Estimated costs of a rise in SST in 2050 indicate that they vary between $1,178.0 and $1,884.8 mn. Assuming a discount rate of 4%, losses range from $226.6 mn for the B2 scenario to $363.0 mn for the A2 scenario. If a discount rate of 1% is assumed, estimated losses are much greater, ranging from $775.6-$1,241.0 mn. Factoring in projected climate change impacts, the net value of the coastal and marine sector suggests that the costs of climate change significantly reduce the value of the sector, particularly under the A2 and B2 climate change scenarios for discount rates of 1% and 2%. In contrast, the sector has a large, positive, though declining trajectory, for all years when a 4% discount rate is employed. Since the BVI emits minimal greenhouse gases, but will be greatly affected by climate change, the report focuses on adaptation as opposed to mitigation strategies. The options shortlisted are: (1) enhancing monitoring of all coastal waters to provide early warning alerts of bleaching and other marine events; (2) introducing artificial reefs or fish-aggregating devices; (3) introducing alternative tourist attractions; (4) providing retraining for displaced tourism workers; and (5) revising policies related to financing national tourism offices to accommodate the new climatic realities. All adaptation options considered are quite justifiable in national terms; each had benefit-cost ratios greater than 1.

The CARIFORUM-EU Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA): an assessment of issues relating to market access, safeguards and implications for regional integration

The recent collapse of the Doha round once again underscores the tenuous nature of international trade negotiations. Likewise, the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) between the CARIFORUM grouping and the European Union (EU) has generated a great deal of discussion and debate over the past several months. What has clearly emerged is the existence of two diametrically opposed views on the impact and usefulness of the agreement. One view has it that the EPA is a major breakthrough in trade relations that will greatly benefit the region. On the other hand, some see it as being detrimental to the region and perhaps a total capitulation to the EU on the part of the CARIFORUM. They assert that it is part of a global EU strategy to impose World Trade Organization (WTO) policies on developing nations and get around the Doha obstacles. Both sides in this debate attempt to back up their views with reference to the text of the agreement. The objective of this review is to shed some light on the issues driving this debate particularly in the areas of market access, the impact on tariff revenues, and the implications for regional integration. This review also attempts to clarify and distill some of the main contentious issues regarding the EPA and to inform further discussion regarding an implementation plan. The approach is based on detailed study of the EPA text and its annexes plus extensive interviews with some of the main negotiators on the CARIFORUM side. Interviews were conducted both in person and via the Internet as many of the regional negotiators live or work outside of the region. The reviewer also attended presentations and discussions with some of the leading regional critics of the agreement.

Abertura de capital como estratégia de gestão jurídica e financeira de empresas do setor sucroalcooleiro

Pós-graduação em Direito - FCHS

Desigualdad en América Latina: una medición global

En este artículo se combinan los datos individuales de las encuestas de hogares de los países latinoamericanos para obtener un vector de ingresos regional y analizar su distribución y cambios recientes. Se investiga si en la última década los cambios distributivos en los países han mejorado la distribución de los ingresos entre los individuos, o incrementado las brechas. Los indicadores de desigualdad global de la región muestran una caída significativa durante 2003-2012. Esta merma en la desigualdad global se explica fundamentalmente por la reducción de la desigualdad en los países latinoamericanos. Los ingresos de los habitantes de América Latina son hoy más igualitarios en términos relativos que hace una década, aunque las diferencias en los ingresos promedio de los países son mayores.

O mecanismo de desenvolvimento limpo como mitigador do aquecimento global e a participação do Brasil

Este estudo, de relevância econômico-ambiental, parte do problema do aquecimento global para analisar o Mecanismo de Desenvolvimento Limpo (MDL) como uma ferramenta capaz de contribuir para a mitigação dos gases de efeito estufa (GEE) por meio do cumprimento de metas de redução de emissões pré estabelecidas pelo Protocolo de Quioto. Examina-se e participação do Brasil como país hospedeiro dos projetos do MDL. Conclui-se que, embora a implementação do MDL diminua o custo global de redução de emissões de gases estufa pelos países desenvolvidos e apóie iniciativas que promovam o desenvolvimento sustentável, a falta de maior especificidade nas regras do mecanismo pode abrir precedentes ao direito de poluir. Entende-se que o mecanismo não deve restringir-se somente ao cumprimento de meta, mas é fundamental que atue como desestimulante da poluição em sua origem, conforme a proposta de sustentabilidade, norte da política ambiental climática.

A cultura ribeirinha entre o saber local e o saber global numa visão etnomatemática

Esta dissertação é o resultado de uma pesquisa que teve como objetivo analisar como um grupo de ribeirinhos, moradores da ilha João Pilatos (Ananindeua - PA), relaciona os conhecimentos ministrados no curso de formação para empreendedores rurais com os conhecimentos que possui da tradição ribeirinha e, em especial, os conhecimentos matemáticos. A parte empírica dessa pesquisa aconteceu em dois lugares e em momentos diferentes: o primeiro deles ocorreu na ilha João Pilatos, onde foram coletadas informações sobre o histórico das comunidades existentes na ilha, sobre os afazeres do cotidiano e sobre as práticas de pesca, de plantio, de coleta na floresta, de preparação do carvão e sobre a comercialização desses produtos. Nesse momento, os únicos recursos utilizados foram caderno e caneta para anotações e a técnica da escuta e do diálogo. O segundo momento ocorreu no curso de formação para empreendedores rurais ministrado pelo SENAR (Serviço Nacional de Aprendizagem Rural). Nesse local, minha participação no grupo estava restrita a escutar e olhar os gestos e expressões faciais de todos os presentes. Em função disso, a observação seguida de anotações foram as técnicas utilizadas durante esse período. Após o curso, foram realizadas entrevistas semi-estruturadas com os sujeitos dessa pesquisa com o objetivo de complementar as anotações feitas durante o curso. A Sociologia e a Etnomatemática foram as bases teóricas utilizadas na organização e análise das informações de campo. No campo da sociologia, busquei Antony Giddens, Renato Ortiz e Georges Balandier para analisar o fenômeno da globalização econômica e social sobre a cultura ribeirinha e Berger & Luckmann com a sua teoria "A construção social da realidade" para analisar o cotidiano e a produção de conhecimento na vida cotidiana. No campo da Etnomatemática, utilizei a Etnomatemática numa abordagem D'Ambrosiana e as pesquisas da área. Ao final das análises, no que diz respeito à matemática, percebi que ter domínio sobre os cálculos e fórmulas dessa área do conhecimento não era condição suficiente para que os sujeitos da pesquisa alcançassem o objetivo do curso, uma vez que tanto para os empreendedores quanto para os ribeirinhos a matemática era uma forma de ver e explicar o mundo que tinha significados específicos de cada contexto. A partir desse conflito cultural, é possível indicar que os sujeitos da pesquisa atingiriam o objetivo do curso e estabeleceriam o maior número de relações entre a matemática escolar e os saberes da tradição se a matemática estudada, no curso, fosse ressignificada no contexto ribeirinho. Como consequência da primeira análise, também é possível concluir que, mediante a concepção atualmente existente no ambiente escolar que separa e não apenas distingue os valores culturais, que considera a produção de conhecimentos proveniente apenas de ambientes acadêmicos científicos e que esses tipos de conhecimentos devem ser socializados de forma disciplinar, as possibilidades de um maior número de relações entre os saberes da tradição cultural e da tradição científica têm mais chances de ocorrer em ambientes não escolares.

A construção da memória na sociedade global. Identidades sociais: local x global

Este artigo discute o desenvolvimento dos modelos institucionais atuais de proteção do patrimônio cultural, apresentando alguns problemas que trazem novos sentidos aos trabalhos dedicados à memória social, especialmente em países como o Brasil. Criados com a construção do Estado Nacional esses modelos fundavam-se na idéia de cidadania e nos laços da comunidade nacional. A globalização das relações econômicas, sociais e culturais enfraqueceram o papel das nações como espaços privilegiados de coesão social provocando repercussões imediatas nas políticas de proteção ao patrimônio que, agora, precisam ter foco sobre as sociedades locais.

A influência dos fatores socioeconômicos na sobrevida global dos pacientes submetidos ao transplante de células tronco hematopoéticas

Pós-graduação em Pesquisa e Desenvolvimento (Biotecnologia Médica) - FMB

Desafios e possibilidades: a luta por (re) costurar a vida

Pós-graduação em Serviço Social - FCHS

The restructuring of labour in Brazil in the 2000s: flexible work and the precarisation of working life

This article argues that the precarisation of employment that has taken place in Brazil since the 1990s has been fundamentally different in kind from earlier forms of precariousness, which took place outside the formal economy. The new forms of precariousness are taking place within the sphere of the economy controlled by transnational corporations. Although they have only reached critical mass during the 2000s, the ground was prepared by ‘post neoliberal’ restructuring, including labour law reforms, that took place in Brazil during the 1990s and introduced new forms of flexible working. The article argues that the new condition of labour now emerging in Brazil, which is a structural feature of labour under global capitalism, is characterised by psychosocial dynamics that cause: first, class desubjectivation; second, a ‘seizure’ of the waged worker's subjectivity; and third, the reduction of living labour to the status of a workforce treated as goods. Comprehending these changes necessitates a related change in the theoretical and methodological framework in which the precariousness of work is studied, one that incorporates within its scope the issues of workers' health and the quality of working life.

Sustentabilidade organizacional: o processo de construção do Relatório de Global Reporting Iniciative (GRI) para a Unimed Bauru sob a ótica das Relações Públicas

The paper describes the ways of reporting business management, employing the model of sustainability report called the Global Reporting Initiative - GRI. This makes use of indicators based on the concept called Triple Bottom Line, which takes into account the economic, social and environmental. The study points out theoretical positions and concepts that have demonstrated an understanding of this issue and especially emphasizes the presence and experience of Public Relations in the environment of organizational communication, especially in the sphere of quality management activities, coupled with the operational processes and sustainable principles. The discussion is exemplified by a case study of quality management activities, coupled with the operational processes and sustainable principles. The discussion is exemplified by a case study of the Health Cooperative Medical Unimed Bauru that involves the process of preparing the report in GRI model of sustainability, held earlier in the year 2011

Mudanças climáticas: o discurso da mídia sobre o aquecimento global

This research is aimed at discussing the ways in which social agents influence global warming, analyzing the discourse of social actors involved in the debate on climate change, since there is a wide divergence in the scientific community about how man is able to modify the climate on a global scale. In fact the debate that permeates the issues beyond the limits of science and enter into a political-economic framework that takes extraordinary proportions. This emphasis can be very unscientific in the fundamental design concepts, or even creating a trivialization of the media. The main way to convey these concepts is to disclose them in the media, but the media has enormous power to transform the concepts and often manipulate the news by creating a common sense goes against the interests of the scientific community. Thus was conducted extensive research in major newspapers and magazines that move in the country. We surveyed the first two papers which were: “Folha de S. Paulo” and “O Estado de S. Paulo”, during the period from January 2000 to December 2008, totaling 3285 units for the newspaper Folha and 2555 for the newspaper Estadão. Subsequently a survey was made of data published in two journals that move at the national level, and these are the magazines VEJA and ÉPOCA for the same period. By performing these steps, it was concluded that several factors involving the media and climate change, such as topic relevance, types of approaches, perspectives of analysis, the staff development, supplies, among other factors of utmost importance for building news. As a result we can say that the media in fulfilling its role of mediator scientific, disclosing only a vision that permeates the scientific debate. The newspaper media, especially newspapers, has an informative and instantaneous. Often this preoccupation...(Complete abstract, click electronic access below)