Prospects for Energy Supply and Demand in the Southern Mediterranean: Scenarios for 2010-30. MEDPRO Technical Report No. 22/December 2012

The aim of this technical report is to quantify alternative energy demand and supply scenarios for ten southern and eastern Mediterranean countries up to 2030. The report presents the model-based results of four alternative scenarios that are broadly in line with the MEDPRO scenario specifications on regional integration and cooperation with the EU. The report analyses the main implications of the scenarios in the following areas: • final energy demand by sector (industry, households, services, agriculture and transport); • the evolution of the power generation mix, the development of renewable energy sources and electricity exports to the EU; • primary energy production and the balance of trade for hydrocarbons; • energy-related CO2 emissions; and • power generation costs.

Inequality in the Southern Mediterranean: A survey of selected countries. MEDPRO Technical Report No. 23/December 2012

This paper addresses the issues of current levels of inequality: their trends, determinants and future scenarios, demonstrating that welfare levels are measured by per capita consumption. Location, educational attainment and employment status have been identified as the key factors affecting levels of welfare and its distribution. A benefit incidence analysis was performed to investigate benefits of different deciles of per capita expenditure from education and health services. The inequality patterns in countries under investigation present significant variations; countries such as Turkey, Morocco and Tunisia show relatively high inequality while others, such as Egypt or Syria, show moderate to low inequality. Inequality in human development was addressed using the inequality-adjusted human development index (IHDI), introduced by Global HDR 2010. The average loss in the HDI due to inequality in all Arab countries under investigation is about 20%. Two reference scenarios (optimistic and pessimistic) were used to project future paths up to 2020 and 2030. The impact of positive growth is increasing inequality and a shrinking middle class. Results show that the rich benefit most from this growth path. The opposite trend is observed for the pessimistic scenario.

Syria and Lebanon: Diverging paths of state unsustainability. MEDPRO Technical Report No. 6/June 2011

Any analysis of the prospects for stability and sustainability in the states of Syria and Lebanon reveals the strong ties that exist between these two countries and the impact of external influences on their overall development. Their trajectories, while starkly divergent in terms of the challenges confronting them at present, converge on a path of long-term unsustainability. Lebanon is in the midst of yet another transition phase, triggered by the collapse of Hariri’s government in January 2011. The current situation might be described as one of deteriorating status quo; the state is performing poorly in terms of its delivery of fundamental public services and its institutional legitimacy is tenuous in the face of emerging para-state structures and latent (occasionally active) violence. In Syria, challenges to the sustainability of the state have evolved dramatically since the beginning of 2011, and are now nearing a tipping point. In view of the mounting unrest and violence in the country, the future prospects for its economic and political development are dim. More ominously, the risk of widespread conflict, with sectarian overtones, cannot be discounted.

A.I.D. research and development abstracts.

Description based on: Vol. 6, no. 4 (Apr. 1979); title from cover.

User's manual for the CAL-3D user convenience package. Volume II - program listings. Final technical report.

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Washington, D.C.

Tire parameter determination. Volume II - technical report: part 1. Final report.

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Washington, D.C.

Computer simulation of the effect of cargo shifting on articulated vehicles performing braking and cornering maneuvers. Volume 2: technical report. Final report.

Federal Highway Administration, Structures and Applied Mechanics Division, Washington, D.C.

Studies supporting the evaluation of the Uniform Tire Quality Grading System Program effects on the consumer marketplace. Final technical report.

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Washington, D.C.

Computer simulation of the effect of cargo shifting on articulated vehicles performing braking and cornering maneuvers. Volume 3: technical supplement. Final report.

Federal Highway Administration, Structures and Applied Mechanics Division, Washington, D.C.

Division of Isotopes Development and contractor publications /

"November 1964."

Forecasts of the quantity and composition of solid waste /

"Contract no. 68-03-2649."

Fate of priority pollutants in publicly owned treatment works : pilot study /

Mode of access: Internet.

Biological-chemical process for removing phosphorus at Reno/Sparks, NV /

Mode of access: Internet.

Control of particulate matter from oil burners and boilers /

Mode of access: Internet.