An operational research-based integrated approach for mass evacuation planning of a city

Large-scale disasters are constantly occurring around the world, and in many cases evacuation of regions of city is needed. ‘Operational Research/Management Science’ (OR/MS) has been widely used in emergency planning for over five decades. Warning dissemination, evacuee transportation and shelter management are three ‘Evacuation Support Functions’ (ESF) generic to many hazards. This thesis has adopted a case study approach to illustrate the importance of integrated approach of evacuation planning and particularly the role of OR/MS models. In the warning dissemination phase, uncertainty in the household’s behaviour as ‘warning informants’ has been investigated along with uncertainties in the warning system. An agentbased model (ABM) was developed for ESF-1 with households as agents and ‘warning informants’ behaviour as the agent behaviour. The model was used to study warning dissemination effectiveness under various conditions of the official channel. In the transportation phase, uncertainties in the household’s behaviour such as departure time (a function of ESF-1), means of transport and destination have been. Households could evacuate as pedestrians, using car or evacuation buses. An ABM was developed to study the evacuation performance (measured in evacuation travel time). In this thesis, a holistic approach for planning the public evacuation shelters called ‘Shelter Information Management System’ (SIMS) has been developed. A generic allocation framework of was developed to available shelter capacity to the shelter demand by considering the evacuation travel time. This was formulated using integer programming. In the sheltering phase, the uncertainty in household shelter choices (either nearest/allocated/convenient) has been studied for its impact on allocation policies using sensitivity analyses. Using analyses from the models and detailed examination of household states from ‘warning to safety’, it was found that the three ESFs though sequential in time, however have lot of interdependencies from the perspective of evacuation planning. This thesis has illustrated an OR/MS based integrated approach including and beyond single ESF preparedness. The developed approach will help in understanding the inter-linkages of the three evacuation phases and preparing a multi-agency-based evacuation planning evacuation

Abstract Subdifferential Calculus and Semi-Convex Functions

∗ The work is partially supported by NSFR Grant No MM 409/94.

Subdifferentials of Performance Functions and Calculus of Coderivatives of Set-Valued Mappings

The paper contains calculus rules for coderivatives of compositions, sums and intersections of set-valued mappings. The types of coderivatives considered correspond to Dini-Hadamard and limiting Dini-Hadamard subdifferentials in Gˆateaux differentiable spaces, Fréchet and limiting Fréchet subdifferentials in Asplund spaces and approximate subdifferentials in arbitrary Banach spaces. The key element of the unified approach to obtaining various calculus rules for various types of derivatives presented in the paper are simple formulas for subdifferentials of marginal, or performance functions.

Fractional Calculus of the Generalized Wright Function

Mathematics Subject Classification: 26A33, 33C20.

Certain Properties of Fractional Calculus Operators Associated with Generalized Mittag-Leffler Function

Mathematics Subject Classification: 26A33, 33E12, 33C20.

Convolution Products in L1(R+), Integral Transforms and Fractional Calculus

Mathematics Subject Classification: 43A20, 26A33 (main), 44A10, 44A15

On Integral Means for Fractional Calculus Operators of Multivalent Functions

2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary 30C45, Secondary 26A33, 30C80

Hankel Transform in Quantum Calculus and Applications

Mathematics Subject Classification: 44A15, 33D15, 81Q99

Polynomial Expansions for Solutions of Higher-Order Bessel Heat Equation in Quantum Calculus

Mathematics Subject Class.: 33C10,33D60,26D15,33D05,33D15,33D90

Application of Fractional Calculus in the Dynamical Analysis and Control of Mechanical Manipulators

Mathematics Subject Classification: 26A33, 93C83, 93C85, 68T40

A Brief Story about the Operators of the Generalized Fractional Calculus

2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 26A33, 33C60, 44A20

Fractional Calculus of P-transforms

MSC 2010: 44A20, 33C60, 44A10, 26A33, 33C20, 85A99

A Poster about the Recent History of Fractional Calculus

MSC 2010: 26A33, 05C72, 33E12, 34A08, 34K37, 35R11, 60G22

A Poster about the Old History of Fractional Calculus

MSC 2010: 26A33, 05C72, 33E12, 34A08, 34K37, 35R11, 60G22

Professor Rudolf Gorenflo and his Contribution to Fractional Calculus

MSC 2010: 26A33 Dedicated to Professor Rudolf Gorenflo on the occasion of his 80th anniversary