Inference of distributional parameters from compositional samples containing nondetects

Low concentrations of elements in geochemical analyses have the peculiarity of being compositional data and, for a given level of significance, are likely to be beyond the capabilities of laboratories to distinguish between minute concentrations and complete absence, thus preventing laboratories from reporting extremely low concentrations of the analyte. Instead, what is reported is the detection limit, which is the minimum concentration that conclusively differentiates between presence and absence of the element. A spatially distributed exhaustive sample is employed in this study to generate unbiased sub-samples, which are further censored to observe the effect that different detection limits and sample sizes have on the inference of population distributions starting from geochemical analyses having specimens below detection limit (nondetects). The isometric logratio transformation is used to convert the compositional data in the simplex to samples in real space, thus allowing the practitioner to properly borrow from the large source of statistical techniques valid only in real space. The bootstrap method is used to numerically investigate the reliability of inferring several distributional parameters employing different forms of imputation for the censored data. The case study illustrates that, in general, best results are obtained when imputations are made using the distribution best fitting the readings above detection limit and exposes the problems of other more widely used practices. When the sample is spatially correlated, it is necessary to combine the bootstrap with stochastic simulation

A new approach to the classification of mammographic masses and normal breast tissue

A new approach to mammographic mass detection is presented in this paper. Although different algorithms have been proposed for such a task, most of them are application dependent. In contrast, our approach makes use of a kindred topic in computer vision adapted to our particular problem. In this sense, we translate the eigenfaces approach for face detection/classification problems to a mass detection. Two different databases were used to show the robustness of the approach. The first one consisted on a set of 160 regions of interest (RoIs) extracted from the MIAS database, being 40 of them with confirmed masses and the rest normal tissue. The second set of RoIs was extracted from the DDSM database, and contained 196 RoIs containing masses and 392 with normal, but suspicious regions. Initial results demonstrate the feasibility of using such approach with performances comparable to other algorithms, with the advantage of being a more general, simple and cost-effective approach

The International Student Experience at the University of Southampton

This video highlights aspects of the lives of international students at UG, PGT and PGR levels from all 3 faculties. It shows them responding to a range of authentic scenarios about the experiences and challenges of being an international student at the University of Southampton in the early 21st century from their perspective. The overall objective of this short film therefore is to capture experiences and viewpoints of international students currently at the University. By viewing this video, it is hoped that staff will be able to gain a better understanding and appreciation of what their international students are feeling and facing at various points along their student life cycle.

Industria de calzado jovical una lección empresarial de perdurabilidad

Esta investigación acerca de lecciones empresariales de perdurabilidad se basa en el caso de Industria de Calzado Jovical, reconocida empresa del sector de la industria del cuero y calzado en Colombia. A lo largo del documento se tienen en cuenta tres momentos en la historia de esta compañía: Antes, durante y después de las crisis de los años 90 resultado de la difícil situación económica que vivía el país ocasionada por la contracción de la demanda. Esta investigación tiene como objetivo principal identificar las causas que llevaron a la crisis a Industria de Calzado Jovical y además aprender cómo esta organización logró alcanzar la ruta de la perdurabilidad después de sobrepasar esta crisis. Este trabajo, se desarrolló con la colaboración del Sr. Cesar Jaramillo Gerente General de Industria de Calzado Jovical, quien nos brindó su ayuda para el trabajo de campo permitiendo tener una mejor visión y entender el problema en su totalidad. Se plantea un proceso de observación y posterior análisis con el fin de entender cómo fue que la empresa entró en estado de crisis y también como logró mitigarlo, convirtiéndose en una empresa perdurable hasta la actualidad. Teniendo en cuenta las situaciones que condujeron a la empresa a la crisis y su comportamiento a nivel interno, externo y del mercado. Además se realiza un acercamiento a la gestión de sus líderes y las estrategias utilizadas por estos, basadas en testimonios y experiencias. Para efectos de este documento se propone seguir el lineamiento planteado por la Universidad del Rosario en el que se divide la gestión administrativa de una empresa en Dirección y Gerencia, los cuales serán los argumentos centrales de esta investigación con el fin de explicar los motivos del fracaso que están asociados a cada uno de los componentes esenciales de la gestión administrativa, y es en este punto donde se buscan las fallas para lograr visualizar las estrategias implantadas por la compañía Industria de Calzado Jovical para conseguir ese resurgir en la industria de calzado.

Bogotá Chirriadísima

Bogotá Chirriadísima nace al identificar la gran oportunidad que tienen los souvenirs como una propuesta alternativa dentro del sector artesanal; la falta de innovación y el crecimiento del turismo en la ciudad, han creado el campo de acción para los productos que ofrecen un concepto 100% Bogotano. Estos productos a parte de cumplir su función de recordar gratos momentos de la experiencias vividas, son un medio para trasmitir una imagen histórica de los atractivos turísticos de la ciudad como de los lugares poco visitados que aun guardan su magia natural. Buscamos ofrecer productos funcionales y diferentes a los convencionales, con la idea de que en diferentes actividades hagan parte de la vida del turista. Al contar con mercado turístico en crecimiento, siendo Bogotá la ciudad mas visitada del país, se determino el tamaño de mercado por más de 55 mil millones de pesos; sin embargo por las condiciones de inicio del proyecto nos enfocaremos en una pequeña parte del segmento. Para desarrollar el proyecto se requiere de una inversión inicial de 28,3 millones de pesos, con el objetivo de lograr para el primer año la venta de 5.510 unidades que representen ingresos por más de 160 millones de pesos, para el segundo año se incrementa la producción a 9.743 unidades con ingresos por mas de 288 millones de pesos, lo que equivale a un incremento del 72% con respecto al año anterior. Finalmente para el año 3, se prevé un incremento en las ventas del 84% con ingresos por más de 532 millones correspondientes a 17.503 unidades El flujo del proyecto para el periodo de tres años, arroja una TIR o rentabilidad anual promedio de 124,39% lo cual determina que es un proyecto viable y de bajo riesgo, en cuanto al Valor Presente Neto, el proyecto arroja 102 millones adicionales, es decir que es mas rentable invertir los recursos en este proyecto que en uno que rente al 20% anual, finalmente, como la suma de las utilidades del primer y segundo año es superior a la inversión inicial, se determina que el Periodo de Recuperación de la Inversión se da en el segundo año.

De lo micro a lo macro prudencial: Un análisis de la supervisión bancaria desde la econometría espacial

La crisis que se desató en el mercado hipotecario en Estados Unidos en 2008 y que logró propagarse a lo largo de todo sistema financiero, dejó en evidencia el nivel de interconexión que actualmente existe entre las entidades del sector y sus relaciones con el sector productivo, dejando en evidencia la necesidad de identificar y caracterizar el riesgo sistémico inherente al sistema, para que de esta forma las entidades reguladoras busquen una estabilidad tanto individual, como del sistema en general. El presente documento muestra, a través de un modelo que combina el poder informativo de las redes y su adecuación a un modelo espacial auto regresivo (tipo panel), la importancia de incorporar al enfoque micro-prudencial (propuesto en Basilea II), una variable que capture el efecto de estar conectado con otras entidades, realizando así un análisis macro-prudencial (propuesto en Basilea III).

Some elements for the construction of a definition of human rights

This article seeks to demystify the foundations of rights. It looks at the search for some systemic differentiation. It emphasizes effectiveness, legitimacy, the importance of convention and of political participation as common elements of the different theoretical approaches to human rights. By analysing these elements it is possible to build the term “human rights” as a concept capable of being measured accurately by studying the effectiveness of legal rules as applied to human rights in specific contexts.

The project of land restitution in Colombia: an illustration of the civilizing force of hypocrisy?

This article offers a theoretical interpretation of the dispositions on land restitution contained in the famous “Victims’ Bill”, which was debated in the Colombian Congress during the year 2008. The bill included specific mechanisms aimed at guaranteeing the restitution of land to victims of the Colombian armed conflict. At the time, the bill was endorsed by all the main political actors in the country –notably the government and the elites that support it, on the one hand, and victims’ and human rights organizations and other opposition groups, on the other–. The fact that the restitution of land to victims of the Colombian armed conflict was being considered as a serious possibility by all political actors in the country seemed to indicate the existence of a consensus among actors whose positions are ordinarily opposed, on an issue that has traditionally led to high levels of polarization. This consensus is quite puzzling, because it seems to be at odds with the interests and/or the conceptions of justice advocated by these political actors, and because the restitution of land faces enormous difficulties both from a factual and a normative point of view, which indicates that it may not necessarily be the best alternative for dealing with the issue of land distribution in Colombia. This article offers an interpretation of said consensus, arguing that it is only an apparent consensus in which the actors are actually misrepresenting their interests and conceptions of justice, while at the same time adopting divergent strategies of implementation aimed at fulfilling their true interests. Nevertheless, the article concludes that the common adherence by all actors to the principle of restorative justice might bring about its actual realization, and thus produce an outcome that, in spite (and perhaps even because) of being unintended, might substantively contribute to solving the problem of unequal land distribution in Colombia. Even though the article focuses in some detail on the specificities of the 2008 Bill, it attempts to make a general argument about the state of the discussion on how to deal with the issue of land distribution in the country. Consequently, it may still be relevant today, especially considering that a new Bill on land restitution is currently being discussed in Congress, which includes the same restitution goals as the Victims’ Bill and many of its procedural and substantive details, and which therefore seems to reflect a similar consensus to the one analyzed in the article.

School management and sexual behavior of teenagers

This paper asks whether school based management may help reducing risky sexual behavior of teenagers. For this purpose we use student level data from Bogot´a to identify students from Concession School (CS), who are enrolled in public education system with a more school management autonomy at school level, and to compare them with those students at the traditional public education system. We use propensity score matching methods to have a comparable sample between pupils at CS and traditional schools. Our results show that on average the behavior of students from CS do not have a sexual behavior that differs from those in traditional public schools except for boys in CS who have a lower probability of being sexual active. However, there are important differences when heterogeneity is considered. For example we find that CS where girls per boys ratio is higher have lower teenage pregnancy rates than public schools with also high girls per boys ratios. We also find that teachers’ human capital, teacher-pupil ratio or whether school offers sexual education are also related to statistically significant differences between CS and traditional public schools.

The impact of a permanent Income shock on the situation of women in the household: the case of a pension reform in Argentina

Transfers to women may affect their bargaining power within the household and consequently their well-being. We analyze the effects of the 2004/2005 pension reform in Argentina, that resulted in an unexpected and substantial increase in permanent income for around 1.8 million women, on outcomes arguably related to women’s bargaining power within the household. We estimate the effects of the reform in the probability of divorce/separation, the distribution of household chores, and the probability of women being the head of the household, using a Difference-in-Differences approach. Our results show that despite the low divorce probability among seniors, transfers to senior women have substantial effects on their situation in the household. More specifically, we find that the reform had statistically significant effects on the probability of divorce/separation increasing it by 1.8 − 2.7 percentage points implying an increase of around 18 − 19% on the divorce/separation rate of 60 − 65 year old women. Moreover, the probability of being the head of the household also increased by 2.8−3.3 percentage points representing an increase of 7−19% in the probability amongst women of 60 − 65 years of age. In the case of married women, the probability of being the head of the household increased by 1.3 − 1.5 percentage points, which represents an increase of 20 − 22%. Results show that the distribution of household chores within the couples was also affected by the reform. More precisely, the probability that the wife is the only person in charge of the housework decreased by 5 percentage points, an 11% decrease. The participation of husbands in housework, however, did not change significantly.

Body mass index as a standard of living measure: a different interpretation for the case of Colombia

We analyze the Body Mass Index (BMI) in a distinct way of its traditional use and it lets us use it as a proxy of standard of living for the case of Colombia. Our approach is focused on studying how far the people are from the normal range and not on the score of each one and this lets us to treat equally extreme cases as severe thinness and obesity. We use a probabilistic model (Ordered Probit) that evaluates the probability of being within the normal range or another level. We found that socioeconomic variables have a significant effect on the dependent variable and that there are no linear effects. Besides, people with difficulties for walking and adults have less probability of having a normal BMI.

Desenlace intrahospitalario temprano del trauma ocupacional agudo, atendido “Entre Semana/Fin de Semana”, en una institución hospitalaria de III nivel, Bogotá, 2007 -2010

Resumen Objetivo. El desenlace temprano del trauma ocupacional agudo (TOA) puede estar condicionado al desarrollo industrial local en relación con el momento de la semana donde se presente el evento, por lo que evaluamos las diferencias en los desenlaces clínicos tempranos de trabajadores que presentaron TOA en diferentes momentos de la semana. Metodología. Se realizó un estudio descriptivo retrospectivo utilizando una base de datos administrativa de trabajadores atendidos por TOA, entre enero/2007-diciembre/2010, en una institución hospitalaria de III nivel de Bogotá. Se comparó la distribución del TOA entre semana (ES) y en fin de semana (FdS) según variables sociodemográficas/clínicas y la mediana de estancia hospitalaria (EH), el riesgo de muerte o de un trauma específico. Resultados. Se incluyeron 65169 trabajadores, la mayoría hombres (78,4%), adultos jóvenes (83,7%), edad mediana 31 años, con razón de ingreso ES:FdS 3:1, predominantemente durante el día (81,3%). La EH mediana (horas) en FdS (0,48) fue mayor que ES (0,43) (p: 0,000) en general y al evaluar por las sub-categorías de sexo, grupo de edad, momento de ingreso, área de manejo y estado al alta. Se presentaron 35 muertes, con mayor riesgo (OR;IC95%) en el grupo 45-64 años (3,47;1,71-6,76), en los ingresados en la noche (3,27;1,64-6,40) o durante el FdS (4,57;1,25-18,4). Durante el FdS se identificó mayor riesgo de TOA con compromiso de Cabeza/Cuello, traumas múltiples y de causadas por vehículos en movimiento. Durante el FdS disminuyó la frecuencia de trabajadores atendidos por Ortopedia/Oftalmología/Cirugía General (p: < 0,05). Conclusión. Evidenciamos que los trabajadores ingresados por TOA durante el FdS presentaron mayor EH y riesgo de muerte; además se identificó una redistribución en el Servicio de atención en el FdS, con una baja frecuencia de atenciones prestadas por médicos especialistas.

Planeamento e orientação de uma equipa de Basquetbol do escalão de juniores "B" ao longo da época 2010/2011

RESUMO:O Basquetebol como desporto global, sendo visualizado e praticado em variados contextos e realidades, deve igualmente perceber-se que existem diferentes formas de vê-lo e treiná-lo. Não existe assim uma forma correta ou incorreta, mas sim várias maneiras de entender o jogo. Neste relatório, no âmbito do Mestrado em Treino Desportivo, expomos a nossa maneira de pensar o jogo bem como as decisões e ações tomadas no processo de treino dos jovens jogadores da equipa de Basquetebol de Juniores “B” Masculinos dos Salesianos Oficinas de São José (OSJ) durante a época desportiva de 2010/2011. A Escola de Basquetebol dos Salesianos OSJ surgiu há cerca de vinte anos, e é um clube integrante e sólido da formação em basquetebol na região de Lisboa. O planeamento foi estruturado num macrociclo, dividido em dois mesociclos, apresentando cada os seus pressupostos e objetivos. O primeiro mesociclo constituído por doze microciclos e o segundo mesociclo por oito microciclos, num total de cento e cinco unidades de treino. A equipa era constituída por treze atletas, com idades compreendidas entre os quinze e os dezanove anos. Relativamente aos jogadores e à equipa consideramos que os objetivos traçados foram alcançados com sucesso, sendo que os jogadores evoluíram significativamente como jogadores e pessoas, e que a equipa atingiu as classificações ambicionadas. Como Treinador considero que foi uma época enriquecedora, que proporcionou vários momentos de reflexão, sendo que estes deverão fazer parte da nossa maneira de estar no desporto, pois só através deles poderemos enriquecer a condução do processo de treino. ABSTRACT: Basketball as a global sport, being viewed and practiced in various contexts and realities, should also realize that are different ways of watching and training it. However, there’s no correct or incorrect way, but many ways of understanding the game. In this report, under the Master of Sports Training, we present our way of thinking the game and the decisions and actions taken in the process of training young basketball players from the Salesianos Oficinas de São José (OSJ) Junior “B” men´s team, during the 2010/2011 sports season. The Salesianos OSJ Basketball School was created about twenty years ago and it’s a strong team member of Young Basketball Training in the Lisbon Region. The team plan was structured in a macrocycle, divided in two mesocycles and each one has its own assumptions and goals. The first mesocycle is composed by twelve microcycles and the second one by eight microcycles, in a total of one hundred and five training sessions. The team is composed by thirteen players, aged between fifteen and nineteen years old. Relating to the players and the team, we believe that the goals were successfully achieved, and the players have evolved meaningly not only as players but also as people, and the team’s coveted standings. As a coach, I think it was an enriching season, which provided many reflective moments and these should be part of our way of being in sport, because only through them we can enrich the process of conducting the training.

Participação da família na gestão da Escola : um estudo nas Escolas Públicas Municipais de ensino fundamental de Santa Luzia do Itanhi – Sergipe

Esta pesquisa destinou-se a estudar e analisar a política da Gestão Democrática com ênfase na “Participação da Família” nos processos decisórios da escola. Enfoques sobre esse tema é concernente à aprendizagem, onde se busca conhecer as influências da interação das famílias com a escola e o impacto dessa relação na aprendizagem. O processo da democratização e descentralização contribui muito para a formulação de estratégias políticas visando à participação, ou seja, garante essa participação através de representações que os pais fazem nas instituições como Associações de Pais e Mestres, Conselhos Escolares e outros, como processo fundamental para fortalecer as lideranças escolares e a gestão democrática e participativa nas unidades de ensino público. Sem esquecer que quando se fala em comunidade escolar, além dos segmentos de alunos, professores e funcionários envolvidos (comunidade externa) está falando de todo um segmento de pessoas posicionadas no entorno das escolas, dedicando-se às mais variadas atividades, e, com especial ênfase, está se referindo às famílias desses alunos. Em linhas gerais, a lógica da gestão é orientada pelos princípios democráticos, caracterizada pelo reconhecimento da importância da participação consciente e esclarecida das pessoas nas decisões das atividades escolares. A pesquisa foi extensiva investigando 4 escolas, sendo 2 da zona urbana, 2 da zona rural, estendendo-se aos conselhos escolares com participação em reuniões, assembléias, entrevistas e momentos de observação durante 4 meses. Neste sentido, os Conselhos Escolares e entrevistados, afirmam a importância da participação na Gestão Escolar, contudo, ainda faltam requisitos técnicos para se consolidar um trabalho mais efetivo de participação. Os resultados também apontam à necessidade de repensar a formação e capacitação dos gestores, voltada para a promoção de uma cultura de reflexão, crítica e assimilação de idéias, associadas à ação, pelo conjunto dos que fazem à realidade escolar, contemplando a relação entre Escola e Família.

A study of variables that may influence continued placement in schools for the deaf

This paper reviews variables that influence placement of a hearing impaired child into a special education program instead of being mainstreamed into a public school.