Uma proposta de demarcação da análise descritiva do comportamento ordinal no contexto da literatura operante

A portion of operant literature supports significant production of knowledge about problem solving, observation response and contingency relations between responses with different probabilities of occurrence (Premack Principle). This study investigated possible convergences between a descriptive analysis of ordinal behavior and such portion of the operant literature. Conceptual and methodological analysis of publications have highlighted the relevance of the sequence of events functionally related to the characterization of the production of knowledge about problem solving, observation response and the Premack Principle enabling approaches between programs of research on complex behavioral repertoires as well as expansions in research strategies concerning ordinal responding.

Obtenção de neurônios de redes neurais de base radial via agrupamento de dados por floresta de caminhos ótimos

Neste artigo é apresentada uma abordagem para aumentar a eficácia das Redes Neurais Artificiais de Funções de Base Radial utilizando um algoritmo de agrupamento de dados via Floresta de Caminhos Ótimos. Algumas técnicas comumente empregadas para essa tarefa, como o conhecido k-médias, requerem um determinado número de classes/agrupamentos prévio à sua execução. Embora o número de classes seja conhecido em problemas supervisionados, o número real de agrupamentos é difícil de ser encontrado, dado que uma classe pode ser representada por mais de um agrupamento. Experimentos em nove bases de dados, em conjunto com análises estatísticas, demonstraram que o classificador por Floresta de Caminhos Ótimos possui um melhor desempenho que a técnica k-médias, bem como encontra as médias das distribuições Gaussianas em posições muito similares às encontradas por este último. Entretanto, o classificador por Floresta de Caminhos Ótimos possui um custo computacional maior, dado que a sua etapa de treinamento é mais custosa que a da técnica k-médias.

Distribuição espacial, plano de amostragem sequencial e dinâmica populacional de Anthonomus grandis Boheman (Coleoptera: Curculionidae) em algodoeiro

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Entomologia Agrícola) - FCAV

Potenciais corticais auditivos e modulação autonômica cardíaca em mulheres saudáveis

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Estudo genômico da produção de leite e seus constituintes em bovinos da raça Guzerá

Pós-graduação em Genética e Melhoramento Animal - FCAV

Análise espacial do potencial fotovoltaico em telhados de residências usando modelagem hierárquica bayesiana

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Eficiência energética de sistemas de produção de mamona no Estado de Minas Gerais

The objective of this study is to determine the economical and energetic efficiency of the castor bean culture in "Zona da Mata" and South of Minas Gerais. Through the method of simulation "Monte Carlo", we verified the probabilities of occurrence of the economical, cultural and energetic efficiency indexes. In relation to the production systems of castor bean in Minas Gerais in the season 2005/2006, we established that the variables price and productivity were the most noticeable for the producers from "Zona da Mata", while in the South of Minas it was productivity. We verified that the probability of the economical efficiency index to be lower than one was 43,26% for the producers from "Zona da Mata" and 39,57% for the ones from the South of Minas. The medium price received covered the medium costs of production. However, we observed that the medium costs in these regions of Minas Gerais, were over the minimum price. Regarding the energetic analysis, the results showed that the systems in the regions studied in Minas Gerasi, presented average of cultural efficiency indexes of 8,26 and 18,89. We concluded that despite the result being favorable from the energetic point of view, from the economical sustainability point of view there is the need of a more effective support policy for the castor bean, taking into consideration that the expectations of the producers with PNPB were not confirmed.

Incorporação de incertezas associadas à predição de modelos hidrológicos aos instrumentos de gestão em recursos hídricos

Water management has in the watershed plans an important tool to plan the territory and adjust the activities develop over it to the natural resources availability. The incorporation of uncertainty analysis associated with hydrological modelling predictions is a manner to simulate scenarios and work with chances and probabilities that certain events happens inside these plans. Using stochastic methods is possible to consider uncertainty from estimations and even model it. Stochastic methods developed considerably during the last 30 years, but its applications to real-world problems have been limited, and did not turn into routine in hydrology. This paper brings an overview from eminent hydrologists about this subject and discuss the Brazilian and Paulista situation in the scope of groundwater monitoring.

Estimação espaço-temporal das perdas não técnicas no sistema de distribuição de energia elétrica

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

A avaliação da efetividade de um modelo de intervenção breve (método BASICS) para o uso de risco de álcool em estudantes do ensino médio

Pós-graduação em Saúde Coletiva - FMB

Distribuição generalizada da resistência a fungicidas triazóis e evolução do gene cyp51A em populações de Pyricularia oryzae da brusone do trigo no Brasil

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Coordenadas vestidas: formulação segundo a interpretação de Dirac-Feynman para a mecânica quântica e aplicações em CQED

Pós-graduação em Física - IFT

Previsão de demanda de veículos automotores através do modelo de regressão linear múltipla

This study aimed to model a equation for the demand of automobiles and light commercial vehicles, based on the data from February 2007 to July 2014, through a multiple regression analysis. The literature review consists of an information collection of the history of automotive industry, and it has contributed to the understanding of the current crisis that affects this market, which consequence was a large reduction in sales. The model developed was evaluated by a residual analysis and also was used an adhesion test - F test - with a significance level of 5%. In addition, a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.8159 was determined, indicating that 81.59% of the demand for automobiles and light commercial vehicles can be explained by the regression variables: interest rate, unemployment rate, broad consumer price index (CPI), gross domestic product (GDP) and tax on industrialized products (IPI). Finally, other ten samples, from August 2014 to May 2015, were tested in the model in order to validate its forecasting quality. Finally, a Monte Carlo Simulation was run in order to obtain a distribution of probabilities of future demands. It was observed that the actual demand in the period after the sample was in the range that was most likely to occur, and that the GDP and the CPI are the variable that have the greatest influence on the developed model

Previsão de demanda de veículos automotores através do modelo de regressão linear múltipla

This study aimed to model a equation for the demand of automobiles and light commercial vehicles, based on the data from February 2007 to July 2014, through a multiple regression analysis. The literature review consists of an information collection of the history of automotive industry, and it has contributed to the understanding of the current crisis that affects this market, which consequence was a large reduction in sales. The model developed was evaluated by a residual analysis and also was used an adhesion test - F test - with a significance level of 5%. In addition, a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.8159 was determined, indicating that 81.59% of the demand for automobiles and light commercial vehicles can be explained by the regression variables: interest rate, unemployment rate, broad consumer price index (CPI), gross domestic product (GDP) and tax on industrialized products (IPI). Finally, other ten samples, from August 2014 to May 2015, were tested in the model in order to validate its forecasting quality. Finally, a Monte Carlo Simulation was run in order to obtain a distribution of probabilities of future demands. It was observed that the actual demand in the period after the sample was in the range that was most likely to occur, and that the GDP and the CPI are the variable that have the greatest influence on the developed model

An Asymmetric Extension for the Family of Elliptical Slash Distributions

In this article, we introduce an asymmetric extension to the univariate slash-elliptical family of distributions studied in Gomez et al. (2007a). This new family results from a scale mixture between the epsilon-skew-symmetric family of distributions and the uniform distribution. A general expression is presented for the density with special cases such as the normal, Cauchy, Student-t, and Pearson type II distributions. Some special properties and moments are also investigated. Results of two real data sets applications are also reported, illustrating the fact that the family introduced can be useful in practice.