Fatores de influência no preço do milho no Brasil

Compreender a dinâmica de funcionamento do mercado de milho brasileiro, procedendo a uma investigação dos fatores que afetam as quantidades e preços nesse mercado, é o objetivo deste trabalho. Os testes de raiz unitária foram feitos utilizando-se a metodologia DF-GLS - Dickey Fuller Generalized Least Square - e os de cointegração de Johansen (1988). O modelo estimado, de ajuste pelo preço, foi um Modelo de Autorregressão Vetorial com Correção de Erros - VEC, sendo a identificação feita pelo procedimento de Sims-Bernanke. O estudo permite afirmar que existe forte interação entre os mercados de milho e de soja, mostrando uma relação de complementaridade na oferta e substitutibilidade na demanda, e que fatores macroeconômicos como renda e juros são importantes na determinação dos preços do milho ao produtor e no atacado. Vale ressaltar que os preços externos do milho mostraram relativa importância no processo de formação do preço doméstico do grão.

Lipid and glucose profiles of dairy buffaloes during lactation and dry period

The purpose of this study was to analyze the influence of lactation and dry period in the constituents of lipid and glucose metabolism of buffaloes. One hundred forty-seven samples of serum and plasma were collected between November 2009 and July 2010, from properties raising Murrah, Mediterranean and crossbred buffaloes, located in the State of Sao Paulo, Brazil. Biochemical analysis was obtained by determining the contents of serum cholesterol, triglycerides, beta-hydroxybutyrate (β-HBO), non-esterified fatty acids (NEFA) and plasma glucose. Values for arithmetic mean and standard error mean were calculated using the SAS procedure, version 9.2. Tests for normality of residuals and homogeneity of variances were performed using the SAS Guide Data Analysis. Data were analyzed by ANOVA using the SAS procedure Glimmix. The group information (Lactation), Farm and Age were used in the statistical models. Means of groups were compared using Least Square Means (LSMeans) of SAS, where significant difference was observed at P ≤ 0.05. It was possible to conclude that buffaloes during peak lactation need to metabolize body reserves to supplement the lower amounts of bloodstream lipids, when they remain in negative energy balance. In the dry period, there were significant changes in the lipid profile, characterized by decrease of nutritional requirements, with consequent improvement in the general conditions of the animals.

A study of the anti-plasmodium activity of angiotensin II analogs

Controlling the dissemination of malaria requires the development of new drugs against its etiological agent, a protozoan of the Plasmodium genus. Angiotensin II and its analog peptides exhibit activity against the development of immature and mature sporozoites of Plasmodium gallinaceum. In this study, we report the synthesis and characterization of angiotensin II linear and cyclic analogs with anti-plasmodium activity. The peptides were synthesized by a conventional solid-phase method on Merrifield's resin using the t-Boc strategy, purified by RP-HPLC and characterized by liquid chromatography/ESI (+) MS (LC-ESI(+)/MS), amino acid analysis, and capillary electrophoresis. Anti-plasmodium activity was measured in vitro by fluorescence microscopy using propidium iodine uptake as an indicator of cellular damage. The activities of the linear and cyclic peptides are not significantly different (p < 0.05). Kinetics studies indicate that the effects of these peptides on plasmodium viability overtime exhibit a sigmoidal profile and that the system stabilizes after a period of 1 h for all peptides examined. The results were rationalized by partial least-square analysis, assessing the position-wise contribution of each amino acid. The highest contribution of polar amino acids and a Lys residue proximal to the C-terminus, as well as that of hydrophobic amino acids in the N-terminus, suggests that the mechanism underlying the anti-malarial activity of these peptides is attributed to its amphiphilic character.

Prototipo de herramienta para el inventariado automático de piezas de Lego basado en visión artificial

Permitida la difusión del código bajo los términos de la licencia BSD de tres cláusulas.

A study for the self similarity smile detection

[EN]This work makes an extensive experimental study of smile detection testing the Local Binary Patterns (LBP) combined with self similarity (LAC) as main descriptors of the image, along with the powerful Support Vector Machines classifier. Results show that error rates can be acceptable and the self similarity approach for the detection of smiles is suitable for real-time interaction, although there is still room for improvement.

Investigating the role of single point mutations in the human proteome: a computational study

In the post genomic era with the massive production of biological data the understanding of factors affecting protein stability is one of the most important and challenging tasks for highlighting the role of mutations in relation to human maladies. The problem is at the basis of what is referred to as molecular medicine with the underlying idea that pathologies can be detailed at a molecular level. To this purpose scientific efforts focus on characterising mutations that hamper protein functions and by these affect biological processes at the basis of cell physiology. New techniques have been developed with the aim of detailing single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at large in all the human chromosomes and by this information in specific databases are exponentially increasing. Eventually mutations that can be found at the DNA level, when occurring in transcribed regions may then lead to mutated proteins and this can be a serious medical problem, largely affecting the phenotype. Bioinformatics tools are urgently needed to cope with the flood of genomic data stored in database and in order to analyse the role of SNPs at the protein level. In principle several experimental and theoretical observations are suggesting that protein stability in the solvent-protein space is responsible of the correct protein functioning. Then mutations that are found disease related during DNA analysis are often assumed to perturb protein stability as well. However so far no extensive analysis at the proteome level has investigated whether this is the case. Also computationally methods have been developed to infer whether a mutation is disease related and independently whether it affects protein stability. Therefore whether the perturbation of protein stability is related to what it is routinely referred to as a disease is still a big question mark. In this work we have tried for the first time to explore the relation among mutations at the protein level and their relevance to diseases with a large-scale computational study of the data from different databases. To this aim in the first part of the thesis for each mutation type we have derived two probabilistic indices (for 141 out of 150 possible SNPs): the perturbing index (Pp), which indicates the probability that a given mutation effects protein stability considering all the “in vitro” thermodynamic data available and the disease index (Pd), which indicates the probability of a mutation to be disease related, given all the mutations that have been clinically associated so far. We find with a robust statistics that the two indexes correlate with the exception of all the mutations that are somatic cancer related. By this each mutation of the 150 can be coded by two values that allow a direct comparison with data base information. Furthermore we also implement computational methods that starting from the protein structure is suited to predict the effect of a mutation on protein stability and find that overpasses a set of other predictors performing the same task. The predictor is based on support vector machines and takes as input protein tertiary structures. We show that the predicted data well correlate with the data from the databases. All our efforts therefore add to the SNP annotation process and more importantly found the relationship among protein stability perturbation and the human variome leading to the diseasome.

Development of empirical potentials for amorphous silica

Development of empirical potentials for amorphous silica Amorphous silica (SiO2) is of great importance in geoscience and mineralogy as well as a raw material in glass industry. Its structure is characterized as a disordered continuous network of SiO4 tetrahedra. Many efforts have been undertaken to understand the microscopic properties of silica by classical molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. In this method the interatomic interactions are modeled by an effective potential that does not take explicitely into account the electronic degrees of freedom. In this work, we propose a new methodology to parameterize such a potential for silica using ab initio simulations, namely Car-Parrinello (CP) method [Phys. Rev. Lett. 55, 2471 (1985)]. The new potential proposed is compared to the BKS potential [Phys. Rev. Lett. 64, 1955 (1990)] that is considered as the benchmark potential for silica. First, CP simulations have been performed on a liquid silica sample at 3600 K. The structural features so obtained have been compared to the ones predicted by the classical BKS potential. Regarding the bond lengths the BKS tends to underestimate the Si-O bond whereas the Si-Si bond is overestimated. The inter-tetrahedral angular distribution functions are also not well described by the BKS potential. The corresponding mean value of theSiOSi angle is found to be ≃ 147◦, while the CP yields to aSiOSi angle centered around 135◦. Our aim is to fit a classical Born-Mayer/Coulomb pair potential using ab initio calculations. To this end, we use the force-matching method proposed by Ercolessi and Adams [Europhys. Lett. 26, 583 (1994)]. The CP configurations and their corresponding interatomic forces have been considered for a least square fitting procedure. The classical MD simulations with the resulting potential have lead to a structure that is very different from the CP one. Therefore, a different fitting criterion based on the CP partial pair correlation functions was applied. Using this approach the resulting potential shows a better agreement with the CP data than the BKS ones: pair correlation functions, angular distribution functions, structure factors, density of states and pressure/density were improved. At low temperature, the diffusion coefficients appear to be three times higher than those predicted by the BKS model, however showing a similar temperature dependence. Calculations have also been carried out on crystalline samples in order to check the transferability of the potential. The equilibrium geometry as well as the elastic constants of α-quartz at 0 K are well described by our new potential although the crystalline phases have not been considered for the parameterization. We have developed a new potential for silica which represents an improvement over the pair potentials class proposed so far. Furthermore, the fitting methodology that has been developed in this work can be applied to other network forming systems such as germania as well as mixtures of SiO2 with other oxides (e.g. Al2O3, K2O, Na2O).

Reti neurali e modelli fisico-predittivi: Dati clinici e analisi di trattamenti in tomotherapy

Il lavoro è parte integrante di un progetto di ricerca del Ministero della Salute ed è stato sviluppato presso la Fisica Sanitaria ed il reparto di Radioterapia Oncologica dell’Azienda Ospedaliero Universitaria di Modena. L’obiettivo è la realizzazione di modelli predittivi e di reti neurali per tecniche di warping in ambito clinico. Modifiche volumetrico-spaziali di organi a rischio e target tumorali, durante trattamenti tomoterapici, possono alterare la distribuzione di dose rispetto ai constraints delineati in fase di pianificazione. Metodologie radioterapiche per la valutazione di organ motion e algoritmi di registrazione ibrida permettono di generare automaticamente ROI deformate e quantificare la divergenza dal piano di trattamento iniziale. Lo studio si focalizzata sulle tecniche di Adaptive Radiation Therapy (ART) mediante la meta-analisi di 51 pazienti sottoposti a trattamento mediante Tomotherapy. Studiando il comportamento statistico del campione, sono state generate analisi predittive per quantificare in tempo reale divergenze anatomico dosimetriche dei pazienti rispetto al piano originale e prevedere la loro ripianificazione terapeutica. I modelli sono stati implementati in MATLAB, mediante Cluster Analysis e Support Vector Machines; l’analisi del dataset ha evidenziato il valore aggiunto apportabile dagli algoritmi di deformazione e dalle tecniche di ART. La specificità e sensibilità della metodica è stata validata mediante l’utilizzo di analisi ROC. Gli sviluppi del presente lavoro hanno aperto una prospettiva di ricerca e utilizzo in trattamenti multicentrici e per la valutazione di efficacia ed efficienza delle nuove tecnologie in ambito RT.

Sviluppo e validazione di un algoritmo per la classificazione veglia-sonno

La sonnolenza durante la guida è un problema di notevole entità e rappresenta la causa di numerosi incidenti stradali. Rilevare i segnali che precedono la sonnolenza è molto importante in quanto, é possibile mettere in guardia i conducenti dei mezzi adottando misure correttive e prevenendo gli incidenti. Attualmente non esiste una metodica efficace in grado di misurare la sonnolenza in maniera affidabile, e che risulti di facile applicazione. La si potrebbe riconoscere da mutazioni di tipo comportamentale del soggetto come: presenza di sbadigli, chiusura degli occhi o movimenti di caduta della testa. I soggetti in stato di sonnolenza presentano dei deficit nelle loro capacità cognitive e psicomotorie. Lo stesso vale per i conducenti i quali, quando sono mentalmente affaticati non sono in grado di mantenere un elevato livello di attenzione. I tempi di reazione si allungano e la capacità decisionale si riduce. Ciò è associato a cambiamenti delle attività delta, theta e alfa di un tracciato EEG. Tramite lo studio dei segnali EEG è possibile ricavare informazioni utili sullo stato di veglia e sull'insorgenza del sonno. Come strumento di classificazione per elaborare e interpretare tali segnali, in questo studio di tesi sono state utilizzate le support vector machines(SVM). Le SVM rappresentano un insieme di metodi di apprendimento che permettono la classicazione di determinati pattern. Necessitano di un set di dati di training per creare un modello che viene testato su un diverso insieme di dati per valutarne le prestazioni. L'obiettivo è quello di classicare in modo corretto i dati di input. Una caratteristica delle SVM è una buona capacità di generalizzare indipendentemente dalla dimensione dello spazio di input. Questo le rende particolarmente adatte per l'analisi di dati biomedici come le registrazioni EEG multicanale caratterizzate da una certa ridondanza intrinseca dei dati. Nonostante sia abbastanza semplice distinguere lo stato di veglia dallo stato di sonno, i criteri per valutarne la transizione non sono ancora stati standardizzati. Sicuramente l'attività elettro-oculografica (EOG) riesce a dare informazioni utili riguardo l'insorgenza del sonno, in quanto essa è caratterizzata dalla presenza di movimenti oculari lenti rotatori (Slow Eye Movements, SEM) tipici della transizione dalla veglia alla sonno. L'attività SEM inizia prima dello stadio 1 del sonno, continua lungo tutta la durata dello stesso stadio 1, declinando progressivamente nei primi minuti dello stadio 2 del sonno fino a completa cessazione. In questo studio, per analizzare l'insorgere della sonnolenza nei conducenti di mezzi, sono state utilizzate registrazioni provenienti da un solo canale EEG e da due canali EOG. Utilizzare un solo canale EEG impedisce una definizione affidabile dell'ipnogramma da parte dei clinici. Quindi l'obiettivo che ci si propone, in primo luogo, è quello di realizzare un classificatore del sonno abbastanza affidabile, a partire da un solo canale EEG, al fine di verificare come si dispongono i SEM a cavallo dell'addormentamento. Quello che ci si aspetta è che effettivamente l'insorgere della sonnolenza sia caratterizzata da una massiccia presenza di SEM.

Classification algorithms for Intelligent Transport Systems

Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) consists in the application of ICT to transport to offer new and improved services to the mobility of people and freights. While using ITS, travellers produce large quantities of data that can be collected and analysed to study their behaviour and to provide information to decision makers and planners. The thesis proposes innovative deployments of classification algorithms for Intelligent Transport System with the aim to support the decisions on traffic rerouting, bus transport demand and behaviour of two wheelers vehicles. The first part of this work provides an overview and a classification of a selection of clustering algorithms that can be implemented for the analysis of ITS data. The first contribution of this thesis is an innovative use of the agglomerative hierarchical clustering algorithm to classify similar travels in terms of their origin and destination, together with the proposal for a methodology to analyse drivers’ route choice behaviour using GPS coordinates and optimal alternatives. The clusters of repetitive travels made by a sample of drivers are then analysed to compare observed route choices to the modelled alternatives. The results of the analysis show that drivers select routes that are more reliable but that are more expensive in terms of travel time. Successively, different types of users of a service that provides information on the real time arrivals of bus at stop are classified using Support Vector Machines. The results shows that the results of the classification of different types of bus transport users can be used to update or complement the census on bus transport flows. Finally, the problem of the classification of accidents made by two wheelers vehicles is presented together with possible future application of clustering methodologies aimed at identifying and classifying the different types of accidents.

Classification and selection of biomarkers in genomic data using LASSO

High-throughput gene expression technologies such as microarrays have been utilized in a variety of scientific applications. Most of the work has been on assessing univariate associations between gene expression with clinical outcome (variable selection) or on developing classification procedures with gene expression data (supervised learning). We consider a hybrid variable selection/classification approach that is based on linear combinations of the gene expression profiles that maximize an accuracy measure summarized using the receiver operating characteristic curve. Under a specific probability model, this leads to consideration of linear discriminant functions. We incorporate an automated variable selection approach using LASSO. An equivalence between LASSO estimation with support vector machines allows for model fitting using standard software. We apply the proposed method to simulated data as well as data from a recently published prostate cancer study.

Stereoselective pharmacokinetics of ketamine and norketamine after racemic ketamine or S-ketamine administration in Shetland ponies sedated with xylazine

The pharmacokinetics of ketamine and norketamine enantiomers after administration of intravenous (IV) racemic ketamine (R-/S-ketamine; 2.2mg/kg) or S-ketamine (1.1mg/kg) to five ponies sedated with IV xylazine (1.1mg/kg) were compared. The time intervals to assume sternal and standing positions were recorded. Arterial blood samples were collected before and 1, 2, 4, 6, 8 and 13min after ketamine administration. Arterial blood gases were evaluated 5min after ketamine injection. Plasma concentrations of ketamine and norketamine enantiomers were determined by capillary electrophoresis and were evaluated by non-linear least square regression analysis applying a monocompartmental model. The first-order elimination rate constant was significantly higher and elimination half-life and mean residence time were lower for S-ketamine after S-ketamine compared to R-/S-ketamine administration. The maximum concentration of S-norketamine was higher after S-ketamine administration. Time to standing position was significantly diminished after S-ketamine compared to R-/S-ketamine. Blood gases showed low-degree hypoxaemia and hypercarbia.

Stereoselective pharmacokinetics of ketamine and norketamine after racemic ketamine or S-ketamine administration during isoflurane anaesthesia in Shetland ponies

BACKGROUND: The arterial pharmacokinetics of ketamine and norketamine enantiomers after racemic ketamine or S-ketamine i.v. administration were evaluated in seven gelding ponies in a crossover study (2-month interval). METHODS: Anaesthesia was induced with isoflurane in oxygen via a face-mask and then maintained at each pony's individual MAC. Racemic ketamine (2.2 mg kg(-1)) or S-ketamine (1.1 mg kg(-1)) was injected in the right jugular vein. Blood samples were collected from the right carotid artery before and at 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, and 128 min after ketamine administration. Ketamine and norketamine enantiomer plasma concentrations were determined by capillary electrophoresis. Individual R-ketamine and S-ketamine concentration vs time curves were analysed by non-linear least square regression two-compartment model analysis using PCNonlin. Plasma disposition curves for R-norketamine and S-norketamine were described by estimating AUC, C(max), and T(max). Pulse rate (PR), respiratory rate (R(f)), tidal volume (V(T)), minute volume ventilation (V(E)), end-tidal partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PE'(CO(2))), and mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) were also evaluated. RESULTS: The pharmacokinetic parameters of S- and R-ketamine administered in the racemic mixture or S-ketamine administered separately did not differ significantly. Statistically significant higher AUC and C(max) were found for S-norketamine compared with R-norketamine in the racemic group. Overall, R(f), V(E), PE'(CO(2)), and MAP were significantly higher in the racemic group, whereas PR was higher in the S-ketamine group. CONCLUSIONS: Norketamine enantiomers showed different pharmacokinetic profiles after single i.v. administration of racemic ketamine in ponies anaesthetised with isoflurane in oxygen (1 MAC). Cardiopulmonary variables require further investigation.

Content Classification of Multimedia Documents using Partitions of Low-Level Features

Audio-visual documents obtained from German TV news are classified according to the IPTC topic categorization scheme. To this end usual text classification techniques are adapted to speech, video, and non-speech audio. For each of the three modalities word analogues are generated: sequences of syllables for speech, “video words” based on low level color features (color moments, color correlogram and color wavelet), and “audio words” based on low-level spectral features (spectral envelope and spectral flatness) for non-speech audio. Such audio and video words provide a means to represent the different modalities in a uniform way. The frequencies of the word analogues represent audio-visual documents: the standard bag-of-words approach. Support vector machines are used for supervised classification in a 1 vs. n setting. Classification based on speech outperforms all other single modalities. Combining speech with non-speech audio improves classification. Classification is further improved by supplementing speech and non-speech audio with video words. Optimal F-scores range between 62% and 94% corresponding to 50% - 84% above chance. The optimal combination of modalities depends on the category to be recognized. The construction of audio and video words from low-level features provide a good basis for the integration of speech, non-speech audio and video.

Perceived Influence and Friendship as Antecedents of Cooperation in Top Management Teams: A Network Approach

Using the relational dyad as unit of analysis this study examines the effects of perceived influence and friendship ties on the formation and maintenance of cooperative relationships between corporate top executives. Specifically, it is argued that perceived influence as well as friendship ties between any two managers will enhance the likelihood that these managers collaborate with each other. Additionally, a negative interaction effect between perceived influence and friendship on cooperation is proposed. The empirical analyses draw on network data that have been collected among all members of the top two organizational levels for the strategy-making process in two multinational firms headquartered in Germany. Applying logistic regression based on QAP the empirical results support our hypotheses on the direct effects between perceived influence, friendship ties, and cooperative relationships in both companies. In addition, we find at least partial support for our assumption that perceived influence and friendship interact negatively with respect to their effect on cooperation. Seemingly, perceived influence is partially substituted by managerial friendship ties.