If you want me to stay, pay

Devolution of political power is constantly on the political agenda in both Italy and Spain. Fiscal policy in these countries has granted specific privileges to some regions. Valle d’Aosta/Vallée d’Aoste,(VdA) and País Vasco-Euskadi (PV) have an extensive say over spending decisions, and receive nearly all regional tax revenues. Although both VdA and PV are among the richest regions in each country, both are net beneficiaries of the fiscal equalisation system. This preferential treatment is the outcome of a fiscal system with limits on taxing power and debt issuance, and is meant as a compensation for the lack of autonomy. It so prevents calls for more fiscal autonomy, or even outright secession. The economic effects of this asymmetric federalism are negative Although partial equalisation reduces excessive redistribution built in the fiscal equalisation system, more autonomy could pay off with more efficient government. Asymmetric federalism moreover creates a political impasse in the negotiation of a more efficient tax system and financing arrangement.

Sovereigns and banks in the euro area : a tale of two crises

This study attempts to identify and trace inter-linkages between sovereign and banking risk in the euro area. To this end, we use an indicator of banking risk in each country based on the Contingent Claim Analysis literature, and 10-year government yield spreads over Germany as a measure of sovereign risk. We apply a dynamic approach to testing for Granger causality between the two measures of risk in 10 euro area countries, allowing us to check for contagion in the form of a significant and abrupt increase in short-run causal linkages. The empirical results indicate that episodes of contagion vary considerably in both directions over time and within the different EMU countries. Significantly, we find that causal linkages tend to strengthen particularly at the time of major financial crises. The empirical evidence suggests the presence of contagion, mainly from banks to sovereigns.

An update on EMU sovereign yield spread drivers in times of crisis: A panel data analysis

We empirically investigate the determinants of EMU sovereign bond yield spreads with respect to the German bund. Using panel data techniques, we examine the role of a wide set of potential drivers. To our knowledge, this paper presents one of the most exhaustive compilations of the variables used in the literature to study the behaviour of sovereign yield spreads and, in particular, to gauge the effect on these spreads of changes in market sentiment and risk aversion. We use a sample of both central and peripheral countries from January 1999 to December 2012 and assess whether there were significant changes after the outbreak of the euro area debt crisis. Our results suggest that the rise in sovereign risk in central countries can only be partially explained by the evolution of local macroeconomic variables in those countries.

An update on EMU sovereign yield spread drivers in times of crisis: A panel data analysis

We empirically investigate the determinants of EMU sovereign bond yield spreads with respect to the German bund. Using panel data techniques, we examine the role of a wide set of potential drivers. To our knowledge, this paper presents one of the most exhaustive compilations of the variables used in the literature to study the behaviour of sovereign yield spreads and, in particular, to gauge the effect on these spreads of changes in market sentiment and risk aversion. We use a sample of both central and peripheral countries from January 1999 to December 2012 and assess whether there were significant changes after the outbreak of the euro area debt crisis. Our results suggest that the rise in sovereign risk in central countries can only be partially explained by the evolution of local macroeconomic variables in those countries.

Mourning Becomes Electra by Eugene O’Neill: Aeschylus and Plato’s Cave to Create a Dark Drama

The fundamental debt of E. O’Neill’s Mourning Becomes Electra to Aeschylus, and to a lesser degree to Sophocles and Euripides, has been always recognised but, according to the author’s hypothesis, O’Neill might have taken advantage of the Platonic image of the cave in order to magnify his both Greek and American drama. It is certainly a risky hypothesis that stricto sensu cannot be proved, but it is also reader’s right to evaluate the plausibility and the possible dramatic benefit derived from such a reading. Besides indicating to what degree some of the essential themes of Platonic philosophy concerning darkness, light or the flight from the prison of the material world are not extraneous to O’Neill’s work, the author proves he was aware of the Platonic image of the cave thanks to its capital importance in the work of some of his intellectual mentors such as F. Nietzsche or Oscar Wilde. Nevertheless, the most significant aim of the author’s article is to emphasize both the dramatic benefits and the logical reflections derived, as said before, from reading little by little O’Neill’s drama bearing in mind the above mentioned Platonic parameter.

Fiscal policy and interest rates: the role of financial and economic integration

It is commonly believed that a fiscal expansion raises interest rates. However, these crowding out effects of deficits have been found to be small or non-existent. One explanation is that financial integration offsets interest rate differentials on globalised bond markets. This paper measures the degree of integration of government bond markets, using spatial modelling techniques to take this spillover on financial markets into account. Our main finding is that the crowding out effect on domestic interest rates is significant, but is reduced by spillover across borders. This spillover is important in major crises or in periods of coordinated policy actions. This result is generally robust to various measures of cross-country linkages. We find spillover to be much stronger among EU countries.

Testing the FTPL across government tiers

Control on regional government budgets is important in a monetary union as lower tiers of government have fewer incentives to consolidate debt. According to the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level; unsustainable non-Ricardian fiscal policies eventually force monetary policy to adjust. Hence, uncoordinated and non-regulated regional fiscal policies would therefore threaten price stability for the monetary union as a whole. However, the union central bank is not without defense. A federal government that internalises the spillover effect of non-Ricardian fiscal policies on the price level can offset non-Ricardian regional fiscal policies. A federal government, which taxes and transfers resources between regions, may compensate for unsustainable regional fiscal policies so as to keep fiscal policy Ricardian on aggregate. Following Canzoneri et al. (2001), we test the validity of the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level for both federal and regional governments in Germany. We find evidence of a spillover effect of unsustainable policies on the price level for other Länder. However, the German federal government offsets this effect on the price level by running Ricardian policies. These results have implications for the regulation of fiscal policies in the EMU.

Financial stress transmission in EMU sovereign bond market volatility: a connectedness analysis

This paper measures the connectedness in EMU sovereign market volatility between April 1999 and January 2014, in order to monitor stress transmission and to identify episodes of intensive spillovers from one country to the others. To this end, we first perform a static and dynamic analysis to measure the total volatility connectedness in the entire period (the system-wide approach) using a framework recently proposed by Diebold and Yılmaz (2014). Second, we make use of a dynamic analysis to evaluate the net directional connectedness for each country and apply panel model techniques to investigate its determinants. Finally, to gain further insights, we examine the timevarying behaviour of net pair-wise directional connectedness at different stages of the recent sovereign debt crisis.

Myynti ja takaisinvuokraussopimukset rahoituslähteenä ja sopimusten käsittely konsernin IFRS-tilinpäätöksessä

Myynti ja takaisinvuokraussopimukset ovat yleistyneet viime vuosina. Myynti ja takaisinvuokraussopimuksessa yritys myy omistamansa hyödykkeen, yleensä kiinteistön, rahoitusyhtiölle ja liisaa sen saman tien takaisin. Menettelyssä yritys säilyttää hyödykkeen käyttöoikeuden, mutta saa samalla vapautettua hyödykkeeseen sitoutuneen varallisuuden. Myynti ja takaisinvuokraussopimukset luokitellaan tavallisten leasingsopimusten tavoin IFRS-lainsäädännössä rahoitusleasingsopimuksiin ja muihin vuokrasopimuksiin. Lisäksi myynti ja takaisinvuokraussopimuksia koskien on annettu joitakin erityissäännöksiä. Työssä tarkastellaan Case-yrityksen X Oyj:n omistaman hyödykkeen uudelleenrahoitusta myynti ja takaisinvuokraussopimuksella. Tutkimuksessa selvitetään miten hyödykkeen uudelleenrahoitus vaikuttaisi konsernin IFRS-muotoiseen tilinpäätökseen. Työssä tutkitaan uudelleenrahoituksen rahoituksellisia motiiveja ja pyritään määrittämään leasingsopimuksen kilpailukykyä verrattuna velkarahoitukseen. Rahoitusteoriassa leasingsopimuksen arvo määritetään yleensä käytäen NAL-kaavaa eli niin kutsuttua Net Advantage of Leasing-kaavaa. Sitä sovelletaan myös tässä työssä. Leasingrahoitusta vertailtaessa velkaan on huomioitava myös, että rahoitusmuodoilla on hyvin erilaiset vaikutukset yrityksen verotukseen, kassavirtoihin ja nettotulokseen.

Sustainability of EU fiscal policies. A panel test

The fiscal policy rule implicit in the Stability and Growth Pact, has been rationalised as a way to ensure that national fiscal policies remain sustainable within the EU, thereby endorsing the independence of the ECB. We empirically examine the sustainability of European fiscal policies over the period 1970-2001. The intertemporal government budget constraint provides a test based on the cointegration relation between government revenues, expenditures and interest payments. Sustainability is analysed at both the national level and for a European panel. Results show that European fiscal policy has been sustainable overall, yet national experiences differ considerably.

Estimating the effects of fiscal policy under the budget constraint

I reconsider the short-term effects of fiscal policy when both government spending and taxes are allowed to respond to the level of public debt. I embed the long-term government budget constraint in a VAR, and apply this common trends model to US quarterly data. The results overturn some widely held beliefs on fiscal policy effects. The main finding is that expansionary fiscal policy has contractionary effects on output and inflation. Ricardian effects may dominate when fiscal expansions are expected to be adjusted by future tax rises or spending cuts. The evidence supports RBC models with distortionary taxation. We can discard some alternative interpretations that are based on monetary policy reactions or supply-side effects.

Fiscal sustainability across government tiers: an assessment of soft budget constraints

This paper analyses how fiscal adjustment comes about when both central and sub-national governments are involved in consolidation. We test sustainability of public debt with a fiscal rule for both the federal and regional government. Results for the German Länder show that lower tier governments bear a relatively smaller part of the burden of debt consolidation, if they consolidate at all. Most of the fiscal adjustment occurs via central government debt. In contrast, both the US federal and state levels contribute to consolidation of public finances.

Capital Structure of Finnish SMEs and Financial Constraints

This thesis studies capital structure of Finnish small and medium sized enterprises. The specific object of the study is to test whether financial constraints have an effect on capital structure. In addition influences of several other factors were studied. Capital structure determinants are formulated based on three capital structure theories. The tradeoff theory and the agency theory concentrate on the search of optimal capital structure. The pecking order theory concerns favouring on financing source over another. The data of this study consists of financial statement data and results of corporate questionnaire. Regression analysis was used to find out the effects of several determinants. Regression models were formed based on the presented theories. Short and long term debt ratios were considered separately. The metrics of financially constrained firms was included in all models. It was found that financial constrains have a negative and significant effect to short term debt ratios. The effect was negative also to long term debt ratio but not statistically significant. Other considerable factors that influenced debt ratios were fixed assets, age, profitability, single owner and sufficiency of internal financing.

Perinnän tehokkuuteen vaikuttavat tekijät yritysten välisessä luottokaupassa

Tutkielma sai alkukipinän perinnän merkityksen korostumisesta yritysten välisessä luottokaupassa, tutkijan kiinnostuksesta aihetta kohtaan sekä tutkijan omasta perinnän alan työkokemuksesta. Tutkielma rakentui perinnän sekä luottokaupan käsitteiden ympärille ja sen tarkoituksena oli tutkia perinnän tehokkuuteen vaikuttavia tekijöitä. Tutkielmaa voidaan pitää käsiteanalyyttisena käsikirjamaisena teoksena, jonka empiirinen osio on toteutettu kvantitatiivisena tutkimuksena. Tutkielman teoreettisessa osassa tarkasteltiin ensin yleisellä tasolla perintäprosessiin liittyviä perinnän tehokkuuteen vaikuttavia tekijöitä, jonka jälkeen kvantitatiivisessa empiirisessä osiossa analysoitiin tutkielman kohdeyrityksen baltialaisten ja suomalaisten asiakasyritysten asiakaskohtaisten tekijöiden vaikutuksia perinnän tehokkuuteen. Tutkimuksessa havaittiin, että asiakasyritysten kotimaa sekä omavaraisuusaste vaikuttavat perinnän tehokkuuteen. Perintä oli tehottomampaa baltialaisilta asiakasyrityksiltä sekä asiakasyrityksiltä, joilla oli heikko omavaraisuusaste. Lisäksi havaittiin, että kohdeyrityksen eri toimialojen asiakasyritysten välillä oli eroja perinnän tehokkuudessa.

Kassavirta-analyysi velkarahoittajan näkökulmasta

Tutkielman tavoitteena oli selvittää vuonna 2006 voimaan astuneen osakeyhtiölain, ja sen seurauksena parantuneen velkojainsuojan vaikutus suomessa käytettäviin kassavirtalaskelmiin yritysanalyysissa. Erityisesti tutkittiin maksukykyisyystestin vaikutusta kassavirtalaskelmissa käytettävään maksunsaantijärjestykseen. Aineisto kerättiin haastattelemalla merkittävimpien suomalaisten rahoittajien yritystutkimusten edustajia ja käymällä läpi suomalaista rahoitusalan kirjallisuutta. Tutkielmassa kävi ilmi, että suomen merkittävimpien rahoittajien käyttämissä, tai rahoitusalan kirjallisuudessa esitetyissä kassavirtalaskelmissa, ei ollut otettu huomioon maksukykyisyystestin vaikutusta kassavirta-analyysiin. Tutkielmassa esitetään uudenlainen kassavirtalaskelma, mikä noudattaa mahdollisimman hyvin osakeyhtiön maksunsaantijärjestystä. Uusi kassavirtalaskelma sopii nykyisin Suomessa yleisesti käytössä olevia kassavirtalaskelmia paremmin sekä yrityksen velkakapasiteetin arvioimiseen että osakeyhtiön maksukykyisyystestin tekemiseen osingonjakopäätöksen tueksi. Lisäksi tutkielmassa havainnollistetaan esimerkkilaskelmin kassavirtaanalyysin tekemistä sekä Yritystutkimusneuvottelukunnan suosittamalla kassavirtalaskelmalla että uudenlaisella kassavirtalaskelmalla