Modeling the forensic two-trace problem with Bayesian networks

The forensic two-trace problem is a perplexing inference problem introduced by Evett (J Forensic Sci Soc 27:375-381, 1987). Different possible ways of wording the competing pair of propositions (i.e., one proposition advanced by the prosecution and one proposition advanced by the defence) led to different quantifications of the value of the evidence (Meester and Sjerps in Biometrics 59:727-732, 2003). Here, we re-examine this scenario with the aim of clarifying the interrelationships that exist between the different solutions, and in this way, produce a global vision of the problem. We propose to investigate the different expressions for evaluating the value of the evidence by using a graphical approach, i.e. Bayesian networks, to model the rationale behind each of the proposed solutions and the assumptions made on the unknown parameters in this problem.

Nutritional ecology of blowflies (Diptera, Calliphoridae): estimates of critical larval weight for pupation on two different

Under natural environmental conditions, blowflies utilize discrete and ephemeral feeding resources such as decaying carcasses. Competition for food on such feeding substrates is usually very severe, and only the individuals that are capable of attaining the critical larval weight for pupation will be able to survive. This critical weight is hitherto unknown for several blowfly species; therefore, the current work is aimed at obtaining such a critical value for four blowfly species of the genera Chrysomya and Lucilia, deploying two types of feeding substrate, namely, artificial diet and macerated bovine meat. On the whole, the critical weights ranged from 30 to 35 mg. The lowest larval weight which permitted pupation was 30.0 mg for Chrysomya megacephala reared on macerated bovine meat. This species was also the best adapted to pupation at low larval weights in relation to the maximum larval weight for males. Regarding the pupation of females, the best-adapted individual was a C. albiceps specimen exhibiting a critical weight that was equal to 39.20 % of the maximum value obtained. Concerning all the species and diet types, the female individuals exhibited the lowest critical weights that produced viable pupae, probably representing an evolutionary strategy that favoured the survival of females, responsible for the egg formation, contributing to the establishment of future generations. Regarding the loss (in percentage) of adult biomass in relation to the third instar larvae, the females of C. megacephala lost less weight than males in both feeding substrates. On the other hand, such a loss of weight occurred in males of C. albiceps and L. cuprina.

Correspondence analysis of two transition tables

The case of two transition tables is considered, that is two squareasymmetric matrices of frequencies where the rows and columns of thematrices are the same objects observed at three different timepoints. Different ways of visualizing the tables, either separatelyor jointly, are examined. We generalize an existing idea where asquare matrix is descomposed into symmetric and skew-symmetric partsto two matrices, leading to a decomposition into four components: (1)average symmetric, (2) average skew-symmetric, (3) symmetricdifference from average, and (4) skew-symmetric difference fromaverage. The method is illustrated with an artificial example and anexample using real data from a study of changing values over threegenerations.

An experimental test of rainfall as a control agent of Glycaspis brimblecombei Moore (Hemiptera, Psyllidae) on seedlings of Eucalyptus camaldulensis Dehn (Myrtaceae)

An experimental test of rainfall as a control agent of Glycaspis brimblecombei Moore (Hemiptera, Psyllidae) on seedlings of Eucalyptus camaldulensis Dehn (Myrtaceae). Glycaspis brimblecombei is one the greatest threats to eucalyptus plantations in Brazil. The effects of rainfall to reduce the abundance of lerp of Glycaspis brimblecombei on experimentally infested seedlings of Eucalyptus camaldulensis were assessed. The number of lerps on the adaxial and abaxial surfaces of every leaf of 60 seedlings was recorded, before and after submission to the following treatments: "artificial rain", "leaf wetting" and control. A drastic reduction in lerp abundance per plant was observed after the treatments "leaf wetting" and artificial rain (F = 53.630; p < 0.001), whereas lerp abundance remained roughly constant in the control treatment along the experiment (F = 1.450; p = 0.232). At the end of the experiment, lerp abundance was significantly lower in both the "artificial rain" and "leaf wetting" than in the control treatment. Two days of rainfall simulation were sufficient to decrease more than 50% of the lerp population, with almost 100% of effectiveness after 5 days of experiment. Our results indicate that lerp solubilization and mechanical removal by water are potential tools to the population regulation of G. brimblecombei on E. camaldulensis seedlings.

VEGF is a mediator of retinal pigment epithelium permeability leading to photoreceptor cell death in light-induced retinal degeneration : gene therapy strategy to prevent AMD-disorders

ABSTRACTIn normal tissues, a balance between pro- and anti-angiogenic factors tightly controls angiogenesis. Alterations of this balance may have pathological consequences. For instance, concerning the retina, the vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) is a potent pro-angiogenic factor, and has been identified has a key player during ocular neovascularization implicated in a variety of retinal diseases. In the exudative form (wet-form) of age-related macular degeneration (AMD), neovascularizations occurring from the choroidal vessels are responsible for a quick and dramatic loss of visual acuity. In diabetic retinopathy and retinopathy of prematurity, sprouting from the retinal vessels leads to vision loss. Furthermore, the aging of the population, the increased- prevalence of diabetes and the better survival rate of premature infants will lead to an increasing rate of these conditions. In this way, anti-VEGF strategy represents an important therapeutic target to treat ocular neovascular disorders.In addition, the administration of Pigmented Epithelial growth factor, a neurotrophic and an anti- angiogenic factor, prevents photoreceptor cell death in a model of retinal degeneration induced by light. Previous results analyzing end point morphology reveal that the light damage (LD) model is used to mimic retinal degenerations arising from environmental insult, as well as aging and genetic disease such as advanced atrophic AMD. Moreover, light has been identified as a co-factor in a number of retinal diseases, speeding up the degeneration process. This protecting effect of PEDF in the LD retina raises the possibility of involvement of the balance between pro- and anti-angiogenic factors not only for angiogenesis, but also in cell survival and maintenance.The aim of the work presented here was to evaluate the importance of this balance in neurodegenerative processes. To this aim, a model of light-induced retinal degeneration was used and characterized, mainly focusing on factors simultaneously controlling neuron survival and angiogenesis, such as PEDF and VEGF.In most species, prolonged intense light exposure can lead to photoreceptor cell damage that can progress to cell death and vision loss. A protocol previously described to induce retinal degeneration in Balb/c mice was used. Retinas were characterized at different time points after light injury through several methods at the functional and molecular levels. Data obtained confirmed that toxic level of light induce PR cell death. Variations were observed in VEGF pathway players in both the neural retina and the eye-cup containing the retinal pigment epithelium (RPE), suggesting a flux of VEGF from the RPE towards the neuroretina. Concomitantly, the integrity of the outer blood-retinal-barrier (BRB) was altered, leading to extravascular albumin leakage from the choroid throughout the photoreceptor layer.To evaluate the importance of VEGF during light-induced retinal degeneration process, a lentiviral vector encoding the cDNA of a single chain antibody directed against all VEGF-A isoforms was developed (LV-V65). The bioactivity of this vector to block VEGF was validated in a mouse model of laser-induced choroidal neovascularization mediated by VEGF upregulation. The vector was then used in the LD model. The administration of the LV-V65 contributed to the maintenance of functional photoreceptors, which was assessed by ERG recording, visual acuity measurement and histological analyses. At the RPE level, the BRB integrity was preserved as shown by the absence of albumin leakage and the maintenance of RPE cell cohesion.These results taken together indicate that the VEGF is a mediator of light induced PR degeneration process and confirm the crucial role of the balance between pro- and anti-angiogenic factors in the PR cell survival. This work also highlights the prime importance of BRB integrity and functional coupling between RPE and PR cells to maintain the PR survival. VEGF dysregulation was already shown to be involved in wet AMD forms and our study suggests that VEGF dysregulation may also occur at early stages of AMD and could thus be a potential therapeutic target for several RPE related diseases.RESUMEDans les différents tissues de l'organisme, l'angiogenèse est strictement contrôlée par une balance entre les facteurs pro- et anti-angiogéniques. Des modifications survenant dans cette balance peuvent engendrer des conséquences pathologiques. Par exemple, concernant la rétine, le facteur de croissance de l'endothélium vasculaire (VEGF) est un facteur pro-angiogénique important. Ce facteur a été identifié comme un acteur majeur dans les néovascularisations oculaires et les processus pathologiques angiogéniques survenant dans l'oeil et responsables d'une grande variété de maladies rétiniennes. Dans la forme humide de la dégénérescence maculaire liée à l'âge (DMLA), la néovascularisation choroïdienne est responsable de la perte rapide et brutale de l'acuité visuelle chez les patients affectés. Dans la rétinopathie diabétique et celle lié à la prématurité, l'émergence de néovaisseaux rétiniens est la cause de la perte de la vision. Les néovascularisations oculaires représentent la principale cause de cécité dans les pays développés. De plus, l'âge croissant de la population, la progression de la prévalence du diabète et la meilleure survie des enfants prématurés mèneront sans doute à l'augmentation de ces pathologies dans les années futures. Dans ces conditions, les thérapies anti- angiogéniques visant à inhiber le VEGF représentent une importante cible thérapeutique pour le traitement de ces pathologies.Plusieurs facteurs anti-angiogéniques ont été identifiés. Parmi eux, le facteur de l'épithélium pigmentaire (PEDF) est à la fois un facteur neuro-trophique et anti-angiogénique, et l'administration de ce facteur au niveau de la rétine dans un modèle de dégénérescence rétinienne induite par la lumière protège les photorécepteurs de la mort cellulaire. Des études antérieures basées sur l'analyse morphologique ont révélé que les modifications survenant lors de la dégénération induite suite à l'exposition à des doses toxiques de lumière représente un remarquable modèle pour l'étude des dégénérations rétiniennes suite à des lésions environnementales, à l'âge ou encore aux maladies génétiques telle que la forme atrophique avancée de la DMLA. De plus, la lumière a été identifiée comme un co-facteur impliqué dans un grand nombre de maladies rétiniennes, accélérant le processus de dégénération. L'effet protecteur du PEDF dans les rétines lésées suite à l'exposition de des doses toxiques de lumière suscite la possibilité que la balance entre les facteurs pro- et anti-angiogéniques soit impliquée non seulement dans les processus angiogéniques, mais également dans le maintient et la survie des cellules.Le but de ce projet consiste donc à évaluer l'implication de cette balance lors des processus neurodégénératifs. Pour cela, un modèle de dégénération induite par la lumière à été utilisé et caractérisé, avec un intérêt particulier pour les facteurs comme le PEDF et le VEGF contrôlant simultanément la survie des neurones et l'angiogenèse.Dans la plupart des espèces, l'exposition prolongée à une lumière intense peut provoquer des dommages au niveau des cellules photoréceptrices de l'oeil, qui peut mener à leur mort, et par conséquent à la perte de la vision. Un protocole préalablement décrit a été utilisé pour induire la dégénération rétinienne dans les souris albinos Balb/c. Les rétines ont été analysées à différents moments après la lésion par différentes techniques, aussi bien au niveau moléculaire que fonctionnel. Les résultats obtenus ont confirmé que des doses toxiques de lumière induisent la mort des photorécepteurs, mais altèrent également la voie de signalisation du VEGF, aussi bien dans la neuro-rétine que dans le reste de l'oeil, contenant l'épithélium pigmentaire (EP), et suggérant un flux de VEGF provenant de ΙΈΡ en direction de la neuro-rétine. Simultanément, il se produit une altération de l'intégrité de la barrière hémato-rétinienne externe, menant à la fuite de protéine telle que l'albumine, provenant de la choroïde et retrouvée dans les compartiments extravasculaires de la rétine, telle que dans la couche des photorécepteurs.Pour déterminer l'importance et le rôle du VEGF, un vecteur lentiviral codant pour un anticorps neutralisant dirigée contre tous les isoformes du VEGF a été développé (LV-V65). La bio-activité de ce vecteur a été testé et validée dans un modèle de laser, connu pour induire des néovascularisations choroïdiennes chez la souris suite à l'augmentation du VEGF. Ce vecteur a ensuite été utilisé dans le modèle de dégénération induite par la lumière. Les résultats des électrorétinogrammes, les mesures de l'acuité visuelle et les analyses histologiques ont montré que l'injection du LV-V65 contribue à la maintenance de photorécepteurs fonctionnels. Au niveau de l'EP, l'absence d'albumine et la maintenance des jonctions cellulaires des cellules de l'EP ont démontré que l'intégrité de la barrière hémato-rétinienne externe est préservée suite au traitement.Par conséquent, tous les résultats obtenus indiquent que le VEGF est un médiateur important impliquée dans le processus de dégénération induit par la lumière et confirme le rôle cruciale de la balance entre les facteurs pro- et anti-angiogéniques dans la survie des photorécepteurs. Cette étude révèle également l'importance de l'intégrité de la barrière hémato-rétinienne et l'importance du lien fonctionnel et structurel entre l'EP et les photorécepteurs, essentiel pour la survie de ces derniers. Par ailleurs, Cette étude suggère que des dérèglements au niveau de l'équilibre du VEGF ne sont pas seulement impliqués dans la forme humide de la DMLA, comme déjà démontré dans des études antérieures, mais pourraient également contribuer et survenir dans des formes précoces de la DMLA, et par conséquent le VEGF représente une cible thérapeutique potentielle pour les maladies associées à des anomalies au niveau de l'EP.

Human epidermal stem cell function is regulated by circadian oscillations.

Human skin copes with harmful environmental factors that are circadian in nature, yet how circadian rhythms modulate the function of human epidermal stem cells is mostly unknown. Here we show that in human epidermal stem cells and their differentiated counterparts, core clock genes peak in a successive and phased manner, establishing distinct temporal intervals during the 24 hr day period. Each of these successive clock waves is associated with a peak in the expression of subsets of transcripts that temporally segregate the predisposition of epidermal stem cells to respond to cues that regulate their proliferation or differentiation, such as TGFβ and calcium. Accordingly, circadian arrhythmia profoundly affects stem cell function in culture and in vivo. We hypothesize that this intricate mechanism ensures homeostasis by providing epidermal stem cells with environmentally relevant temporal functional cues during the course of the day and that its perturbation may contribute to aging and carcinogenesis.

Erasing the glassy state in magnetic fine particles

BaFe10.4Co0.8Ti0.8O19 magnetic fine particles exhibit most of the features attributed to glassy behavior, e.g., irreversibility in the hysteresis loops and in the zero-field-cooling and field-cooling curves extends up to very high fields, and aging and magnetic training phenomena occur. However, the multivalley energy structure of the glassy state can be strongly modified by a field-cooling process at a moderate field. Slow relaxation experiments demonstrate that the intrinsic energy barriers of the individual particles dominate the behavior of the system at high cooling fields, while the energy states corresponding to collective glassy behavior play the dominant role at low cooling fields.

Biomarker analysis of stored blood products: emphasis on pre-analytical issues.

Millions of blood products are transfused every year; many lives are thus directly concerned by transfusion. The three main labile blood products used in transfusion are erythrocyte concentrates, platelet concentrates and fresh frozen plasma. Each of these products has to be stored according to its particular components. However, during storage, modifications or degradation of those components may occur, and are known as storage lesions. Thus, biomarker discovery of in vivo blood aging as well as in vitro labile blood products storage lesions is of high interest for the transfusion medicine community. Pre-analytical issues are of major importance in analyzing the various blood products during storage conditions as well as according to various protocols that are currently used in blood banks for their preparations. This paper will review key elements that have to be taken into account in the context of proteomic-based biomarker discovery applied to blood banking.

La convivencia con los cyborgs y los robots: Consideraciones filosóficas, ético-morales y sociopolíticas

In this work, we present the cultural evolution that has allowed to overcome many problems derived from the limitations of the human body. These limitations have been solved by a"cyborization" process that began since early anthropogenesis. Originally, it was envisioned to deal with some diseases, accidents or body malfunctions. Nowadays, augmentations improve common human capabilities; one of the most notable is the increase of brain efficiency by using connections with a computer. A basic social question also addressed is which people will and should have access to these augmentations. Advanced humanoid robots (with human external aspect, artificial intelligence and even emotions) already exist and consequently a number of questions arise. For instance, will robots be considered living organisms? Could they be considered as persons? Will we confer the human status to robots? These questions are discussed. Our conclusions are that the advanced humanoid robots display some actions that may be considered as life-like, yet different to the life associated with living organisms, also, to some extend they could be considered as persons-like, but not humans.

Iowa Elder Abuse Initiative Demonstration Projects Fiscal Year 2001-2011

In 2001, the Iowa Legislature approved approximately $475,000 to fund strategies for elder abuse detection, training and services in an effort to evaluate Iowa’s adult abuse system. This endeavor became known as Iowa’s Elder Abuse Initiative (EAI) demonstration projects. These projects were located in 4 of the 13 Area Agencies on Aging and available in 22 of Iowa’s 99 counties. The EAI focused on the prevention, intervention, detection, and reporting of elder abuse, neglect and exploitation by presenting elders with options to enhance their lifestyle choices.

Stored red blood cells: a changing universe waiting for its map(s).

The availability of stored red blood cells (RBCs) for transfusion remains an important aspect of the treatment of polytrauma, acute anemia or major bleedings. RBCs are prepared by blood banks from whole blood donations and stored in the cold in additive solutions for typically six weeks. These far from physiological storage conditions result in the so-called red cell storage lesion that is of importance both to blood bankers and to clinical practitioners. Here we review the current state of knowledge about the red cell storage lesion from a proteomic perspective. In particular, we describe the current models accounting for RBC aging and response to lethal stresses, review the published proteomic studies carried out to uncover the molecular basis of the RBC storage lesion, and conclude by suggesting a few possible proteomic studies that would provide further knowledge of the molecular alterations carried by RBCs stored in the cold for six weeks.

Evaluation of Recycled Rubber in Asphalt Concrete, HR-330, 1996

The purpose of this research was to evaluate the performance and the use of asphalt rubber binders and recycled rubber granules in asphalt pavement in the state of Iowa. This five year research project was initiated in June 1991 and it was incorporated into Muscatine County Construction Project US 61 from Muscatine to Blue Grass over an existing 10 in. (25.4 cm) by 24 ft (7.3 m) jointed rigid concrete pavement constructed in 1957. The research site consisted of four experimental sections (one section containing rubber chip, one section containing reacted asphalt rubber in both binder and surface, and two sections containing reacted asphalt rubber in surface) and four control sections. This report contains findings of the University of Northern Iowa research team covering selected responsibilities of the research project "Determination of the aging and changing of the conventional asphalt binder and asphalt-rubber binder". Based on the laboratory test, the inclusion of recycled crumb rubber into asphalt affects the ductility of modified binder at various temperatures.

Evaluation of Long-Term Field Performance of Cold In-Place Recycled Roads: Field Distress Survey, TR-502, 2007

Cold in-place recycling (CIR) has become an attractive method for rehabilitating asphalt roads that have good subgrade support and are suffering distress related to non-structural aging and cracking of the pavement layer. Although CIR is widely used, its use could be expanded if its performance were more predictable. Transportation officials have observed roads that were recycled under similar circumstances perform very differently for no clear reason. Moreover, a rational mix design has not yet been developed, design assumptions regarding the structural support of the CIR layer remain empirical and conservative, and there is no clear understanding of the cause-effect relationships between the choices made during the design/construction process and the resulting performance. The objective of this project is to investigate these relationships, especially concerning the age of the recycled pavement, cumulative traffic volume, support conditions, aged engineering properties of the CIR materials, and road performance. Twenty-four CIR asphalt roads constructed in Iowa from 1986 to 2004 were studied: 18 were selected from a sample of roads studied in a previous research project (HR-392), and 6 were selected from newer CIR projects constructed after 1999. This report summarizes the results of a comprehensive program of field distress surveys, field testing, and laboratory testing for these CIR asphalt roads. The results of this research can help identify changes that should be made with regard to design, material selection, and construction in order to lengthen the time between rehabilitation cycles and improve the performance and cost-effectiveness of future recycled roads.

Iowa Legal Assistance Program Best Practices, 2009

Legal problems faced by older Iowans are often more critical than those problems faced by any other segment of our population. Older Iowans in poverty are less likely to seek the assistance of an attorney. Often, it is either because they do not have cash resources to pay for services or they do not realize that they have a “legal problem.” The Older Americans Act of 1965 (hereafter, OAA) as amended, which primarily funds the Legal Assistance Program, requires that states have the capacity to improve the quality and quantity of legal programs for older individuals. These Legal Assistance Program Best Practices are meant to provide guidance to providers in the area of priority casework, coordination and collaboration to ensure cohesiveness and uniformity throughout the state’s legal assistance programs. Additionally, Congress mandates that states improve the quality of their Title III-B legal programs. One proven way to ensure a quality program is to have in place best practices to define expectations for not only the legal assistance program provider, but for the state unit on aging (the Iowa Department on Aging) and the area agencies on aging as well. These legal assistance program best practices may be amended from time to time to reflect the change in the legal needs of older Iowans as well as the mandates under the OAA, Iowa Department on Aging (hereafter, department) policy and other governing state and federal laws and regulations.

Prospective association of the SHARE-operationalized frailty phenotype with adverse health outcomes: evidence from 60+ community-dwelling Europeans living in 11 countries.

BACKGROUND: Among the many definitions of frailty, the frailty phenotype defined by Fried et al. is one of few constructs that has been repeatedly validated: first in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) and subsequently in other large cohorts in the North America. In Europe, the Survey of Health, Aging and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) is a gold mine of individual, economic and health information that can provide insight into better understanding of frailty across diverse population settings. A recent adaptation of the original five CHS-frailty criteria was proposed to make use of SHARE data and measure frailty in the European population. To test the validity of the SHARE operationalized frailty phenotype, this study aims to evaluate its prospective association with adverse health outcomes. METHODS: Data are from 11,015 community-dwelling men and women aged 60+ participating in wave 1 and 2 of the Survey of Health, Aging and Retirement in Europe, a population-based survey. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess the 2-year follow up effect of SHARE-operationalized frailty phenotype on the incidence of disability (disability-free at baseline) and on worsening disability and morbidity, adjusting for age, sex, income and baseline morbidity and disability. RESULTS: At 2-year follow up, frail individuals were at increased risk for: developing mobility (OR 3.07, 95% CI, 1.02-9.36), IADL (OR 5.52, 95% CI, 3.76-8.10) and BADL (OR 5.13, 95% CI, 3.53-7.44) disability; worsening mobility (OR 2.94, 95% CI, 2.19- 3.93) IADL (OR 4.43, 95% CI, 3.19-6.15) and BADL disability (OR 4.53, 95% CI, 3.14-6.54); and worsening morbidity (OR 1.77, 95% CI, 1.35-2.32). These associations were significant even among the prefrail, but with a lower magnitude of effect. CONCLUSIONS: The SHARE-operationalized frailty phenotype is significantly associated with all tested health outcomes independent of baseline morbidity and disability in community-dwelling men and women aged 60 and older living in Europe. The robustness of results validate the use of this phenotype in the SHARE survey for future research on frailty in Europe.