Future contributions of crop modelling - from heuristics and supporting decision making to understanding genetic regulation and aiding crop improvement

Crop modelling has evolved over the last 30 or so years in concert with advances in crop physiology, crop ecology and computing technology. Having reached a respectable degree of acceptance, it is appropriate to review briefly the course of developments in crop modelling and to project what might be major contributions of crop modelling in the future. Two major opportunities are envisioned for increased modelling activity in the future. One opportunity is in a continuing central, heuristic role to support scientific investigation, to facilitate decision making by crop managers, and to aid in education. Heuristic activities will also extend to the broader system-level issues of environmental and ecological aspects of crop production. The second opportunity is projected as a prime contributor in understanding and advancing the genetic regulation of plant performance and plant improvement. Physiological dissection and modelling of traits provides an avenue by which crop modelling could contribute to enhancing integration of molecular genetic technologies in crop improvement. Crown Copyright (C) 2002 Published by Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

Present and future pharmacotherapy for benign prostatic hyperplasia

Around 50% of men 51-60 years of age have pathological benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). Pharmacotherapy for BPH includes the 5alpha-reductase inhibitor finasteride, and alpha(1)-adrenoceptor antagonists. Finasteride reduces prostate volume and symptom scores, while increasing peak urinary flow rates. The main problem with finasteride treatment is that it increases the incidence of ejaculation disorders. All of the alpha(1)-adrenoceptor antagonists have been shown to reduce symptom scores and increase peak urinary flow rates in BPH. The nonselective alpha(1)-adrenoceptor antagonists (prazosin, terazosin and doxazosin) were developed as antihypertensives, and hypotensive-related side effects are the main problem with these agents in BPH. These side effects can be diminished by reducing peak concentrations of the drugs, as with once-daily alfuzosin, or by using the uroselective antagonist tamsulosin. Phytopharmaceuticals are commonly used in the treatment of BPH, such as saw palmetto berry which has been shown to improve the symptoms and peak urinary flow rate. Androgen receptor antagonists are not used in BPH because of their adverse effects. Newer drugs under development for the treatment of BPH include alpha(1)-adrenoceptor antagonists that show more selectivity for alpha(1A)-adrenoceptors than tamsulosin, combined 5alpha-reductase/alpha(1)-adrenoceptor inhibitors and combined type 1/type 2 5alpha-reductase inhibitors. New targets for the drug treatment of BPH include indothelin, growth factors, estrogens and the phosphodiesterase isoenzymes.

Present and future pharacotherapy for heart failure

The pharmacotherapy currently recommended by the American College of Cardiology and the American Heart Association for heart failure (HF) is a diuretic, an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI), a β-adrenoceptor antagonist and (usually) digitalis. This current treatment of HF may be improved by optimising the dose of ACEI used, as increasing the dose of lisinopril increases its benefits in HF. Selective angiotensin receptor-1 (AT1) antagonists are effective alternatives for those who cannot tolerate ACEIs. AT1 antagonists may also be used in combination with ACEIs, as some studies have shown cumulative benefits for the combination. In addition to being used in Stage IV HF patients, in whom it has a marked benefit, spironolactone should be studied in less severe HF and in the presence of β-blockers. The use of carvedilol, extended-release metoprolol and bisoprolol should be extended to severe HF patients as these agents have been shown to decrease mortality in this group. The ancillary properties of carvedilol, particularly antagonism at prejunctional β-adrenoceptors, may give it additional benefits to selective β1-adrenoceptor antagonists. Celiprolol and bucindolol are not the β-blockers of choice in HF, as they do not decrease mortality. Although digitalis does not reduce mortality, it remains the only option for a long-term positive inotropic effect, as the long-term use of the phosphodiesterase inhibitors is associated with increased mortality. The calcium sensitising drug levosimendan may be useful in the hospital treatment of decompensated HF to increase cardiac output and improve dyspnoea and fatigue. The antiarrhythmic drug amiodarone should probably be used in patients at high risk of arrhythmic or sudden death, although this treatment may soon be superseded by the more expensive implanted cardioverter defibrillators, which are probably more effective and have fewer side effects. The natriuretic peptide nesiritide has recently been introduced for the hospital treatment of decompensated HF. Novel drugs that may be beneficial in the treatment of HF include the vasopeptidase inhibitors and the selective endothelin-A receptor antagonists but these require much more investigation. However, disappointing results have been obtained in a large clinical trial of the tumour necrosis factor α antagonist etanercept, where no likelihood of a difference between placebo and etanercept was observed. Small clinical trials with recombinant growth hormone to thicken ventricles in dilated cardiomyopathy have given variable results.

Displaying the future: Techno-nationalism and the rise of the consumer in postwar Japan

This paper explains how, in the aftermath of World War II, a type of techno-nationalism emerged that linked being Japanese to science and technology and the increased consumption of electrical appliances. By closely examining official exhibitions, we can see how the state and private sector strongly encouraged this techno-scientific dreaming. Dazzling displays highlighted how the peaceful atom would help lead the nation to achieve high economic growth. At the same time, through the judicious purchase of labor saving appliances, consumers could reconcile the need to spend with the need to save.

A participa????o dos benefici??rios em estrat??gias de redu????o da pobreza: an??lise de suas contribui????es

O tamanho e a complexidade do desafio de combater a pobreza t??m criado a necessidade de se identificar novas maneiras de atacar o problema. Um importante elemento da atual discuss??o ?? o envolvimento dos stakeholders prim??rios nas atividades da interven????o de desenvolvimento. O presente trabalho revisa e sintetiza a literatura especializada para analisar as contribui????es da participa????o para a redu????o da pobreza. Ele identificou que participa????o aumenta o impacto das estrat??gias de redu????o da pobreza, por meio do empoderamento dos stakeholders prim??rios e de melhorias na efetividade, na efici??ncia e na sustentabilidade das interven????es. Os estudos de caso indicam, tamb??m, que altos n??veis de participa????o tendem a contribuir mais para o sucesso da estrat??gia. Contudo, garantir uma ???real??? participa????o dos benefici??rios n??o ?? f??cil. Como resultado desse estudo, s??o dadas algumas recomenda????es para futuras pol??ticas de combate ?? pobreza. Se adotadas, elas podem ajudar a vencer as dificuldades e desafios apontados e a maximizar as contribui????es da participa????o.

Educa????o a dist??ncia: o estado da arte e o futuro necess??rio

Este artigo analisa alguns desafios que cercam a ado????o da Educa????o a Dist??ncia por institui????es de ensino, unidades de forma????o e qualifica????o profissional e de educa????o corporativa. Al??m disto, ?? sugerida uma agenda de pesquisa sobre EAD. O artigo trata do papel da EAD na educa????o continuada de adultos e na amplia????o do acesso ?? aprendizagem, em fun????o da possibilidade de intera????es ass??ncronas, mediadas por tecnologias da informa????o e comunica????o. Uma an??lise da situa????o EAD no Brasil mostra um grande crescimento da modalidade. Observa-se que ainda s??o raras as pesquisas sobre EAD no servi??o p??blico. H?? informa????es sugerindo que, em ??rg??os p??blicos com pr??ticas institucionalizadas de EAD, a modalidade representa uma valiosa e eficaz estrat??gia de inclus??o de pessoas em atividades de ensino-aprendizagem. S??o analisados alguns importantes desafios ligados ?? implementa????o e ao desenho de cursos a dist??ncia, e, al??m disto, ?? apresentada uma agenda de pesquisas para a ??rea.

C??maras setoriais no Governo do Estado do Par??

O artigo apresenta o in??cio da implanta????o das c??maras setoriais no Governo do Estado do Par??, introduzindo um novo desenho para a gest??o das pol??ticas p??blicas no estado. A pesquisa foi realizada por meio de an??lise documental junto a diversas inst??ncias do governo paraense, tendo sido o autor participante da implanta????o e da coordena????o da C??mara Setorial de Gest??o at?? 2007. Primeiramente, faz-se uma an??lise sobre os novos modelos de gest??o p??blica no Brasil e a dissolu????o dos antigos padr??es. Em seguida, apresenta-se a proposta de c??maras setoriais, seus m??todos e conceitos, partindo para avan??os e desafios impostos pela implementa????o do novo modelo, conclui-se com uma an??lise sobre o futuro do modelo na gest??o p??blica estadual, bem como a aproxima????o com ferramentas contempor??neas da administra????o, interagindo com as diversas ??reas do governo estadual.

Towards an uncertain future? The strengthening of Japan's autonomy in Asia-Pacific

Recently, Japan has been increasing tensions with China regarding the Pinnacle Senkaku/Diaoyu islands. Due to the Chinese military development, Japan has been working on its political and military strengthening in Asia. This essay presents two possible scenarios for Japan.

Chinese energy policy progress and challenges in the transition to low carbon development, 2006-2013

If the world is not to jeopardize the chances for human life on Earth, climate change must be mitigated; therefore, achieving low carbon development is crucial. China is the world's greatest GHG emitter, energy producer and energy consumer; investigating its energy-climate policy developments and international positions are of utmost importance to understand and tackle current stumbling blocks of the global energy and climate governance.

Pope Francis and the challenges of inter-civilization diplomacy

Abstract This article addresses the role of Pope Francis in the interfaith and inter-civilization dialogue of the Holy See. Specifically, it analyses the main aspects of diplomatic relations between the Holy See and Russia, China, Islamic countries and Israel, and provides perspectives on the inter-civilization diplomacy of the Holy See during the current pontificate.