Farm 2.0 Using Wordpress to Manage Geocontent and Promote Regional Food Products

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

C-reactive protein at 24 hours after hospital admission may have relevant prognostic accuracy in acute pancreatitis: a retrospective cohort study

Introduction: C-reactive protein (CRP) and Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) have been used in early risk assessment of patients with AP. Objectives: We evaluated prognostic accuracy of CRP at 24 hours after hospital admission (CRP24) for in-hospital mortality (IM) in AP individually and with BISAP. Materials and Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 134 patients with AP from a Portuguese hospital in 2009---2010. Prognostic accuracy assessment used area under receiver---operating characteristic curve (AUC), continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Results: Thirteen percent of patients had severe AP, 26% developed pancreatic necrosis, and 7% died during index hospital stay. AUCs for CRP24 and BISAP individually were 0.80 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65---0.95) and 0.77 (95% CI 0.59---0.95), respectively. No patients with CRP24 <60 mg/l died (P = 0.027; negative predictive value 100% (95% CI 92.3---100%)). AUC for BISAP plus CRP24 was 0.81 (95% CI 0.65---0.97). Change in NRI nonevents (42.4%; 95% CI, 24.9---59.9%) resulted in positive overall NRI (31.3%; 95% CI, − 36.4% to 98.9%), but IDI nonevents was negligible (0.004; 95% CI, − 0.007 to 0.014). Conclusions: CRP24 revealed good prognostic accuracy for IM in AP; its main role may be the selection of lowest risk patients.

Ligand K-edge X-ray absorption spectroscopy and DFT calculations on [Fe3S4]0,+ clusters: delocalization, redox, and effect of the protein environment

Ligand K-edge XAS of an [Fe3S4]0 model complex is reported. The pre-edge can be resolved into contributions from the í2Ssulfide, í3Ssulfide, and Sthiolate ligands. The average ligand-metal bond covalencies obtained from these pre-edges are further distributed between Fe3+ and Fe2.5+ components using DFT calculations. The bridging ligand covalency in the [Fe2S2]+ subsite of the [Fe3S4]0 cluster is found to be significantly lower than its value in a reduced [Fe2S2] cluster (38% vs 61%, respectively). This lowered bridging ligand covalency reduces the superexchange coupling parameter J relative to its value in a reduced [Fe2S2]+ site (-146 cm-1 vs -360 cm-1, respectively). This decrease in J, along with estimates of the double exchange parameter B and vibronic coupling parameter ì2/k-, leads to an S ) 2 delocalized ground state in the [Fe3S4]0 cluster. The S K-edge XAS of the protein ferredoxin II (Fd II) from the D. gigas active site shows a decrease in covalency compared to the model complex, in the same oxidation state, which correlates with the number of H-bonding interactions to specific sulfur ligands present in the active site. The changes in ligand-metal bond covalencies upon redox compared with DFT calculations indicate that the redox reaction involves a two-electron change (one-electron ionization plus a spin change of a second electron) with significant electronic relaxation. The presence of the redox inactive Fe3+ center is found to decrease the barrier of the redox process in the [Fe3S4] cluster due to its strong antiferromagnetic coupling with the redox active Fe2S2 subsite.

Carotid Intima-Media Thickness and Carotid Plaques Improves Prediction of Obstructive Angiographic Coronary Artery Disease in Women

Does carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT), a surrogate marker of cardiovascular events, have predictive incremental value over established risk factors for stable coronary artery disease (CAD)? Prospective study of 300 patients, with suspected stable CAD, admitted for an elective coronary angiography and carotid ultrasound. The CAD patients had a higher cIMT, which showed a modest predictive accuracy for CAD (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve 0.638, 95% confidence interval 0.576-0.701, P < .001). The cIMT was an independent predictor of CAD, together with age, gender, and diabetes. C-statistic for CAD prediction by traditional risk factors was not significantly different from a model that included cIMT, carotid plaque presence, or both. However, in women, it was significantly increased by the addition of cIMT or carotid plaque presence. Although cIMT cannot be used as a sole indicator of CAD, it should be considered in the panel of investigations that is requested, particularly in women who are candidates for coronary angiography.

Methacholine Dose-Response Slopes from Maximal Bronchial Challenge Tests in Asthmatic Children: Methodological Aspects

To determine whether the slope of a maximal bronchial challenge test (in which FEV1 falls by over 50%) could be extrapolated from a standard bronchial challenge test (in which FEV1 falls up to 20%), 14 asthmatic children performed a single maximal bronchial challenge test with methacholin(dose range: 0.097–30.08 umol) by the dosimeter method. Maximal dose-response curves were included according to the following criteria: (1) at least one more dose beyond a FEV1 ù 20%; and (2) a MFEV1 ù 50%. PD20 FEV1 was calculated, and the slopes of the early part of the dose-response curve (standard dose-response slopes) and of the entire curve (maximal dose-response slopes) were calculated by two methods: the two-point slope (DRR) and the least squares method (LSS) in % FEV1 × umol−1. Maximal dose-response slopes were compared with the corresponding standard dose-response slopes by a paired Student’s t test after logarithmic transformation of the data; the goodness of fit of the LSS was also determined. Maximal dose-response slopes were significantly different (p < 0.0001) from those calculated on the early part of the curve: DRR20% (91.2 ± 2.7 FEV1% z umol−1)was 2.88 times higher than DRR50% (31.6 ± 3.4 DFEV1% z umol−1), and the LSS20% (89.1 ± 2.8% FEV1 z umol−1) was 3.10 times higher than LSS 50% (28.8 ± 1.5%FEV1 z umol−1). The goodness of fit of LSS 50% was significant in all cases, whereas LSS 20% failed to be significant in one. These results suggest that maximal dose-response slopes cannot be predicted from the data of standard bronchial challenge tests.

ISOLATION OF Cryptococcus neoformans FROM ENVIRONMENTAL SAMPLES COLLECTED IN SOUTHEASTERN NIGERIA

SUMMARY Cryptococcosis caused by Cryptococcus neoformans is the second most common fungal opportunistic pathogen and a lifethreatening infection with serious clinical manifestations especially in HIV/AIDS and other immunocompromised patients. In Nigeria, HIV/AIDS infection has reached an alarming level. Despite this, information on the presence of this fungus in clinical and environmental samples is very scanty in Nigeria and many other parts of Africa. We set out to evaluate the presence of Cryptococcus neoformans or C. gattii in pigeon droppings obtained from Southeastern Nigeria. One hundred and seventy-seven samples of pigeon droppings from six sample types were collected. The area covered comprised of ten cities and other locations spanning across five States in Nigeria. Using established techniques, Cryptococcus neoformans was isolated from 39 of the 177 (22.0%) samples overall. No C. gattiiwas isolated. Most of the isolates (32.4%) were recovered from dovecotes (11 of 34) followed closely by samples taken from markets (31.8%; seven of 22) and least from the church (4.0%; one of 25). The highest isolation rate (38.9%) was found in samples from Enugu-Ezike(seven of 23) while the least came from Afikpoand the other locations each with 9.1% isolation rate. This is the first large-scale screening of Cryptococcus neoformans from pigeon droppings in Nigeria. The ecological and epidemiological significance of these findings are discussed.

Texto e Leitura na Web 2.0 : o Facebok e os novos leitores

Trabalho de projecto apresentado para cumprimento dos requisitos necessários à obtenção do grau de Mestre em Edição de Texto.

Optimal Cut-Off Value for Homeostasis Model Assessment (HOMA) Index of Insulin-Resistance in a Population of Patients Admitted Electively in a Portuguese Cardiology Ward

INTRODUCTION: Insulin resistance is the pathophysiological key to explain metabolic syndrome. Although clearly useful, the Homeostasis Model Assessment index (an insulin resistance measurement) hasn't been systematically applied in clinical practice. One of the main reasons is the discrepancy in cut-off values reported in different populations. We sought to evaluate in a Portuguese population the ideal cut-off for Homeostasis Model Assessment index and assess its relationship with metabolic syndrome. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We selected a cohort of individuals admitted electively in a Cardiology ward with a BMI < 25 Kg/m2 and no abnormalities in glucose metabolism (fasting plasma glucose < 100 mg/dL and no diabetes). The 90th percentile of the Homeostasis Model Assessment index distribution was used to obtain the ideal cut-off for insulin resistance. We also selected a validation cohort of 300 individuals (no exclusion criteria applied). RESULTS: From 7 000 individuals, and after the exclusion criteria, there were left 1 784 individuals. The 90th percentile for Homeostasis Model Assessment index was 2.33. In the validation cohort, applying that cut-off, we have 49.3% of individuals with insulin resistance. However, only 69.9% of the metabolic syndrome patients had insulin resistance according to that cut-off. By ROC curve analysis, the ideal cut-off for metabolic syndrome is 2.41. Homeostasis Model Assessment index correlated with BMI (r = 0.371, p < 0.001) and is an independent predictor of the presence of metabolic syndrome (OR 19.4, 95% CI 6.6 - 57.2, p < 0.001). DISCUSSION: Our study showed that in a Portuguese population of patients admitted electively in a Cardiology ward, 2.33 is the Homeostasis Model Assessment index cut-off for insulin resistance and 2.41 for metabolic syndrome. CONCLUSION: Homeostasis Model Assessment index is directly correlated with BMI and is an independent predictor of metabolic syndrome.

Contribuição para a adaptação cultural do Neck Disability Index e caraterização da prática de fisioterapia em pacientes com dor crónica cervical

RESUMO: Objetivo: Este trabalho teve como objetivo contribuir para o processo de adaptação cultural do Neck Disability Index (NDI), através da análise da sua unidimensionalidade e do estudo da sua fiabilidade (consistência interna e fiabilidade teste-reteste), validade de constructo e poder de resposta. De igual forma pretendeu-se caraterizar a intervenção realizada pela fisioterapia e os resultados obtidos em pacientes com Dor Cervical Crónica (DCC). Introdução: A dor cervical é um problema cada vez mais comum nos países industrializados, constituindo uma das três condições mais frequentemente reportadas por queixas de origem músculo-esquelética. A sua incidência é um fenómeno em crescimento, com custos implicados para a sociedade. Desta forma reconhece-se a importância de um instrumento que monitorize a evolução da incapacidade funcional associada à DCC. O NDI é atualmente o instrumento de avaliação mais recomendado para avaliar a incapacidade funcional associada à dor cervical. Foi traduzido e adaptado à língua portuguesa, mas à data não foi realizada nenhuma avaliação das suas propriedades psicométricas. Por outro lado, apesar de a literatura referir que os serviços de Fisioterapia são extremamente procurados por indivíduos com DCC, em Portugal, a informação sobre a sua prática nesta condição clínica é escassa ou mesmo inexistente. Assim, e sendo a incapacidade nas atividades funcionais uma das variáveis de maior impacto da DCC e ao mesmo tempo um dos resultados principais da intervenção da Fisioterapia, importa por um lado possuir instrumentos capazes de avaliar o nível de incapacidade funcional e a sua mudança, e por outro, aferir qual a intervenção realizada pela Fisioterapia e quais os resultados obtidos. Metodologia: Realizou-se um estudo de coorte prospetivo com uma amostra de conveniência, do tipo não probabilístico, constituída por 88 pacientes com DCC de origem músculo-esquelética e causa não traumática referenciados para 6 serviços de fisioterapia / medicina física e de reabilitação de clínicas e centros de reabilitação, sendo elegíveis todos os pacientes que cumprissem os critérios de inclusão e exclusão estabelecidos. Os pacientes foram avaliados em três momentos pré-definidos: antes do início das sessões de fisioterapia ou na 1ª semana de tratamento; 4 a 7 dias após a 1ª avaliação; e 7 semanas após o início da fisioterapia. Para verificação da unidimensionalidade do NDI, procedeu-se a uma Análise Fatorial Exploratória. As propriedades psicométricas do NDI avaliadas foram a Fiabilidade (consistência interna e fiabilidade teste-reteste), a Validade de Constructo e o Poder de Resposta. Posteriormente procedeu-se à caraterização da prática da fisioterapia quanto às modalidades utilizadas, número de sessões de tratamento e duração do episódio de cuidados. Adicionalmente descreveu-se os resultados obtidos após a intervenção da fisioterapia ao nível da dor e incapacidade. Resultados: os resultados obtidos foram positivos e significativos, com a confirmação da unidimensionalidade do NDI, sendo que em todos os critérios seguidos o fator mínimo retido foi de um. Na avaliação da consistência interna o valor obtido foi acima do mínimo aceitável (α Cronbach = 0,77), enquanto o valor de fiabilidade teste-reteste foi elevado (CCI =0,95). De igual forma, os resultados foram positivos para a validade de constructo, obtendo-se uma associação positiva do NDI com a Escala Numérica da dor (END). O valores de poder de resposta reportaram uma Área Abaixo da Curva de 0,63 (IC 95%=0,51-0,75), com valor de Diferença Mínima Clinicamente importante de 5,5 pontos (sensibilidade = 69,6%; especificidade = 43,6%). Relativamente á intervenção de fisioterapia em casos de DCC verificou-se que as características da prática da fisioterapia reportadas neste relatório são de difícil comparação ou análise dada a escassez ou inexistência de trabalhos publicados sobre este assunto em pacientes com DCC. No entanto, neste estudo, encontraram-se reduções significativas na intensidade da dor e incapacidade funcional após a intervenção de fisioterapia (z= -7,16; p<0,001 e t= 10,412, p<0,05, respetivamente). Conclusão: Os resultados do presente estudo revelam que o NDI-VP possui uma boa Fiabilidade, Validade de Constructo e Poder de Resposta. Revela ainda que a intervenção da fisioterapia em casos de DCC, apesar da escassez de trabalhos publicados, proporciona uma redução significativa dos níveis de dor e incapacidade em pacientes com DCC.--------------- ABSTRACT:Objective: the aim of this study was to contribute for the process of cultural adaption of the Neck Disability Index (NDI), through the analysis of his unidimensionality and the study of his reliability (internal consistency and test-retest reliability), construct validity and responsiveness. At the same time it pretends to characterize the intervention performed by physical therapy and the results in patients with Chronic Neck Pain (CNP). Introduction: neck pain is a common problem in the industrialized countries, since is one of the three most reported conditions by complaints with musculoskeletal origin. His incidence is a growth phenomena that implicate great costs to society. Therefore the importance of an instrument that monitories the evolution of the functional disability associated to CNP is recognized. Nowadays, NDI is the instrument most recommended to evaluate functional disability associated to neck pain. It has been translated and adapted to portuguese but, till now, no evaluation of his psychometric proprieties has been completed. In the other hand, despite literature refers that physical therapy services are extremely searched by patients with neck pain, in Portugal, the information about practice in this clinical condition is very few or inexistent. Therefore, and since disability in the functional activities is one of the variables with most impact of CNP and, at the same time, one of the main results of physical therapy interventions, it’s important to have instruments capable of evaluate the level of functional disability and his change, and also calculate which intervention of physical therapy is most appropriate and his results. Methodology: it was used a prospective cohort study with a convenience sample, non-probabilistic, consisting of 88 patients with CNP of musculoskeletal origin and non-traumatic cause, referred to 6 physical therapy services of clinics and rehabilitation centers, and fulfilled the inclusion and exclusion criteria established. Patients were evaluated in three pre-defined moments: before the beginning of physical therapy or during the first week of treatment; 4 to 7 days after the first evaluation; and 7 weeks after beginning of physical therapy. To verify NDI unidimensionality, we run an Exploratory Factorial Analysis. NDI psychometric proprieties evaluated were reliability (internal consistency and test-retest reliability), construct validity and responsiveness. Subsequently, it was proceeded the characterization the practice of physical therapy regarding to the modalities used, the number of treatment sessions and duration of the episode of care. Additionally it was described the results obtained after the intervention of the physical therapy, the level of pain and the disability. Results: results were positive and significant, with the confirmation of the NDI unidimensionality, since in every followed criteria the minimal retained factor was one. In the evaluation of internal consistency the value was above the minimal accepted (α Cronbach = 0,77), and the test-retest reliability value was high (CCI =0,95). Results were positive to construct validity, with an positive association of the NDI with Numeric Rating Scale (NRS). Responsiveness values reported an Area Under Curve (AUC) of 0,63 (IC 95%=0,51-0,75) with a Minimal Important Detectable Change (MIDC) of 5,5 points (sensitivity = 69,9%; specificity = 43,6%). Regarding physical therapy interventions in CNP, it was verified that the physical therapy characteristics reported are difficult to compare or analyze since there are very few published studies about this topic. However, in this study, significant reductions were founded in pain intensity and functional disability after intervention(z= -7,16; p<0,001 and t= 10,412, p<0,05, respectively).Conclusion: present study results reveals that NDI has an good reliability, construct validity and responsiveness. It also reveals that physical therapy intervention in CNP, beside few studies published, result in a significant reduction of pain and disability levels in patients with CNP.

Caracterização da intervenção da Fisioterapia em indivíduos com dor crónica lombar, e seus resultados a nível da dor e capacidade funcional

RESUMO: Objectivo: Este trabalho teve como objectivo contribuir para o processo de adaptação cultural da Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale (QBPDS), através do estudo da sua Validade de Constructo e Poder de Resposta, e caracterizar a intervenção realizada pela fisioterapia (FT) e os resultados obtidos em utentes com dor crónica lombar (DCL). Introdução: A redução da incapacidade funcional associada à DCL é um dos principais objectivos e resultados da intervenção da FT nestes utentes. Com o intuito de proceder à sua avaliação, pode recorrer-se a um conjunto de diferentes instrumentos de medida, sendo a QBPDS uma das escalas mais utilizadas para medir a incapacidade. Embora esta tenha sido anteriormente adaptada para a população portuguesa, não foram determinadas as suas propriedades psicométricas. Por outro lado, apesar da literatura referir que os serviços de FT são bastante procurados por indivíduos com DCL, em Portugal, a informação existente sobre a prática da FT nesta condição clínica e sobre os resultados obtidos é ainda escassa. Metodologia: Recorreu-se a um estudo de coorte prospectivo com uma amostra de conveniência, constituída por 119 indivíduos com DCL, que iniciaram fisioterapia em 16 centros/ hospitais/ clínicas de Fisioterapia/ utentes no domicílio, e cumpriam os critérios de inclusão e exclusão estabelecidos. Os utentes foram avaliados no momento pré-intervenção e num segundo momento até 6 semanas depois. As propriedades psicométricas da Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale –Versão Portuguesa (QBPDS-VP) avaliadas foram a Validade de Constructo e o Poder de Resposta. Posteriormente procedeu-se à caracterizar a prática da FT quanto às modalidades utilizadas, número de sessões de tratamento e duração do episódio de cuidados. Adicionalmente descreveu-se os resultados obtidos após a intervenção da FT, ao nível da dor e incapacidade. Resultados: Os resultados revelaram um resultado positivo para a Validade de Constructo da QBPDS-VP e um elevado Poder de Resposta (área abaixo da curva ROC = 0,736; IC95%=0,639-0,833). Apresenta ainda uma diferença mínima clinicamente importante (DMCI) de 7 pontos (sensibilidade =72,4% e especificidade = 69,8%). Aquando da intervenção da FT em casos de DCL, existe uma grande diversidade de modalidades realizadas combinadas em diferentes pacotes de intervenção, e verificou-se um número médio de sessões realizadas de 14,22 visitas por utente, numa duração de episódio de cuidados maioritariamente superior a 6 semanas. Os resultados da intervenção revelaram uma redução significativa da incapacidade funcional e da intensidade da dor (z= -7,440 e z=-6,625; respectivamente, p=0,000). Conclusão: Os resultados do presente estudo revelam que a QBPDS-VP possui uma boa Validade de Constructo e Poder de Resposta. Revela ainda que a intervenção da FT em casos de DCL, apesar de apresentar grande diversidade nas modalidades utilizadas por vezes até divergentes das recomendações dadas pelas normas de orientação clínica, e uma duração do episódio de cuidados aparentemente superior aos dados fornecidos pela literatura; proporciona uma redução significativa dos níveis de dor e incapacidade em utentes com DCL.------------ ABSTRACT: Objective: The aim of this study is to contribute to the process of cultural adaptation of the Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale (QBPDS), through the study of its Construct Validity and Responsiveness, and characterize the intervention performed by physical therapy (PT) and the results in patients with chronic low back pain (CLBP). Introduction: The reduction in functional disability associated with CLBP is one of the main purpose and results of physical therapy intervention in these patients. With the intention of evaluating them, the professionals can resort to a set of different measuring instruments, and the QBPDS is one of the most commonly used scales for measuring disability. Although this has been previously adapted for the Portuguese population, it was not determined its psychometric properties. Moreover, despite the literature noted that services for PT are quite sought by individuals with CLBP, in Portugal, the existing information on the practice of PT in this clinical condition and the results obtained are still scarce. Methodology: It was used a prospective cohort study with a convenience sample consisting of 119 individuals with CLBP, who started therapy at 16 centers / hospitals / Physiotherapy clinics / household physiotherapy, and fulfiled the inclusion and exclusion criteria established . The patients were assessed at pre-intervention and a second time after 6 weeks. Psychometric properties of the Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale-Portuguese version (QBPDS-VP) were evaluated to construct validity and responsiveness. Subsequently, it was proceeded to the characterization the practice of FT regarding to the modalities used, the number of treatment sessions and duration of the episode of care. Additionally it was described the results obtained after the intervention of the PT, the level of pain and the disability. Results: The results revealed a positive result for the Construct Validity of the QBPDS- VP and a high responsiveness (area under the ROC curve = 0.736, 95% CI 0.639 to 0.833). Minimal clinically important difference (MCID) also presents a 7-point (sensitivity = 72.4% and specificity = 69.8%). In the PT intervention in cases of CLBP there is a great diversity of procedures performed combined in different packages intervention, and it was found an average number of sessions of 14.22 visits per user, with a duration of the episode of care mostly higher to 6 weeks. The results of the intervention showed a significant reduction of disability and pain intensity (z = -7.440 z = -6.625, respectively, p = 0.000).Conclusion: The results of this study show that QBPDS-VP has a good construct validity and responsiveness. It also reveals that the PT intervention in cases of CLBP, despite showing great diversity in the methods used, that sometimes are also divergent to the recommendations given by clinical guidelines, and with a duration of episode of care apparently superior to data provided by the literature, provides an significant reduction in the levels of pain and disability in patients with DCL.

Disturbed Correlation Between Arterial Resistance and Pulsatility in Glaucoma Patients

PURPOSE: (i) To investigate whether pulsatility index (PI) and mean flow velocities (MFV) are altered in glaucoma patients. (ii) To evaluate the significance of PI in retrobulbar autoregulation capacity. METHODS: Patients with primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG; n = 49), normal tension glaucoma (NTG; n = 62) and healthy controls (n = 48) underwent colour Doppler imaging measurements of the retrobulbar vasculature. Kruskal-Wallis test was used to compare variables between the three diagnostic groups. Restricted cubic splines were used to determine nonlinearities between the resistive index (RI) and PI correlations. RESULTS: Mean flow velocities (MFV) were lower in both short posterior ciliary arteries (SCPA) and central retinal arteries (CRA) from the two glaucoma groups (p < 0.04 versus healthy controls). No differences were detected in RI or PI in any arteries of the three diagnostic groups (p > 0.08). In healthy individuals, correlations between RI and PI were linear in all arteries. In both POAG and NTG patients, CRA presented a nonlinear curve with a cutpoint at RI 0.77 (p < 0.001) and 0.61 (p = 0.03), respectively, above which the slope increased nearly five- and tenfold (POAG: 1.96 to 10.06; NTG: -0.46-4.06), respectively. A nonlinear correlation in the ophthalmic artery was only observed in NTG patients, with a cutpoint at RI 0.82 (p < 0.001), above which the slope increased from 3.47 to 14.03. CONCLUSIONS: Glaucoma patients do not present the linear relationships between RI and PI observed in healthy individuals. Their nonlinear relations may be indicative of an altered autoregulation and suggest a possible threshold RI could be determined above which autoregulatory disturbances become more relevant.

Principal component analysis of the yield curve

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Finance from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Fitting the yield curve

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Finance from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Predição de Pré-Eclâmpsia no Primeiro Trimestre em Gravidezes de Baixo Risco: Determinação do Cut-Off numa Amostra da População Portuguesa

Objective:We aimed to identify the cut-off for risk of pre-eclampsia (PE) in Portuguese population by applying the first trimester prediction model from Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) in a prospective enrolled cohort of low risk pregnant women. Population and methods: A prospective cohort of low risk singleton pregnancies underwent routine first-trimester scree - ning from 2011 through 2013. Maternal characteristics, blood pressure, uterine artery Doppler, levels of pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and free b-human chorionic gonadotropin were evaluated. The prediction of PE in first trimester was calculated through software Astraia, the outcome obtained from medical records and the cutoff value was subse quently calculated. Results:Of the 273 enrolled patients, 7 (2.6%) developed PE. In first trimester women who developed PE presented higher uterine arteries resistance, represented by higher values of lowest and mean uterine pulsatility index, p <0.005. There was no statistical significance among the remaining maternal characteristics, body mass index, blood pressure and PAPP-A. Using the FMF first trimester PE algorithm, an ideal cut-off of 0.045 (1/22) would correctly detect 71% women who developed PE for a 12% false positive rate and a likelihood ratio of 12.98 (area under the curve: 0.69; confidence interval 95%: 0.39-0.99). By applying the reported cutoff to our cohort, we would obtain 71.4% true positives, 88.3% true negatives, 11.4% false positives and 28.6% false negatives. Conclusion: By applying a first trimester PE prediction model to low risk pregnancies derived from a Portuguese population, a significant proportion of patients would have been predicted as high risk. New larger studies are required to confirm the present findings.