Antagonistic roles of Notch and p63 in controlling mammary epithelial cell fates.

The breast epithelium has two major compartments, luminal and basal cells, that are established and maintained by poorly understood mechanisms. The p53 homolog, p63, is required for the formation of mammary buds, but its function in the breast after birth is unknown. We show that in primary human breast epithelial cells, maintenance of basal cell characteristics depends on continued expression of the p63 isoform, DeltaNp63, which is expressed in the basal compartment. Forced expression of DeltaNp63 in purified luminal cells confers a basal phenotype. Notch signaling downmodulates DeltaNp63 expression and mimics DeltaNp63 depletion, whereas forced expression of DeltaNp63 partially counteracts the effects of Notch. Consistent with Notch activation specifying luminal cell fate in the mammary gland, Notch signaling activity is specifically detected in mice at sites of pubertal ductal morphogenesis where luminal cell fate is determined. Basal cells in which Notch signaling is active show decreased p63 expression. Both constitutive expression of DeltaNp63 and ablation of Notch signaling are incompatible with luminal cell fate. Thus, the balance between basal and luminal cell compartments of the breast is regulated by antagonistic functions of DeltaNp63 and Notch.Cell Death and Differentiation advance online publication, 9 April 2010; doi:10.1038/cdd.2010.37.

Change in physical activity after smoking cessation: the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study.

AIMS: To estimate physical activity trajectories for people who quit smoking, and compare them to what would have been expected had smoking continued. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 5115 participants in the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study (CARDIA) study, a population-based study of African American and European American people recruited at age 18-30 years in 1985/6 and followed over 25 years. MEASUREMENTS: Physical activity was self-reported during clinical examinations at baseline (1985/6) and at years 2, 5, 7, 10, 15, 20 and 25 (2010/11); smoking status was reported each year (at examinations or by telephone, and imputed where missing). We used mixed linear models to estimate trajectories of physical activity under varying smoking conditions, with adjustment for participant characteristics and secular trends. FINDINGS: We found significant interactions by race/sex (P = 0.02 for the interaction with cumulative years of smoking), hence we investigated the subgroups separately. Increasing years of smoking were associated with a decline in physical activity in black and white women and black men [e.g. coefficient for 10 years of smoking: -0.14; 95% confidence interval (CI) = -0.20 to -0.07, P < 0.001 for white women]. An increase in physical activity was associated with years since smoking cessation in white men (coefficient 0.06; 95% CI = 0 to 0.13, P = 0.05). The physical activity trajectory for people who quit diverged progressively towards higher physical activity from the expected trajectory had smoking continued. For example, physical activity was 34% higher (95% CI = 18 to 52%; P < 0.001) for white women 10 years after stopping compared with continuing smoking for those 10 years (P = 0.21 for race/sex differences). CONCLUSIONS: Smokers who quit have progressively higher levels of physical activity in the years after quitting compared with continuing smokers.

Cytochrome P450 1A2 activity and inducibility: impact of smoking, smoking cessation and genetic polymorphisms

Aims: Cytochrome P4501A2 (CYP1A2) is involved in the metabolism of severaldrugs (clozapine, olanzapine, theopylline, caffeine, etc) and is induced by smoking.This can result in decreased plasma levels of drugs metabolized by thisisoenzyme, causing a decrease in therapeutic response. After quitting smoking,increased plasma levels can lead to adverse effects of the concerned drugs, such asconfusion and seizures, described under clozapine treatment. The present studyaimed to examine the variation of CYP1A2 activity in a large group of smokersbefore and after smoking cessation. Moreover, we aimed to determine whethergenetic polymorphisms of CYP1A2 gene could influence the inducibility ofCYP1A2. Methods: CYP1A2 activity was determined by the paraxanthine/caffeineratio in 194 smokers and in 118 of them being abstinent during a 4-weekperiod. Participants were genotyped for CYP1A2*1F (rs762551), *1D(rs35694136) and *1C (rs2069514) polymorphisms. Results: Smokers had higherCYP1A2 activity (1.55-fold; p < 0.0001). Individual change of CYP1A2 activityafter smoking cessation ranged from 1.0-fold (no change) to 7.3-fold decreasedactivity. In five participants with low initial CYP1A2 activity, an increase wasobserved after smoking cessation. During smoking, CYP1A2*1F (p = 0.005), CYP1A2*1D (p = 0.014), the number of cigarettes/day (p = 0.012), contraceptives use(p < 0.001) and - 163A/- 2467T/- 3860G haplotype (p = 0.002) influencedCYP1A2 activity, while after quitting smoking, CYP1A2*1F (p = 0.017) and contraceptives(p = 0.05) did. No influence of CYP1A2 polymorphisms on the inducibilityof CYP1A2 was observed. Conclusion: Higher CYP1A2 activity wasmeasured in smokers, but with a large interindividual variability of its inductionby smoking. Careful clinical management with the help of therapeutic drug monitoringis therefore needed for patients receiving drugs which are metabolized byCYP1A2, who stop or start smoking. Unidentified genetic variations in theCYP1A2 gene and/or in other genes controlling CYP1A2 activity and other environmentalfactors could be responsible of the observed differences in CYP1A2enzymatic activity and inducibility.

Movement, impacts and management of plant distributions in response to climate change: insights from invasions

A major challenge in this era of rapid climate change is to predict changes in species distributions and their impacts on ecosystems, and, if necessary, to recommend management strategies for maintenance of biodiversity or ecosystem services. Biological invasions, studied in most biomes of the world, can provide useful analogs for some of the ecological consequences of species distribution shifts in response to climate change. Invasions illustrate the adaptive and interactive responses that can occur when species are confronted with new environmental conditions. Invasion ecology complements climate change research and provides insights into the following questions: i) how will species distributions respond to climate change? ii) how will species movement affect recipient ecosystems? and iii) should we, and if so how can we, manage species and ecosystems in the face of climate change? Invasion ecology demonstrates that a trait-based approach can help to predict spread speeds and impacts on ecosystems, and has the potential to predict climate change impacts on species ranges and recipient ecosystems. However, there is a need to analyse traits in the context of life-history and demography, the stage in the colonisation process (e.g., spread, establishment or impact), the distribution of suitable habitats in the landscape, and the novel abiotic and biotic conditions under which those traits are expressed. As is the case with climate change, invasion ecology is embedded within complex societal goals. Both disciplines converge on similar questions of "when to intervene?" and "what to do?" which call for a better understanding of the ecological processes and social values associated with changing ecosystems.

Is it Time to Change Your Hat?, 2003

A one page informational sheet about skin cancer and the hat you wear. Sun Safety

Organisational Values as "Attractors of Chaos": An Emerging Cultural Change to Manage Organisational Complexity

Business organisations are excellent representations of what in physics and mathematics are designated "chaotic" systems. Because a culture of innovation will be vital for organisational survival in the 21st century, the present paper proposes that viewing organisations in terms of "complexity theory" may assist leaders in fine-tuning managerial philosophies that provide orderly management emphasizing stability within a culture of organised chaos, for it is on the "boundary of chaos" that the greatest creativity occurs. It is argued that 21st century companies, as chaotic social systems, will no longer be effectively managed by rigid objectives (MBO) nor by instructions (MBI). Their capacity for self-organisation will be derived essentially from how their members accept a shared set of values or principles for action (MBV). Complexity theory deals with systems that show complex structures in time or space, often hiding simple deterministic rules. This theory holds that once these rules are found, it is possible to make effective predictions and even to control the apparent complexity. The state of chaos that self-organises, thanks to the appearance of the "strange attractor", is the ideal basis for creativity and innovation in the company. In this self-organised state of chaos, members are not confined to narrow roles, and gradually develop their capacity for differentiation and relationships, growing continuously toward their maximum potential contribution to the efficiency of the organisation. In this way, values act as organisers or "attractors" of disorder, which in the theory of chaos are equations represented by unusually regular geometric configurations that predict the long-term behaviour of complex systems. In business organisations (as in all kinds of social systems) the starting principles end up as the final principles in the long term. An attractor is a model representation of the behavioral results of a system. The attractor is not a force of attraction or a goal-oriented presence in the system; it simply depicts where the system is headed based on its rules of motion. Thus, in a culture that cultivates or shares values of autonomy, responsibility, independence, innovation, creativity, and proaction, the risk of short-term chaos is mitigated by an overall long-term sense of direction. A more suitable approach to manage the internal and external complexities that organisations are currently confronting is to alter their dominant culture under the principles of MBV.

The varieties of regional change

Many metropolitan areas have experienced extreme boom-bust cycles over the past century. Some places, like Detroit, grew enormously as industrial powerhouses and then declined, while other older cities, like Boston, seem quite resilient. Education does a reasonable job of explaining urban resilience. In this paper, we present a simple model where education increases the level of entrepreneurship. In this model, human capital spillovers occur at the city level because skilled workers produce more product varieties and thereby increase labor demand. We decompose empirically the causes of the connection between skills and urban success and find that skills are associated with growth in productivity or entrepreneurship, not with growth in quality of life, at least outside of the West. We also find that skills seem to have depressed housing supply growth in the West, but not in other regions, which supports the view that educated residents in that region have fought for tougher land-use controls. We also present evidence that skills have had a disproportionately large impact on unemployment during the current recession.

Gliotransmission in the hippocampus, mechanisms and interaction with synaptic functions

SUMMARYAstrocytes represent the largest cell population in the human brain. In addition to a well established role as metabolic support for neuronal activity, in the last years these cells have been found to accomplish other important and, sometimes, unexpected functions. The tight enwrapping of synapses by astrocytic processes and the predominant expression of glutamate uptake carriers in the astrocytic rather than neuronal plasma membranes brought to the definition of a critical involvement of astrocytes in the clearance of glutamate from synaptic junctions. Moreover, several publications showed that astrocytes are able to release chemical transmitters (gliotransmitters) suggesting their active implication in the control of synaptic functions. Among gliotransmitters, the best characterized is glutamate, which has been proposed to be released from astrocytes in a Ca2+ dependent manner via exocytosis of synaptic-like microvesicles.In my thesis I present results leading to substantial advancement of the understanding of the mechanisms by which astrocytes modulate synaptic activity in the hippocampus, notably at excitatory synapses on dentate granule cells. I show that tumor necrosis factor- alpha (TNFa), a molecule that is generally involved in immune system functions, critically controls astrocyte-to-synapse communication (gliotransmission) in the brain. With constitutive levels of TNFa present, activation of purinergic G protein-coupled receptors in astrocytes, called P2Y1 receptors, induces localized intracellular calcium ([Ca2+]j) elevation in astrocytic processes (measured by two-photon microscopy) followed by glutamate release and activation of pre-synaptic NMDA receptors resulting in synaptic potentiation. In preparations lacking TNFa, astrocytes respond with identical [Ca2+]i elevations but fail to induce neuromodulation. I find that TNFa specifically controls the glutamate release step of gliotransmission. Addition of very low (picomolar) TNFa concentrations to preparations lacking the cytokine, promptly reconstitutes both normal exocytosis in cultured astrocytes and gliotransmission in hippocampal slices. These data provide the first demonstration that gliotransmission and its synaptic effects are controlled not only by astrocyte [Ca2+]i elevations but also by permissive/homeostatic factors like TNFa.In addition, I find that higher and presumably pathological TNFa concentrations do not act just permissively but instead become direct and potent triggers of glutamate release from astrocytes, leading to a strong enhancement of excitatory synaptic activity. The TNFa action, like the one observed upon P2Y1R activation, is mediated by pre-synaptic NMDA receptors, but in this case the effect is long-lasting, and not reversible. Moreover, I report that a necessary molecular target for this action of TNFa is TNFR1, one of the two specific receptors for the cytokine, as I found that TNFa was unable to induce synaptic potentiation when applied in slices from TNFR1 knock-out (Tnfrlv") mice. I then created a double transgenic mouse model where TNFR1 is knocked out in all cells but can be re-expressed selectively in astrocytes and I report that activation of the receptors in these cells is sufficient to reestablish TNFa-dependent long-lasting potentiation of synaptic activity in the TNFR1 knock-out mice.I therefore discovered that TNFa is a primary molecule displaying both permissive and instructive roles on gliotransmission controlling synaptic functions. These reports might have profound implications for the understanding of both physiological and pathological processes associated to TNFa production, including inflammatory processes in the brain.RÉSUMÉLes astrocytes sont les cellules les plus abondantes du cerveau humain. Outre leur rôle bien établi dans le support métabolique de l'activité neuronale, d'autres fonctions importantes, et parfois inattendues de ces cellules ont été mises en lumière au cours de ces dernières années. Les astrocytes entourent étroitement les synapses de leurs fins processus qui expriment fortement les transporteurs du glutamate et permettent ainsi aux astrocytes de jouer un rôle critique dans l'élimination du glutamate de la fente synaptique. Néanmoins, les astrocytes semblent être capables de jouer un rôle plus intégratif en modulant l'activité synaptique, notamment par la libération de transmetteurs (gliotransmetteurs). Le gliotransmetteur le plus étudié est le glutamate qui est libéré par l'exocytose régulée de petites vésicules ressemblant aux vésicules synaptiques (SLMVs) via un mécanisme dépendant du calcium.Les résultats présentés dans cette thèse permettent une avancée significative dans la compréhension du mode de communication de ces cellules et de leur implication dans la transmission de l'information synaptique dans l'hippocampe, notamment des synapses excitatrices des cellules granulaires du gyrus dentelé. J'ai pu montrer que le « facteur de nécrose tumorale alpha » (TNFa), une cytokine communément associée au système immunitaire, est aussi fondamentale pour la communication entre astrocyte et synapse. Lorsqu'un niveau constitutif très bas de TNFa est présent, l'activation des récepteurs purinergiques P2Y1 (des récepteurs couplés à protéine G) produit une augmentation locale de calcium (mesurée en microscopie bi-photonique) dans l'astrocyte. Cette dernière déclenche ensuite une libération de glutamate par les astrocytes conduisant à l'activation de récepteurs NMDA présynaptiques et à une augmentation de l'activité synaptique. En revanche, dans la souris TNFa knock-out cette modulation de l'activité synaptique par les astrocytes n'est pas bien qu'ils présentent toujours une excitabilité calcique normale. Nous avons démontré que le TNFa contrôle spécifiquement l'exocytose régulée des SLMVs astrocytaires en permettant la fusion synchrone de ces vésicules et la libération de glutamate à destination des récepteurs neuronaux. Ainsi, nous avons, pour la première fois, prouvé que la modulation de l'activité synaptique par l'astrocyte nécessite, pour fonctionner correctement, des facteurs « permissifs » comme le TNFa, agissant sur le mode de sécrétion du glutamate astrocytaire.J'ai pu, en outre, démontrer que le TNFa, à des concentrations plus élevées (celles que l'on peut observer lors de conditions pathologiques) provoque une très forte augmentation de l'activité synaptique, agissant non plus comme simple facteur permissif mais bien comme déclencheur de la gliotransmission. Le TNFa provoque 1'activation des récepteurs NMD A pré-synaptiques (comme dans le cas des P2Y1R) mais son effet est à long terme et irréversible. J'ai découvert que le TNFa active le récepteur TNFR1, un des deux récepteurs spécifiques pour le TNFa. Ainsi, l'application de cette cytokine sur une tranche de cerveau de souris TNFR1 knock-out ne produit aucune modification de l'activité synaptique. Pour vérifier l'implication des astrocytes dans ce processus, j'ai ensuite mis au point un modèle animal doublement transgénique qui exprime le TNFR1 uniquement dans les astrocytes. Ce dernier m'a permis de prouver que l'activation des récepteurs TNFR1 astrocytaires est suffisante pour induire une augmentation de l'activité synaptique de manière durable.Nous avons donc découvert que le TNFa possède un double rôle, à la fois un rôle permissif et actif, dans le contrôle de la gliotransmission et, par conséquent, dans la modulation de l'activité synaptique. Cette découverte peut potentiellement être d'une extrême importance pour la compréhension des mécanismes physiologiques et pathologiques associés à la production du TNFa, en particulier lors de conditions inflammatoires.RÉSUMÉ GRAND PUBLICLes astrocytes représentent la population la plus nombreuse de cellules dans le cerveau humain. On sait, néanmoins, très peu de choses sur leurs fonctions. Pendant très longtemps, les astrocytes ont uniquement été considérés comme la colle du cerveau, un substrat inerte permettant seulement de lier les cellules neuronales entre elles. Il n'y a que depuis peu que l'on a découvert de nouvelles implications de ces cellules dans le fonctionnement cérébral, comme, entre autres, une fonction de support métabolique de l'activité neuronale et un rôle dans la modulation de la neurotransmission. C'est ce dernier aspect qui fait l'objet de mon projet de thèse.Nous avons découvert que l'activité des synapses (régions qui permettent la communication d'un neurone à un autre) qui peut être potentialisée par la libération du glutamate par les astrocytes, ne peut l'être que dans des conditions astrocytaires très particulières. Nous avons, en particulier, identifié une molécule, le facteur de nécrose tumorale alpha (TNFa) qui joue un rôle critique dans cette libération de glutamate astrocytaire.Le TNFa est surtout connu pour son rôle dans le système immunitaire et le fait qu'il est massivement libéré lors de processus inflammatoires. Nous avons découvert qu'en concentration minime, correspondant à sa concentration basale, le TNFa peut néanmoins exercer un rôle indispensable en permettant la communication entre l'astrocyte et le neurone. Ce mode de fonctionnement est assez probablement représentatif d'un processus physiologique qui permet d'intégrer la communication astrocyte/neurone au fonctionnement général du cerveau. Par ailleurs, nous avons également démontré qu'en quantité plus importante, le TNFa change son mode de fonctionnement et agit comme un stimulateur direct de la libération de glutamate par l'astrocyte et induit une activation persistante de l'activité synaptique. Ce mode de fonctionnement est assez probablement représentatif d'un processus pathologique.Nous sommes également arrivés à ces conclusions grâce à la mise en place d'une nouvelle souche de souris doublement transgéniques dans lesquelles seuls les astrocytes (etnon les neurones ou les autres cellules cérébrales) sont capables d'être activés par le TNFa.

Cyclical Skill-Biased Technological Change

Over the past two decades, technological progress has been biased towards making skilled labor more productive. The evidence for this finding is based on the persistent parallel increase in the skill premium and the supply of skilled workers. What are the implications of skill-biased technological change for the business cycle? To answer this question, we use the CPS outgoing rotation groups to construct quarterly series for the price and quantity of skill. The unconditional correlation of the skill premium with the cycle is zero. However, using a structural VAR with long run restrictions, we find that technology shocks substantially increase the premium. Investment-specific technology shocks are not skill-biased and our findings suggest that capital and skill are (mildly) substitutable in aggregate production.

Rules of origin : from analysis to reform

General Introduction This thesis can be divided into two main parts :the first one, corresponding to the first three chapters, studies Rules of Origin (RoOs) in Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs); the second part -the fourth chapter- is concerned with Anti-Dumping (AD) measures. Despite wide-ranging preferential access granted to developing countries by industrial ones under North-South Trade Agreements -whether reciprocal, like the Europe Agreements (EAs) or NAFTA, or not, such as the GSP, AGOA, or EBA-, it has been claimed that the benefits from improved market access keep falling short of the full potential benefits. RoOs are largely regarded as a primary cause of the under-utilization of improved market access of PTAs. RoOs are the rules that determine the eligibility of goods to preferential treatment. Their economic justification is to prevent trade deflection, i.e. to prevent non-preferred exporters from using the tariff preferences. However, they are complex, cost raising and cumbersome, and can be manipulated by organised special interest groups. As a result, RoOs can restrain trade beyond what it is needed to prevent trade deflection and hence restrict market access in a statistically significant and quantitatively large proportion. Part l In order to further our understanding of the effects of RoOs in PTAs, the first chapter, written with Pr. Olivier Cadot, Celine Carrère and Pr. Jaime de Melo, describes and evaluates the RoOs governing EU and US PTAs. It draws on utilization-rate data for Mexican exports to the US in 2001 and on similar data for ACP exports to the EU in 2002. The paper makes two contributions. First, we construct an R-index of restrictiveness of RoOs along the lines first proposed by Estevadeordal (2000) for NAFTA, modifying it and extending it for the EU's single-list (SL). This synthetic R-index is then used to compare Roos under NAFTA and PANEURO. The two main findings of the chapter are as follows. First, it shows, in the case of PANEURO, that the R-index is useful to summarize how countries are differently affected by the same set of RoOs because of their different export baskets to the EU. Second, it is shown that the Rindex is a relatively reliable statistic in the sense that, subject to caveats, after controlling for the extent of tariff preference at the tariff-line level, it accounts for differences in utilization rates at the tariff line level. Finally, together with utilization rates, the index can be used to estimate total compliance costs of RoOs. The second chapter proposes a reform of preferential Roos with the aim of making them more transparent and less discriminatory. Such a reform would make preferential blocs more "cross-compatible" and would therefore facilitate cumulation. It would also contribute to move regionalism toward more openness and hence to make it more compatible with the multilateral trading system. It focuses on NAFTA, one of the most restrictive FTAs (see Estevadeordal and Suominen 2006), and proposes a way forward that is close in spirit to what the EU Commission is considering for the PANEURO system. In a nutshell, the idea is to replace the current array of RoOs by a single instrument- Maximum Foreign Content (MFC). An MFC is a conceptually clear and transparent instrument, like a tariff. Therefore changing all instruments into an MFC would bring improved transparency pretty much like the "tariffication" of NTBs. The methodology for this exercise is as follows: In step 1, I estimate the relationship between utilization rates, tariff preferences and RoOs. In step 2, I retrieve the estimates and invert the relationship to get a simulated MFC that gives, line by line, the same utilization rate as the old array of Roos. In step 3, I calculate the trade-weighted average of the simulated MFC across all lines to get an overall equivalent of the current system and explore the possibility of setting this unique instrument at a uniform rate across lines. This would have two advantages. First, like a uniform tariff, a uniform MFC would make it difficult for lobbies to manipulate the instrument at the margin. This argument is standard in the political-economy literature and has been used time and again in support of reductions in the variance of tariffs (together with standard welfare considerations). Second, uniformity across lines is the only way to eliminate the indirect source of discrimination alluded to earlier. Only if two countries face uniform RoOs and tariff preference will they face uniform incentives irrespective of their initial export structure. The result of this exercise is striking: the average simulated MFC is 25% of good value, a very low (i.e. restrictive) level, confirming Estevadeordal and Suominen's critical assessment of NAFTA's RoOs. Adopting a uniform MFC would imply a relaxation from the benchmark level for sectors like chemicals or textiles & apparel, and a stiffening for wood products, papers and base metals. Overall, however, the changes are not drastic, suggesting perhaps only moderate resistance to change from special interests. The third chapter of the thesis considers whether Europe Agreements of the EU, with the current sets of RoOs, could be the potential model for future EU-centered PTAs. First, I have studied and coded at the six-digit level of the Harmonised System (HS) .both the old RoOs -used before 1997- and the "Single list" Roos -used since 1997. Second, using a Constant Elasticity Transformation function where CEEC exporters smoothly mix sales between the EU and the rest of the world by comparing producer prices on each market, I have estimated the trade effects of the EU RoOs. The estimates suggest that much of the market access conferred by the EAs -outside sensitive sectors- was undone by the cost-raising effects of RoOs. The chapter also contains an analysis of the evolution of the CEECs' trade with the EU from post-communism to accession. Part II The last chapter of the thesis is concerned with anti-dumping, another trade-policy instrument having the effect of reducing market access. In 1995, the Uruguay Round introduced in the Anti-Dumping Agreement (ADA) a mandatory "sunset-review" clause (Article 11.3 ADA) under which anti-dumping measures should be reviewed no later than five years from their imposition and terminated unless there was a serious risk of resumption of injurious dumping. The last chapter, written with Pr. Olivier Cadot and Pr. Jaime de Melo, uses a new database on Anti-Dumping (AD) measures worldwide to assess whether the sunset-review agreement had any effect. The question we address is whether the WTO Agreement succeeded in imposing the discipline of a five-year cycle on AD measures and, ultimately, in curbing their length. Two methods are used; count data analysis and survival analysis. First, using Poisson and Negative Binomial regressions, the count of AD measures' revocations is regressed on (inter alia) the count of "initiations" lagged five years. The analysis yields a coefficient on measures' initiations lagged five years that is larger and more precisely estimated after the agreement than before, suggesting some effect. However the coefficient estimate is nowhere near the value that would give a one-for-one relationship between initiations and revocations after five years. We also find that (i) if the agreement affected EU AD practices, the effect went the wrong way, the five-year cycle being quantitatively weaker after the agreement than before; (ii) the agreement had no visible effect on the United States except for aone-time peak in 2000, suggesting a mopping-up of old cases. Second, the survival analysis of AD measures around the world suggests a shortening of their expected lifetime after the agreement, and this shortening effect (a downward shift in the survival function postagreement) was larger and more significant for measures targeted at WTO members than for those targeted at non-members (for which WTO disciplines do not bind), suggesting that compliance was de jure. A difference-in-differences Cox regression confirms this diagnosis: controlling for the countries imposing the measures, for the investigated countries and for the products' sector, we find a larger increase in the hazard rate of AD measures covered by the Agreement than for other measures.

Financial Repression in a Natural Experiment: Loan Allocation and the Change in the Usury Laws in 1714

If financial deepening aids economic growth, then financial repression should be harmful. We use a natural experiment – the change in the English usury laws in 1714 – to analyze the effects of interest rate restrictions. We use a sample of individual loan transactions to demonstrate how the reduction of the legal maximum rate of interest affected the supply and demand for credit. Average loan size and minimum loan size increased strongly, and access to credit worsened for those with little ‘social capital.’ While we have no direct evidence that loans were misallocated, the discontinuity in loan receipts makes this highly likely. We conclude that financial repression can undermine the positive effects of financial deepening.

Late Early Triassic climate change: Insights from carbonate carbon isotopes, sedimentary evolution and ammonoid paleobiogeography

The late Early Triassic sedimentary-facies evolution and carbonate carbon-isotope marine record (delta(13)C(carb)) of ammonoid-rich, outer platform settings show striking similarities between the South ChinaBlock (SCB) and the widely distant Northern Indian Margin (NIM). The studied sections are located within the Triassic Tethys Himalayan belt (Losar section, Himachal Pradesh, India) and the Nanpanjiang Basin in the South China Block (Jinya section, Guangxi Province), respectively. Carbon isotopes from the studied sections confirm the previously observed carbon cycle perturbations at a time of major paleoceanographic changes in the wake of the end-Permian biotic crisis. This study documents the coincidence between a sharp increase in the carbon isotope composition and the worldwide ammonoid evolutionary turnover (extinction followed by a radiation) occurring around the Smithian-Spathian boundary. Based on recent modeling studies on ammonoid paleobiogeography and taxonomic diversity, we demonstrate that the late Early Triassic (Smithian and Spathian) was a time of a major climate change. More precisely, the end Smithian climate can be characterized by a warm and equable climate underlined by a flat, pole-to-equator, sea surface temperature (SST) gradient, while the steep Spathian SST gradient suggests latitudinally differentiated climatic conditions. Moreover, sedimentary evidence suggests a transition from a humid and hot climate during the Smithian to a dryer climate from the Spathian onwards. By analogy with comparable carbon isotope perturbations in the Late Devonian, Jurassic and Cretaceous we propose that high atmospheric CO(2) levels could have been responsible for the observed carbon cycle disturbance at the Smithian-Spathian boundary. We suggest that the end Smithian ammonoid extinction has been essentially caused by a warm and equable climate related to an increased CO(2) flux possibly originating from a short eruptive event of the Siberian igneous province. This increase in atmospheric CO(2) concentrations could have additionally reduced the marine calcium carbonate oversaturation and weakened the calcification potential of marine organisms, including ammonoids, in late Smithian oceans. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

The politics of contaminated sites management : institutional regime change and actor's mode of participation in the environmental management of the Bonfol Chemical Waste Landfill in Switzerland

By the end of the 1970s, contaminated sites had emerged as one of the most complex and urgent environmental issues affecting industrialized countries. The authors show that small and prosperous Switzerland is no exception to the pervasive problem of sites contamination, the legacy of past practices in waste management having left some 38,000 contaminated sites throughout the country. This book outlines the problem, offering evidence that open and polycentric environmental decision-making that includes civil society actors is valuable. They propose an understanding of environmental management of contaminated sites as a political process in which institutions frame interactions between strategic actors pursuing sometimes conflicting interests. In the opening chapter, the authors describe the influences of politics and the power relationships between actors involved in decision-making in contaminated sites management, which they term a "wicked problem." Chapter Two offers a theoretical framework for understanding institutions and the environmental management of contaminated sites. The next five chapters present a detailed case study on environmental management and contaminated sites in Switzerland, focused on the Bonfol Chemical Landfill. The study and analysis covers the establishment of the landfill under the first generation of environmental regulations, its closure and early remediation efforts, and the gambling on the remediation objectives, methods and funding in the first decade of the 21st Century. The concluding chapter discusses the question of whether the strength of environmental regulations, and the type of interactions between public, private, and civil society actors can explain the environmental choices in contaminated sites management. Drawing lessons from research, the authors debate the value of institutional flexibility for dealing with environmental issues such as contaminated sites.