Soft Computing Approach for Optimization of siRNA Efficiency Prediction for Post-transcriptional Gene Silencing

Post-transcriptional gene silencing by RNA interference is mediated by small interfering RNA called siRNA. This gene silencing mechanism can be exploited therapeutically to a wide variety of disease-associated targets, especially in AIDS, neurodegenerative diseases, cholesterol and cancer on mice with the hope of extending these approaches to treat humans. Over the recent past, a significant amount of work has been undertaken to understand the gene silencing mediated by exogenous siRNA. The design of efficient exogenous siRNA sequences is challenging because of many issues related to siRNA. While designing efficient siRNA, target mRNAs must be selected such that their corresponding siRNAs are likely to be efficient against that target and unlikely to accidentally silence other transcripts due to sequence similarity. So before doing gene silencing by siRNAs, it is essential to analyze their off-target effects in addition to their inhibition efficiency against a particular target. Hence designing exogenous siRNA with good knock-down efficiency and target specificity is an area of concern to be addressed. Some methods have been developed already by considering both inhibition efficiency and off-target possibility of siRNA against agene. Out of these methods, only a few have achieved good inhibition efficiency, specificity and sensitivity. The main focus of this thesis is to develop computational methods to optimize the efficiency of siRNA in terms of “inhibition capacity and off-target possibility” against target mRNAs with improved efficacy, which may be useful in the area of gene silencing and drug design for tumor development. This study aims to investigate the currently available siRNA prediction approaches and to devise a better computational approach to tackle the problem of siRNA efficacy by inhibition capacity and off-target possibility. The strength and limitations of the available approaches are investigated and taken into consideration for making improved solution. Thus the approaches proposed in this study extend some of the good scoring previous state of the art techniques by incorporating machine learning and statistical approaches and thermodynamic features like whole stacking energy to improve the prediction accuracy, inhibition efficiency, sensitivity and specificity. Here, we propose one Support Vector Machine (SVM) model, and two Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models for siRNA efficiency prediction. In SVM model, the classification property is used to classify whether the siRNA is efficient or inefficient in silencing a target gene. The first ANNmodel, named siRNA Designer, is used for optimizing the inhibition efficiency of siRNA against target genes. The second ANN model, named Optimized siRNA Designer, OpsiD, produces efficient siRNAs with high inhibition efficiency to degrade target genes with improved sensitivity-specificity, and identifies the off-target knockdown possibility of siRNA against non-target genes. The models are trained and tested against a large data set of siRNA sequences. The validations are conducted using Pearson Correlation Coefficient, Mathews Correlation Coefficient, Receiver Operating Characteristic analysis, Accuracy of prediction, Sensitivity and Specificity. It is found that the approach, OpsiD, is capable of predicting the inhibition capacity of siRNA against a target mRNA with improved results over the state of the art techniques. Also we are able to understand the influence of whole stacking energy on efficiency of siRNA. The model is further improved by including the ability to identify the “off-target possibility” of predicted siRNA on non-target genes. Thus the proposed model, OpsiD, can predict optimized siRNA by considering both “inhibition efficiency on target genes and off-target possibility on non-target genes”, with improved inhibition efficiency, specificity and sensitivity. Since we have taken efforts to optimize the siRNA efficacy in terms of “inhibition efficiency and offtarget possibility”, we hope that the risk of “off-target effect” while doing gene silencing in various bioinformatics fields can be overcome to a great extent. These findings may provide new insights into cancer diagnosis, prognosis and therapy by gene silencing. The approach may be found useful for designing exogenous siRNA for therapeutic applications and gene silencing techniques in different areas of bioinformatics.

Tomographic imaging of molecular orbitals in length and velocity form

Recently Itatani et al. [Nature 432, 876 (2004)] introduced the new concept of molecular orbital tomography, where high harmonic generation (HHG) is used to image electronic wave functions. We describe an alternative reconstruction form, using momentum instead of dipole matrix elements for the electron recombination step in HHG. We show that using this velocity-form reconstruction, one obtains better results than using the original length-form reconstruction. We provide numerical evidence for our claim that one has to resort to extremely short pulses to perform the reconstruction for an orbital with arbitrary symmetry. The numerical evidence is based on the exact solution of the time-dependent Schrödinger equation for 2D model systems to simulate the experiment. Furthermore we show that in the case of cylindrically symmetric orbitals, such as the N2 orbital that was reconstructed in the original work, one can obtain the full 3D wave function and not only a 2D projection of it. Vor kurzem führten Itatani et al. [Nature 432, 876 (2004)] das Konzept der Molelkülorbital-Tomographie ein. Hierbei wird die Erzeugung hoher Harmonischer verwendet, um Bilder von elektronischen Wellenfunktionen zu gewinnen. Wir beschreiben eine alternative Form der Rekonstruktion, die auf Impuls- statt Dipol-Matrixelementen für den Rekombinationsschritt bei der Erzeugung der Harmonischen basiert. Wir zeigen, dass diese "Geschwindigkeitsform" der Rekonstruktion bessere Ergebnisse als die ursprüngliche "Längenform" liefert. Wir zeigen numerische Beweise für unsere Behauptung, dass man zu extrem kurzen Laserpulsen gehen muss, um Orbitale mit beliebiger Symmetrie zu rekonstruieren. Diese Ergebnisse basieren auf der exakten Lösung der zeitabhängigen Schrödingergleichung für 2D-Modellsysteme. Wir zeigen ferner, dass für zylindersymmetrische Orbitale wie das N2-Orbital, welches in der oben zitierten Arbeit rekonstruiert wurde, das volle 3D-Orbital rekonstruiert werden kann, nicht nur seine 2D-Projektion.

Relativistic prediction of the ground state of atomic Lawrencium

In contradiction to the prediction of the Periodic Table but in agreement with earlier suggestions by Brewer and Mann, the ground state configuration of atomic Lawrencium (Z = 103) will not be 7s^2 6d^2 D_3/2 but 7s^2 7p ^2p_1/2. The reason for this deviation from normal trends across the Periodic Table are strong relativistic effects on the outermost 7P_l/2 orbital. Multicontiguration Dirac-Fock calculations are reported for Lawrencium and analogous lighter atoms. These calculations include contributions from magnetic and retardation interactions and an estimation of quantum electrodynamic corrections.

Prediction of some thermodynamic properties of selected compounds of element 104

A set of parametrized equations has been published by Bratsch and Lagowski for calculating thermodynamic properties of the lanthanides, actinides, element 104, and certainrelated elements. Since these equations were applied to element 104, new values for the first four ionization energies and radii of the ions of charge +1, +2, +3, and +4 have been calculated for this element. The parametrized equations are used here with these new values to calculate some thermodynamic properties of element 104.

Prediction of the azimuth angle dependence of the quasimolecular anisotropy in heavy ion collisions

Within the quasimolecular (MO) kinematic dipole model we predict a strong dependence of the anisotropy of the MO radiation on the orientation of the heavy ion scattering plane relative to the direction of the photon detection plane.

Development of thermo-analytical prediction and classification models for food in thermal devices using a multi sensor system and artificial neural networks

Die thermische Verarbeitung von Lebensmitteln beeinflusst deren Qualität und ernährungsphysiologischen Eigenschaften. Im Haushalt ist die Überwachung der Temperatur innerhalb des Lebensmittels sehr schwierig. Zudem ist das Wissen über optimale Temperatur- und Zeitparameter für die verschiedenen Speisen oft unzureichend. Die optimale Steuerung der thermischen Zubereitung ist maßgeblich abhängig von der Art des Lebensmittels und der äußeren und inneren Temperatureinwirkung während des Garvorgangs. Das Ziel der Arbeiten war die Entwicklung eines automatischen Backofens, der in der Lage ist, die Art des Lebensmittels zu erkennen und die Temperatur im Inneren des Lebensmittels während des Backens zu errechnen. Die für die Temperaturberechnung benötigten Daten wurden mit mehreren Sensoren erfasst. Hierzu kam ein Infrarotthermometer, ein Infrarotabstandssensor, eine Kamera, ein Temperatursensor und ein Lambdasonde innerhalb des Ofens zum Einsatz. Ferner wurden eine Wägezelle, ein Strom- sowie Spannungs-Sensor und ein Temperatursensor außerhalb des Ofens genutzt. Die während der Aufheizphase aufgenommen Datensätze ermöglichten das Training mehrerer künstlicher neuronaler Netze, die die verschiedenen Lebensmittel in die entsprechenden Kategorien einordnen konnten, um so das optimale Backprogram auszuwählen. Zur Abschätzung der thermische Diffusivität der Nahrung, die von der Zusammensetzung (Kohlenhydrate, Fett, Protein, Wasser) abhängt, wurden mehrere künstliche neuronale Netze trainiert. Mit Ausnahme des Fettanteils der Lebensmittel konnten alle Komponenten durch verschiedene KNNs mit einem Maximum von 8 versteckten Neuronen ausreichend genau abgeschätzt werden um auf deren Grundlage die Temperatur im inneren des Lebensmittels zu berechnen. Die durchgeführte Arbeit zeigt, dass mit Hilfe verschiedenster Sensoren zur direkten beziehungsweise indirekten Messung der äußeren Eigenschaften der Lebensmittel sowie KNNs für die Kategorisierung und Abschätzung der Lebensmittelzusammensetzung die automatische Erkennung und Berechnung der inneren Temperatur von verschiedensten Lebensmitteln möglich ist.

An algorithmic approach for collaborative-based prediction of user contexts in ubiquitous environments under consideration of legal implications

Mit Hilfe der Vorhersage von Kontexten können z. B. Dienste innerhalb einer ubiquitären Umgebung proaktiv an die Bedürfnisse der Nutzer angepasst werden. Aus diesem Grund hat die Kontextvorhersage einen signifikanten Stellenwert innerhalb des ’ubiquitous computing’. Nach unserem besten Wissen, verwenden gängige Ansätze in der Kontextvorhersage ausschließlich die Kontexthistorie des Nutzers als Datenbasis, dessen Kontexte vorhersagt werden sollen. Im Falle, dass ein Nutzer unerwartet seine gewohnte Verhaltensweise ändert, enthält die Kontexthistorie des Nutzers keine geeigneten Informationen, um eine zuverlässige Kontextvorhersage zu gewährleisten. Daraus folgt, dass Vorhersageansätze, die ausschließlich die Kontexthistorie des Nutzers verwenden, dessen Kontexte vorhergesagt werden sollen, fehlschlagen könnten. Um die Lücke der fehlenden Kontextinformationen in der Kontexthistorie des Nutzers zu schließen, führen wir den Ansatz zur kollaborativen Kontextvorhersage (CCP) ein. Dabei nutzt CCP bestehende direkte und indirekte Relationen, die zwischen den Kontexthistorien der verschiedenen Nutzer existieren können, aus. CCP basiert auf der Singulärwertzerlegung höherer Ordnung, die bereits erfolgreich in bestehenden Empfehlungssystemen eingesetzt wurde. Um Aussagen über die Vorhersagegenauigkeit des CCP Ansatzes treffen zu können, wird dieser in drei verschiedenen Experimenten evaluiert. Die erzielten Vorhersagegenauigkeiten werden mit denen von drei bekannten Kontextvorhersageansätzen, dem ’Alignment’ Ansatz, dem ’StatePredictor’ und dem ’ActiveLeZi’ Vorhersageansatz, verglichen. In allen drei Experimenten werden als Evaluationsbasis kollaborative Datensätze verwendet. Anschließend wird der CCP Ansatz auf einen realen kollaborativen Anwendungsfall, den proaktiven Schutz von Fußgängern, angewendet. Dabei werden durch die Verwendung der kollaborativen Kontextvorhersage Fußgänger frühzeitig erkannt, die potentiell Gefahr laufen, mit einem sich nähernden Auto zu kollidieren. Als kollaborative Datenbasis werden reale Bewegungskontexte der Fußgänger verwendet. Die Bewegungskontexte werden mittels Smartphones, welche die Fußgänger in ihrer Hosentasche tragen, gesammelt. Aus dem Grund, dass Kontextvorhersageansätze in erster Linie personenbezogene Kontexte wie z.B. Standortdaten oder Verhaltensmuster der Nutzer als Datenbasis zur Vorhersage verwenden, werden rechtliche Evaluationskriterien aus dem Recht des Nutzers auf informationelle Selbstbestimmung abgeleitet. Basierend auf den abgeleiteten Evaluationskriterien, werden der CCP Ansatz und weitere bekannte kontextvorhersagende Ansätze bezüglich ihrer Rechtsverträglichkeit untersucht. Die Evaluationsergebnisse zeigen die rechtliche Kompatibilität der untersuchten Vorhersageansätze bezüglich des Rechtes des Nutzers auf informationelle Selbstbestimmung auf. Zum Schluss wird in der Dissertation ein Ansatz für die verteilte und kollaborative Vorhersage von Kontexten vorgestellt. Mit Hilfe des Ansatzes wird eine Möglichkeit aufgezeigt, um den identifizierten rechtlichen Probleme, die bei der Vorhersage von Kontexten und besonders bei der kollaborativen Vorhersage von Kontexten, entgegenzuwirken.

The prediction of seasonal and inter-annual climate variations and their impacts on the water resources in the eastern seaboard of Thailand

The research of this thesis dissertation covers developments and applications of short-and long-term climate predictions. The short-term prediction emphasizes monthly and seasonal climate, i.e. forecasting from up to the next month over a season to up to a year or so. The long-term predictions pertain to the analysis of inter-annual- and decadal climate variations over the whole 21st century. These two climate prediction methods are validated and applied in the study area, namely, Khlong Yai (KY) water basin located in the eastern seaboard of Thailand which is a major industrial zone of the country and which has been suffering from severe drought and water shortage in recent years. Since water resources are essential for the further industrial development in this region, a thorough analysis of the potential climate change with its subsequent impact on the water supply in the area is at the heart of this thesis research. The short-term forecast of the next-season climate, such as temperatures and rainfall, offers a potential general guideline for water management and reservoir operation. To that avail, statistical models based on autoregressive techniques, i.e., AR-, ARIMA- and ARIMAex-, which includes additional external regressors, and multiple linear regression- (MLR) models, are developed and applied in the study region. Teleconnections between ocean states and the local climate are investigated and used as extra external predictors in the ARIMAex- and the MLR-model and shown to enhance the accuracy of the short-term predictions significantly. However, as the ocean state – local climate teleconnective relationships provide only a one- to four-month ahead lead time, the ocean state indices can support only a one-season-ahead forecast. Hence, GCM- climate predictors are also suggested as an additional predictor-set for a more reliable and somewhat longer short-term forecast. For the preparation of “pre-warning” information for up-coming possible future climate change with potential adverse hydrological impacts in the study region, the long-term climate prediction methodology is applied. The latter is based on the downscaling of climate predictions from several single- and multi-domain GCMs, using the two well-known downscaling methods SDSM and LARS-WG and a newly developed MLR-downscaling technique that allows the incorporation of a multitude of monthly or daily climate predictors from one- or several (multi-domain) parent GCMs. The numerous downscaling experiments indicate that the MLR- method is more accurate than SDSM and LARS-WG in predicting the recent past 20th-century (1971-2000) long-term monthly climate in the region. The MLR-model is, consequently, then employed to downscale 21st-century GCM- climate predictions under SRES-scenarios A1B, A2 and B1. However, since the hydrological watershed model requires daily-scale climate input data, a new stochastic daily climate generator is developed to rescale monthly observed or predicted climate series to daily series, while adhering to the statistical and geospatial distributional attributes of observed (past) daily climate series in the calibration phase. Employing this daily climate generator, 30 realizations of future daily climate series from downscaled monthly GCM-climate predictor sets are produced and used as input in the SWAT- distributed watershed model, to simulate future streamflow and other hydrological water budget components in the study region in a multi-realization manner. In addition to a general examination of the future changes of the hydrological regime in the KY-basin, potential future changes of the water budgets of three main reservoirs in the basin are analysed, as these are a major source of water supply in the study region. The results of the long-term 21st-century downscaled climate predictions provide evidence that, compared with the past 20th-reference period, the future climate in the study area will be more extreme, particularly, for SRES A1B. Thus, the temperatures will be higher and exhibit larger fluctuations. Although the future intensity of the rainfall is nearly constant, its spatial distribution across the region is partially changing. There is further evidence that the sequential rainfall occurrence will be decreased, so that short periods of high intensities will be followed by longer dry spells. This change in the sequential rainfall pattern will also lead to seasonal reductions of the streamflow and seasonal changes (decreases) of the water storage in the reservoirs. In any case, these predicted future climate changes with their hydrological impacts should encourage water planner and policy makers to develop adaptation strategies to properly handle the future water supply in this area, following the guidelines suggested in this study.

Explorations of the Practical Issues of Learning Prediction-Control Tasks Using Temporal Difference Learning Methods

There has been recent interest in using temporal difference learning methods to attack problems of prediction and control. While these algorithms have been brought to bear on many problems, they remain poorly understood. It is the purpose of this thesis to further explore these algorithms, presenting a framework for viewing them and raising a number of practical issues and exploring those issues in the context of several case studies. This includes applying the TD(lambda) algorithm to: 1) learning to play tic-tac-toe from the outcome of self-play and of play against a perfectly-playing opponent and 2) learning simple one-dimensional segmentation tasks.

A Two-level Prediction Model for Deep Reactive Ion Etch (DRIE)

We contribute a quantitative and systematic model to capture etch non-uniformity in deep reactive ion etch of microelectromechanical systems (MEMS) devices. Deep reactive ion etch is commonly used in MEMS fabrication where high-aspect ratio features are to be produced in silicon. It is typical for many supposedly identical devices, perhaps of diameter 10 mm, to be etched simultaneously into one silicon wafer of diameter 150 mm. Etch non-uniformity depends on uneven distributions of ion and neutral species at the wafer level, and on local consumption of those species at the device, or die, level. An ion–neutral synergism model is constructed from data obtained from etching several layouts of differing pattern opening densities. Such a model is used to predict wafer-level variation with an r.m.s. error below 3%. This model is combined with a die-level model, which we have reported previously, on a MEMS layout. The two-level model is shown to enable prediction of both within-die and wafer-scale etch rate variation for arbitrary wafer loadings.

Extension of the Job Demands-Resources model in the prediction of burnout and engagement among teachers over time. 'Una ampliaci??n del modelo de demandas-recursos laborales en la predicci??n del burnout y del engagement en profesores'

Resumen tomado de la publicaci??n. Resumen tambi??n en ingl??s

Visual SLAM for underwater vehicles using video velocity log and natural landmarks

A visual SLAM system has been implemented and optimised for real-time deployment on an AUV equipped with calibrated stereo cameras. The system incorporates a novel approach to landmark description in which landmarks are local sub maps that consist of a cloud of 3D points and their associated SIFT/SURF descriptors. Landmarks are also sparsely distributed which simplifies and accelerates data association and map updates. In addition to landmark-based localisation the system utilises visual odometry to estimate the pose of the vehicle in 6 degrees of freedom by identifying temporal matches between consecutive local sub maps and computing the motion. Both the extended Kalman filter and unscented Kalman filter have been considered for filtering the observations. The output of the filter is also smoothed using the Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) method to obtain a better alignment of the sequence of local sub maps and to deliver a large-scale 3D acquisition of the surveyed area. Synthetic experiments have been performed using a simulation environment in which ray tracing is used to generate synthetic images for the stereo system

Prediction of glucose excursions under uncertain parameters and food intake in intensive insulin therapy for type 1 diabetes mellitus

Considering the difficulty in the insulin dosage selection and the problem of hyper- and hypoglycaemia episodes in type 1 diabetes, dosage-aid systems appear as tremendously helpful for these patients. A model-based approach to this problem must unavoidably consider uncertainty sources such as the large intra-patient variability and food intake. This work addresses the prediction of glycaemia for a given insulin therapy face to parametric and input uncertainty, by means of modal interval analysis. As result, a band containing all possible glucose excursions suffered by the patient for the given uncertainty is obtained. From it, a safer prediction of possible hyper- and hypoglycaemia episodes can be calculated

Concordancia de presión sistólica pulmonar estimada por ultrasonografía y cateterismo cardíaco derecho en pacientes candidatos a trasplante cardíaco

Introducción: A los pacientes con Insuficiencia Cardíaca (IC) estadio D candidatos a trasplante cardiaco se les realiza la determinación de las presiones de la arteria pulmonar por CCD considerada como prueba de oro. Se decidió conocer si la medición de las presión de la arteria pulmonar obtenidas por ECO TT tenían concordancia con las obtenidas por el CCDen estos paciente que fueron evaluados para trasplante cardiaco. Metodología: Se realizó una recolección retrospectiva de los datos consignados en las historias clínicas de todos los pacientes que fueron receptores de un trasplante cardiaco en la FCI-IC desde septiembre del 2005 hasta Mayo del 2013 y se determinó la concordancia entre la presión sistólica pulmonar evaluado por ECO TT y CCD. Resultados: Se incluyeron 46 pacientes. El 76,1% son hombres y con edad promedio de 46,4 ± 13,1. La PSAP estimada por CCD fue 48,3 ± 13,1 mmHg Vs 45,1 ± 12,1 mmHg por ECO TT. La fracción de eyección fue 15,1 ± 4,06% (IC: 13,95-16,36). El 75,9% de los pacientes tenían HTP moderada y severa. La concordancia entre la PSAP determinada por ambos métodos fue 0,475 (I,C: 0.256 - 0.694), y el coeficiente de correlación intraclase fue de 0,090, indicando una baja concordancia entre los dos métodos. Discusión: La determinación de las presiones pulmonares determinada por ECO TT tiene mala concordancia con las obtenidas por CCD. No se debe usar este estudio para excluir los pacientes candidatos a trasplante cardiaco ni para evaluar las variaciones de las misma en la evolución de la enfermedad.

Hierarchical Prediction Machines and Big Data Analytics

An emerging consensus in cognitive science views the biological brain as a hierarchically-organized predictive processing system. This is a system in which higher-order regions are continuously attempting to predict the activity of lower-order regions at a variety of (increasingly abstract) spatial and temporal scales. The brain is thus revealed as a hierarchical prediction machine that is constantly engaged in the effort to predict the flow of information originating from the sensory surfaces. Such a view seems to afford a great deal of explanatory leverage when it comes to a broad swathe of seemingly disparate psychological phenomena (e.g., learning, memory, perception, action, emotion, planning, reason, imagination, and conscious experience). In the most positive case, the predictive processing story seems to provide our first glimpse at what a unified (computationally-tractable and neurobiological plausible) account of human psychology might look like. This obviously marks out one reason why such models should be the focus of current empirical and theoretical attention. Another reason, however, is rooted in the potential of such models to advance the current state-of-the-art in machine intelligence and machine learning. Interestingly, the vision of the brain as a hierarchical prediction machine is one that establishes contact with work that goes under the heading of 'deep learning'. Deep learning systems thus often attempt to make use of predictive processing schemes and (increasingly abstract) generative models as a means of supporting the analysis of large data sets. But are such computational systems sufficient (by themselves) to provide a route to general human-level analytic capabilities? I will argue that they are not and that closer attention to a broader range of forces and factors (many of which are not confined to the neural realm) may be required to understand what it is that gives human cognition its distinctive (and largely unique) flavour. The vision that emerges is one of 'homomimetic deep learning systems', systems that situate a hierarchically-organized predictive processing core within a larger nexus of developmental, behavioural, symbolic, technological and social influences. Relative to that vision, I suggest that we should see the Web as a form of 'cognitive ecology', one that is as much involved with the transformation of machine intelligence as it is with the progressive reshaping of our own cognitive capabilities.