946 resultados para Heurística surrogate
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Objective: - To develop and test a practical clinical method to assess frailty in nursing homes; - To investigate the relationship between cognitive status of the elderly and the balance between water compartments of their body composition. Design and subjects: Cross-sectional study, conducted at two nursing homes in Boston-MA. Methods: Body mass and height (Ht) were evaluated to calculate BMI (body mass index, in Kg/m(2)). The cognitive decline was evaluated based on the scores obtained from the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE); The extracellular to total body water ratio (ECW/TBW) was calculated after the analysis of TBW from deuterium and tritium dilution and ECW from bromide dilution. Single-frequency BIA analysis data were investigated for resistance (R) and reactance (Xc), plotted in an R/Ht Xc/Ht graph (vectorial analysis-BIVA). The BIVA results of nursing home residents were compared against the data obtained from the NHANES Ill study. TBW and ECW values were compared with a group of free-living elderly volunteers. Results: The ECW/TBW was significantly higher in nursing home residents than in the free-living individuals. BIVA analysis showed significantly higher Xc/Ht values in the reference subjects. The MMSE did not present a significant correlation with ECW/TBW for either gender. Conclusion: We proposed the ECW/TBW ratio and BIVA as surrogate methods for the clinical assessment of frailty. We tested successfully both approaches with nursing home patients and free-living volunteers and compared them to a national data base. The advent of new, portable instruments will enable field tests to further validate our proposed "Frailty Factor" in future studies. We found no correlation between frailty and cognitive decline in the nursing home.
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Introduction: Bipolar disorder (BD) is a highly incapacitating disease typically associated with high rates of familial dysfunction. Despite recent literature suggesting that maternal care is an important environmental factor in the development of behavioral disorders, it is unclear how much maternal care is dysfunctional in BD subjects. Objective: The objective of this study was to characterize maternal care in DSM-IV/SCID diagnosed BD type I subjects compared to healthy controls with (PD) and without (NPD) other psychiatric diagnoses. Materials and methods: Thirty-four BD mothers and 106 controls underwent an interview about family planning and maternal care, obstetrical complications, and mother-child interactions. K-SADS-PL questions about violence exposure were used to ascertain domestic violence and physical/sexual abuse. Results: BD mothers were less likely to have stable unions (45.5%; p < 0.01) or to live with the biological father of their children (33.3%; p < 0.01), but had higher educational level and higher rates of social security use/retirement. They also had fewer children and used less contraceptive methods than controls. Children of BD women had higher rates of neonatal anoxia, and reported more physical abuse (16.1%; p = 0.02) than offspring of NPD mothers. Due to BD mothers' symptoms, 33.3% of offspring suffered physical and/or psychological abuse. Limitations: Post hoc analysis, and the use of questions as a surrogate of symptoms as opposed to validated instruments. Conclusion: This is one of few reports confirming that maternal care given by BD women is dysfunctional. BD psychopathology can lead to poor maternal care and both should be considered important environmental risk factors in BD, suggesting that BD psychoeducation should include maternal care orientation. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Case fatality rate is considered a main determinant of stroke mortality trends. We applied the World Health Organization's Stroke STEPS to identify case fatality rates in a community hospital in Brazil. We evaluated all patients with first-ever stroke seeking acute care at the hospital's emergency ward between April 2006 and December 2008 to verify early and late case fatality according to stroke subtype. We used years of formal education as a surrogate for socioeconomic status. Of 430 first-ever stroke events, 365 (84.9%) were ischemic and 65 (15.1%) were intracerebral hemorrhage. After 1 year, we adjudicated 108 deaths (86 ischemic; 22 hemorrhagic). Age-adjusted case fatality rates for ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage were 6.0% v 19.8% at 10 days, 10.6% v 22.1% at 28 days, 17.6% v 29.1% at 6 months, and 21.0% v 31.5% at 1 year. Illiteracy or no formal education was a predictor of death at 6 months (odds ratio [OR], 4.31; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-13.91) and 1 year (OR, 4.21; 95% CI, 1.45-12.28) in patients with ischemic stroke, as well as at 6 months (OR, 3.19; 95% CI, 1.17-8.70) and 1 year (OR, 3.30; 95% CI, 1.30-8.45) for all stroke patients. Other variables, including previous cardiovascular risk factors and acute medical care, did not change this association to a statistically significant degree. In conclusion, case fatality, particularly up to 6 months, was higher in hemorrhagic stroke, and lack of formal education was associated with increased stroke mortality.
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The need for biodiversity conservation is increasing at a rate much faster than the acquisition of knowledge of biodiversity, such as descriptions of new species and mapping species distributions. As global changes are winning the race against the acquisition of knowledge, many researchers resort to the use of surrogate groups to aid in conservation decisions. Reductions in taxonomic and numerical resolution are also desirable, because they could allow more rapid the acquisition of knowledge while requiring less effort, if little important information is lost. In this study, we evaluated the congruence among 22 taxonomic groups sampled in a tropical forest in the Amazon basin. Our aim was to evaluate if any of these groups could be used as surrogates for the others in monitoring programs. We also evaluated if the taxonomic or numerical resolution of possible surrogates could be reduced without greatly reducing the overall congruence. Congruence among plant groups was high, whereas the congruence among most animal groups was very low, except for anurans in which congruence values were only slightly lower than for plants. Liana (Bignoniaceae) was the group with highest congruence, even using genera presence-absence data. The congruence among groups was related to environmental factors, specifically the clay and phosphorous contents of soil. Several groups showed strong spatial clumping, but this was unrelated to the congruence among groups. The high degree of congruence of lianas with the other groups suggests that it may be a reasonable surrogate group, mainly for the other plant groups analyzed, if soil data are not available. Although lianas are difficult to count and identify, the number of studies on the ecology of lianas is increasing. Most of these studies have concluded that lianas are increasing in abundance in tropical forests. In addition to the high congruence, lianas are worth monitoring in their own right because they are sensitive to global warming and the increasing frequency and severity of droughts in tropical regions. Our findings suggest that the use of data on surrogate groups with relatively low taxonomic and numerical resolutions can be a reliable shortcut for biodiversity assessments, especially in megadiverse areas with high rates of habitat conversion, where the lack of biodiversity knowledge is pervasive. (c) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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In this study alpha and beta diversity patterns of five leaf litter arthropod groups (ants, predatory ants, oribatid mites, spiders and other arachnids) were described and compared in 39 sampling patches of a transformed landscape in southwestern Colombia, that represented five vegetation types: secondary forest, riparian forest, giant bamboo forest, pasture and sugarcane crop. It was also assessed whether some taxa could be used as diversity surrogates. A total of 6,765 individuals grouped in 290 morphospecies were collected. Species richness in all groups was lower in highly transformed vegetation types (pasture, sugarcane crop) than in native ones (forests). In contrast, there were no clear tendencies of beta diversity among vegetation types. Considering sampling patches, 0.1-42% of the variation in alpha diversity of one taxonomic group could be explained from the alpha diversity of another, and 0.2-33% of the variation of beta diversity of a given taxon was explained by that in other groups. Contrary to recent findings, we concluded that patterns of alpha diversity are more congruent than patterns of beta diversity. This fact could be attributed to a sampling effect that promotes congruence in alpha diversity and to a lack of a clear regional ecological gradient that could promote congruent patterns of beta diversity. We did not find evidence for an ideal diversity surrogate although diversity patterns of predatory ants had the greatest congruencies. These results support earlier multi-taxon evaluations in that conservation planning should not be based on only one leaf litter arthropod group.
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Abstract Background Allogeneic red blood cell (RBC) transfusion has been proposed as a negative indicator of quality in cardiac surgery. Hospital length of stay (LOS) may be a surrogate of poor outcome in transfused patients. Methods Data from 502 patients included in Transfusion Requirements After Cardiac Surgery (TRACS) study were analyzed to assess the relationship between RBC transfusion and hospital LOS in patients undergoing cardiac surgery and enrolled in the TRACS study. Results According to the status of RBC transfusion, patients were categorized into the following three groups: 1) 199 patients (40%) who did not receive RBC, 2) 241 patients (48%) who received 3 RBC units or fewer (low transfusion requirement group), and 3) 62 patients (12%) who received more than 3 RBC units (high transfusion requirement group). In a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, the following factors were predictive of a prolonged hospital length of stay: age higher than 65 years, EuroSCORE, valvular surgery, combined procedure, LVEF lower than 40% and RBC transfusion of > 3 units. Conclusion RBC transfusion is an independent risk factor for increased LOS in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. This finding highlights the adequacy of a restrictive transfusion therapy in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Trial registration Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: http://NCT01021631.
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O tópico central que motiva o presente trabalho é o papel que o valor desempenha nas teorias de estratégia e que, apesar de ser considerado nas principais correntes de pensamento do campo, ainda apresenta indefinição. O objetivo é explorar as principais definições de valor e suas implicações para o desenvolvimento teórico no campo da Administração Estratégica, mais especificamente, para as investigações sobre vantagem competitiva sustentável. Ao trabalhar com conceitos de valor, como valor de uso, valor de troca, criação de valor, valor capturado, valor percebido e uso do valor, pode-se demonstrar que a formação e a sustentação de vantagem competitiva estão além do olhar predominantemente econômico. Elas necessitam ser complementadas por dimensões que atinjam o consumidor, alterando seu estado de espírito, seus desejos e suas emoções. A vantagem competitiva, nesse novo contexto, pode ser entendida como uma governança de um sistema de firmas que se alinham para a criação e a entrega de um valor de uso, e que se relaciona mutuamente para dividir o valor. Em um movimento recursivo, as informações e valores seguem a montante e a jusante da cadeia de firmas, formando um fenômeno complexo em que o processo de formação da estratégia é determinado por uma heurística própria de cada estrategista.
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This study addresses a vehicle routing problem with time windows, accessibility restrictions on customers, and a fleet that is heterogeneous with regard to capacity and average speed. A vehicle can performmultiple routes per day, all starting and ending at a single depot, and it is assigned to a single driverwhose totalwork hours are limited.Acolumn generation algorithmis proposed.The column generation pricing subproblem requires a specific elementary shortest path problem with resource constraints algorithm to address the possibility for each vehicle performingmultiple routes per day and to address the need to set the workday’s start time within the planning horizon. A constructive heuristic and a metaheuristic based on tabu search are also developed to find good solutions.
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[EN] To determine if there is a gender dimorphism in the expression of leptin receptors (OB-R170, OB-R128 and OB-R98) and the protein suppressor of cytokine signaling 3 (SOCS3) in human skeletal muscle, the protein expression of OB-R, perilipin A, SOCS3 and alpha-tubulin was assessed by Western blot in muscle biopsies obtained from the m. vastus lateralis in thirty-four men (age = 27.1+/-6.8 yr) and thirty-three women (age = 26.7+/-6.7 yr). Basal serum insulin concentration and HOMA were similar in both genders. Serum leptin concentration was 3.4 times higher in women compared to men (P<0.05) and this difference remained significant after accounting for the differences in percentage of body fat or soluble leptin receptor. OB-R protein was 41% (OB-R170, P<0.05) and 163% (OB-R128, P<0.05) greater in women than men. There was no relationship between OB-R expression and the serum concentrations of leptin or 17beta-estradiol. In men, muscle OB-R128 protein was inversely related to serum free testosterone. In women, OB-R98 and OB-R128 were inversely related to total serum testosterone concentration, and OB-R128 to serum free testosterone concentration. SOCS3 protein expression was similar in men and women and was not related to OB-R. In women, there was an inverse relationship between the logarithm of free testosterone and SCOS3 protein content in skeletal muscle (r = -0.46, P<0.05). In summary, there is a gender dimorphism in skeletal muscle leptin receptors expression, which can be partly explained by the influence of testosterone. SOCS3 expression in skeletal muscle is not up-regulated in women, despite very high serum leptin concentrations compared to men. The circulating form of the leptin receptor can not be used as a surrogate measure of the amount of leptin receptors expressed in skeletal muscles.
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[ES] El interés científico en la meditación ha crecido significativamente en las últimas décadas. La meditación es, tal vez, la práctica más adecuada para investigar las propiedades intrínsecas del Sistema nervioso autónomo (SNA), dado que conlleva un estado de total inmovilidad física y de cierto aislamiento del exterior (interiorización). En meditación, ya que no hay movimiento físico, el patrón respiratorio es ajustado según el proceso mental. Así, la modulación que ejerce la respiración sobre la frecuencia cardiaca está relacionada a la cualidad y al enfoque de la atención en la práctica. De los resultados obtenidos en nuestra investigación, podemos concluir que hay patrones específicos de variabilidad de la frecuencia cardiaca (VFC) que parecen reflejar fases o etapas en la práctica. Así, sujetos con una experiencia en meditación similar tienden a mostrar patrones análogos de variabilidad cardiaca. A medida que se progresa en la práctica meditativa, los diferentes sistemas oscilantes tienden a interaccionar entre ellos, hasta culminar con la aparición de un efecto resonante que establece un ?nuevo orden? en el sistema. Este proceso parece reflejar cambios graduales en la actividad del SNA para alcanzar un "modo de funcionamiento de bajo coste", donde los diversos mecanismos oscilatorios que intervienen en el control de la circulación sanguínea operan a la misma frecuencia. El fenómeno de resonancia implica un ?modo de funcionamiento de bajo coste? que probablemente favorece la práctica de la meditación. Así, este estado de ?orden? (aunque no sin variabilidad) podría ser considerado un atractor, al cual el sistema tiende a evolucionar cuando se haya alcanzado un nivel avanzado de mindfulness. El concepto de atractor, procedente de las modernas teorías que tratan con la dinámica de sistemas complejos no-lineales, parece mostrarse útil para describir de manera heurística el comportamiento del sistema en estados meditativos profundos. Los resultados obtenidos en esta tesis apoyan y complementan otros trabajos anteriores, además se añade la idea de una adaptación fisiológica gradual a la práctica de la meditación mindfulness, caracterizada por cambios específicos en la regulación autonómica de la VFC en las diferentes etapas de la práctica. Para el análisis de las series fisiológicas, de carácter fuertemente no lineal, se han implementado técnicas basadas en el análisis Wavelet y Dinámica Simbólica.
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Máster en Oceanografía
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The Department of Mechanical and Civil Engineering (DIMeC) of the University of Modena and Reggio Emilia is developing a new type of small capacity HSDI 2-Stroke Diesel engine (called HSD2), featuring a specifically designed combustion system, aimed to reduce weight, size and manufacturing costs, and improving pollutant emissions at partial load. The present work is focused on the analysis of the combustion and the scavenging process, investigated by means of a version of the KIVA-3V code customized by the University of Chalmers and modified by DIMeC. The customization of the KIVA-3V code includes a detailed combustion chemistry approach, coupled with a comprehensive oxidation mechanism for diesel oil surrogate and the modeling of turbulence/chemistry interaction through the PaSR (Partially Stirred Reactor) model. A four stroke automobile Diesel engine featuring a very close bore size is taken as a reference, for both the numerical models calibration and for a comparison with the 2-Stroke engine. Analysis is carried out trough a comparison between HSD2 and FIAT 1300 MultiJet in several operating conditions, at full and partial load. Such a comparison clearly demonstrates the effectiveness of the two stroke concept in terms of emissions reduction and high power density. However, HSD2 is still a virtual engine, and experimental results are needed to assume the reliability of numerical results.
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Die Nichtlineare Zeitreihenanalyse konnte in den letzten Jahren im Rahmen von Laborexperimenten ihre prinzipelle Brauchbarkeit beweisen. Allerdings handelte es sich in der Regel um ausgewählte oder speziell konstruierte nichtlineare Systeme. Sieht man einmal von der Überwachung von Prozessen und Produkten ab, so sind Anwendungen auf konkrete, vorgegebene dynamische Probleme im industriellen Bereich kaum bekannt geworden. Ziel dieser Arbeit war es, an Hand von zwei Problemen aus der technischen Praxis zu untersuchen, ob die Anwendung des kanonischen Schemas der Nichtlinearen Zeitreihenanalyse auch dort zu brauchbaren Resultaten führt oder ob Modifikationen (Vereinfachungen oder Erweiterungen) notwendig werden. Am Beispiel der Herstellung von optischen Oberflächen durch Hochpräzisionsdrehbearbeitung konnte gezeigt werden, daß eine aktive Störungskompensation in Echtzeit mit einem speziell entwickelten nichtlinearen Vorhersagealgorithmus möglich ist. Standardverfahren der Nichtlinearen Zeitreihenanalyse beschreiten hier den allgemeinen, aber sehr aufwendigen Weg über eine möglichst vollständige Phasenraumrekonstruktion. Das neue Verfahren verzichtet auf viele der kanonischen Zwischenschritte. Dies führt zu einererheblichen Rechenzeitersparnis und zusätzlich zu einer wesentlich höheren Stabilität gegenüber additivem Meßrauschen. Mit den berechneten Vorhersagen der unerwünschten Maschinenschwingungen wurde eine Störungskompensation realisiert, die die Oberflächengüte des bearbeiteten Werkstücks um 20-30% verbesserte. Das zweite Beispiel betrifft die Klassifikation von Körperschallsignalen, die zur Überwachung von Zerspansprozessen gemessen werden. Diese Signale zeigen, wie auch viele andere Prozesse im Bereich der Produktion, ein hochgradig nichtstationäres Verhalten. Hier versagen die Standardverfahren der Nichtlinearen Datenanalyse, die FT- bzw. AAFT-Surrogate benutzen. Daher wurde eine neue Klasse von Surrogatdaten zum Testen der Nullhypothese nichtstationärer linearer stochastischer Prozesse entwickelt, die in der Lage ist, zwischen deterministischen nichtlinear chaotischen und stochastischen linearen nichtstationären Zeitreihen mit change points zu unterscheiden. Damit konnte gezeigt werden, daß die untersuchten Köperschallsignale sich statistisch signifikant einer nichtstationären stochastischen Folge von einfachen linearen Prozessen zuordnen lassen und eine Interpretation als nichtlineare chaotische Zeitreihe nicht erforderlich ist.
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The thesis is framed within the field of the stochastic approach to flow and transport themes of solutes in natural porous materials. The methodology used to characterise the uncertainty associated with the modular predictions is completely general and can be reproduced in various contexts. The theme of the research includes the following among its main objectives: (a) the development of a Global Sensitivity Analysis on contaminant transport models in the subsoil to research the effects of the uncertainty of the most important parameters; (b) the application of advanced techniques, such as Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE), for obtaining surrogate models starting from those which conduct traditionally developed analyses in the context of Monte Carlo simulations, characterised by an often not negligible computational burden; (c) the analyses and the understanding of the key processes at the basis of the transport of solutes in natural porous materials using the aforementioned technical and analysis resources. In the complete picture, the thesis looks at the application of a Continuous Injection transport model of contaminants, of the PCE technique which has already been developed and applied by the thesis supervisors, by way of numerical code, to a Slug Injection model. The methodology was applied to the aforementioned model with original contribution deriving from surrogate models with various degrees of approximation and developing a Global Sensitivity Analysis aimed at the determination of Sobol’ indices.
From fall-risk assessment to fall detection: inertial sensors in the clinical routine and daily life
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Falls are caused by complex interaction between multiple risk factors which may be modified by age, disease and environment. A variety of methods and tools for fall risk assessment have been proposed, but none of which is universally accepted. Existing tools are generally not capable of providing a quantitative predictive assessment of fall risk. The need for objective, cost-effective and clinically applicable methods would enable quantitative assessment of fall risk on a subject-specific basis. Tracking objectively falls risk could provide timely feedback about the effectiveness of administered interventions enabling intervention strategies to be modified or changed if found to be ineffective. Moreover, some of the fundamental factors leading to falls and what actually happens during a fall remain unclear. Objectively documented and measured falls are needed to improve knowledge of fall in order to develop more effective prevention strategies and prolong independent living. In the last decade, several research groups have developed sensor-based automatic or semi-automatic fall risk assessment tools using wearable inertial sensors. This approach may also serve to detect falls. At the moment, i) several fall-risk assessment studies based on inertial sensors, even if promising, lack of a biomechanical model-based approach which could provide accurate and more detailed measurements of interests (e.g., joint moments, forces) and ii) the number of published real-world fall data of older people in a real-world environment is minimal since most authors have used simulations with healthy volunteers as a surrogate for real-world falls. With these limitations in mind, this thesis aims i) to suggest a novel method for the kinematics and dynamics evaluation of functional motor tasks, often used in clinics for the fall-risk evaluation, through a body sensor network and a biomechanical approach and ii) to define the guidelines for a fall detection algorithm based on a real-world fall database availability.