Power system parameters forecasting using Hilbert-Huang transform and machine learning

A novel hybrid data-driven approach is developed for forecasting power system parameters with the goal of increasing the efficiency of short-term forecasting studies for non-stationary time-series. The proposed approach is based on mode decomposition and a feature analysis of initial retrospective data using the Hilbert-Huang transform and machine learning algorithms. The random forests and gradient boosting trees learning techniques were examined. The decision tree techniques were used to rank the importance of variables employed in the forecasting models. The Mean Decrease Gini index is employed as an impurity function. The resulting hybrid forecasting models employ the radial basis function neural network and support vector regression. A part from introduction and references the paper is organized as follows. The second section presents the background and the review of several approaches for short-term forecasting of power system parameters. In the third section a hybrid machine learningbased algorithm using Hilbert-Huang transform is developed for short-term forecasting of power system parameters. Fourth section describes the decision tree learning algorithms used for the issue of variables importance. Finally in section six the experimental results in the following electric power problems are presented: active power flow forecasting, electricity price forecasting and for the wind speed and direction forecasting.

Graphs of relations and Hilbert series

We are discussing certain combinatorial and counting problems related to quadratic algebras. First we give examples which confirm the Anick conjecture on the minimal Hilbert series for algebras given by $n$ generators and $\frac {n(n-1)}{2}$ relations for $n \leq 7$. Then we investigate combinatorial structure of colored graph associated to relations of RIT algebra. Precise descriptions of graphs (maps) corresponding to algebras with maximal Hilbert series are given in certain cases. As a consequence it turns out, for example, that RIT algebra may have a maximal Hilbert series only if components of the graph associated to each color are pairwise 2-isomorphic.

Geometry in preduals of spaces of 2-homogeneous polynomials on Hilbert spaces

Let H be a (real or complex) Hilbert space. Using spectral theory and properties of the Schatten–Von Neumann operators, we prove that every symmetric tensor of unit norm in HoH is an infinite absolute convex combination of points of the form xox with x in the unit sphere of the Hilbert space. We use this to obtain explicit characterizations of the smooth points of the unit ball of HoH .

On the solvability of Hamilton's equations in Hilbert spaces

We construct a bounded function $H : l_2\times l_2 \to R$ with continuous Frechet derivative such that for any $q_0\in l_2$ the Cauchy problem $\dot p= - {\partial H\over\partial q}$, $\dot q={\partial H\over\partial p}$, $p(0) = 0$, q(0) = q_0$ has no solutions in any neighborhood of zero in R.

Three constructive examples of separable pre-Hilbert spaces nonisomorphic to their closed hyperplanes

An example of a sigma -compact infinite-dimensional pre-Hilbert space H is constructed such that any continuous linear operator T: H --> H is of the form T = lambdaI + F for some lambda is an element of R and for a finite-dimensional continuous linear operator F. A class of simple examples of pre-Hilbert spaces nonisomorphic to their closed hyperplanes is given. A sigma -compact pre-Hilbert space H isomorphic to H x R x R and nonisomorphic to H x R is also constructed.

An infinite-dimensional separable pre-Hilbert space non-homeomorphic to any of its closed hyperplanes

An example is constructed of an infinite-dimensional separable pre-Hilbert space non-homeomorphic to any of its closed hyperplanes.

The spectrum of the Liouville-von Neumann operator in the Hilbert-Schmidt space

The singular continuous spectrum of the Liouville operator of quantum statistical physics is, in general, properly included in the difference of the spectral values of the singular continuous spectrum of the associated Hamiltonian. The absolutely continuous spectrum of the Liouvillian may arise from a purely singular continuous Hamiltonian. We provide the correct formulas for the spectrum of the Liouville operator and show that the decaying states of the singular continuous subspace of the Hamiltonian do not necessarily contribute to the absolutely continuous subspace of the Liouvillian.

Minimal Hilbert series for quadratic algebras and the Anick conjecture

We study the question on whether the famous Golod–Shafarevich estimate, which gives a lower bound for the Hilbert series of a (noncommutative) algebra, is attained. This question was considered by Anick in his 1983 paper ‘Generic algebras and CW-complexes’, Princeton Univ. Press, where he proved that the estimate is attained for the number of quadratic relations $d\leq n^2/4$
and $d\geq n^2/2$, and conjectured that it is the case for any number of quadratic relations. The particular point where the number of relations is equal to $n(n-1)/2$ was addressed by Vershik. He conjectured that a generic algebra with this number of relations is finite dimensional. We announce here the result that over any infinite field, the Anick conjecture holds for $d \geq 4(n2+n)/9$ and an arbitrary number of generators. We also discuss the result that confirms the Vershik conjecture over any field of characteristic 0, and a series of related
asymptotic results.

Les Français de la Série Noire (2)

This chapter in an edited volume to be published in autumn 2015 (Paris, Gallimard), looks at the global output of French authors, representing a corpus of 600 novels, in an iconic and genre defining series of 2500 Crime Fiction books published since 1945 by Les Editions Gallimard. It contrasts the view usually held of a predominance of American Authors and shows, in the period considered, the role of French authors in defining the series identity, their decisive contribution to its success, and how they not only distance themselves from an American model, but partially reinvent it.