Genome-wide association study for radiographic vertebral fractures: A potential role for the 16q24 BMD locus

Vertebral fracture risk is a heritable complex trait. The aim of this study was to identify genetic susceptibility factors for osteoporotic vertebral fractures applying a genome-wide association study (GWAS) approach. The GWAS discovery was based on the Rotterdam Study, a population-based study of elderly Dutch individuals aged >55years; and comprising 329 cases and 2666 controls with radiographic scoring (McCloskey-Kanis) and genetic data. Replication of one top-associated SNP was pursued by de-novo genotyping of 15 independent studies across Europe, the United States, and Australia and one Asian study. Radiographic vertebral fracture assessment was performed using McCloskey-Kanis or Genant semi-quantitative definitions. SNPs were analyzed in relation to vertebral fracture using logistic regression models corrected for age and sex. Fixed effects inverse variance and Han-Eskin alternative random effects meta-analyses were applied. Genome-wide significance was set at p<5×10-8. In the discovery, a SNP (rs11645938) on chromosome 16q24 was associated with the risk for vertebral fractures at p=4.6×10-8. However, the association was not significant across 5720 cases and 21,791 controls from 14 studies. Fixed-effects meta-analysis summary estimate was 1.06 (95% CI: 0.98-1.14; p=0.17), displaying high degree of heterogeneity (I2=57%; Qhet p=0.0006). Under Han-Eskin alternative random effects model the summary effect was significant (p=0.0005). The SNP maps to a region previously found associated with lumbar spine bone mineral density (LS-BMD) in two large meta-analyses from the GEFOS consortium. A false positive association in the GWAS discovery cannot be excluded, yet, the low-powered setting of the discovery and replication settings (appropriate to identify risk effect size >1.25) may still be consistent with an effect size <1.10, more of the type expected in complex traits. Larger effort in studies with standardized phenotype definitions is needed to confirm or reject the involvement of this locus on the risk for vertebral fractures.

Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 306 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 188 countries, 1990–2013: Quantifying the epidemiological transition

Background The Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (GBD 2013) aims to bring together all available epidemiological data using a coherent measurement framework, standardised estimation methods, and transparent data sources to enable comparisons of health loss over time and across causes, age–sex groups, and countries. The GBD can be used to generate summary measures such as disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and healthy life expectancy (HALE) that make possible comparative assessments of broad epidemiological patterns across countries and time. These summary measures can also be used to quantify the component of variation in epidemiology that is related to sociodemographic development. Methods We used the published GBD 2013 data for age-specific mortality, years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) to calculate DALYs and HALE for 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, and 2013 for 188 countries. We calculated HALE using the Sullivan method; 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) represent uncertainty in age-specific death rates and YLDs per person for each country, age, sex, and year. We estimated DALYs for 306 causes for each country as the sum of YLLs and YLDs; 95% UIs represent uncertainty in YLL and YLD rates. We quantified patterns of the epidemiological transition with a composite indicator of sociodemographic status, which we constructed from income per person, average years of schooling after age 15 years, and the total fertility rate and mean age of the population. We applied hierarchical regression to DALY rates by cause across countries to decompose variance related to the sociodemographic status variable, country, and time. Findings Worldwide, from 1990 to 2013, life expectancy at birth rose by 6·2 years (95% UI 5·6–6·6), from 65·3 years (65·0–65·6) in 1990 to 71·5 years (71·0–71·9) in 2013, HALE at birth rose by 5·4 years (4·9–5·8), from 56·9 years (54·5–59·1) to 62·3 years (59·7–64·8), total DALYs fell by 3·6% (0·3–7·4), and age-standardised DALY rates per 100 000 people fell by 26·7% (24·6–29·1). For communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional disorders, global DALY numbers, crude rates, and age-standardised rates have all declined between 1990 and 2013, whereas for non–communicable diseases, global DALYs have been increasing, DALY rates have remained nearly constant, and age-standardised DALY rates declined during the same period. From 2005 to 2013, the number of DALYs increased for most specific non-communicable diseases, including cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms, in addition to dengue, food-borne trematodes, and leishmaniasis; DALYs decreased for nearly all other causes. By 2013, the five leading causes of DALYs were ischaemic heart disease, lower respiratory infections, cerebrovascular disease, low back and neck pain, and road injuries. Sociodemographic status explained more than 50% of the variance between countries and over time for diarrhoea, lower respiratory infections, and other common infectious diseases; maternal disorders; neonatal disorders; nutritional deficiencies; other communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases; musculoskeletal disorders; and other non-communicable diseases. However, sociodemographic status explained less than 10% of the variance in DALY rates for cardiovascular diseases; chronic respiratory diseases; cirrhosis; diabetes, urogenital, blood, and endocrine diseases; unintentional injuries; and self-harm and interpersonal violence. Predictably, increased sociodemographic status was associated with a shift in burden from YLLs to YLDs, driven by declines in YLLs and increases in YLDs from musculoskeletal disorders, neurological disorders, and mental and substance use disorders. In most country-specific estimates, the increase in life expectancy was greater than that in HALE. Leading causes of DALYs are highly variable across countries. Interpretation Global health is improving. Population growth and ageing have driven up numbers of DALYs, but crude rates have remained relatively constant, showing that progress in health does not mean fewer demands on health systems. The notion of an epidemiological transition—in which increasing sociodemographic status brings structured change in disease burden—is useful, but there is tremendous variation in burden of disease that is not associated with sociodemographic status. This further underscores the need for country-specific assessments of DALYs and HALE to appropriately inform health policy decisions and attendant actions.

Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks in 188 countries, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

Background The Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factor study 2013 (GBD 2013) is the first of a series of annual updates of the GBD. Risk factor quantification, particularly of modifiable risk factors, can help to identify emerging threats to population health and opportunities for prevention. The GBD 2013 provides a timely opportunity to update the comparative risk assessment with new data for exposure, relative risks, and evidence on the appropriate counterfactual risk distribution. Methods Attributable deaths, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) have been estimated for 79 risks or clusters of risks using the GBD 2010 methods. Risk–outcome pairs meeting explicit evidence criteria were assessed for 188 countries for the period 1990–2013 by age and sex using three inputs: risk exposure, relative risks, and the theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL). Risks are organised into a hierarchy with blocks of behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks at the first level of the hierarchy. The next level in the hierarchy includes nine clusters of related risks and two individual risks, with more detail provided at levels 3 and 4 of the hierarchy. Compared with GBD 2010, six new risk factors have been added: handwashing practices, occupational exposure to trichloroethylene, childhood wasting, childhood stunting, unsafe sex, and low glomerular filtration rate. For most risks, data for exposure were synthesised with a Bayesian meta-regression method, DisMod-MR 2.0, or spatial-temporal Gaussian process regression. Relative risks were based on meta-regressions of published cohort and intervention studies. Attributable burden for clusters of risks and all risks combined took into account evidence on the mediation of some risks such as high body-mass index (BMI) through other risks such as high systolic blood pressure and high cholesterol. Findings All risks combined account for 57·2% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 55·8–58·5) of deaths and 41·6% (40·1–43·0) of DALYs. Risks quantified account for 87·9% (86·5–89·3) of cardiovascular disease DALYs, ranging to a low of 0% for neonatal disorders and neglected tropical diseases and malaria. In terms of global DALYs in 2013, six risks or clusters of risks each caused more than 5% of DALYs: dietary risks accounting for 11·3 million deaths and 241·4 million DALYs, high systolic blood pressure for 10·4 million deaths and 208·1 million DALYs, child and maternal malnutrition for 1·7 million deaths and 176·9 million DALYs, tobacco smoke for 6·1 million deaths and 143·5 million DALYs, air pollution for 5·5 million deaths and 141·5 million DALYs, and high BMI for 4·4 million deaths and 134·0 million DALYs. Risk factor patterns vary across regions and countries and with time. In sub-Saharan Africa, the leading risk factors are child and maternal malnutrition, unsafe sex, and unsafe water, sanitation, and handwashing. In women, in nearly all countries in the Americas, north Africa, and the Middle East, and in many other high-income countries, high BMI is the leading risk factor, with high systolic blood pressure as the leading risk in most of Central and Eastern Europe and south and east Asia. For men, high systolic blood pressure or tobacco use are the leading risks in nearly all high-income countries, in north Africa and the Middle East, Europe, and Asia. For men and women, unsafe sex is the leading risk in a corridor from Kenya to South Africa. Interpretation Behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks can explain half of global mortality and more than one-third of global DALYs providing many opportunities for prevention. Of the larger risks, the attributable burden of high BMI has increased in the past 23 years. In view of the prominence of behavioural risk factors, behavioural and social science research on interventions for these risks should be strengthened. Many prevention and primary care policy options are available now to act on key risks.

"Do Not Celebrate Your Feast without Your Neighbours" : A Study of References to Feasts and Festivals in Non-Literary Documents from Ramesside Period Deir el-Medina

This dissertation is a study of the forms and functions of feasts and feasting in the ancient Egyptian village of Deir el-Medina in Thebes (modern Luxor). This particular village, during the New Kingdom (c. 1550 1069 BC), was inhabited by the men (and their families) who constructed the Royal Tombs in the Valley of the Kings and the Valley of the Queens. The royal artisans were probably more literate than the average Egyptians and the numerous Ramesside Period (c. 1295 1069 BC) non-literary texts found in the excavations of the village and its surroundings form the source material for this study. In this study, the methods used are mainly Egyptological and the references to feasts and feasting are considered in view of what is known of New Kingdom Egypt, Thebes, and Deir el-Medina. Nevertheless, it is the use of the methodological concept local vernacular religion that has resulted in the division of the research findings into two sections, i.e., references to feasts celebrated both in and outside the community and other references to feasts and feasting in the village. When considering the function of the feasts celebrated at Deir el-Medina, a functional approach to feasts introduced by anthropologists and archaeologists is utilized. The Deir el-Medina feasts which were associated with the official religion form a festival calendar of feasts celebrated annually on the same civil calendar day. The reconstructed festival calendar of Deir el-Medina reflects the feasts celebrated around Thebes or, at least, in Western Thebes. The function of the nationally and regionally observed feasts (which, at least at Deir el-Medina, resulted in a work-free day) may have been to keep people content so that they would continue to work which was to the advantage of the king and the elite surrounding him. Local feasts appear to have been observed more irregularly at Deir el-Medina or perhaps according to the lunar calendar. Feasts celebrated by the community as a whole served to maintain the unity of the group. In addition to feasts celebrated by the entire community, the inhabitants of Deir el-Medina could mark their own personal feasts and organize small gatherings during public feasts. Through such feasts, an individual man might form alliances and advance his chances of a favourable marriage or of acquiring a position on the work crew.

Sale of ship "Farmer" to Isaac M. Gomez by Joao Jose da Silva

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Efecto de período crítico y niveles de infestación por cogollero Spodoptera frugiperda (J.E. Smith) para la producción de chilote en maíz de primera (Lepidoptera: noctuidae)

Con el objetivo determinar el efecto de nivel de infestación del gusano cogollero, spodoptera frugiperda (j.e. Smith) en diferente periodo críticos sobre el rendimiento de chilote en época de primera, se llevó a cabo un experimento en el centro nacional de investigación de granos básicos de medina “san Cristóbal” el cual está ubicado en el km. 14 carretera norte, Managua, Nicaragua. Se usó un diseño experimental de bloques completos al azar con 6 bloques y 16 tratamiento. La parcela conto de 3 surcos con 4 metros de largo, para una área por parcela de 9.12m2, evaluándose el surco central. Los tratamientos consistieron en combinaciones de dos factores: periodos de infestación y niveles de infestación, este último dentro de cada periodo de infestación. Se tuvieron tres periodos de infestación 1) 11-24 días después de germinado (DDG), 2) 24-39 (DDG) ,3) 39-46 (DDG). Los niveles de infestación esperado fueron 100%, 40%, y 0% de las plantas infestadas. Se presentó un insecticida chlorpyrifos a dosis de 1.42 1t/ha. (1 1t/mz). En forma de cebo mezclado con aserrín 37.57 kg/ha. (26.4 kg/mz) agregándole galón y medio de agua. Una vez preparando el cebo este se aplicó directamente al cogollo. Las aplicaciones se realizaron en un porcentaje de plantas de cada parcela para así dejar el nivel de infestación deseado, se realizaron recuentos antes de cada aplicación para determinar el porcentaje de infestación, al momento de realizar los recuentos se encontraron el número de plantas de cada parcela esto para determinar el porcentaje de plantas que necesitaban aplicación las cuales se escogieron al azar. Los resultado demuestran que no hubo efecto de niveles de infestación sobre rendimiento de chilote, en este último no hubo efecto significativo, pero existe la tendencia que periodo tardíos de infestación por cogollero s. frugiperda, los rendimientos de chilote bajan. Como conclusión se tiene que no hubo efecto de niveles de infestación y periodo de infestación por cogollero s. frugiperda para lsa producción de chilote en época de primera. En las recomendaciones se tiene que no hay que realizar aplicaciones de producto químicos contra el cogollero s. frugiperda en la producción de chilote bajo estas infestaciones y de realizar otro estudio donde se estableció otros periodos de infestación y periodo crítico como también otro lugares épocas y densidades.

Diario da viagem do Dr. Francisco Jose de Lacerda e Almeida pelas capitanias do Para, Rio Negro, Matto-Grosso, Cuyaba, e S. Paulo, nos annos de 1780 a 1790

O Diario..., como observa Borba de Moraes, "apresenta um roteiro muito resumido, mas muito exato" e, como diz Sacramento Blake, "atendendo ao que é escrito em viagem, e viagem de 648 léguas de terras invias e inexploradas. É, entretanto, trabalho de grande valor para a geografia dos lugares percorridos." O Diario... foi reeditado pelo Instituto Nacional do Livro em 1944.

Legislação brazileira, ou, Collecção chronologica das leis, decretos, resoluções de consulta, provisões, etc., etc., do Império do Brazil, desde o anno de 1808 até 1831 inclusive, contendo : além do que se acha publicado nas melhores collecções, para mais de duas mil peças ineditas colligidas pelo Conselheiro Jose Paulo de Figueirôa Nabuco Araujo

v. 1. ano de 1808 a 1811. 1836 -- v. 2. ano de 1812 a 1818 -- v. 3. ano de 1819 a 1822. 1837 -- v. 4 ano de 1823 a 1824. 1838 -- v. 5. ano a 1826. 1838 -- v. 6. ano de 1827 a 1828. 1841 -- v. 7. ano de 1829 a 1831 e índice. 1844.

Análise, imputação de dados e interfaces computacionais em estudos de séries temporais epidemiológicas

efeitos são frequentemente observados na morbidade e mortalidade por doenças respiratórias e cardiovasculares, câncer de pulmão, diminuição da função respiratória, absenteísmo escolar e problemas relacionados com a gravidez. Estudos também sugerem que os grupos mais suscetíveis são as crianças e os idosos. Esta tese apresenta estudos sobre o efeito da poluição do ar na saúde na saúde na cidade do Rio de Janeiro e aborda aspectos metodológicos sobre a análise de dados e imputação de dados faltantes em séries temporais epidemiológicas. A análise de séries temporais foi usada para estimar o efeito da poluição do ar na mortalidade de pessoas idosas por câncer de pulmão com dados dos anos 2000 e 2001. Este estudo teve como objetivo avaliar se a poluição do ar está associada com antecipação de óbitos de pessoas que já fazem parte de uma população de risco. Outro estudo foi realizado para avaliar o efeito da poluição do ar no baixo peso ao nascer de nascimentos a termo. O desenho deste estudo foi o de corte transversal usando os dados disponíveis no ano de 2002. Em ambos os estudos foram estimados efeitos moderados da poluição do ar. Aspectos metodológicos dos estudos epidemiológicos da poluição do ar na saúde também são abordados na tese. Um método para imputação de dados faltantes é proposto e implementado numa biblioteca para o aplicativo R. A metodologia de imputação é avaliada e comparada com outros métodos frequentemente usados para imputação de séries temporais de concentrações de poluentes atmosféricos por meio de técnicas de simulação. O método proposto apresentou desempenho superior aos tradicionalmente utilizados. Também é realizada uma breve revisão da metodologia usada nos estudos de séries temporais sobre os efeitos da poluição do ar na saúde. Os tópicos abordados na revisão estão implementados numa biblioteca para a análise de dados de séries temporais epidemiológicas no aplicativo estatístico R. O uso da biblioteca é exemplificado com dados de internações hospitalares de crianças por doenças respiratórias no Rio de Janeiro. Os estudos de cunho metodológico foram desenvolvidos no âmbito do estudo multicêntrico para avaliação dos efeitos da poluição do ar na América Latina o Projeto ESCALA.