An artificial neural network approach for short-term wind power forecasting in Portugal

This paper presents an artificial neural network approach for short-term wind power forecasting in Portugal. The increased integration of wind power into the electric grid, as nowadays occurs in Portugal, poses new challenges due to its intermittency and volatility. Hence, good forecasting tools play a key role in tackling these challenges. The accuracy of the wind power forecasting attained with the proposed approach is evaluated against persistence and ARIMA approaches, reporting the numerical results from a real-world case study.

Health financing changes in the context of health care decentralization: the case of three Latin American countries

OBJECTIVE: The results of an evaluative longitudinal study, which identified the effects of health care decentralization on health financing in Mexico, Nicaragua and Peru are presented in this article. METHODS: The methodology had two main phases. In the first, secondary sources of data and documents were analyzed with the following variables: type of decentralization implemented, source of financing, funds for financing, providers, final use of resources, mechanisms for resource allocation. In the second phase, primary data were collected by a survey of key personnel in the health sector. RESULTS: Results of the comparative analysis are presented, showing the changes implemented in the three countries, as well as the strengths and weaknesses of each country in matters of financing and decentralization. CONCLUSIONS: The main financing changes implemented and quantitative trends with respect to the five financing indicators are presented as a methodological tool to implement corrections and adjustments in health financing.

Assessment of patient dose in digital systems

The assessment of patient dose has gained increased attention, still being an issue of concern that arises from the use of digital systems. The development of digital technology offers the possibility for a reduction of radiation dose around 50% without loss in image quality when compared to a conventional screen–film system. Digital systems give an equivalent or superior diagnostic performance and also several other advantages, but the risk of overexposure with no adverse effect on image quality could be present. This chapter refers to the management of patient dose and provides an explanation of dose-related concepts. In this chapter, exposure influence in dose and image representation and the effects of radiation exposure are also discussed.

Impacto das comunidades de consumidores no valor das marcas

International Congress Marketing Trends Annual Conference in Paris, 17 – 19 January 2013

Finanças comportamentais: sobre-reação e sub-reação no mercado bolsista português

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Contabilidade e Finanças Orientador: Mestre Luis Pereira Gomes

Short-term wind power forecasting in Portugal by neural networks and wavelet transform

This paper proposes artificial neural networks in combination with wavelet transform for short-term wind power forecasting in Portugal. The increased integration of wind power into the electric grid, as nowadays occurs in Portugal, poses new challenges due to its intermittency and volatility. Hence, good forecasting tools play a key role in tackling these challenges. Results from a real-world case study are presented. A comparison is carried out, taking into account the results obtained with other approaches. Finally, conclusions are duly drawn. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Representações e conceito dos pais sobre a qualidade da creche

Tendo em conta o aumento do número de estruturas de apoio à primeira infância, particularmente, a expansão da creche, a investigação tem-se debruçado sobre as questões da qualidade. A generalidade dos estudos centra-se na discriminação das dimensões de qualidade e o seu impacto no desenvolvimento das crianças. Contudo, raramente a representação dos pais tem sido alvo de estudo. Partindo do pressuposto que a discussão sobre a qualidade da creche deve ser baseado na evidência empírica mas é, também, um conceito social baseado nos valores e representações dos seus atores, fomos ouvir os pais. Assim, quisemos conhecer: Como escolhiam a creche do seu filho(a)? Qual o seu conceito de qualidade? Que valor atribuem às experiências vividas pelo seus filhos ou filhas na creche? Que representação têm do papel do profissional de educação? Para o efeito, planificámos uma investigação em duas fases correspondendo a dois estudos empíricos. O primeiro estudo tinha como objetivo aferir livremente as Representações dos Pais acerca da Creche numa abordagem qualitativa, com recurso a entrevistas. Das entrevistas procurámos conhecer a opinião de um pequeno grupo de 20 pais com objetivo de aferir indicadores para a construção de um questionário que daria lugar ao segundo estudo - quantitativo. O primeiro estudo daria-nos a noção da opinião e o segundo estudo a noção da sua representação numa amostra de 180 participantes. Tanto quanto conhecemos (pesquisando as bases nacionais) estudos desta natureza sobre as representação dos pais sobre a creche, ainda, não tinham sido realizados em Portugal. De modo geral, os dois estudos revelaram que os pais valorizam a creche como espaço de promoção do desenvolvimento da criança; valorizam a dimensão afetiva do trabalho em creche; as educadoras como profissionais qualificados de educação e o desejo de uma relação estreita, aberta e respeitosa entre a creche e a família. Estes resultados abrem caminho para uma reflexão mais aprofundada acerca das representações, convicções e valores da família em relação à creche. - ABSTRACT Associated with an increased number of support structures for early childhood, we have witnessed a growing interest in studying the quality of these listed structures due to the impact that this will have on the quality development of children. Parents, as primary educators and educational agents privileged child, assume a key role in this regard. Through this study is to evaluate which representations and concept of parents about the quality of daycare. We performed a literature search in order to fit theoretically the main concepts covered in this study. We analyzed investigations already carried out on Nursery and Regulations and Guidelines for National Nursery. In terms of empirical studies we conducted two studies on the Representations about the Parent Nursery: A Qualitative Analysis using interviews with 20 parents and a Quantitative Study applying questionnaires to 180 parents. The main results of both studies revealed that parents value the nursery as a space to promote child development; value the affective dimension of work in nursery; qualified educators and desire for a good and respectful relationship between nursery and the family. These results pave the way for a deeper reflection about the representations, beliefs and values from the family about nursery.

A responsabilidade social do auditor perante a fraude

Mestrado em Auditoria

AI in power systems and energy markets

In a world increasingly conscientious about environmental effects, power and energy systems are undergoing huge transformations. Electric energy produced from power plants is transmitted and distributed to end users through a power grid. The power industry performs the engineering design, installation, operation, and maintenance tasks to provide a high-quality, secure energy supply while accounting for its systems’ abilities to withstand uncertain events, such as weather-related outages. Competitive, deregulated electricity markets and new renewable energy sources, however, have further complicated this already complex infrastructure.Sustainable development has also been a challenge for power systems. Recently, there has been a signifi cant increase in the installation of distributed generations, mainly based on renewable resources such as wind and solar. Integrating these new generation systems leads to more complexity. Indeed, the number of generation sources greatly increases as the grid embraces numerous smaller and distributed resources. In addition, the inherent uncertainties of wind and solar energy lead to technical challenges such as forecasting, scheduling, operation, control, and risk management. In this special issue introductory article, we analyze the key areas in this field that can benefi t most from AI and intelligent systems now and in the future.We also identify new opportunities for cross-fertilization between power systems and energy markets and intelligent systems researchers.

O Contributo da auditoria interna para uma gestão eficaz

Com a globalização da economia e o crescimento dos mercados financeiros, surge cada vez mais a necessidade de obter informação útil e atempada, que permita aos gestores das organizações tomar as melhores decisões para a consecução dos objectivos e para o desenvolvimento de estratégias. É neste contexto que a auditoria interna assume um papel relevante, indo ao encontro dos interesses dos gestores, na medida em que audita não só os procedimentos relativos ao reporte financeiro, como também todos os outros procedimentos de controlo interno, contribuindo assim para um controlo mais amplo e completo em toda a organização. O presente trabalho tem como objectivo verificar até que ponto a auditoria interna contribui para uma gestão eficaz das organizações. Para tal, realizaram-se pesquisas sobre os principais conceitos, funções e procedimentos relacionados com auditoria interna e a sua relação com a gestão das organizações. Seguidamente, procedeu-se à explicação da metodologia praticada e à exposição do caso empírico, que teve como base a elaboração de dois questionários basicamente semelhantes, que foram enviados às 200 empresas que apresentaram maior Volume de Negócios, retiradas do universo das “1000 MAIORES EMPRESAS” a actuarem no mercado português durante o ano de 2010. Esses questionários tiveram como objectivo cruzar as opiniões de gestores e auditores, a fim de concluir se existe ou não um contributo da auditoria interna para uma gestão eficaz. Na posse da informação recolhida foi possível ressaltar o contributo da auditoria interna como ferramenta indispensável para uma gestão eficaz, no sentido que procura adequar os custos, aumentar a produtividade, auxiliar no processo de gestão dos riscos e no processo de tomada de decisão, de modo a tornar as organizações mais competitivas e garantindo-lhes um crescimento sustentado.

Acrescentar valor à organização com a auditoria interna

Dissertação de Mestrado Apresentado ao Instituto de Contabilidade e Administração do Porto para a obtenção do grau de Mestre em Auditoria, sob orientação de Doutora Alcina Portugal Dias

Grupos de simetria: identificação de padrões no património açoriano

Dissertação de Mestrado, Matemática para Professores, 3 de Abril de 2014, Universidade dos Açores.

Optimization of QuEChERS method for the analysis of organochlorine pesticides in soils with diverse organic matter

A QuEChERS method has been developed for the determination of 14 organochlorine pesticides in 14 soils from different Portuguese regions with wide range composition. The extracts were analysed by GC-ECD (where GC-ECD is gas chromatography-electron-capture detector) and confirmed by GC-MS/MS (where MS/MS is tandem mass spectrometry). The organic matter content is a key factor in the process efficiency. An optimization was carried out according to soils organic carbon level, divided in two groups: HS (organic carbon>2.3%) and LS (organic carbon<2.3%). Themethod was validated through linearity, recovery, precision and accuracy studies. The quantification was carried out using a matrixmatched calibration to minimize the existence of the matrix effect. Acceptable recoveries were obtained (70–120%) with a relative standard deviation of ≤16% for the three levels of contamination. The ranges of the limits of detection and of the limits of quantification in soils HS were from 3.42 to 23.77 μg kg−1 and from 11.41 to 79.23 μg kg−1, respectively. For LS soils, the limits of detection ranged from 6.11 to 14.78 μg kg−1 and the limits of quantification from 20.37 to 49.27 μg kg−1. In the 14 collected soil samples only one showed a residue of dieldrin (45.36 μg kg−1) above the limit of quantification. This methodology combines the advantages of QuEChERS, GC-ECD detection and GC-MS/MS confirmation producing a very rapid, sensitive and reliable procedure which can be applied in routine analytical laboratories.

A educação Pré-Escolar e o 1.º ciclo do Ensino Básico: dinâmicas de cidadania em contextos de práticas curriculares e didáticas

Mestrado (PES II), Educação Pré-Escolar e Ensino do 1.º Ciclo do Ensino Básico, 1 de Julho de 2014, Universidade dos Açores.

Mutation accumulation in Tetrahymena

Background - The rate and fitness effects of mutations are key in understanding the evolution of every species. Traditionally, these parameters are estimated in mutation accumulation experiments where replicate lines are propagated in conditions that allow mutations to randomly accumulate without the purging effect of natural selection. These experiments have been performed with many model organisms but we still lack empirical estimates of the rate and effects of mutation in the protists. Results - We performed a mutation accumulation (MA) experiment in Tetrahymena thermophila, a species that can reproduce sexually and asexually in nature, and measured both the mean decline and variance increase in fitness of 20 lines. The results obtained with T. thermophila were compared with T. pyriformis that is an obligate asexual species. We show that MA lines of T. thermophila go to extinction at a rate of 1.25 clonal extinctions per bottleneck. In contrast, populations of T. pyriformis show a much higher resistance to extinction. Variation in gene copy number is likely to be a key factor in explaining these results, and indeed we show that T. pyriformis has a higher mean copy number per cell than T. thermophila. From fitness measurements during the MA experiment, we infer a rate of mutation to copy number variation of 0.0333 per haploid MAC genome of T. thermophila and a mean effect against copy number variation of 0.16. A strong effect of population size in the rate of fitness decline was also found, consistent with the increased power of natural selection. Conclusions - The rate of clonal extinction measured for T. thermophila is characteristic of a mutational degradation and suggests that this species must undergo sexual reproduction to avoid the deleterious effects detected in the laboratory experiments. We also suggest that an increase in chromosomal copy number associated with the phenotypic assortment of amitotic divisions can provide an alternative mechanism to escape the deleterious effect of random chromosomal copy number variation in species like T. pyriformis that lack the resetting mechanism of sexual reproduction. Our results are relevant to the understanding of cell line longevity and senescence in ciliates.