Strategic Bidding in Electricity Markets: An agent-based simulator with game theory for scenario analysis

Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting in a dynamic scene. Game-theory has been widely used to support decisions in competitive environments; therefore its application in electricity markets can prove to be a high potential tool. This paper proposes a new scenario analysis algorithm, which includes the application of game-theory, to evaluate and preview different scenarios and provide players with the ability to strategically react in order to exhibit the behavior that better fits their objectives. This model includes forecasts of competitor players’ actions, to build models of their behavior, in order to define the most probable expected scenarios. Once the scenarios are defined, game theory is applied to support the choice of the action to be performed. Our use of game theory is intended for supporting one specific agent and not for achieving the equilibrium in the market. MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets) is a multi-agent electricity market simulator that models market players and simulates their operation in the market. The scenario analysis algorithm has been tested within MASCEM and our experimental findings with a case study based on real data from the Iberian Electricity Market are presented and discussed.

Domestic Consumption Simulation and Management Using a Continuous Consumption Management and Optimization Algorithm

The recent changes concerning the consumers’ active participation in the efficient management of load devices for one’s own interest and for the interest of the network operator, namely in the context of demand response, leads to the need for improved algorithms and tools. A continuous consumption optimization algorithm has been improved in order to better manage the shifted demand. It has been done in a simulation and user-interaction tool capable of being integrated in a multi-agent smart grid simulator already developed, and also capable of integrating several optimization algorithms to manage real and simulated loads. The case study of this paper enhances the advantages of the proposed algorithm and the benefits of using the developed simulation and user interaction tool.

A Learning Algorithm and System Approach to Address Exceptional Events in Domestic Consumption Management

The integration of the Smart Grid concept into the electric grid brings to the need for an active participation of small and medium players. This active participation can be achieved using decentralized decisions, in which the end consumer can manage loads regarding the Smart Grid needs. The management of loads must handle the users’ preferences, wills and needs. However, the users’ preferences, wills and needs can suffer changes when faced with exceptional events. This paper proposes the integration of exceptional events into the SCADA House Intelligent Management (SHIM) system developed by the authors, to handle machine learning issues in the domestic consumption context. An illustrative application and learning case study is provided in this paper.

Análise dinâmica de composições musicais

A composição musical é um tema de muito interesse para a computação evolucionária dentro da área da inteligência artificial. É uma área que tem sofrido vários desenvolvimentos ao longo dos últimos anos pois o interesse em que hajam computadores que façam obras musicais é deveras aliciante. Este trabalho tem por objectivo realizar mais um passo nesse sentido. Assim, foi desenvolvida uma aplicação informática que realiza composições musicais de dois géneros distintos: Músicas Infantis e Músicas Blues. A aplicação foi implementada com recurso aos Algoritmos Genéticos, que são os algoritmos evolucionários mais populares da área da computação evolucionária. O trabalho foi estruturado em duas fases de desenvolvimento. Na primeira fase, realizou-se um levantamento estatístico sobre as características específicas de cada um dos géneros musicais. Analisaram-se quinze músicas de cada género musical, com o intuito de se chegar a uma proporção do uso que cada nota tem em cada um dos casos. Na segunda fase, desenvolveu-se o software que compõe as músicas com implementação de um algoritmo genético. Além disso, foi também desenvolvida uma interface gráfica que permite ao utilizador a escolha do género musical que pretende compor. O algoritmo genético começa por gerar uma população inicial de potenciais soluções de acordo com a escolha do utilizador, realizando, de seguida, o ciclo que caracteriza o algoritmo genético. A população inicial é constituída por soluções que seguem as regras que foram implementadas de acordo com os dados recolhidos ao longo da primeira fase. Foi também implementada uma interface de avaliação, através da qual, o utilizador pode ouvir cada uma das músicas para posterior avaliação em termos de fitness. O estado de evolução do algoritmo é apresentado, numa segunda interface, a qual facilita a clareza e justiça na avaliação ao longo de todo o processo. Esta última apresenta informação sobre a média das fitness da geração anterior e actual, sendo assim possível ter uma noção da evolução do algoritmo, no sentido de se obterem resultados satisfatórios no que diz respeito às composições musicais.

Implementação de uma Interface Homem-máquina baseada em Eletroculografia

A constante evolução da tecnologia permitiu ao ser humano a utilização de dispositivos electrónicos nas suas rotinas diárias. Estas podem ser afetadas quando os utilizadores sofrem de deficiências ou doenças que afetam as suas capacidades motoras. Com o intuito de minimizar este obstáculo surgiram as Interfaces Homem-Computador (HCI). É neste panorama que os sistemas HCI baseados em Eletroculografia (EOG) assumem um papel preponderante na melhoria da qualidade de vida destes indivíduos. A Eletroculografia é o resultado da aquisição do movimento ocular, que pode ser adquirido através de diversos métodos. Os métodos mais convencionais utilizam elétrodos de superfície para aquisição dos sinais elétricos, ou então, utilizam sistemas de gravação de vídeo, que gravam o movimento ocular. O objetivo desta tese é desenvolver um sistema HCI baseado em Eletroculografia, que adquire o sinal elétrico do movimento ocular através de elétrodos de superfície. Para tal desenvolveu-se um circuito eletrónico para a aquisição do sinal de EOG, bem como um algoritmo em Python para análise do mesmo. O circuito foi desenvolvido recorrendo a seis módulos diferentes, cada um deles com uma função específica. Para cada módulo foi necessário desenhar e implementar placas de circuito impresso, que quando conectadas entre si permitem filtrar, amplificar e digitalizar os sinais elétricos, adquiridos através de elétrodos de superfície, originados pelo movimento ocular. O algoritmo criado em Python permite analisar os dados provenientes do circuito e converte-os para coordenadas. Através destas foi possível determinar o sentido e a amplitude do movimento ocular.

Automated image tagging through tag propagation

Trabalho apresentado no âmbito do Mestrado em Engenharia Informática, como requisito parcial Para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Informática

Acceleration of physics simulation engine through OpenCL

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Informática

Classificação de sons cardíacos usando Motifs: desenvolvimento de uma aplicação móvel

Este documento foi redigido no âmbito da Tese, do Mestrado em Engenharia Informática na área de Tecnologias do Conhecimento e Decisão, do Departamento de Engenharia Informática, do ISEP, cujo tema é classificação de sons cardíacos usando motifs. Neste trabalho, apresenta-se um algoritmo de classificação de sons cardíacos, capaz de identificar patologias cardíacas. A classificação do som cardíaco é um trabalho desafiante dada a dificuldade em separar os sons ambiente (vozes, respiração, contacto do microfone com superfícies como pele ou tecidos) ou de ruído dos batimentos cardíacos. Esta abordagem seguiu a metodologia de descoberta de padrões SAX (motifs) mais frequentes, em séries temporais relacionando-os com a ocorrência sistólica (S1) e a ocorrência diastólica (S2) do coração. A metodologia seguida mostrou-se eficaz a distinguir sons normais de sons correspondentes a patologia. Os resultados foram publicados na conferência internacional IDEAS’14 [Oliveira, 2014], em Julho deste ano. Numa fase seguinte, desenvolveu-se uma aplicação móvel, capaz de captar os batimentos cardíacos, de os tratar e os classificar. A classificação dos sons é feita usando o método referido no parágrafo anterior. A aplicação móvel, depois de tratar os sons, envia-os para um servidor, onde o programa de classificação é executado, e recebe a resposta da classificação. É também descrita a arquitetura aplicacional desenhada e as componentes que a constituem, as ferramentas e tecnologias utilizadas.

Electrophoretic protein patterns and numerical analysis of Candida albicans from the oral cavities of healthy children

The aim of this research was to evaluate the protein polymorphism degree among seventy-five C. albicans strains from healthy children oral cavities of five socioeconomic categories from eight schools (private and public) in Piracicaba city, São Paulo State, in order to identify C. albicans subspecies and their similarities in infantile population groups and to establish their possible dissemination route. Cell cultures were grown in YEPD medium, collected by centrifugation, and washed with cold saline solution. The whole-cell proteins were extracted by cell disruption, using glass beads and submitted to SDS-PAGE technique. After electrophoresis, the protein bands were stained with Coomassie-blue and analyzed by statistics package NTSYS-pc version 1.70 software. Similarity matrix and dendrogram were generated by using the Dice similarity coefficient and UPGMA algorithm, respectively, which made it possible to evaluate the similarity or intra-specific polymorphism degrees, based on whole-cell protein fingerprinting of C. albicans oral isolates. A total of 13 major phenons (clusters) were analyzed, according to their homogeneous (socioeconomic category and/or same school) and heterogeneous (distinct socioeconomic categories and/or schools) characteristics. Regarding to the social epidemiological aspect, the cluster composition showed higher similarities (0.788 < S D < 1.0) among C. albicans strains isolated from healthy children independent of their socioeconomic bases (high, medium, or low). Isolates of high similarity were not found in oral cavities from healthy children of social stratum A and D, B and D, or C and E. This may be explained by an absence of a dissemination route among these children. Geographically, some healthy children among identical and different schools (private and public) also are carriers of similar strains but such similarity was not found among other isolates from children from certain schools. These data may reflect a restricted dissemination route of these microorganisms in some groups of healthy scholars, which may be dependent of either socioeconomic categories or geographic site of each child. In contrast to the higher similarity, the lower similarity or higher polymorphism degree (0.499 < S D < 0.788) of protein profiles was shown in 23 (30.6%) C. albicans oral isolates. Considering the social epidemiological aspect, 42.1%, 41.7%, 26.6%, 23.5%, and 16.7% were isolates from children concerning to socioeconomic categories A, D, C, B, and E, respectively, and geographically, 63.6%, 50%, 33.3%, 33.3%, 30%, 25%, and 14.3% were isolates from children from schools LAE (Liceu Colégio Albert Einstein), MA (E.E.P.S.G. "Prof. Elias de Melo Ayres"), CS (E.E.P.G. "Prof. Carlos Sodero"), AV (Alphaville), HF (E.E.P.S.G. "Honorato Faustino), FMC (E.E.P.G. "Prof. Francisco Mariano da Costa"), and MEP (E.E.P.S.G. "Prof. Manasses Ephraim Pereira), respectively. Such results suggest a higher protein polymorphism degree among some strains isolated from healthy children independent of their socioeconomic strata or geographic sites. Complementary studies, involving healthy students and their families, teachers, servants, hygiene and nutritional habits must be done in order to establish the sources of such colonization patterns in population groups of healthy children. The whole-cell protein profile obtained by SDS-PAGE associated with computer-assisted numerical analysis may provide additional criteria for the taxonomic and epidemiological studies of C. albicans.

Geodupa - a geography-driven partial membership algorithm

Trabalho apresentado no âmbito do Mestrado em Engenharia Informática, como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Informática

Fractional Dynamics of Computer Virus Propagation

We propose a fractional model for computer virus propagation. The model includes the interaction between computers and removable devices. We simulate numerically the model for distinct values of the order of the fractional derivative and for two sets of initial conditions adopted in the literature. We conclude that fractional order systems reveal richer dynamics than the classical integer order counterpart. Therefore, fractional dynamics leads to time responses with super-fast transients and super-slow evolutions towards the steady-state, effects not easily captured by the integer order models.

Efficient Legendre spectral tau algorithm for solving two-sided space-time Caputo fractional advection-dispersion equation

In this paper we present the operational matrices of the left Caputo fractional derivative, right Caputo fractional derivative and Riemann–Liouville fractional integral for shifted Legendre polynomials. We develop an accurate numerical algorithm to solve the two-sided space–time fractional advection–dispersion equation (FADE) based on a spectral shifted Legendre tau (SLT) method in combination with the derived shifted Legendre operational matrices. The fractional derivatives are described in the Caputo sense. We propose a spectral SLT method, both in temporal and spatial discretizations for the two-sided space–time FADE. This technique reduces the two-sided space–time FADE to a system of algebraic equations that simplifies the problem. Numerical results carried out to confirm the spectral accuracy and efficiency of the proposed algorithm. By selecting relatively few Legendre polynomial degrees, we are able to get very accurate approximations, demonstrating the utility of the new approach over other numerical methods.

Task partitioning and priority assignment for distributed hard real-time systems

In this paper, we propose the Distributed using Optimal Priority Assignment (DOPA) heuristic that finds a feasible partitioning and priority assignment for distributed applications based on the linear transactional model. DOPA partitions the tasks and messages in the distributed system, and makes use of the Optimal Priority Assignment (OPA) algorithm known as Audsley’s algorithm, to find the priorities for that partition. The experimental results show how the use of the OPA algorithm increases in average the number of schedulable tasks and messages in a distributed system when compared to the use of Deadline Monotonic (DM) usually favoured in other works. Afterwards, we extend these results to the assignment of Parallel/Distributed applications and present a second heuristic named Parallel-DOPA (P-DOPA). In that case, we show how the partitioning process can be simplified by using the Distributed Stretch Transformation (DST), a parallel transaction transformation algorithm introduced in [1].

Ensemble: an innovative approach to practice computer programming

Currently, the teaching-learning process in domains, such as computer programming, is characterized by an extensive curricula and a high enrolment of students. This poses a great workload for faculty and teaching assistants responsible for the creation, delivery, and assessment of student exercises. The main goal of this chapter is to foster practice-based learning in complex domains. This objective is attained with an e-learning framework—called Ensemble—as a conceptual tool to organize and facilitate technical interoperability among services. The Ensemble framework is used on a specific domain: computer programming. Content issues are tacked with a standard format to describe programming exercises as learning objects. Communication is achieved with the extension of existing specifications for the interoperation with several systems typically found in an e-learning environment. In order to evaluate the acceptability of the proposed solution, an Ensemble instance was validated on a classroom experiment with encouraging results.