Yritystoiminnan rahoitusriskit – Case: Talvivaara

Tässä kandidaatintutkielmassa selvitetään, minkälaisia rahoitusriskejä yritystoimintaan liittyy ja miten riskejä vastaan on mahdollista suojautua. Tutkielman case osassa analysoidaan Talvivaaran Kaivososakeyhtiö Oyj:n rahoitusriskejä ja Talvivaaran käyttämiä suojautumiskeinoja

Ammattiliittojen rakenteen sekä muiden instituutioiden vaikutus kansalliseen kilpailukykyyn

This thesis examines the impact of structural characteristics of wage bargaining and unemployment insurance system of trade and labour unions and governmental institutions on national competitiveness. In addition, the effect currency union has on these factors is evaluated. The analysis is conducted on 17 EU- and ETA-countries through panel data regression. The results indicate that able governmental institutions enhance national competitiveness significantly and without exceptions. The competitive benefits of wage bargaining peak when wages are negotiated decentralized, above all when the country is a member of the Eurozone. This can be explained with the reduced capability of Eurozone governments to conduct efficient income policies in coordinated wage bargaining structure, since it lacks the means to exploit monetary policies which are exercised by a politically independent central bank.

Sähkönmyyntiyhtiöiden riskienhallinnan haasteet ja kehittäminen

Diplomityön tavoitteena on esitellä sähkökaupan ja erityisesti sähköyhtiöiden kokemia sähkönmyynnin riskejä sekä kuvata sähkönmyyntiin liittyvää riskienhallinnan problematiikkaa. Tarkastelun näkökulmana on tietojärjestelmien ja saatavissa olevan tiedon hyödyntäminen energiayhtiöiden riskienhallinnassa. Toinen päätavoitteista on tutkia, kuinka saatavilla olevaa tiedon hyödyntämistä voidaan kehittää sähkönmyynnin hinnoittelussa sekä suojausten suunnittelussa. Työ toteutettiin työskentelemällä asiantuntijana energia-alaan keskittyneessä ohjelmistoyrityksessä sekä haastattelemalla yhdeksän suomalaisen sähkönmyyntiyhtiön henkilöitä riskienhallinnan haasteiden sekä tietojärjestelmien näkökulmasta. Saatavilla olevien tietojen nykyistä parempi hyödyntäminen ja automatisointi voivat auttaa pienentämään yhtiöiden riskitasoa ja parantaa menestymisen edellytyksiä sähkönmyynnin vähittäismarkkinoilla. Lisäksi kulloiseenkin markkinatilanteeseen sopivat sähkön hankintahinnan suojausstrategiat sekä monipuoliset dynaamiset hinnoittelumallit auttavat pienentämään yhtiön kokemia riskejä tai niiden vaikutuksia. Näiden hyödyntäminen vaatii laajaa ymmärrystä sähkö- ja johdannaismarkkinoiden toiminnasta sekä usein myös nykyisten tietojärjestelmien kehittämistä. Tulevaisuudessa yhä yleistyvä hajautettu tuotanto sekä kysynnän jousto asettavat tietojärjestelmille uusia vaatimuksia, jotka toteutuessaan mahdollistavat uudenlaisten palveluiden käyttöönoton sekä voivat tuoda tilaa myös alan uusille toimijoille. Työssä käsitellään energiayhtiöiden kokemia riskejä sähkönmyynnin näkökulmasta, esitellään alan yleisimmät riskit sekä keinot ja työkalut niiltä suojautumiseen. Työn lopuksi tarkastellaan sähkönmyynnin ja –hankinnan oleellisimpia prosesseja riskienhallinnan kehittämisen näkökulmasta.

Viljan hintariskiä vastaan suojautuminen Suomessa

Tässä tutkielmassa tarkastellaan viljan hintariskin merkitystä suomalaisen viljanviljelyyn keskittyneen maatalousyrittäjän tulonmuodostukseen ja vertaillaan keinoja, joilla tältä riskiltä voidaan tarvittaessa suojautua. Tutkielman tuloksena voidaan todeta seuraavaa: 1) Tarkasteluajanjaksolla 2000-2014 viljan hinnan volatiliteetti Suomessa on pääosin pysytellyt maltillisella tasolla, muutamaa poikkeusvuotta lukuunottamatta. 2) Suomalaisesta näkökulmasta maailman hyödykepörssien futuureista vain muutama soveltuu hintasuojauksen tehokkaaseen toteuttamiseen. 3) Viljan hintariskin kriittisyys viljelijälle riippuu vahvasti tämän tulonmuodostuksesta, joten on tapauskohtaista voidaanko hintasuojaksen toteutus katsoa tarpeelliseksi. 4) Mahdollisuudet viljan hintasuojauksen toteuttamiseen ovat Suomessa varsin rajalliset verrattuna esimerkiksi edelläkävijään Yhdysvaltoihin.

A substituição de importações no Brasil entre 1995 e 2000

This work estimates the import substitution process in Brazilian industrial sectors in a recent period and evaluates whether it is occurring naturally or is in part induced by some kind of external commercial policy. An index to measure import substitution was calculated for forty nine sectors of industry. A regression analysis with this index against effective tariffs and real effective exchange rate, during the period 1995-2000, shows that these variables (effective tariffs and real effective exchange rates) did affect the substitution index. From 1999 on, the influence of the exchange rate over the import substitution index was greater than the influence of the effective tariff, suggesting that the process of import substitution post the Brazilian currency depreciation occurred in 1999 contains elements that characterizes it as a "natural" process.

Governos autoritários e câmbio nos países latino-americanos

Authoritarian governments and exchange rate policy in Latin American countries. Our aim on this paper is to identify the exchange rate policies used by Authoritarian governments in Latin America during the 170’s and 180’s. The literature shows that the focus of the exchange rate policy was on inflation control, which was not consistent with the evidence. We show on this paper that these governments aimed at a undervalued currency because of the behavior of the external balance of the countries.

Computational Market Dynamics of Virtual Economies

The last two decades have provided a vast opportunity to live and explore the compulsive imaginary world or virtual world through massively multiplayer online role-playing games (MMORPGs). MMORPG gives a wide range of opportunities to its users to participate with multi-players on the same platform, to communicate and to do real time actions. There is a virtual economy in these games which is largely player-driven. In-game currency provides its users to build up their Avatars, to buy or sell the necessary goods to play, survive in the games and so on. As a part of virtual economies generated through EVE Online, this thesis mainly focuses on how the prices of the minerals in EVE Online behave by applying the Jabłonska- Capasso-Morale (JCM) mathematical simulation model. It is to verify up to what degree the model can reproduce the virtual economy behavior. The model is applied to buy and sell prices of two minerals namely, isogen and morphite. The simulation results demonstrate that JCM model ts reasonably well to the mineral prices, which lets us conclude that virtual economies behave similarly to the real ones.

The Dutch disease and its neutralization: a Ricardian approach

The Dutch disease is a major market failure originated in the existence of cheap and abundant natural or human resources that keep overvalued the currency of a country for an undetermined period of time, thus turning non profitable the production of tradable goods using technology in the state-of-the-art. It is an obstacle to growth on the demand side, because it limits investment opportunities. The severity of the Dutch disease varies according to the extent of the Ricardian rents involved, i.e., according to the difference between two exchange rate equilibriums: the ‘current’ or market rate and the ‘industrial’ rate - the one that make viable efficient tradable industries. Its main symptoms, besides overvalued currency, are low rates of growth of the manufacturing industry, artificially high real wages, and unemployment. Its neutralization requires managing the exchange rate. The principal instrument for that is a sales or export tax on the commodities that give origin to the Dutch disease. In order to neutralize it policymakers face major political obstacles since it involves taxing exports and reducing wages. Finally, this papers argues that there is an extended concept of Dutch disease: besides having its origin in natural resources, it may arise from cheap labor provided that the ‘wage spread’ in the developing country is considerably larger than in the developed one - a condition that is usually present.

Fluxos de capitais, fragilidade externa e regimes cambiais: uma revisão teórica

Capital Flows, External Fragility and Currency Regimes: A Theoretical Review. The major integration and deregulation of the international financial markets increased the degree of interdependence and risk of incompatibility between the financial and monetary policy adopted by different countries. The consequences of these facts are the financial instability and the currency crisis. In this article we develop arguments advocating that independent of the currency regime adopted the national policy makers should take into account, between other factors, the major capital mobility and the integrations of markets. One of the corollaries of our analyses is that countries should pursue policies that reduces the degree of short-term capital volatile by the adoption of capital controls or though measures of prudential supervision.

Fatores comuns determinantes de crises cambiais e financeiras

Determinative common factors of currency and financial crisis. This paper identifies and evaluates determinative common factors of currency and financial crisis in relation to 86 crises episodes between 1970-2004, based on factor analysis, cluster and discriminant analysis. One evidenced that the rise of the ratios of domestic credit, fiscal deficit and residents bank deposits to the GDP is inherent to the different types of crises classified for economic literature. It was also identified as common factors to these episodes some indicators that capture the excessive monetary expansion of the economies and that reflect the fall in international reserves, represented by M2/Reserves and Imports/Reserves ratios and also the total volume of international reserves.

The real mechanisms of the global economy

The paper presents the main arguments of Bresser Pereira's Globalization and Competition. Development strategies based on the 'conventional orthodoxy' are shown to carry serious drawbacks ("Dutch disease", pernicious effects of external saving, currency overvaluation), while a 'new developmentalism' is promoted, in spite of the widespread belief that the nation-states have been dispossessed of their room for manoeuvre because of the globalization process. The "new developmentalism" is based on domestic finance, balanced public budgets, moderate interest rates and competitiveness policies aimed at neutralizing the tendency to exchange rate overappreciation. The paper also points out a few theoretical questions the book raises.

The effects of derivative use on equity fund performance

Investing in mutual funds has become more popular than ever and the amount of money invested in mutual funds registered in Finland has hit its all-time high. Mutual funds provide a relatively low-cost method for private investors to invest in stock market and achieve diversified portfolios. In finance there is always a tradeoff between risk and return, where higher expected returns can usually be achieved only by taking higher risks. Diversifying the portfolio gets rid some of the risk but systematic risk cannot be diversified away. These risks can be managed by hedging the investments with derivatives. The use of derivatives should improve the performance of the portfolios using them compared to the funds that don’t. However, previous studies have shown that the risk exposure and return performance of derivative users does not considerably differ from nonusers. The purpose of this study is to examine how the use of derivatives affects the performance of equity funds. The funds studied were 155 equity funds registered in Finland in 2013. Empirical research was done by studying the derivative use of the funds during a 6-year period between 2008–2013. The performance of the funds was studied quantitatively by using several different performance measures used in mutual fund industry; Sharpe Ratio, Treynor Ratio, Jensen's alpha, Sortino Ratio, M2 and Omega Ratio. The effect of derivative use on funds' performance was studied by using a dummy variable and comparing performance measures of derivative-users and nonusers. The differences in performance measures between the two groups were analyzed with statistical tests. The hypothesis was that funds' derivative use should improve their performance relative to the funds that don't use them. The results of this study are in line with previous studies that state that the use of derivatives does not improve mutual funds' performance. When performance was measured with Jensen's alpha, funds that did not use derivatives performed better than the ones that used them. When measured with other performance measures, the results didn’t differ between two groups.

Competitividade e restrição externa na Zona do Euro

The recent debt crisis in Greece, Ireland and Portugal has exposed the fragility existing in the Eurozone for promoting development and economic convergence between the countries that have adopted the currency. Way beyond the fear of insolvency, what is observed is a growing disparity of the most-developed countries in comparison to the less-developed ones, with perverse consequences for the last ones. Once the nominal exchange rates are fixed, the divergent movements in relative prices and wages between the countries have led to totally distinct paths for the real exchange rates. Worsening the scenario, one can observe the incompleteness of the political union, the monetarist focus of the ECB and the lack of labor mobility between the countries, what distances from the argument stated by the theory and puts in jeopardize the future of the Monetary Union.

Assessing development and the idea of development in the 1950s in Brazil

The decade of 1950s was a crucial period of the industrialization of the Brazilian economy. The dominant school of thought was the national-developmentalism, which was not restricted to the sphere of economic production but also encompassed political and socio-cultural processes of change. Combining repression, persuasion and paternalism, the national state took a significantly political and economic responsibility in the social, material and symbolic modernization during the Vargas and Kubitschek administrations. However, internal disputes, foreign demands and a long legacy of socio-spatial inequalities prevented the achievement of more socially inclusive goals, leading a legacy of unanswered questions that still have currency today.

Trade rules and exchange rate misalignments: in search for a WTO solution

The debate on the link between trade rules and rules on exchange rates is raising the attention of experts on international trade law and economics. The main purpose of this paper is to analyze the impacts of exchange rate misalignments on tariffs as applied by the WTO - World Trade Organization. It is divided into five sections: the first one explains the methodology used to determine exchange rate misalignments and also presents its results for Brazil, U.S. and China; the second summarizes the methodology applied to calculate the impacts of exchange rate misalignments on the level of tariff protection through an exercise of "misalignment tariffication"; the third examines the effects of exchange rate variations on tariffs and their consequences for the multilateral trading system; the fourth one creates a methodology to estimate exchange rates against a currency of the World and a proposal to deal with persistent and significant misalignments related to trade rules. The conclusions are present in the last section.