Meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy in neurosurgical practice.

Comparative effectiveness research (CER) allows evidence to be evaluated on the effectiveness, benefits, and detriments of management options, diagnostic tests, or ways to deliver health care. This process can be achieved in different ways, such as with well-designed randomized controlled trials or by meta-analyses. Several medical subspecialties are increasingly using CER, but CER remains underused by the neurosurgical community. Meta-analysis is a highly accurate method that permits results from multiple well-designed research studies to be quantitatively compared. Meta-analysis can be performed in many settings, such as the evaluation of treatment or of a diagnostic test or prognostic factor. Meta-analyses of randomized controlled treatment trials are well known, but there is a paucity of papers describing the ways to perform a meta-analysis of a diagnostic test. The aim of this paper is to improve neurosurgeons' familiarity with the meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy by describing and detailing each stage leading to publication.

Serial QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube assay and tuberculin skin test to diagnose latent tuberculosis in household Mexican contacts: conversion and reversion rates and associated factors using conventional and borderline zone definitions

A cohort of 123 adult contacts was followed for 18‐24 months (86 completed the follow-up) to compare conversion and reversion rates based on two serial measures of QuantiFERON (QFT) and tuberculin skin test (TST) (PPD from TUBERSOL, Aventis Pasteur, Canada) for diagnosing latent tuberculosis (TB) in household contacts of TB patients using conventional (C) and borderline zone (BZ) definitions. Questionnaires were used to obtain information regarding TB exposure, TB risk factors and socio-demographic data. QFT (IU/mL) conversion was defined as <0.35 to ≥0.35 (C) or <0.35 to >0.70 (BZ) and reversion was defined as ≥0.35 to <0.35 (C) or ≥0.35 to <0.20 (BZ); TST (mm) conversion was defined as <5 to ≥5 (C) or <5 to >10 (BZ) and reversion was defined as ≥5 to <5 (C). The QFT conversion and reversion rates were 10.5% and 7% with C and 8.1% and 4.7% with the BZ definitions, respectively. The TST rates were higher compared with QFT, especially with the C definitions (conversion 23.3%, reversion 9.3%). The QFT conversion and reversion rates were higher for TST ≥5; for TST, both rates were lower for QFT <0.35. No risk factors were associated with the probability of converting or reverting. The inconsistency and apparent randomness of serial testing is confusing and adds to the limitations of these tests and definitions to follow-up close TB contacts.

Diagnostic reliability of an immunochromatographic test for Chagas disease screening at a primary health care centre in a rural endemic area

Many patients with Chagas disease live in remote communities that lack both equipment and trained personnel to perform a diagnosis by conventional serology (CS). Thus, reliable tests suitable for use under difficult conditions are required. In this study, we evaluated the ability of personnel with and without laboratory skills to perform immunochromatographic (IC) tests to detect Chagas disease at a primary health care centre (PHCC). We examined whole blood samples from 241 patients and serum samples from 238 patients. Then, we calculated the percentage of overall agreement (POA) between the two groups of operators for the sensitivity (S), specificity (Sp) and positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values of IC tests compared to CS tests. We also evaluated the level of agreement between ELISAs and indirect haemagglutination (IHA) tests. The readings of the IC test results showed 100% agreement (POA = 1). The IC test on whole blood showed the following values: S = 87.3%; Sp = 98.8%; PPV = 96.9% and NPV = 95.9%. Additionally, the IC test on serum displayed the following results: S = 95.7%; Sp = 100%; PPV = 100% and NPV = 98.2%. Using whole blood, the agreement with ELISA was 96.3% and the agreement with IHA was 94.1%. Using serum, the agreement with ELISA was 97.8% and the agreement with IHA was 96.6%. The IC test performance with serum samples was excellent and demonstrated its usefulness in a PHCC with minimal equipment. If the IC test S value and NPV with whole blood are improved, then this test could also be used in areas lacking laboratories or specialised personnel.

Mycobacterium tuberculosis epitope-specific interferon-g production in healthy Brazilians reactive and non-reactive to tuberculin skin test

The interferon (IFN)-γ response to peptides can be a useful diagnostic marker of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) latent infection. We identified promiscuous and potentially protective CD4+ T-cell epitopes from the most conserved regions of MTB antigenic proteins by scanning the MTB antigenic proteins GroEL2, phosphate-binding protein 1 precursor and 19 kDa antigen with the TEPITOPE algorithm. Seven peptide sequences predicted to bind to multiple human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DR molecules were synthesised and tested with IFN-γ enzyme-linked immunospot (ELISPOT) assays using peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from 16 Mantoux tuberculin skin test (TST)-positive and 16 TST-negative healthy donors. Eighty-eight percent of TST-positive donors responded to at least one of the peptides, compared to 25% of TST-negative donors. Each individual peptide induced IFN-γ production by PBMCs from at least 31% of the TST-positive donors. The magnitude of the response against all peptides was 182 ± 230 x 106 IFN-γ spot forming cells (SFC) among TST-positive donors and 36 ± 62 x 106 SFC among TST-negative donors (p = 0.007). The response to GroEL2 (463-477) was only observed in the TST-positive group. This combination of novel MTB CD4 T-cell epitopes should be tested in a larger cohort of individuals with latent tuberculosis (TB) to evaluate its potential to diagnose latent TB and it may be included in ELISPOT-based IFN-γ assays to identify individuals with this condition.

Field testing of arsenic in groundwater samples of Bangladesh using a test kit based on lyophilized bioreporter bacteria.

A test kit based on living, lyophilized bacterial bioreporters emitting bioluminescence as a response to arsenite and arsenate was applied during a field campaign in six villages across Bangladesh. Bioreporter field measurements of arsenic in groundwater from tube wells were in satisfying agreement with the results of spectroscopic analyses of the same samples conducted in the lab. The practicability of the bioreporter test in terms of logistics and material requirements, suitability for high sample throughput, and waste disposal was much better than that of two commercial chemical test kits that were included as references. The campaigns furthermore demonstrated large local heterogeneity of arsenic in groundwater, underscoring the use of well switching as an effective remedy to avoid high arsenic exposure.

The role of nonhematopoietic MHC class II expression in immune responses and tolerance

Si les rôles fonctionnels de diverses cellules immunitaires infiltrant des tissus enflammés sont assez bien compris, par contre, étonnamment, on connaît bien moins la capacité des cellules non hématopoïétiques résidant dans des tissus, à moduler l'activité biologique des cellules immunitaires immigrantes, et donc le résultat de la réponse immunitaire. La présentation des antigènes, dans le contexte des molécules du CMH de classe II (CMHII) à la surface des cellules présentatrices d'antigènes (CPA) professionnelles à une sous- population de lymphocytes T, est cruciale pour le développement des réponses immunitaires protectives spécifiques de l'antigène. En général, l'expression de CMHII est réservée aux CPAs. Toutefois, au cours des pathologies inflammatoires spécifiques d'organe, telles que l'auto-immunité ou la maladie inflammatoire de l'intestin, l'expression de CMHII est également induite par la cytokine interféron (IFN)-y sur des cellules non hématopoïétiques qui résident dans des tissus enflammés. Les conséquences de ce phénomène sont encore peu comprises. Dans cette étude, nous avons utilisé une souche de souris génétiquement modifiées, qui n'a pas la capacité d'induire l'expression de CMHII sur les cellules non hématopoïétiques, mais a maintenu la régulation normale d'expression de CMHII sur les cellules hématopoïétiques. Nous avons appliqué ces souris à différents modèles d'inflammation intestinale et à un modèle de maladie qui imite la maladie auto-immune de l'inflammation du muscle cardiaque (myocardite) chez l'homme. Nous avons pu montrer que, au cours de l'inflammation intestinale, l'expression du CMHII nonhématopoïétique, ou encore l'expression du CMHII par les cellules épithéliales de l'intestin, confère une protection contre la maladie, en réduisant les cellules immunitaires inflammatoires et en augmentant les cellules Τ régulatrices anti-inflammatoires. Ces résultats pourraient expliquer l'échec des traitements d'anti-IFN-γ dans les maladies intestinales inflammatoires chez l'homme. En revanche, dans la myocardite auto-immune, nos résultats indiquent que la présentation d'antigènes par les cellules non hématopoïétiques du coeur est nécessaire pour l'apparition de la pathologie cardiaque, comme nos souris sont résistantes à la maladie. Toutefois, cela n'est pas dû à un défaut d'activation des lymphocytes T, car les lymphocytes Τ des souris mutantes sont parfaitement capables de promouvoir la maladie après le transfert adoptif dans des animaux de type naturel. Nos résultats suggèrent que, durant les maladies inflammatoires spécifiques d'organe, la présentation d'antigène par des cellules non hématopoïétiques module et contribue au résultat de la réponse immunitaire d'une manière opposée, conférant soit la protection contre la maladie ou sa promotion. Nos résultats pourraient ouvrir la voie à des thérapies qui prennent en compte la contribution de la présentation d'antigènes par les cellules non hématopoïétiques, au cours des maladies inflammatoires spécifiques d'organe. - Les molécules du CMH de classe II (CMHII) sont fondamentales pour la présentation des antigènes aux lymphocytes Τ CD4+, car elles permettent le développement des réponses immunitaires spécifiques de l'antigène. Il est largement admis que l'expression de CMHII est réservée aux cellules présentatrices d'antigènes (CPA). Cependant, dans des conditions inflammatoires, l'expression de CMHII est en principe également induite par l'interféron (IFN)-y sur les cellules non hématopoïétiques, telles que les cellules épithéliales et les cardiomyocytes. Une controverse existe jusqu'à présent au sujet de la fonction de cette présentation d'antigènes non professionnelle, pour savoir si elle favorise la tolérance ou l'immunité dépendante des lymphocytes Τ in vivo. Pour répondre à cette question, nous avons testé des souris qui ne sont pas capables d'induire l'expression du CMHII sur les cellules non hématopoïétiques (souris PIV-/- K14 CIITA Tg) parmi différents modèles murins de pathologies inflammatoires, à savoir les modèles de vaccination pour induire des réponses spécifiques d'antigènes des lymphocytes B, plusieurs modèles de colite et un modèle de myocardite auto-immune expérimental (EAM). Pour cela, nous avons administré à ces souris un modèle de colite atténuée, induite par une infection chronique à Helicobacter hepaticus et par l'administration d'anticorps monoclonaux bloquant le récepteur de l'interleukine (IL)-10 (anti-IL-10R). Dans ce système, nous avons pu observer que l'expression abrogée de CMHII a aggravé la colite bactérienne, soit par les cellules non hématopoïétiques, soit exclusivement par les cellules épithéliales intestinales (CEI) dans un autre modèle murin (souris plV_fl/fl vil-Cre Tg). Ce phénotype du côlon a été associé à une augmentation des fréquences de cellules immunitaires innées, de lymphocytes Th1 CD4+, et d'expression des cytokines et de chimiokines pro-inflammatoires, y compris l'IFN-γ. Notamment, l'expression défectueuse de CMHII non hématopoïétique a également réduit les cellules Τ régulatrices (Treg) Forkhead box P3 (FoxP3)+, sans influencer les fréquences des cellules innées lymphoïdes et des cellules Th17. Ces résultats suggèrent un rôle tolérogène de CEIs CMHII+ qui contribue à l'homéostasie immunitaire intestinale. En revanche, dans le modèle d'EAM, les souris ayant subi une ablation de CMHII non hématopoïétique étaient résistantes à l'induction de la maladie, alors que la progression de la pathologie cardiaque, dans les souris de type naturel ou hétérozygotes, a été accompagnée par une régulation positive de l'expression de CMHII du myocarde. Cependant, l'inflammation cardiaque pourrait être transférée de manière adoptive depuis des souris amorcées PIV-/- K14 CIITA Tg vers des souris de type naturel, indiquant l'absence de défaut intrinsèque d'amorçage des cellules T CD4+ dans notre modèle de souris. Ces observations impliquent un rôle à jouer pour des cellules CMHII+ non hématopoïétiques résidentes du coeur, dans la promotion active de ΙΈΑΜ. En conclusion, nos résultats, provenant de diverses pathologies inflammatoires spécifiques d'organes, suggèrent un rôle complexe et divergent, soit tolérogène, soit immunogène/ pathologique, pour l'expression de CMHII non hématopoïétique au cours des pathologies inflammatoires. L'expression non professionnelle de CMHII semble influencer le résultat des réponses immunitaires en fonction de différents facteurs, tels que le tissu cible, le(s) type(s) de cellule(s) non hématopoïétique(s) participante(s) et l'origine de l'inflammation. Nos résultats pourraient potentiellement ouvrir la voie à des applications thérapeutiques, qui tiennent compte de la contribution de la présentation d'antigènes par des CPAs non professionnelles, au cours de l'inflammation spécifique d'organe. - MHC class II (MHCII) molecules are fundamental for the presentation of antigens to CD4+ Τ cells, allowing the development of antigen-specific immune responses. It is widely accepted that MHCII expression is restricted to antigen-presenting cells (APC). However, under inflammatory conditions, MHCII expression is typically also induced by interferon (IFN)-y on nonhematopoietic cells such as epithelial cells and cardiomyocytes. So far, it remains controversial whether this nonprofessional antigen-presentation function promotes CD4+ Τ cell-dependent tolerance or immunity in vivo. To address this issue, we utilised mice which lack inducible MHCII expression on nonhematopoietic cells (pIV-/- K14 CIITA Tg mice) in different mouse models of inflammatory pathologies, namely immunisation models to induce antigen-specific Β cell responses, various colitis models and a model of experimental autoimmune myocarditis (EAM). In an attenuated model of colitis induced by chronic Helicobacter hepaticus infection and treatment with anti-interleukin (IL)-10 receptor (anti-IL-10R) monoclonal blocking antibody, we observed that abrogated MHCII expression by nonhematopoietic cells or, in an alternative tamoxifen-inducible mouse model (plV_fl/fl vil-Cre Tg mice), exclusively by intestinal epithelial cells (IEC), exacerbated bacterial-driven colitis, which was associated with increased colonic frequencies of innate immune cells, CD4+ Th1 cells and expression of proinflammatory cytokines and chemokines, including IFN-γ. Notably, defective nonhematopoietic MHCII expression also resulted in reduced Forkhead box P3 (FoxP3)+ regulatory Τ (Treg) cells without influencing innate lymphoid cell (ILC) and Th17 cell frequencies. These findings suggest a tolerogenic role of MHClT lECs to contribute to intestinal immune homeostasis. In contrast, in the EAM model, mice ablated of nonhematopoietic MHCII were resistant to disease induction, whereas progression of cardiac pathology in WT and heterozygous control mice was accompanied by upregulation of myocardial MHCII expression. However, cardiac inflammation could be adoptively transferred from primed pIV-/- K14 CIITA Tg mice into WT mice, indicating no intrinsic defect of CD4+ Τ activation in our mouse model. These observations imply a role for MHCIT heart-resident nonhematopoietic cells in actively promoting EAM. In conclusion, our findings from different organ-specific inflammatory pathologies suggest a complex and diverging role - either tolerogenic or immunogenic/ pathologic - for nonhematopoietic MHCII expression during inflammatory pathologies: Nonprofessional MHCII expression appears to influence the outcome of immune responses depending on 7 factors such as the target tissue, participating non hematopoietic cell type(s) and the origin of inflammation. Our findings may potentially open the way to therapeutic applications taking into account the contribution of antigen presentation by nonprofessional, tissue-resident APCs during organ-specific inflammation.

Disipación y energía de los ciclones tropicales: ajustes y test de bondad de ajuste

Los ciclones tropicales son los fenómenos climatológicos más destructivos. El PDI y otros índices que se definen aquí permiten estimar la energía que éstos poseen. Tales índices ajustan una ley de potencias en una parte de su recorrido. En el presente trabajo se procede al ajuste de las respectivas leyes de potencias de los índices para los ciclones tropicales en el norte del Océano Atlántico y noreste del Pacífico en los periodos de 1988 a 2010 y de 2001 a 2010 respectivamente, a partir de los datos registrados por el NOAA.

Diagnosis of latent tuberculosis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: T.SPOT.TB versus tuberculin skin test.

Early studies in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) reported increased incidence of tuberculosis. The tuberculin skin test (TST) is the technique of choice to detect latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) but has several limitations. OBJECTIVES We compared TST and the newer T.SPOT.TB test to diagnose LTBI in SLE patients. METHODS In this observational cohort study conducted between August 2009 and February 2012, we recruited 92 patients from those attending the SLE clinic of our university hospital. Data recorded were epidemiological and sociodemographic characteristics. Laboratory analyses included TST and T.SPOT.TB tests. RESULTS Of the patients studied, 92% were women with an average age of 42.7 years. Overall, the degree of correlation between the two tests was low (Kappa index = 0.324) but was better in patients not receiving corticosteroids (CTC)/immunosuppressive (IS) therapy (Kappa = 0.436) and in those receiving hydroxychloroquine (Kappa = 0.473). While TST results were adversely affected by those receiving CTC and/or IS drugs (P = 0.021), the T.SPOT.TB results were not. CONCLUSION Although the TST test remains a useful tool for diagnosing LTBI in SLE patients, the T.SPOT.TB test is perhaps better employed when the patient is receiving CTC and/or IS drugs.

A combination of ascorbic acid and α-tocopherol to test the effectiveness and safety in the fragile X syndrome: study protocol for a phase II, randomized, placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND Fragile X syndrome (FXS) is an inherited neurodevelopmental condition characterised by behavioural, learning disabilities, physical and neurological symptoms. In addition, an important degree of comorbidity with autism is also present. Considered a rare disorder affecting both genders, it first becomes apparent during childhood with displays of language delay and behavioural symptoms.Main aim: To show whether the combination of 10 mg/kg/day of ascorbic acid (vitamin C) and 10 mg/kg/day of α-tocopherol (vitamin E) reduces FXS symptoms among male patients ages 6 to 18 years compared to placebo treatment, as measured on the standardized rating scales at baseline, and after 12 and 24 weeks of treatment.Secondary aims: To assess the safety of the treatment. To describe behavioural and cognitive changes revealed by the Developmental Behaviour Checklist Short Form (DBC-P24) and the Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children-Revised. To describe metabolic changes revealed by blood analysis. To measure treatment impact at home and in an academic environment. METHODS/DESIGN A phase II randomized, double-blind pilot clinical trial. SCOPE male children and adolescents diagnosed with FXS, in accordance with a standardized molecular biology test, who met all the inclusion criteria and none of the exclusion criteria. INSTRUMENTATION clinical data, blood analysis, Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children-Revised, Conners parent and teacher rating scale scores and the DBC-P24 results will be obtained at the baseline (t0). Follow up examinations will take place at 12 weeks (t1) and 24 weeks (t2) of treatment. DISCUSSION A limited number of clinical trials have been carried out on children with FXS, but more are necessary as current treatment possibilities are insufficient and often provoke side effects. In the present study, we sought to overcome possible methodological problems by conducting a phase II pilot study in order to calculate the relevant statistical parameters and determine the safety of the proposed treatment. The results will provide evidence to improve hyperactivity control and reduce behavioural and learning problems using ascorbic acid (vitamin C) and α-tocopherol (vitamin E). The study protocol was approved by the Regional Government Committee for Clinical Trials in Andalusia and the Spanish agency for drugs and health products. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01329770 (29 March 2011).

Overcoming the rare species modelling paradox: test of a novel hierarchical framework with an Iberian endemic plant

Rare species have restricted geographic ranges, habitat specialization, and/or small population sizes. Datasets on rare species distribution usually have few observations, limited spatial accuracy and lack of valid absences; conversely they provide comprehensive views of species distributions allowing to realistically capture most of their realized environmental niche. Rare species are the most in need of predictive distribution modelling but also the most difficult to model. We refer to this contrast as the "rare species modelling paradox" and propose as a solution developing modelling approaches that deal with a sufficiently large set of predictors, ensuring that statistical models aren't overfitted. Our novel approach fulfils this condition by fitting a large number of bivariate models and averaging them with a weighted ensemble approach. We further propose that this ensemble forecasting is conducted within a hierarchic multi-scale framework. We present two ensemble models for a test species, one at regional and one at local scale, each based on the combination of 630 models. In both cases, we obtained excellent spatial projections, unusual when modelling rare species. Model results highlight, from a statistically sound approach, the effects of multiple drivers in a same modelling framework and at two distinct scales. From this added information, regional models can support accurate forecasts of range dynamics under climate change scenarios, whereas local models allow the assessment of isolated or synergistic impacts of changes in multiple predictors. This novel framework provides a baseline for adaptive conservation, management and monitoring of rare species at distinct spatial and temporal scales.

Use of the comet test to assess DNA damage in children with ataxia-telangiectasia and their relatives.

The electrophoresis of cells in alkaline medium (comet assay) is a valid technique for quantifying DNA damage in patients with ataxia-telangiectasia and their relatives.

Disentangling the attention network test: behavioral, event related potentials, and neural source analyses.

BACKGROUND The study of the attentional system remains a challenge for current neuroscience. The "Attention Network Test" (ANT) was designed to study simultaneously three different attentional networks (alerting, orienting, and executive) based in subtraction of different experimental conditions. However, some studies recommend caution with these calculations due to the interactions between the attentional networks. In particular, it is highly relevant that several interpretations about attentional impairment have arisen from these calculations in diverse pathologies. Event related potentials (ERPs) and neural source analysis can be applied to disentangle the relationships between these attentional networks not specifically shown by behavioral measures. RESULTS This study shows that there is a basic level of alerting (tonic alerting) in the no cue (NC) condition, represented by a slow negative trend in the ERP trace prior to the onset of the target stimuli. A progressive increase in the CNV amplitude related to the amount of information provided by the cue conditions is also shown. Neural source analysis reveals specific modulations of the CNV related to a task-related expectancy presented in the NC condition; a late modulation triggered by the central cue (CC) condition and probably representing a generic motor preparation; and an early and late modulation for spatial cue (SC) condition suggesting specific motor and sensory preactivation. Finally, the first component in the information processing of the target stimuli modulated by the interaction between orienting network and the executive system can be represented by N1. CONCLUSIONS The ANT is useful as a paradigm to study specific attentional mechanisms and their interactions. However, calculation of network effects is based in subtractions with non-comparable experimental conditions, as evidenced by the present data, which can induce misinterpretations in the study of the attentional capacity in human subjects.

Quantifying rock fabrics: a test of autocorrelation of the spatial distribution of cristals

A novel test of spatial independence of the distribution of crystals or phases in rocksbased on compositional statistics is introduced. It improves and generalizes the commonjoins-count statistics known from map analysis in geographic information systems.Assigning phases independently to objects in RD is modelled by a single-trial multinomialrandom function Z(x), where the probabilities of phases add to one and areexplicitly modelled as compositions in the K-part simplex SK. Thus, apparent inconsistenciesof the tests based on the conventional joins{count statistics and their possiblycontradictory interpretations are avoided. In practical applications we assume that theprobabilities of phases do not depend on the location but are identical everywhere inthe domain of de nition. Thus, the model involves the sum of r independent identicalmultinomial distributed 1-trial random variables which is an r-trial multinomialdistributed random variable. The probabilities of the distribution of the r counts canbe considered as a composition in the Q-part simplex SQ. They span the so calledHardy-Weinberg manifold H that is proved to be a K-1-affine subspace of SQ. This isa generalisation of the well-known Hardy-Weinberg law of genetics. If the assignmentof phases accounts for some kind of spatial dependence, then the r-trial probabilitiesdo not remain on H. This suggests the use of the Aitchison distance between observedprobabilities to H to test dependence. Moreover, when there is a spatial uctuation ofthe multinomial probabilities, the observed r-trial probabilities move on H. This shiftcan be used as to check for these uctuations. A practical procedure and an algorithmto perform the test have been developed. Some cases applied to simulated and realdata are presented.Key words: Spatial distribution of crystals in rocks, spatial distribution of phases,joins-count statistics, multinomial distribution, Hardy-Weinberg law, Hardy-Weinbergmanifold, Aitchison geometry