999 resultados para Modelo misto sob seleção


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The genus Herpsilochmus is composed mainly of cryptic species, among them is Herpsilochmus rufimarginatus, which is currently represented by four subspecies: H. r. rufimarginatus, H. r. frater, H. r. scapularis and H. r. exiguus. Differences in plumage and vocalization suggest that there are more than one species involved in this complex. Thus this and other subspecific taxa need urgent revision, the disjunct distribution of this species also allows us to infer the relationship between birds that occur in this biome and / or different centers of endemism. This study aims to make a taxonomic revision of the taxa included in the complex time Herpsilochmus rufimarginatus based on morphological, morphometric, vocals and geographical distribution of this bird. Besides creating distribution models current potential and make the reconstruction of the distribution bygone using ecological niche modeling, and testing the niche conservatism and divergence between different subspecies. Consultations for examination of the skins of specimens of the museums: Museum of Zoology, University of São Paulo (MZUSP), National Museum of Rio de Janeiro (MN) and Emilio Goeldi Museum of Pará (MPEG), and the skins deposited at the collection of Ornithological Federal University of Rio Grande do Norte (COUFRN). We studied the following measures length of specimens: exposed culmen, culmen and total culmen nostril, tarsus, wing and tail flattened. The voice analysis was performed with vocalizations banks and / or digital banks people where 17 voice parameters were measured. This information and more available in the literature were used to assemble a bunch of data under the limit distribution of taxa and generate ecological niche models. This analyzes carried out in the program Maxent, having as model selection criterion the AUC, and the models were greater than 0.80 are considered good models. Environmental data for the realization of the modeling were downloaded on the website of Worldclim. The morphometric information, vocals and geographic distribution point for the separation of these taxa to be considering various uni and multivariate analyzes. The potential distribution models performed well (AUC> 0.80), and its distribution associated with environmental characteristics of the Amazon forest and Atlantic forest (forests of south and southeast, northeast and forest). The reconstruction of the distribution indicates a possible contact between the southern part of the Atlantic forest in the northern part of the Amazon. The analysis of niche overlap showed a low overlap between taxa and comparisons between the null model and the generated overlay link probably occurring niche conservatism. The data suggest that the taxa that occur in the Amazon and Atlantic forest represent three distinct species

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This study analysed the creation of businesses by entrepreneur women in the Currais Novos city, looking for verifying if they used making decision processes aligned to the Effectuation logic throughout the creation of their companies. To this, was accomplished a multiple cases and exploratory study, whit a qualitative approach of analyse, using the thematic life history technique that match accounts and semi-structured interview route, being accomplished like a long interview, where the researcher interact with the informer continuously. The semi-structured interview route was created by the adaptation of the interview route used by Tasic (2007). The present study appealed to a intentional selection of individuals in function of their importance in relation to the boarded theme. This means that the individuals were chosen in function of their social and theoretical representatively inside the considered situation. The participant individuals of this research were five entrepreneur women that act in the Currais Novos city, owners of five different companies. To the data treatment and analyse, was chosen the content analyse technique. This study worked with a priori theoretical categories. The categories of analyse in this study was obtained with base in the Effectuation approach (SARASVATHY, 2001a, 2001b, 2008), that is an alternative model of making decision to the classic model based in the causality principle. These categories are Clarity of Initial Aims , Tolerance to the Lost and Initials Investments , Control of Resources ( who I am , what I know and who I know ) and Promoting Over Contingencies . As result, the entrepreneur women researched, in a general way, hadn t clear initial aims at the companies creation moment, hadn t aversion to the risk to lose the time and the money that they were investing in the company in formation, they highlighted the products and services identity that offered with a strong link with Seridó region, they had experience in the field of activity in which they decided to open their companies, had the commitment of partners in the beginning of the business and they knew to transform the initial difficulties in opportunities. By the end, this study conclude that the entrepreneur women studied used, in a big part, making decision processes aligned to the Effectuation logic throughout the creation of their companies

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The work presented here is the result of research on the issue of human rights in the face of conflicting issues such as the incorporation of international treaties, the sovereignty of states, globalization and multuculturalism. Specifically, we will investigate the origin of human rights, alongside his growing recognition, from the Revolutions until its completion in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights in 1948. The question, however, has become broader, when analyzed from the perspective of the internationalization of these rights as conditions and limits of democracy. Given the convergence on the reception of international treaties on human rights, we analyze a series of positions, including recent placements of the Supreme Court, and Constitutional Amendment n.45/2004. The study aims to review the classical concept of sovereignty, now within a new perspective based on the appearance of certain limitations of the state and a crisis in the face of the protection of human rights. We analyze the phenomenon of globalization in light of its complexity and its relation to sovereignty and human rights in pursuit of an expansion of democracy. The theme is consistent also with the line of contemporary constitutionalism, since their approach has a close connection with the issues of sovereignty and globalization, as well as a current relationship with the protection of human rights. The research aims to analyze the formation of a new society within a global vision of the constitutionalization of international law. It seeks to glimpse the invocacion model of foreign precedents and the possibility of dialogue betweem States as a way of protecting and enforcing the protection of human rights

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This paper aims to analyze the current support structure ready to Local Productive Arrangements (APLs) in the state of Rio Grande do Norte. To this end, it was done a study of major theories dealing with territorial agglomerations: moving from the pioneering concept of Marshallian industrial district to neo-Schumpeterian concepts coming from the latest innovation systems. In a complementary way, there will be a study of the major reasons that brought the crowded productive activities to a central position in the economic debate and the formation of public policy, seeking to understand what the relationship of this phenomenon with the different approaches of regional development policies which are included in recent years. Finally, it sought to understand how the bodies responsible for supporting clusters in the state of Rio Grande do Norte act in the selection and support of these arrangements, analyzing what the main policies implemented and trying to understand what are the main instruments used to support these clusters in the state

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In this work we study the accelerated failure-time generalized Gamma regression models with a unified approach. The models attempt to estimate simultaneously the effects of covariates on the acceleration/deceleration of the timing of a given event and the surviving fraction. The method is implemented in the free statistical software R. Finally the model is applied to a real dataset referring to the time until the return of the disease in patients diagnosed with breast cancer

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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

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O objetivo deste trabalho foi estimar os parâmetros genéticos e a tendência genética de características de crescimento e perímetro escrotal em animais da raça Brangus. Dados de 6.340 animais, criados em cinco propriedades nas regiões Sul, Sudeste e Centro‑Oeste do Brasil, foram utilizados para avaliação de: perímetro escrotal (PE) ao sobreano e pesos ao nascer (PN), à desmama (P205), ao ano (P365) e ao sobreano (P550). Os componentes de covariância foram estimados por inferência bayesiana, sob modelo animal, com efeitos fixos de grupos de contemporâneos e de classe de idade da vaca ao parto, e efeitos aleatórios genético aditivo direto e residual. Os efeitos aleatórios genético materno e de ambiente permanente materno foram incluídos somente para PN e P205. O efeito linear da covariável idade do animal na mensuração foi considerado para todas as características analisadas, exceto PN. As médias observadas foram 33,6, 184,6, 235,9, 344,9 e 33,8 cm para PN, P205, P365, P550 e PE, respectivamente, e as tendências genéticas foram de ‑0,001, 0,107, 0,177, 0,217 kg por ano e 0,001 cm por ano. As estimativas das herdabilidades direta e materna variaram de 0,16 (PN) a 0,61 (PE) e de 0,08 (PN) a 0,09 (P205), indicativas de que as características avaliadas são passíveis de seleção para o melhoramento genético da raça Brangus.

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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

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Informações de genealogia e produção, cedidas pela Associação Brasileira de Criadores da Raça Simental (ABCRS), relativas aos pesos desde o nascimento até um ano de idade, foram utilizadas para estimar, sob modelos alternativos, os componentes de variância e os parâmetros genéticos em animais da raça Simental no Brasil. A matriz de parentesco incluiu 25.812 animais dos quais 7587 com dados de produção. O modelo 1 contém, além do erro, o efeito genético direto. Os modelos seguintes contêm os componentes do modelo 1, mais o efeito permanente de ambiente materno (modelo 2), ou o componente genético materno (modelo 3), ambos os componentes (modelo 5), os componentes do modelo 3 mais a covariância entre os efeitos genéticos direto e materno (modelo 4) e todos os componentes citados (modelo 6). Os modelos foram comparados pelo teste de razão de verossimilhança pelo chi² (P<0,01). Os componentes de variância e os valores de herdabilidades, estimados para os efeitos direto e materno, foram decrescentes, desde o modelo 1 até o modelo 6, na razão direta em que o modelo incorpora mais efeitos aleatórios. Para a fase de aleitamento foi encontrada variância genética nula, entretanto, alto valor para a variância de ambiente permanente. Os efeitos maternos, genético e de ambiente permanente são importantes para a raça Simental no Brasil e devem ser considerados em programas de seleção. Entretanto, os valores mais elevados de herdabilidade materna, encontrados com modelos sem efeito de ambiente permanente, sugerem que o método utilizado não discrimina apropriadamente esses efeitos, oriundos de mesma fonte de variação.

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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

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Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

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Os principais causadores de perdas da qualidade de figos são: colheita e embalagens inadequadas, falta de padronização do produto na classificação e péssimas condições de transporte e armazenamento. Com este trabalho objetivou-se avaliar o efeito da imersão em hipoclorito, tipo de embalagem e refrigeração na conservação pós-colheita de figos verdes, cv. Roxo de Valinhos, mediante as características físicas, físico-químicas e químicas, durante o armazenamento. Após seleção, os figos foram imersos ou não em solução de hipoclorito de sódio a 40 ppm conforme os tratamentos, secos ao ar e embalados em filme de PVC de 50 m ou sacos plásticos. Após os tratamentos, os frutos foram submetidos a armazenamento refrigerado (1ºC e 70% de UR em BOD), por um período de 35 dias, sendo avaliados a cada 7 dias. O uso da embalagem reduziu drasticamente a perda de massa dos figos. Frutos não embalados apresentaram-se mais ácidos e com menores teores de açúcares. Com o uso da embalagem, os figos podem ser comercializados até os 35 dias de armazenamento desde que armazenados a 1ºC e 70% de UR em BOD. Já os figos não embalados, estes podem ser comercializados somente até os 2 dias de armazenamento sob refrigeração.