Do U.S. and Colombian macro factors improve the forecasting ability of unrestricted VAR models of the local term structure of interest rate?

Este estudio empírico compara la capacidad de los modelos Vectores auto-regresivos (VAR) sin restricciones para predecir la estructura temporal de las tasas de interés en Colombia -- Se comparan modelos VAR simples con modelos VAR aumentados con factores macroeconómicos y financieros colombianos y estadounidenses -- Encontramos que la inclusión de la información de los precios del petróleo, el riesgo de crédito de Colombia y un indicador internacional de la aversión al riesgo mejora la capacidad de predicción fuera de la muestra de los modelos VAR sin restricciones para vencimientos de corto plazo con frecuencia mensual -- Para vencimientos de mediano y largo plazo los modelos sin variables macroeconómicas presentan mejores pronósticos sugiriendo que las curvas de rendimiento de mediano y largo plazo ya incluyen toda la información significativa para pronosticarlos -- Este hallazgo tiene implicaciones importantes para los administradores de portafolios, participantes del mercado y responsables de las políticas

Spatial and temporal interaction between sediment and microphytobenthos in a temperate estuarine macro-intertidal bay

Intertidal flats of the estuarine macro-intertidal Baie des Veys (France) were investigated to identify spatial features of sediment and microphytobenthos (MPB) in April 2003. Gradients occurred within the domain, and patches were identified close to vegetated areas or within the oyster-farming areas where calm physical conditions and biodeposition altered the sediment and MPB landscapes. Spatial patterns of chl a content were explained primarily by the influence of sediment features, while bed elevation and compaction brought only minor insights into MPB distribution regulation. The smaller size of MPB patches compared to silt patches revealed the interplay between physical structure defining the sediment landscape, the biotic patches that they contain, and that median grain-size is the most important parameter in explaining the spatial pattern of MPB. Small-scale temporal dynamics of sediment chl a content and grain-size distribution were surveyed in parallel during 2 periods of 14 d to detect tidal and seasonal variations. Our results showed a weak relationship between mud fraction and MPB biomass in March, and this relationship fully disappeared in July. Tidal exposure was the most important parameter in explaining the summer temporal dynamics of MPB. This study reveals the general importance of bed elevation and tidal exposure in muddy habitats and that silt content was a prime governing physical factor in winter. Biostabilisation processes seemed to behave only as secondary factors that could only amplify the initial silt accumulation in summer rather than primary factors explaining spatial or long-term trends of sediment changes.

Variation in composition of macro-benthic invertebrates as an indication of water quality status in three bays in Lake Victoria

Knowledge of how biota can be used to monitor ecosystem health and assess impacts by human alterations such as land use and management measures taken at different spatial scales is critical for improving the ecological quality of aquatic ecosystems. This knowledge in Uganda is very limited or unavailable yet it is needed to better understand the relationship between environmental factors at different spatial scales, assemblage structure and taxon richness of aquatic ecosystems. In this study, benthic invertebrate community patterns were sampled between June 2001 and April 2002 and analysed in relation to water quality and catchment land use patterns from three shallow near-shore bays characterized by three major land uses patterns: urban (Murchison Bay); semi-urban (Fielding Bay); rural (Hannington Bay). Variations in density and guild composition of benthic macro-invertebrates communities were evaluated using GIS techniques along an urban-rural gradient of land use and differences in community composition were related to dissolved oxygen and conductivity variation. Based on numerical abundance and tolerance values, Hilsenhoff's Biotic Index ofthe invertebrates was determined in order to evaluate the relative importance of water quality in the three bays. Murchison Bay supported a relatively taxa-poor invertebrate assemblage mainly comprising stenotopic and eurytopic populations of pollution-tolerant groups such as worms and Chironomus sp. with an overall depression in species diversity. On the contrary, the communities in Fielding and Hannington bays were quite similar and supported distinct and diverse assemblages including pollution-intolerant forms such as Ephemeroptera (mayflies), Odonata (dragonflies). The Hilsenhoff Biotic Index in Murchison Bay was 6.53. (indicating poor water quality) compared to 6.34 for Fielding Bay and 5.78 for Hannington Bay (both indicating fair water quality). The characterization of maximum taxa richness balanced among taxa groups with good representation of intolerant individuals in Hannington Bay relative to Fielding and Murchison bays concludes that the bay is the cleanest in terms of water quality. Contrary, the dominance of few taxa with many tolerant iqdividuals present in Murchison Bay indicates that the bay is degraded in terms of water quality. These result are ofimportance when planning conservation and management measures, implementing large-scale biomonitoring programs, and predicting how human alterations (e.g nutrient loading) affect water ecosystems. Therefore, analysis of water quality in relation to macro-invertebrate community composition patterns as bio-indicators can lead to further understanding of their responses to environmental manipulations and perturbations.

Invertebrados aquáticos no detrito de Salvinia herzogii de la Sota em lagos rasos do sul do Brasil

A colonização por invertebrados aquáticos no detrito de Salvinia herzogii foi estudada em dois lagos rasos subtropicais de diferentes estados tróficos (eutrófico e oligotrófico) localizados no campus Carreiros da Universidade Federal do Rio Grande, extremo sul do Brasil. Aproximadamente 6g (peso úmido) de S. herzogii foram incubados em experimentos com litter bags (30 X 20 cm com 10 mm de malha) e a decomposição do detrito acompanhada durante 110 dias (entre setembro de 2008 e janeiro de 2009), período no qual o detrito decompôs-se cerca de 95%. Quatro réplicas foram retiradas após os intervalos de 1, 30, 60, 90 e 110 dias de incubação e o detrito foi limpo em água corrente sob peneira de 250µm de malha para que fossem retidos os organismos e depois fixados em álcool 80%. As plantas depois de limpas foram secas à 60ºC por 72 horas para obtenção do peso seco, depois trituradas, para as análises de nitrogênio e fósforo total e para obtenção do peso seco livre de cinzas, equivalente a porcentagem de massa remanescente (%R). Os invertebrados foram identificados até o menor nível taxonômico possível e depositados na coleção de Invertebrados Límnicos – ICB - FURG. Para cada amostra foram calculadas a riqueza e a densidade de táxons, os índices de diversidade de Shannon - Wiener (H’), homogeneidade de Pielou (J). Para determinar qual grupo de invertebrados foi mais importante para a estruturação da comunidade em cada lago, foi realizada a análise de espécies indicadoras (indicator especies analysis). Um total de 32.399 organismos distribuídos em 38 táxons foram registrados para os lagos estudados. Dezoito táxons foram comuns entre os lagos em cada experimento. Um total de 1.449.612 ind. 100g PS no ambiente eutrófico e 372.380 ind. 100g PS para o ambiente oligotrófico foi registrado (p=0,4771). O táxon mais abundante encontrado para o lago eutrófico foi Goeldichironomus (Chironomidae; 81% de todos os organismos coletados), enquanto queno lago oligotrófico, o táxon mais abundante foi Caenis (Caenidae; 29,1% de todos os organismos coletados). A colonização do detrito foi rápida, nas primeiras 24 horas foram registrados 10 táxons nos lagos eutrófico e oligotrófico, sendo os predadores o grupo dominante (52 e 70%, respectivamente) neste período. Durante o período do experimento,no lago eutrófico, os coletores-catadores foram os mais abundantes (91,2 % do número total de organismos), seguido de coletores-filtradores (4,7 %) e predadores (3,5 %). No lago oligotrófico, os coletores-catadores foram os mais abundantes (34,1 % do número total de organismos), seguido de predadores (26,8 %), raspadores (24,9 %) e fragmentadores (10,5 %). O Índice de diversidade acompanhou os aumentos de densidade durante os experimentos, sendo que o valor máximo observado foi no lago oligotrófico(H’=2,31) no 60º dia de incubação, enquanto que o menor valor foi registrado para o lago eutrófico (H’=0,19) no 110º dia de incubação. A taxa de decomposição de S. herzogii foi diferente no lago eutrófico (k = 0,019; R2 = 0,88) e oligotrófico (k = 0,021; R2 = 0,81),porém essa diferença não foi significativa (ANCOVA; F = 6,38 e p = 0,6755).

Macro-geographical differences influenced by family-based expression on cultured pearl grade, shape and colour in the black-lip "pearl oyster" Pinctada margaritifera: a preliminary bi-local case study in French Polynesia

In French Polynesia, the aquaculture of P. margaritifera is carried out in numerous grow-out sites, located over three archipelagos (Gambier, Society and Tuamotu). To evaluate the impact of macro-geographical effects of these growing sites on pearl quality traits, five hatcheries produced families were used as homogeneous donor oysters in an experimental graft. The molluscs were then reared in two commercial locations: Tahaa island (Society) and Rangiroa atoll (Tuamotu). At harvest, eight pearl quality traits were recorded and compared: surface defects, lustre, grade, circles, shape categories, darkness level, body and secondary colour and visual colour categories. Overall inter-site comparison revealed that: 1) all traits were affected by grow-out location except for lustre and round shape, and 2) a higher mean rate of valuable pearls was produced in Rangiroa. Indeed, for pearl grade, Rangiroa showed twice as many A-B and less reject samples than Tahaa. This was related to the number of surface defects (grade component): in Rangiroa, twice as many pearls had no defects and less pearls had up to 10 defects. Concerning pearl shape, more circled and baroque pearls were found in Tahaa (+10%). For colour variation, 10% more pearls have an attractive green overtone in Rangiroa than in Tahaa, where more grey bodycolor were harvested. Lustre does not seem to be affected by these two culture site (except at a family scale). This is the first time P. margaritifera donor family have been shown to vary in the quality of pearls they produce depending on their grow-out location.

Avaliação da qualidade da água do Rio Piranhas-Açu/RN utilizando a comunidade de macroinvertebrados bentônicos

The biomonitoring technique for water quality in water bodies has been incorporated increasingly in management of the natural resources, using mainly indices of its aquatic community characteristics. In Brazil the first efforts to use this technique was restricted to the South and the Midwest region of this country. Located in the northeast region, this study was conducted at Rio Grande do Norte state and had as main objective the assessment of water quality in the Piranhas-Açu river using benthic macroinvertebrates community as biological indicators. Thus, were applied two biotic indices, the BMWP (Biological Monitoring Working Party score system) and the IBF (Family Biotic Index). According the requirements of these indices, two periods of sampling were determined as basic methodology, in dry seasons of 2006 and 2007. The sampling sites were around the municipalities of Açu, Ipanguaçu, Alto do Rodrigues and Pendências. Physical-chemical measurements; a protocol of rapid assessment of diversity of habitats, and determination of the degree of tolerance of each taxon to organic pollution were also performed. The most abundant organisms found in the river were tolerant with the prevalence of Chironomidae (Diptera) and Melanoides tuberculata. This results, together with those ones got in indices application, showed a considerable organic pollution in the four sample places and the reaches were classified as modified to impacted. According to the used indices, this study suggest that this river have significant alteration in the biotic community and water quality on the organic pollution, and this fact, occurs in the reach of the river further downstream, where were expected a good water quality. Considering these results, measures aiming the conservation of this water body are needed regarding as it is inserted into a fragile ecosystem with dry season phenomenon, and the water of this river has extremely importance for the local economy

Variação temporal da Comunidade de macroinvertebrados bentônicos em um riacho intermitente do semiárido brasileiro

In Brazilian semiarid region, the majority of water bodies are temporary and the biodiversity in these ecosystems is poorly known. The goal of this study was to describe the temporal variation of benthic macroinvertebrates in an intermittent stream in the Brazilian semiarid region. From March to July of 2009, surveys of benthic macroinvertebrates and water physiochemical parameters were done in a first order stream located at Piranhas-Açu River basin. 25 macroinvertebrates families were found, 21 belonging to Insecta class. The chironomids were the most abundant group during all study period and were represented by 19 genus. The largest densities and taxonomic richness were seen in the drying phase of the stream while the smallest values were found in the period with the heaviest rainfalls ( wet phase ). Only the families Chironomidae and Ceratopogonidae were found during all study period, suggesting that these groups have better adaptations to support floods and droughts. Furthermore, these two groups seemed to be pioneering in this stream. Among the chironomids, Paratendipes dominated the period of floods while Tanytarsus were more abundant in the drying phase . This study showed that hydrological fluctuation is the main force influencing the macroinvertebrate community in this stream, therefore, efforts seeking the conservation and management of Brazilian semiarid water bodies should consider this high natural variability in flow regime

Compreensão da reação de precipitação do iodeto de chumbo entre os níveis de análise macro e micro no ensino da química

O estudo apresentado teve como objetivos planificar e implementar e analisar uma proposta didática alternativa para a abordagem dos níveis macroscópico, simbólico e sub-microscópico, indispensáveis para a compreensão das reações químicas, salientando-se o facto de não se explorar, nos manuais e na prática, todo o potencial de uma reação química muito usual. A proposta utiliza uma diferente abordagem da tradicional reação de precipitação do iodeto de chumbo, centrada em questões-problema: “Ocorreu uma reação química?” e “Será possível dissolver o precipitado?”. A metodologia foi qualitativa e centrou-se na investigação-ação colaborativa. Perante as questões problema, os alunos fizeram previsões, sugeriram e realizaram procedimentos experimentais de carácter investigativo para as testar e fundamentaram as respostas através da comunicação oral e da elaboração de esquemas pictóricos (livremente), estes últimos, para ilustrar o nível sub-microscópico. Analisaram-se conjuntamente os esquemas e os dados da observação direta. Os resultados evidenciam que os alunos: identificam a ocorrência da reação química sensorialmente (visualização do aparecimento de uma substância colorida após a junção de duas soluções incolores - nível macroscópico), representam a reação química utilizando a simbologia química (nível simbólico) mas apresentam algumas dificuldades na interpretação sub-microscópica.

An investigation on benthic macro-invertebrates species diversity as bio-indicators of environmental health in Bahrekan Bay

The purpose of this study was to evaluate benthic macro-invertebrates species diversity as bio-indicators of environmental health in Bahrekan bay (in the Northwest of Persian gulf). Seasonal sediments sampling along 5 transects, 15 stations at 4 replicates (3 replicates for macrobenthos and 1 replicate for sediment analysis) was done from November 2008 to August 2009 by 0.025 m2 Van Veen grab sampler. Physical and chemical parameters of water, grain size analysis, %TOM and Ni and Va concentrations of sediments were assessed through four seasons. Macrobenthic communities after staining and sorting, using stereomicroscope have been identified. Their density in every station and every season calculated. For using of AMBI index, identified macrobenthos according to their sensitivity to stressors and pollutants, categorized into 5 ecological groups and for using of Bentix index categorized into 3 ecological groups. The diversity indices and indicators that showing ecological status were calculated. Also, the differences between physiochemical parameters of sea water, sediments TOM% and grain size, diversity indices in stations and seasons were recorded (P=0.05). The correlation coefficient determined for all parameters. According to the results of grain size analysis, bottom grain size categorized as clay. Highest percent of TOM was belong to autumn (36.39±.075) and lowest was belong to summer (19.01±0.51). Also there was positive correlation (p=0.01) between %TOM and %Clay that showing sediments with lowest size containing highest amounts of organic matters. Ni concentrations in sediments (87.80±21.25)mg/kg showed the amounts over than standards levels but Va concentrations in sediments (53.54±17.60)mg/kg showed the amounts lower than standards level. The highest density of macrobenthos was recorded for summer (8254±485) N/m2 and the lowest density was recorded for spring (3775±172)N/m2. The highest annual density was belong to mollusca (81%) and then polycheates (13%), Others (4%) and crustaceae (2%). The highest diversity was recorded for winter (Simpson index: 0.13±0.01, H':3.47±0.06) and the lowest diversity recorded for autumn (Simpson index: 0.16±0.01, H':3.17±0.06). in all stations, the highest amount of Shanon index was belong to T2S3 station in summer (4.11± 0.32) and the lowest amount was belong to T1S1 station in autumn (2.42± 0.41). The annual mean of Simpson diversity index: (0.15 ±0.04) and Shanon diversity index (3.36±0.03), illustrated that macrobenthos in Bahrekan bay have a good variation. The results of Brilluin and N1 (Number of equally common species) indices confirm the results of Simpson index. For study on the regions that diversity has a little difference between stations, with use of Ni index, the degree of differences could be better ono recognizable. According to the results of AMBI index in all seasons (autumn: 0.46±0.03; summer: 0.22±0.01; annual mean:0.31±0.01) and standards (0.0

Fissura placentária de gatas SRD, Felis catus - Linnaeus, 1758: aspectos macro e microscópicos

Nossa pesquisa consiste no estudo esquemático macroscópico na placenta de gatos e a sua caracterização como tipo, placenta zonária, que 62,5% dos casos apresenta uma fissura na área distal do funículo umbilical. Esse é formado por uma área justa fetal, área justa placentária e área média, encontrando achados histológicos de 2 artérias, uma veia, 2 pedículos vitelínicos e 2 pedículos alantoidianos. Na fissura, encontramos um epitélio alantoidiano cobrindo esta área em 10% dos casos e, em 90% dos achados foram encontrados um trofoblasto diminuído comparado com outras áreas placentárias fora da fissura. Portanto, a placenta felina, com sua relação materno fetal mostra uma placenta zonária incompleta, diferente do ocorrido nos outros carnívoros.

Materiais cerâmicos do povoado calcolítico do Monte da Tumba (Torrão) : análises macro e microscópicas

Os autores procedem à análise das pastas cerâmicas de 24 amostras de número de recipientes, do povoado calcolítico do Monte da Tumba, recorrendo ao microscópio petrográfico. Esta metodologia revelou-se muito eficaz e permitiu atingir conclusões importantes nos domínios da tecnologia e da análise do site-catchement. De sublinhar a constatação de que as dimensões dos elementos não plásticos das pastas argilosas não parecem relacionar-se com as dimensões nem com a espessura das paredes dos recipientes, mas com o grau de resistência e porosidade pretendidos. Registe-se igualmente que as produções cerâmicas utilizaram matérias-primas locais, num raio de distância mínimo de 750m a partir do povoado.

Cerâmicas da necrópole da idade do bronze de Alfarrobeira (Silves) : análises macro e microscópicas

Neste trabalho estudam-se três fragmentos de recipientes cerâmicos, recolhidos no interior de duas cistas da necrópole, do Bronze do Sudoeste, de Alfarrobeira (Silves). Os trabalhos efectuados sobre tais fragmentos constaram: da observação macroscópica, na superfície de fractura; da observação em lâmina delgada, ao microscópio petrográfico. São, até ao presente, escassos os trabalhos realizados, no nosso país, sobre análises de pastas cerâmicas recorrendo ao microscópio petrográfico. Parece-nos, no entanto, que se trata de método particularmente aplicável ao estudo das cerâmicas pré-históricas. Estas, com efeito, ao contrário das cerâmicas mais recentes, em geral de pastas mais finas e depuradas, encerram grande quantidade de elementos não plásticos, frequentemente de mineralogia variada. Estão, pois, reunidas as condições para que, através do estudo petrográfico, se possam constituir agrupamentos de pastas, de acordo com a respectiva mineralogia para, numa fase ulterior, tendo presente as características petrográficas dos afloramentos geológicos da região mais ou menos adjacente, se possam definir prováveis zonas de abastecimento da respectiva matéria-prima ou outras informações a que o estudo comparado dos diferentes tipos de pastas devam conduzir. Foi tendo em consideração tais preocupações que se decidiu pela realização do presente trabalho.

Les macro-déchets en mer

This text presents the general problem of nuisance and pollution created by macro-waste at sea. We clarify three main types of pollution: that of coasts, that of the sea bed and that of the open sea. The article leans on scientific data: report of the state of contamination of the coasts of France by macro waste (1982), results of works and oceanographic sea bed observation campaigns, evaluation of the contamination by micro-plastics floating on surface and concentrating in the big oceanic gyres. A paragraph is dedicated to the impacts on the ecosystems, an other one on the taken measures to fight against those macro-waste. The specific case of New Caledonia is not forgotten and in conclusion we underline the necessity of an education of the populations in terms of Eco responsibility, which appears to be a significant factor of regression of this type of nuisance that affects all the seas of the world