Solving Conflicting Beliefs with a Distributed Belief Revision Approach

The ability to solve conflicting beliefs is crucial for multi- agent systems where the information is dynamic, incomplete and dis- tributed over a group of autonomous agents. The proposed distributed belief revision approach consists of a distributed truth maintenance sy- stem and a set of autonomous belief revision methodologies. The agents have partial views and, frequently, hold disparate beliefs which are au- tomatically detected by system’s reason maintenance mechanism. The nature of these conflicts is dynamic and requires adequate methodolo- gies for conflict resolution. The two types of conflicting beliefs addressed in this paper are Context Dependent and Context Independent Conflicts which result, in the first case, from the assignment, by different agents, of opposite belief statuses to the same belief, and, in the latter case, from holding contradictory distinct beliefs. The belief revision methodology for solving Context Independent Con- flicts is, basically, a selection process based on the assessment of the cre- dibility of the opposing belief statuses. The belief revision methodology for solving Context Dependent Conflicts is, essentially, a search process for a consensual alternative based on a “next best” relaxation strategy.

Estudo sobre Reabilitação Interior de Reservatórios para Água Potável

No presente relatório é apresentado um estudo, realizado na forma de estágio curricular, na empresa Águas do Douro e Paiva, S.A., doravante AdDP, entre 31 de Janeiro e 31 de Julho de 2014, sobre reabilitação interior de reservatórios para água potável. Inicialmente é feito um enquadramento ao tema, com uma abordagem às características genéricas dos reservatórios de água potável e às principais patologias que se verificam no interior desses reservatórios. De seguida, são detalhadas as principais técnicas de reabilitação interior existentes, de acordo com o tipo de patologias encontradas. Como complemento a esse estudo, são apresentados os principais fornecedores e os produtos mais utilizados em cada fase da reabilitação, de acordo com a pesquisa realizada e com as reuniões presenciadas. Por fim, são ainda apresentadas, as principais considerações a ter em conta na lavagem e desinfeção de reservatórios. Atendendo à problemática em causa, foi desenvolvida uma ficha técnica para cada reservatório que, além da sistematização das características principais, tem o objetivo de registar todas as intervenções de reabilitação ou de conservação que possam ocorrer no mesmo. Para tal, foi feito um acompanhamento dos problemas e intervenções verificadas, e surgiu, ainda, a oportunidade de acompanhar o processo de lançamento a concurso das obras de reabilitação que surgiram dessa caracterização. Por fim, foi explorada a componente de gestão patrimonial de infraestruturas, com o desenvolvimento de uma matriz de risco qualitativa, específica para aplicação aos reservatórios da AdDP, com o objetivo de constituir uma ferramenta de apoio à decisão e planeamento das intervenções de reabilitação interior. Embora fora do contexto da reabilitação interior de reservatórios, é de assinalar a importante experiência proporcionada no acompanhamento da obra de alargamento do sistema multimunicipal de abastecimento de água ao concelho de Amarante, que incluiu a instalação de conduta e construção de duas estações elevatórias.

Projecto e implementação de osciloscópio digital baseado na norma IEEE1451.0

Os osciloscópios digitais são utilizados em diversas áreas do conhecimento, assumindo-se no âmbito da engenharia electrónica, como instrumentos indispensáveis. Graças ao advento das Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs), os instrumentos de medição reconfiguráveis, dadas as suas vantagens, i.e., altos desempenhos, baixos custos e elevada flexibilidade, são cada vez mais uma alternativa aos instrumentos tradicionalmente usados nos laboratórios. Tendo como objectivo a normalização no acesso e no controlo deste tipo de instrumentos, esta tese descreve o projecto e implementação de um osciloscópio digital reconfigurável baseado na norma IEEE 1451.0. Definido de acordo com uma arquitectura baseada nesta norma, as características do osciloscópio são descritas numa estrutura de dados denominada Transducer Electronic Data Sheet (TEDS), e o seu controlo é efectuado utilizando um conjunto de comandos normalizados. O osciloscópio implementa um conjunto de características e funcionalidades básicas, todas verificadas experimentalmente. Destas, destaca-se uma largura de banda de 575kHz, um intervalo de medição de 0.4V a 2.9V, a possibilidade de se definir um conjunto de escalas horizontais, o nível e declive de sincronismo e o modo de acoplamento com o circuito sob análise. Arquitecturalmente, o osciloscópio é constituído por um módulo especificado com a linguagem de descrição de hardware (HDL, Hardware Description Language) Verilog e por uma interface desenvolvida na linguagem de programação Java®. O módulo é embutido numa FPGA, definindo todo o processamento do osciloscópio. A interface permite o seu controlo e a representação do sinal medido. Durante o projecto foi utilizado um conversor Analógico/Digital (A/D) com uma frequência máxima de amostragem de 1.5MHz e 14 bits de resolução que, devido às suas limitações, obrigaram à implementação de um sistema de interpolação multi-estágio com filtros digitais.

Intelligent Remuneration and Tariffs for Virtual Power Players

Power systems have been through deep changes in recent years, namely due to the operation of competitive electricity markets in the scope the increasingly intensive use of renewable energy sources and distributed generation. This requires new business models able to cope with the new opportunities that have emerged. Virtual Power Players (VPPs) are a new type of player that allows aggregating a diversity of players (Distributed Generation (DG), Storage Agents (SA), Electrical Vehicles (V2G) and consumers) to facilitate their participation in the electricity markets and to provide a set of new services promoting generation and consumption efficiency, while improving players’ benefits. A major task of VPPs is the remuneration of generation and services (maintenance, market operation costs and energy reserves), as well as charging energy consumption. This paper proposes a model to implement fair and strategic remuneration and tariff methodologies, able to allow efficient VPP operation and VPP goals accomplishment in the scope of electricity markets.

Virtual Power Players Internal Negotiation and Management in MASCEM

Electricity Markets are not only a new reality but an evolving one as the involved players and rules change at a relatively high rate. Multi-agent simulation combined with Artificial Intelligence techniques may result in very helpful sophisticated tools. This paper presents a new methodology for the management of coalitions in electricity markets. This approach is tested using the multi-agent market simulator MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets), taking advantage of its ability to provide the means to model and simulate Virtual Power Players (VPP). VPPs are represented as coalitions of agents, with the capability of negotiating both in the market and internally, with their members in order to combine and manage their individual specific characteristics and goals, with the strategy and objectives of the VPP itself. A case study using real data from the Iberian Electricity Market is performed to validate and illustrate the proposed approach.

Contextual Intelligent Load Management Considering Real-Time Pricing in a Smart Grid Environment

The use of demand response programs enables the adequate use of resources of small and medium players, bringing high benefits to the smart grid, and increasing its efficiency. One of the difficulties to proceed with this paradigm is the lack of intelligence in the management of small and medium size players. In order to make demand response programs a feasible solution, it is essential that small and medium players have an efficient energy management and a fair optimization mechanism to decrease the consumption without heavy loss of comfort, making it acceptable for the users. This paper addresses the application of real-time pricing in a house that uses an intelligent optimization module involving artificial neural networks.

Data Extraction Tool to Analyse, Transform and Store Real Data from Electricity Markets

The study of electricity markets operation has been gaining an increasing importance in the last years, as result of the new challenges that the restructuring process produced. Currently, lots of information concerning electricity markets is available, as market operators provide, after a period of confidentiality, data regarding market proposals and transactions. These data can be used as source of knowledge to define realistic scenarios, which are essential for understanding and forecast electricity markets behavior. The development of tools able to extract, transform, store and dynamically update data, is of great importance to go a step further into the comprehension of electricity markets and of the behaviour of the involved entities. In this paper an adaptable tool capable of downloading, parsing and storing data from market operators’ websites is presented, assuring constant updating and reliability of the stored data.

Elspot: Nord Pool Spot Integration in MASCEM Electricity Market Simulator

The energy sector in industrialized countries has been restructured in the last years, with the purpose of decreasing electricity prices through the increase in competition, and facilitating the integration of distributed energy resources. However, the restructuring process increased the complexity in market players' interactions and generated emerging problems and new issues to be addressed. In order to provide players with competitive advantage in the market, decision support tools that facilitate the study and understanding of these markets become extremely useful. In this context arises MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets), a multi-agent based simulator that models real electricity markets. To reinforce MASCEM with the capability of recreating the electricity markets reality in the fullest possible extent, it is crucial to make it able to simulate as many market models and player types as possible. This paper presents a new negotiation model implemented in MASCEM based on the negotiation model used in day-ahead market (Elspot) of Nord Pool. This is a key module to study competitive electricity markets, as it presents well defined and distinct characteristics from the already implemented markets, and it is a reference electricity market in Europe (the one with the larger amount of traded power).

An automatic tool to Extract, Transform and Load data from real electricity markets

The study of Electricity Markets operation has been gaining an increasing importance in the last years, as result of the new challenges that the restructuring produced. Currently, lots of information concerning Electricity Markets is available, as market operators provide, after a period of confidentiality, data regarding market proposals and transactions. These data can be used as source of knowledge, to define realistic scenarios, essential for understanding and forecast Electricity Markets behaviour. The development of tools able to extract, transform, store and dynamically update data, is of great importance to go a step further into the comprehension of Electricity Markets and the behaviour of the involved entities. In this paper we present an adaptable tool capable of downloading, parsing and storing data from market operators’ websites, assuring actualization and reliability of stored data.

Abastecimento de água e drenagem de águas residuais no concelho de Cinfães

O presente relatório, desenvolvido no âmbito do estágio curricular realizado na Câmara Municipal de Cinfães, tem como objetivo caracterizar os sistemas de Abastecimento de Água e Drenagem de Água Residuais em Cinfães, analisando o seu funcionamento e a sustentabilidade de possíveis cenários futuros. Deste modo, o relatório inicia-se com a caracterização do Concelho, no seu enquadramento regional. Em seguida, são caracterizados os sistemas de água e saneamento, incluindo a evolução das redes de abastecimento, antes e depois da integração no sistema multimunicipal da Águas do Douro e Paiva (AdDP), de acordo com registos camarários. Nessa linha, foram analisados os problemas existentes e realizada uma caracterização da qualidade do serviço prestado atualmente, por ambos os sistemas. Tomando em consideração os dados de avaliação da Entidade Reguladora (ERSAR), conclui-se que os sistemas em causa estão ainda, de forma geral, aquém dos valores considerados de referência para a boa qualidade da prestação de serviços, em especial no que toca à cobertura dos serviços. Não obstante, por realização de um inquérito a uma amostra de 53 utentes dos sistemas de abastecimento de água e drenagem de águas residuais de Cinfães foi possível verificar que, o grau de satisfação é razoável ao nível da qualidade da água, garantia de pressões, níveis de falhas, rapidez de resposta na correção das mesmas e ainda das tarifas praticadas. Por último, é analisado um estudo, levado a cabo pelo consórcio Norteágua, para o grupo Águas de Portugal, relativamente à evolução dos sistemas de abastecimento de água e de drenagem e tratamento de águas residuais, em Cinfães. Neste capítulo, são abordadas situações de intervenção, propostas de evolução dos sistemas e estimativa de custos para essas soluções. Com base nesses elementos é feita uma avaliação simplificada da sustentabilidade económica dos sistemas na situação futura. Dessa análise foi possível concluir que a situação mais gravosa corresponde à drenagem e tratamento de águas residuais.

Ontologies for the interoperability of multiagent electricity markets simulation platforms

Electricity markets worldwide are complex and dynamic environments with very particular characteristics. These are the result of electricity markets’ restructuring and evolution into regional and continental scales, along with the constant changes brought by the increasing necessity for an adequate integration of renewable energy sources. The rising complexity and unpredictability in electricity markets has increased the need for the intervenient entities in foreseeing market behaviour. Market players and regulators are very interested in predicting the market’s behaviour. Market players need to understand the market behaviour and operation in order to maximize their profits, while market regulators need to test new rules and detect market inefficiencies before they are implemented. The growth of usage of simulation tools was driven by the need for understanding those mechanisms and how the involved players' interactions affect the markets' outcomes. Multi-agent based software is particularly well fitted to analyse dynamic and adaptive systems with complex interactions among its constituents, such as electricity markets. Several modelling tools directed to the study of restructured wholesale electricity markets have emerged. Still, they have a common limitation: the lack of interoperability between the various systems to allow the exchange of information and knowledge, to test different market models and to allow market players from different systems to interact in common market environments. This dissertation proposes the development and implementation of ontologies for semantic interoperability between multi-agent simulation platforms in the scope of electricity markets. The added value provided to these platforms is given by enabling them sharing their knowledge and market models with other agent societies, which provides the means for an actual improvement in current electricity markets studies and development. The proposed ontologies are implemented in MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets) and tested through the interaction between MASCEM agents and agents from other multi-agent based simulators. The implementation of the proposed ontologies has also required a complete restructuring of MASCEM’s architecture and multi-agent model, which is also presented in this dissertation. The results achieved in the case studies allow identifying the advantages of the novel architecture of MASCEM, and most importantly, the added value of using the proposed ontologies. They facilitate the integration of independent multi-agent simulators, by providing a way for communications to be understood by heterogeneous agents from the various systems.

Control in distribution networks with demand side management

The way in which electricity networks operate is going through a period of significant change. Renewable generation technologies are having a growing presence and increasing penetrations of generation that are being connected at distribution level. Unfortunately, a renewable energy source is most of the time intermittent and needs to be forecasted. Current trends in Smart grids foresee the accommodation of a variety of distributed generation sources including intermittent renewable sources. It is also expected that smart grids will include demand management resources, widespread communications and control technologies required to use demand response are needed to help the maintenance in supply-demand balance in electricity systems. Consequently, smart household appliances with controllable loads will be likely a common presence in our homes. Thus, new control techniques are requested to manage the loads and achieve all the potential energy present in intermittent energy sources. This thesis is focused on the development of a demand side management control method in a distributed network, aiming the creation of greater flexibility in demand and better ease the integration of renewable technologies. In particular, this work presents a novel multi-agent model-based predictive control method to manage distributed energy systems from the demand side, in presence of limited energy sources with fluctuating output and with energy storage in house-hold or car batteries. Specifically, here is presented a solution for thermal comfort which manages a limited shared energy resource via a demand side management perspective, using an integrated approach which also involves a power price auction and an appliance loads allocation scheme. The control is applied individually to a set of Thermal Control Areas, demand units, where the objective is to minimize the energy usage and not exceed the limited and shared energy resource, while simultaneously indoor temperatures are maintained within a comfort frame. Thermal Control Areas are overall thermodynamically connected in the distributed environment and also coupled by energy related constraints. The energy split is performed based on a fixed sequential order established from a previous completed auction wherein the bids are made by each Thermal Control Area, acting as demand side management agents, based on the daily energy price. The developed solutions are explained with algorithms and are applied to different scenarios, being the results explanatory of the benefits of the proposed approaches.

Improving quality of medical service with mobile health software

An increasing number of m-Health applications are being developed benefiting health service delivery. In this paper, a new methodology based on the principle of calm computing applied to diagnostic and therapeutic procedure reporting is proposed. A mobile application was designed for the physicians of one of the Portuguese major hospitals, which takes advantage of a multi-agent interoperability platform, the Agency for the Integration, Diffusion and Archive (AIDA). This application allows the visualization of inpatients and outpatients medical reports in a quicker and safer manner, in addition to offer a remote access to information. This project shows the advantages in the use of mobile software in a medical environment but the first step is always to build or use an interoperability platform, flexible, adaptable and pervasive. The platform offers a comprehensive set of services that restricts the development of mobile software almost exclusively to the mobile user interface design. The technology was tested and assessed in a real context by intensivists.

Modellbildung und Untersuchung eines magnetisch gelagerten Rundtisches

Active magnetic bearing, round table, multi-body system, state-control

Market Competition and Lower Tier Incentives

The relationship between competition and performance-related pay has been analysed in single-principal-single-agent models. While this approach yields good predictions for managerial pay schemes, the predictions fail to apply for employees at lower tiers of a firm's hierarchy. In this paper, a principal-multi-agent model of incentive pay is developed which makes it possible to analyze the effect of changes in the competitiveness of markets on lower tier incentive payment schemes. The results explain why the payment schemes of agents located at low and mid tiers are less sensitive to changes in competition when aggregated firm data is used. JEL classification numbers: D82, J21, L13, L22. Keywords: Cournot competition, Contract delegation, Moral hazard, Entry, Market size, Wage cost.