Échantillonnage et modélisation de l’habitat des communautés de poissons de rivière des basses Laurentides

Plusieurs études à grande échelle ont identifié la modification ou la perte d’habitats comme menace principale à la conservation des communautés de poissons d’eau douce. Au Canada, « aucune perte nette dans la capacité productive des habitats » (NNL) est le principe directeur de la politique de gestion des habitats du ministère des Pêches et Océans. Le respect du NNL implique l’avancement des connaissances au niveau des relations entre les poissons et leurs habitats, de même que des outils pour quantifier l’impact de la modification des habitats sur les poissons. Les modèles d’utilisation de l’habitat des poissons (FHUM) sont des outils qui permettent d’améliorer nos connaissances des relations poissons – habitat, de prédire la distribution des espèces, mais aussi leurs densités, biomasses ou abondances, sur la base des caractéristiques de l’environnement. L’objectif général de mon mémoire est d’améliorer la performance des FHUM pour les rivières des basses Laurentides, en suggérant des perfectionnements au niveau de 2 aspects cruciaux de l’élaboration de tels modèles : la description précise de la communauté de poissons et l’utilisation de modèles statistiques efficaces. Dans un premier chapitre, j’évalue la performance relative de la pêcheuse électrique et de l’échantillonnage en visuel (plongée de surface) pour estimer les abondances des combinaisons d’espèces et de classes de taille des poissons en rivière. J’évalue aussi l’effet des conditions environnementales sur les différences potentielles entre les communautés observées par ces 2 méthodes d’échantillonnage. Pour ce faire, 10 sections de rivière de 20 m de longueur ont été échantillonnées à l’aide de ces 2 méthodes alors qu’elles étaient fermées par des filets de blocage. 3 plongeurs performèrent l’échantillonnage en visuel en se déplaçant de l’aval vers l’amont des sections, tout en dénombrant les espèces et classes de taille. Par la suite, nous avons fait 3 passages de pêcheuse électrique et les abondances furent estimées grâce à un modèle restreint de maximum de vraisemblance, basé sur la diminution des abondances observées. De plus grandes abondances de poissons furent observées en visuel qu’avec la pêcheuse électrique à tous les sites. La richesse spécifique observée en visuel était plus élevée (6/10) ou égale (4/10) à celle observée avec la pêcheuse électrique. Les différences entre les communautés de poissons observées à l’aide de ces 2 méthodes ne purent être reliées aux conditions environnementales. Les résultats de cette expérience sont contraires à ceux de toutes les études comparant ces 2 méthodes d’échantillonnage, lesquels suggèrent une supériorité de la pêcheuse électrique. Les conditions environnementales de notre expérience étaient distinctes de celles observées dans les autres études (absence d’arbres tombés dans l’eau, très peu de substrats grossiers), mais la différence la plus marquante était en terme de communauté de poissons observée (dominance des cyprinidés et des centrarchidés plutôt que des salmonidés). Je termine ce chapitre en suggérant que les caractéristiques comportementales favorisant l’évitement de la capture (formation de bancs) et facilitant l’observation en visuel (curiosité) sont responsables de la supériorité de la plongée de surface pour échantillonner les communautés dans les rivières des basses Laurentides. Dans un deuxième chapitre, je développe des FHUM pour des communautés de poissons de rivière ayant plusieurs espèces. Dans le but de simplifier la modélisation de telles communautés et d’améliorer notre compréhension des relations poissons – habitat, j’utilise les concepts de guilde écologique et de filtre environnemental pour explorer les relations entre les guildes formées sur la bases de différents types de traits (reproducteurs, taxonomiques, éco-morphologiques et alimentaires) et les conditions environnementales locales à l’échelle du méso-habitat. Les modèles d’habitats basés sur les guildes reproductrices ont clairement surpassé les autres modèles, parce que l’habitat de fraie reflète l’habitat de préférence en dehors de la période de reproduction. J’ai également utilisé l’approche inverse, c’est à dire définir des guildes d’utilisation de l’habitat et les mettre en relation avec les traits des espèces. Les traits reliés à l’alimentation des poissons ont semblés être les meilleurs pour expliquer l’appartenance aux groupes d’utilisation de l’habitat, mais le modèle utilisé ne représentait pas bien la relation entre les groupes. La validation de notre modèle basé sur les guildes reproductrices avec un jeu de données indépendant pourrait confirmer notre découverte, laquelle représente une manière prometteuse de modéliser les relations poissons – environnement dans des communautés de poissons complexes. En conclusion, mon mémoire suggère d’importantes améliorations aux FHUM pour les communautés de poissons des basses Laurentides, en suggérant de prendre en compte les caractéristiques biologiques des cours d’eau dans le choix d’une méthode d’échantillonnage, et également en utilisant une méthode prometteuse pour simplifier les FHUM de communautés de poissons complexes : les guildes reproductrices.

Forecasting the spot prices of various coffee types using linear and non-linear error correction models

Este documento estima modelos lineales y no-lineales de corrección de errores para los precios spot de cuatro tipos de café. En concordancia con las leyes económicas, se encuentra evidencia que cuando los precios están por encima de su nivel de equilibrio, retornan a éste mas lentamente que cuando están por debajo. Esto puede reflejar el hecho que, en el corto plazo, para los países productores de café es mas fácil restringir la oferta para incrementar precios, que incrementarla para reducirlos. Además, se encuentra evidencia que el ajuste es más rápido cuando las desviaciones del equilibrio son mayores. Los pronósticos que se obtienen a partir de los modelos de corrección de errores no lineales y asimétricos considerados en el trabajo, ofrecen una leve mejoría cuando se comparan con los pronósticos que resultan de un modelo de paseo aleatorio.

Texture segmentation in Williams syndrome

Williams syndrome (WS) is a developmental disorder in which visuo-spatial cognition is poor relative to verbal ability. At the level of visuo-spatial perception, individuals with WS can perceive both the local and global aspects of an image. However, the manner in which local elements are integrated into a global whole is atypical, with relative strengths in integration by luminance, closure, and alignment compared to shape, orientation and proximity. The present study investigated the manner in which global images are segmented into local parts. Segmentation by seven gestalt principles was investigated: proximity, shape, luminance, orientation, closure, size (and alignment: Experiment I only). Participants were presented with uniform texture squares and asked to detect the presence of a discrepant patch (Experiment 1) or to identify the form of a discrepant patch as a capital E or H (Experiment 2). In Experiment 1, the pattern and level of performance of the WS group did not differ from that of typically developing controls, and was commensurate with the general level of non-verbal ability observed in WS. These results were replicated in Experiment 2, with the exception of segmentation by proximity, where individuals with WS demonstrated superior performance relative to the remaining segmentation types. Overall, the results suggest that, despite some atypical aspects of visuo-spatial perception in WS, the ability to segment a global form into parts is broadly typical in this population. In turn, this informs predictions of brain function in WS, particularly areas V1 and V4. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Cognition in males and females with autism: similarities and differences

The male bias in autism spectrum conditions (ASC) has led to females with ASC being under-researched. This lack of attention to females could hide variability due to sex that may explain some of the heterogeneity within ASC. In this study we investigate four key cognitive domains (mentalizing and emotion perception, executive function, perceptual attention to detail, and motor function) in ASC, to test for similarities and differences between males and females with and without ASC (n = 128 adults; n = 32 per group). In the mentalizing and facial emotion perception domain, males and females with ASC showed similar deficits compared to neurotypical controls. However, in attention to detail and dexterity involving executive function, although males with ASC showed poorer performance relative to neurotypical males, females with ASC performed comparably to neurotypical females. We conclude that performance in the social-cognitive domain is equally impaired in male and female adults with ASC. However, in specific non-social cognitive domains, performance within ASC depends on sex. This suggests that in specific domains, cognitive profiles in ASC are modulated by sex.

Forecasting US output growth with non-linear models in the presence of data uncertainty

We consider the impact of data revisions on the forecast performance of a SETAR regime-switching model of U.S. output growth. The impact of data uncertainty in real-time forecasting will affect a model's forecast performance via the effect on the model parameter estimates as well as via the forecast being conditioned on data measured with error. We find that benchmark revisions do affect the performance of the non-linear model of the growth rate, and that the performance relative to a linear comparator deteriorates in real-time compared to a pseudo out-of-sample forecasting exercise.

When innovation becomes inefficient: reexamining Britain's radio industry

I examine the factors underpinning the British radio-equipment sector's particularly poor interwar productivity performance relative to the United States. Differences in socio-legal environments were crucial in allowing key players in the British industry to derive higher monopoly rents than their American counterparts. Higher British rents in turn, had the unintended outcome of stimulating innovation around restrictive patents, initiating a path-dependent process of technical change in favor of expensive multifunctional valves. These valves both raised direct production costs and prevented British firms from following the American path of broadening the radio market beyond the household's prime receiver.

Including an ocean carbon cycle model into iLOVECLIM (v1.0)

The atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration plays a crucial role in the radiative balance and as such has a strong influence on the evolution of climate. Because of the numerous interactions between climate and the carbon cycle, it is necessary to include a model of the carbon cycle within a climate model to understand and simulate past and future changes of the carbon cycle. In particular, natural variations of atmospheric CO2 have happened in the past, while anthropogenic carbon emissions are likely to continue in the future. To study changes of the carbon cycle and climate on timescales of a few hundred to a few thousand years, we have included a simple carbon cycle model into the iLOVECLIM Earth System Model. In this study, we describe the ocean and terrestrial biosphere carbon cycle models and their performance relative to observational data. We focus on the main carbon cycle variables including the carbon isotope ratios δ13C and the Δ14C. We show that the model results are in good agreement with modern observations both at the surface and in the deep ocean for the main variables, in particular phosphates, dissolved inorganic carbon and the carbon isotopes.

When enough is not enough: information overload and metacognitive decisions to stop studying information

People are often exposed to more information than they can actually remember. Despite this frequent form of information overload, little is known about how much information people choose to remember. Using a novel “stop” paradigm, the current research examined whether and how people choose to stop receiving new—possibly overwhelming—information with the intent to maximize memory performance. Participants were presented with a long list of items and were rewarded for the number of correctly remembered words in a following free recall test. Critically, participants in a stop condition were provided with the option to stop the presentation of the remaining words at any time during the list, whereas participants in a control condition were presented with all items. Across five experiments, we found that participants tended to stop the presentation of the items to maximize the number of recalled items, but this decision ironically led to decreased memory performance relative to the control group. This pattern was consistent even after controlling for possible confounding factors (e.g., task demands). The results indicated a general, false belief that we can remember a larger number of items if we restrict the quantity of learning materials. These findings suggest people have an incomplete understanding of how we remember excessive amounts of information.

Emprego de redes neurais artificiais supervisionadas e não supervisionadas no estudo de parâmetros reológicos de excipientes farmacêuticos sólidos

In this paper artificial neural network (ANN) based on supervised and unsupervised algorithms were investigated for use in the study of rheological parameters of solid pharmaceutical excipients, in order to develop computational tools for manufacturing solid dosage forms. Among four supervised neural networks investigated, the best learning performance was achieved by a feedfoward multilayer perceptron whose architectures was composed by eight neurons in the input layer, sixteen neurons in the hidden layer and one neuron in the output layer. Learning and predictive performance relative to repose angle was poor while to Carr index and Hausner ratio (CI and HR, respectively) showed very good fitting capacity and learning, therefore HR and CI were considered suitable descriptors for the next stage of development of supervised ANNs. Clustering capacity was evaluated for five unsupervised strategies. Network based on purely unsupervised competitive strategies, classic "Winner-Take-All", "Frequency-Sensitive Competitive Learning" and "Rival-Penalize Competitive Learning" (WTA, FSCL and RPCL, respectively) were able to perform clustering from database, however this classification was very poor, showing severe classification errors by grouping data with conflicting properties into the same cluster or even the same neuron. On the other hand it could not be established what was the criteria adopted by the neural network for those clustering. Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) and Neural Gas (NG) networks showed better clustering capacity. Both have recognized the two major groupings of data corresponding to lactose (LAC) and cellulose (CEL). However, SOM showed some errors in classify data from minority excipients, magnesium stearate (EMG) , talc (TLC) and attapulgite (ATP). NG network in turn performed a very consistent classification of data and solve the misclassification of SOM, being the most appropriate network for classifying data of the study. The use of NG network in pharmaceutical technology was still unpublished. NG therefore has great potential for use in the development of software for use in automated classification systems of pharmaceutical powders and as a new tool for mining and clustering data in drug development

Análise e projeto de superfícies seletivas de frequência com elementos pré-fractais para aplicações em comunicações indoor

In this thesis, a frequency selective surface (FSS) consists of a two-dimensional periodic structure mounted on a dielectric substrate, which is capable of selecting signals in one or more frequency bands of interest. In search of better performance, more compact dimensions, low cost manufacturing, among other characteristics, these periodic structures have been continually optimized over time. Due to its spectral characteristics, which are similar to band-stop or band-pass filters, the FSSs have been studied and used in several applications for more than four decades. The design of an FSS with a periodic structure composed by pre-fractal elements facilitates the tuning of these spatial filters and the adjustment of its electromagnetic parameters, enabling a compact design which generally has a stable frequency response and superior performance relative to its euclidean counterpart. The unique properties of geometric fractals have shown to be useful, mainly in the production of antennas and frequency selective surfaces, enabling innovative solutions and commercial applications in microwave range. In recent applications, the FSSs modify the indoor propagation environments (emerging concept called wireless building ). In this context, the use of pre-fractal elements has also shown promising results, allowing a more effective filtering of more than one frequency band with a single-layer structure. This thesis approaches the design of FSSs using pre-fractal elements based on Vicsek, Peano and teragons geometries, which act as band-stop spatial filters. The transmission properties of the periodic surfaces are analyzed to design compact and efficient devices with stable frequency responses, applicable to microwave frequency range and suitable for use in indoor communications. The results are discussed in terms of the electromagnetic effect resulting from the variation of parameters such as: fractal iteration number (or fractal level), scale factor, fractal dimension and periodicity of FSS, according the pre-fractal element applied on the surface. The analysis of the fractal dimension s influence on the resonant properties of a FSS is a new contribution in relation to researches about microwave devices that use fractal geometry. Due to its own characteristics and the geometric shape of the Peano pre-fractal elements, the reconfiguration possibility of these structures is also investigated and discussed. This thesis also approaches, the construction of efficient selective filters with new configurations of teragons pre-fractal patches, proposed to control the WLAN coverage in indoor environments by rejecting the signals in the bands of 2.4~2.5 GHz (IEEE 802.11 b) and 5.0~6.0 GHz (IEEE 802.11a). The FSSs are initially analyzed through simulations performed by commercial software s: Ansoft DesignerTM and HFSSTM. The fractal design methodology is validated by experimental characterization of the built prototypes, using alternatively, different measurement setups, with commercial horn antennas and microstrip monopoles fabricated for low cost measurements

Propriedades e aspectos geométricos de estimadores tipo James-Stein e do estimador de Hartigan

The James-Stein estimator is a biased shrinkage estimator with uniformly smaller risk than the risk of the sample mean estimator for the mean of multivariate normal distribution, except in the one-dimensional or two-dimensional cases. In this work we have used more heuristic arguments and intensified the geometric treatment of the theory of James-Stein estimator. New type James-Stein shrinking estimators are proposed and the Mahalanobis metric used to address the James-Stein estimator. . To evaluate the performance of the estimator proposed, in relation to the sample mean estimator, we used the computer simulation by the Monte Carlo method by calculating the mean square error. The result indicates that the new estimator has better performance relative to the sample mean estimator.

Adaptabilidade e estabilidade de progênies de Hevea brasiliensis (Willd. ex Adr. de Juss.) Muell. - Arg. em três diferentes regiões do estado de São Paulo

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Interação genótipo x ambiente, adaptabilidade e estabilidade em genótipos de cana-de-açúcar

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Genética e Melhoramento de Plantas) - FCAV

Baccharis dracunculifolia na alimentação de frangos de corte

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Estados emocionais em professores recém-formados: análise contextual

In general, the early career is a period marked by crises. Hubermam (1992) points out that this period is considered by the teacher as one of life's most difficult professional teaching. According to Machado (2004), the physical education worked only in competitive perspective in school, does not contribute to the school to perform its social role. This approach encourages the use of stigmas, labels and prejudices, so common in school, that marginalize even more students from lower classes, and can make the sport of high performance within the school walls create students with low self-esteem and low motivation within other possible disorders . Thus, this study presents the fundamental importance to aid and support to novice teachers, so that they can understand, and address key emotional aspects that interfere in their practice. Thus, our aim was to identify the most recurrent emotional processes in novice teachers identify and also how these emotional states can influence the professional and personal attitudes of these teachers. Through a bibliographic we seek statements, reports and case studies that provide enough material to our analysis and interpretation in order to collaborate with the study area and proceed to proposals that are not unreasonable or tied to the current system. Among the emotional states reported in the literature, we highlight the main, more present and influent in the beginner teacher as listed as follow: Anxiety, Stress, Fear, Shame, Low Self Confidence and Motivation. Considering these states, Damasio (1996) reports that the United Emotional directly influenced the style and efficiency of cognitive processes, in other words, interfere with the performance of teachers in the teaching front. Thus, Machado (2006) points out that the teacher should have a set of techniques and procedures that drive their practice in a manner appropriate to the leading group. Therefore, the knowledge of Psychology of Physical...