958 resultados para Score statistic
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The identification of genes responsible for the rare cases of familial leukemia may afford insight into the mechanism underlying the more common sporadic occurrences. Here we test a single family with 11 relevant meioses transmitting autosomal dominant acute myelogenous leukemia (AML) and myelodysplasia for linkage to three potential candidate loci. In a different family with inherited AML, linkage to chromosome 21q22.1-22.2 was recently reported; we exclude linkage to 21q22.1-22.2, demonstrating that familial AML is a heterogeneous disease. After reviewing familial leukemia and observing anticipation in the form of a declining age of onset with each generation, we had proposed 9p21-22 and 16q22 as additional candidate loci. Whereas linkage to 9p21-22 can be excluded, the finding of a maximum two-point LOD score of 2.82 with the microsatellite marker D16S522 at a recombination fraction theta = 0 provides evidence supporting linkage to 16q22. Haplotype analysis reveals a 23.5-cM (17.9-Mb) commonly inherited region among all affected family members extending from D16S451 to D1GS289, In order to extract maximum linkage information with missing individuals, incomplete informativeness with individual markers in this interval, and possible deviance from strict autosomal dominant inheritance, we performed nonparametric linkage analysis (NPL) and found a maximum NPL statistic corresponding to a P-value of .00098, close to the maximum conditional probability of linkage expected for a pedigree with this structure. Mutational analysis in this region specifically excludes expansion of the AT-rich minisatellite repeat FRA16B fragile site and the CAG trinucleotide repeat in the E2F-4 transcription factor. The ''repeat expansion detection'' method, capable of detecting dynamic mutation associated with anticipation, more generally excludes large CAG repeat expansion as a cause of leukemia in this family.
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Objective: To identify prediction factors for the development of leptospirosis-associated pulmonary hemorrhage syndrome (LPHS). Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study. The study comprised of 203 patients, aged >= 14 years, admitted with complications of the severe form of leptospirosis at the Emilio Ribas Institute of Infectology (Sao Paulo, Brazil) between 1998 and 2004. Laboratory and demographic data were obtained and the severity of illness score and involvement of the lungs and others organs were determined. Logistic regression was performed to identify independent predictors of LPHS. A prospective validation cohort of 97 subjects with severe form of leptospirosis admitted at the same hospital between 2004 and 2006 was used to independently evaluate the predictive value of the model. Results: The overall mortality rate was 7.9%. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that five factors were independently associated with the development of LPHS: serum potassium (mmol/L) (OR = 2.6; 95% CI = 1.1-5.9); serum creatinine (mmol/L) (OR = 1.2; 95% CI = 1.1-1.4); respiratory rate (breaths/min) (OR = 1.1; 95% CI = 1.1-1.2); presenting shock (OR = 69.9; 95% CI = 20.1-236.4), and Glasgow Coma Scale Score (GCS) < 15 (OR = 7.7; 95% CI = 1.3-23.0). We used these findings to calculate the risk of LPHS by the use of a spreadsheet. In the validation cohort, the equation classified correctly 92% of patients (Kappa statistic = 0.80). Conclusions: We developed and validated a multivariate model for predicting LPHS. This tool should prove useful in identifying LPHS patients, allowing earlier management and thereby reducing mortality. (C) 2009 The British Infection Society. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Background. The loss of a child is considered the hardest moment in a parent`s life. Studies addressing length of survival under pediatric palliative care are rare. The aim of this study was to improve a survival prediction model for children in palliative care, as accurate information positively impacts parent and child preparation for palliative care. Procedure. Sixty-five children referred to a pediatric palliative care team were followed from August 2003 until December 2006. Variables investigated (also included in previous studies) were: diagnosis, home care provider, presence of anemia, and performance status score given by the home care provider. Clinical variables such as symptom number were also used to test the score`s ability to pre-validated using the above variables. The number of symptoms at transition to palliative care does not improve the score`s predictive ability. The sum of the single scores gives an overall score for each patient, dividing the population into three groups by probability of 60-day survival: Group A 80.0%, Group B 38.0%, and Group C 28.5% (P < 0.001). Conclusion. A pediatric palliative care score based on easily accessible variables is statistically significant in multivariate analysis. Factors that increase accuracy of life expectancy prediction enable adequate information to be given to patients and families, contributing to therapeutic decision-making issues. Pediatr Blood Cancer. 2010;55:1167-1171. (C) 2010 Wiley-Liss, Inc.
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Purpose: To determine the incidence of overestimation of Gleason score (GS) in extended prostate biopsy, and consequently circumventing unnecessary aggressive treatment. Methods and Materials: This is a retrospective study of 464 patients who underwent prostate biopsy and radical prostatectomy between January 2001 and November 2007. The GS from biopsy and radical prostatectomy were compared. The incidence of overestimation of GS in biopsies and tumor volume were studied. Multivariate analysis was applied to find parameters that predict upgrading the GS in prostate biopsy. Results: The exact agreement of GS between prostate biopsy and radical prostatectomy occurred in 56.9% of cases. In 29.1% cases it was underestimated, and it was overestimated in 14%. One hundred and six (22.8%) patients received a diagnosis of high GS (8, 9, or 10) in a prostate biopsy. In 29.2% of cases, the definitive Gleason Score was 7 or lower. In cases in which GS was overestimated in the biopsy, tumors were significantly smaller. In multivariate analysis, the total percentage of tumor was the only independent factor in overestimation of GS. Tumors occupying less than 33% of cores had a 5.6-fold greater chance of being overestimated. Conclusion: In the extended biopsy era and after the International Society of Urological Pathology consensus on G, almost one third of tumors considered to have high GS at the biopsy may be intermediate-risk cancers. In that condition, tumors are smaller in biopsy. This should be remembered by professionals involved with prostate cancer to avoid overtreatment and undesirable side effects. (c) 2009 Elsevier Inc.
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Background: Around 15% of patients die or become dependent after cerebral vein and dural sinus thrombosis (CVT). Method: We used the International Study on Cerebral Vein and Dural Sinus Thrombosis (ISCVT) sample (624 patients, with a median follow-up time of 478 days) to develop a Cox proportional hazards regression model to predict outcome, dichotomised by a modified Rankin Scale score > 2. From the model hazard ratios, a risk score was derived and a cut-off point selected. The model and the score were tested in 2 validation samples: (1) the prospective Cerebral Venous Thrombosis Portuguese Collaborative Study Group (VENO-PORT) sample with 91 patients; (2) a sample of 169 consecutive CVT patients admitted to 5 ISCVT centres after the end of the ISCVT recruitment period. Sensitivity, specificity, c statistics and overall efficiency to predict outcome at 6 months were calculated. Results: The model (hazard ratios: malignancy 4.53; coma 4.19; thrombosis of the deep venous system 3.03; mental status disturbance 2.18; male gender 1.60; intracranial haemorrhage 1.42) had overall efficiencies of 85.1, 84.4 and 90.0%, in the derivation sample and validation samples 1 and 2, respectively. Using the risk score (range from 0 to 9) with a cut-off of 6 3 points, overall efficiency was 85.4, 84.4 and 90.1% in the derivation sample and validation samples 1 and 2, respectively. Sensitivity and specificity in the combined samples were 96.1 and 13.6%, respectively. Conclusions: The CVT risk score has a good estimated overall rate of correct classifications in both validation samples, but its specificity is low. It can be used to avoid unnecessary or dangerous interventions in low-risk patients, and may help to identify high-risk CVT patients. Copyright (C) 2009 S. Karger AG, Basel
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Context.-Studies analyzing the concordance of biopsy and radical prostatectomy (RP) Gleason scores have limitations. Some included 2 or more centers, used historical controls from the early prostate specific antigen era or lacked a clear definition of the biopsy schemes. Furthermore, most did not control the results for prostate volume. Objective.-To confirm whether prediction of RP Gleason score can be optimized by taking more biopsy cores in a contemporary series of patients, with pathologic samples analyzed by the same pathologist, and controlling these results for prostate volume. Design.-The study comprised a retrospective case-control analysis of 393 patients with prostate cancer treated with RP. Patients were divided into 3 groups: those in group 1 underwent a 6-core biopsy; group 2, an 8-core biopsy; and group 3, a 10 or more-core biopsy. Concordance rates between biopsy and RP Gleason scores, as well as the rates of undergrading and overgrading, were determined for each biopsy scheme. Results.-Concordance rates were 60.9%, 58.3%, and 64.6% for patients from groups 1, 2, and 3, respectively (P = .18). When we analyzed patients with prostate volumes of less than 50 cm(3), concordance rates were 58.3%, 58.3%, and 65.1% for each group, respectively (P = .03). Among patients with prostate volumes of 50 cm3 or more, concordance rates were 70%, 58.1%, and 63.6%, respectively (P = .66). Conclusions.-Taking 10 or more cores can improve the prediction of RP Gleason score in patients with prostate volumes of less than 50 cm3. For patients with prostate volumes of 50 cm3 or more, increasing the biopsy cores to 10 or more did not improve prediction of RP Gleason score.
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PURPOSE. To assess whether baseline Glaucoma Probability Score (GPS; HRT-3; Heidelberg Engineering, Dossenheim, Germany) results are predictive of progression in patients with suspected glaucoma. The GPS is a new feature of the confocal scanning laser ophthalmoscope that generates an operator-independent, three-dimensional model of the optic nerve head and gives a score for the probability that this model is consistent with glaucomatous damage. METHODS. The study included 223 patients with suspected glaucoma during an average follow-up of 63.3 months. Included subjects had a suspect optic disc appearance and/or elevated intraocular pressure, but normal visual fields. Conversion was defined as development of either repeatable abnormal visual fields or glaucomatous deterioration in the appearance of the optic disc during the study period. The association between baseline GPS and conversion was investigated by Cox regression models. RESULTS. Fifty-four (24.2%) eyes converted. In multivariate models, both higher values of GPS global and subjective stereophotograph assessment ( larger cup-disc ratio and glaucomatous grading) were predictive of conversion: adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI): 1.31 (1.15 - 1.50) per 0.1 higher global GPS, 1.34 (1.12 - 1.62) per 0.1 higher CDR, and 2.34 (1.22 - 4.47) for abnormal grading, respectively. No significant differences ( P > 0.05 for all comparisons) were found between the c-index values ( equivalent to area under ROC curve) for the multivariate models (0.732, 0.705, and 0.699, respectively). CONCLUSIONS. GPS values were predictive of conversion in our population of patients with suspected glaucoma. Further, they performed as well as subjective assessment of the optic disc. These results suggest that GPS could potentially replace stereophotograph as a tool for estimating the likelihood of conversion to glaucoma.
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The aim of the present study was to determine the relationship among body weight (BW), body condition score (BCS) and rump fat thickness (RFAT) measured by ultrasonography, and validate the relationship between BCS and RFAT over the time. Two hundred sixty and six Nelore cows had their BW, BCS and RFAT evaluated at five different moments during the production cycle: M1) weaning: M2) parturition, M3) 42 days post-partum; M4) 82 days postpartum and M5) 112 days post-partum. A BCS value was attributed for each cow following a I to 5 points scale. Ultrasonographic images for RFAT measurement were obtained using a 3.5 MHz linear transducer. Images were immediately analyzed as soon as they were formed and frozen. Body condition scores and ultrasound measurements were collected on the same day by a single trained technician. The relationship between BCS and RFAT values was investigated by regression models. The analysis of similarity among the five obtained models was performed using the proc MIXED from SAS and the correlations among variables were analyzed with proc CORR from SAS. The BCS was able to predict RFAT in Nelore cows in all different moments evaluated. Also, it was shown that BCS presented high correlation (r=0.82 to 0.93) and relationship (R(2) = 0.73 to 0.92) with RFAT. However, both BCS and RFAT showed low correlation (r=0.37 to 0.50) and relationship (R(2) = 0.13 to 0.25) with BW. The BCS classification by visual method using a 1 to 5 point scale, was able to predict the RFAT in Nelore cows over the time. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Background Exercise testing has limited efficacy for identifying coronary artery disease (CAD) in the absence of anginal. symptoms. Exercise echocardiography is more accurate than standard exercise testing, but its efficacy in this situation has not been defined. We sought to identify whether the Duke treadmill. score or exercise echocardiography (ExE) could be used to identify risk in patients without anginal symptoms. Methods We studied 1859 patients without typical or atypical angina, heart failure, or a history or ECG evidence of infarction or CAD, who were referred for ExE, of whom 1832 (age 51 15 years, 944 men) were followed for up to 10 years. The presence and extent of ischaemia and scar were interpreted by expert reviewers at the time of the original study. Results Exercise provoked significant (>0.1 mV) ST segment depression in 215 patients (12%), and wall motion abnormalities in 137 (8%). Seventy-eight patients (4%) died before revascularization, only 17 from known cardiac causes. The independent predictors of death were age (RR 1.1, p
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O câncer de mama é a principal neoplasia maligna que acomete o sexo feminino no Brasil. O câncer de mama é hoje uma doença de extrema importância para a saúde pública nacional, motivando ampla discussão em torno das medidas que promova o seu diagnóstico precoce, a redução em sua morbidade e mortalidade. A presente pesquisa possui três objetivos, cujos resultados encontram-se organizados em artigos. O primeiro objetivo buscou analisar a completude dos dados do Sistema de Informação de Mortalidade sobre os óbitos por câncer de mama em mulheres no Espírito Santo, Sudeste e Brasil (1998 a 2007). Realizou-se um estudo descritivo analítico baseado em dados secundários, onde foi analisado o número absoluto e percentual de não preenchimento das variáveis nas declarações de óbitos. Adotou-se escore para avaliar os graus de não completude. Os resultados para as variáveis sexo e idade foram excelentes tanto para o Espírito Santo, Sudeste e Brasil. O preenchimento das variáveis raça/cor, grau de escolaridade e estado civil apresentam problemas no Espírito Santo. Enquanto no Sudeste e Brasil as variáveis raça/cor e escolaridade têm tendência decrescente para a não completude, no Espírito Santo a tendência se mantém estável. Para a variável estado civil, a não completude tem tendência crescente no Estado do Espírito Santo. O segundo objetivo foi analisar a evolução das taxas de mortalidade por câncer de mama, em mulheres no Espírito Santo no período de 1980 a 2007. Estudo de série temporal, cujos dados sobre óbitos foram obtidos do Sistema de Informação de Mortalidade e as estimativas populacionais segundo idade e anos-calendário, do Instituto Brasileiro Geografia e Estatística. Os coeficientes específicos 9 de mortalidade, segundo faixa etária, foram calculados anualmente. A análise de tendência foi realizada por meio da padronização das taxas de mortalidade pelo método direto, em que a população do senso IBGE-2000, foi considerada padrão. No período de estudo, ocorreram 2.736 óbitos por câncer de mama. O coeficiente de mortalidade neste período variou de 3,41 a 10,99 por 100.000 mulheres. Os resultados indicam que há tendência de mortalidade por câncer de mama ao longo da série (p=0,001 com crescimento de 75,42%). Todas as faixas etárias a partir de 30 anos apresentaram tendência de crescimento da mortalidade estatisticamente significante (p=0,001). Os percentuais de crescimento foram aumentando, segundo as idades mais avançadas, sendo 48,4% na faixa de 40 a 49 anos, chegando a 92,3%, na faixa de 80 anos e mais. O terceiro objetivo foi realizar a análise espacial dos óbitos em mulheres por câncer de mama no estado do Espírito Santo, nos anos de 2003 a 2007, com análise das correlações espaciais dessa mortalidade e componentes do município. O cenário foi o Estado do Espírito Santo, composto por 78 municípios. Para análise dos dados, utilizou-se a abordagem bayesiana (métodos EBest Global e EBest Local) para correção de taxas epidemiológicas. Calculou-se o índice I de Moran, para dependência espacial em nível global e a estatística Moran Local. As maiores taxas estão concentradas em 19 municípios pertencentes às Microrregiões: Metropolitana (Fundão, Vitória, Vila Velha, Viana, Cariacica e Guarapari), Metrópole Expandida Sul (Anchieta, Alfredo Chaves), Pólo Cachoeiro (Vargem Alta, Rio Novo do Sul, Mimoso do Sul, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Castelo, Jerônimo Monteiro, Bom Jesus do Norte, Apiacá e Muqui) e Caparaó (Alegre e São José do Calçado). Os resultados da Estimação Bayesiana (Índice de Moran) dos óbitos por câncer de mama em mulheres ocorridos no estado do Espírito Santo, segundo os dados brutos e 10 ajustados indicam a existência de correlação espacial significativa para o mapa Local (I = 0,573; p = 0,001) e Global (I = 0,118; p = 0,039). Os dados brutos não apresentam correlação espacial (I = 0,075; p = 0,142).
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Ao longo das últimas duas décadas, as intervenções de Arte-Terapia baseada nas actividades criativas de Pintura têm sido implementadas em várias instituições e com variados objectivos e fins terapêuticos, diferindo nas suas abordagens (antroposófica, arte-pedagógica e apenas baseada na arte) e nos seus métodos e materiais aplicados. Constatamos que o recurso a actividades criativas, como a Pintura, provocam efeitos positivos nos indivíduos levando-os a resolver problemas e a reduzir ansiedades, melhorando a sua qualidade de vida. Deste modo é objectivo deste estudo pré-experimental efectuar uma análise das propriedades psicofisiológicas da Pintura como actividade criativa remediativa das manifestações de ansiedade em adultos, sem diagnóstico de perturbação ansiosa. De encontro a esse objectivo, perante uma amostra constituída por 7 indivíduos com níveis de ansiedade elevados, desenvolvemos um processo terapêutico, em que foram realizadas dez sessões de pintura, com a periodicidade de duas vezes por semana tendo cada sessão a duração de 45 min. Antes e depois da intervenção pela pintura, foi administrado o inventário para Avaliação do Traço da Ansiedade (STAY-Y), e durante essas sessões foram registadas as manifestações psicofisiológicas da ansiedade, mais especificamente a actividade electrodérmica da pele (EDA) e a frequência cardíaca. (FC), sendo efectuada a sua análise. Na sequência da análise dos dados obtidos nos dois instrumentos aplicados, verificamos que em relação aos marcadores psicofisiológicos EDA e FC não obtivemos diferenças estatísticas significativas para comprovar que de facto existe uma relação entre estes marcadores e a redução da ansiedade. Em relação ao STAY-Y referente à ansiedade traço, aplicado antes e depois das sessões de pintura, verificamos uma diminuição do score, o que evidência a ocorrência de uma diminuição da ansiedade traço nos indivíduos alvo do nosso estudo. Significa isto que apesar de existir uma variância nos resultados obtidos através das duas abordagens, é provavel que a pintura, enquanto actividade terapêutica, reduza o traço de ansiedade em indivíduos normais, com níveis de ansiedade elevados e sem manifestações de ansiedade diagnosticada.
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OBJECTIVE: To develop a Charlson-like comorbidity index based on clinical conditions and weights of the original Charlson comorbidity index. METHODS: Clinical conditions and weights were adapted from the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision and applied to a single hospital admission diagnosis. The study included 3,733 patients over 18 years of age who were admitted to a public general hospital in the city of Rio de Janeiro, southeast Brazil, between Jan 2001 and Jan 2003. The index distribution was analyzed by gender, type of admission, blood transfusion, intensive care unit admission, age and length of hospital stay. Two logistic regression models were developed to predict in-hospital mortality including: a) the aforementioned variables and the risk-adjustment index (full model); and b) the risk-adjustment index and patient's age (reduced model). RESULTS: Of all patients analyzed, 22.3% had risk scores >1, and their mortality rate was 4.5% (66.0% of them had scores >1). Except for gender and type of admission, all variables were retained in the logistic regression. The models including the developed risk index had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.86 (full model), and 0.76 (reduced model). Each unit increase in the risk score was associated with nearly 50% increase in the odds of in-hospital death. CONCLUSIONS: The risk index developed was able to effectively discriminate the odds of in-hospital death which can be useful when limited information is available from hospital databases.
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Introdução: A atividade física (AF) parece ter um impacto positivo na saúde física e mental durante a gravidez, nascimento e puerpério, sendo que os programas de preparação para a parentalidade (PPP) poderão ser fundamentais para o seu suporte e estimulação. Objetivos: O objetivo do presente estudo foi avaliar a relação entre a preparação para a parentalidade no 3º trimestre de gravidez e os níveis de AF da gestante. Especificamente pretendeu-se verificar a relação entre as caraterísticas sociodemográficas das gestantes, os níveis de ansiedade e o PPP. Métodos: Efetuou-se um estudo transversal analítico onde se utilizaram duas amostras. Uma constituída por 42 gestantes que frequentaram o PPP no CHTS (GPP) e outra por 41 gestantes do HSJ que não frequentou (GNPP). A cada gestante foi pedido que preenchessem 3 questionários (caraterização sociodemográfica e saúde obstétrica, Questionário de Atividade Física para gestantes-PPAQ e Escala de ansiedade de Zung), administrados, individualmente, por um Fisioterapeuta. Resultados: Não se verificaram diferenças entre os grupos relativamente ao score da AF total (p=0,615), contudo, o GPP apresentou um número superior de gestantes que praticava desporto organizado durante a gravidez (p=0,016) comparativamente ao GNPP. Relativamente à intensidade da AF, verificou-se que o GPP apresentava uma prática maior de AF vigorosa (p=0,023). No que diz respeito ao tipo de AF, o GPP apresentou um número superior de gestantes a praticar AF desportiva (p<0,001) enquanto no GNPP se verificou uma maior AF ocupacional (p=0,002). Relativamente às caraterísticas sociodemográficas verificaram-se diferenças estatisticamente significativas entre os dois grupos relativamente à idade (p<0,001), paridade (p<0,001) e nível educacional (p<0,001). No que respeita aos níveis de ansiedade não se verificaram diferenças estatisticamente significativas entre os grupos (GPP vs GNPP p=0,916). Conclusão: No GPP um maior número de gestantes praticava atividade física desportiva e de intensidade vigorosa. Verificaram-se diferenças entre os dois grupos no que diz respeito à idade, paridade e nível educacional. Não se verificou associação entre o PPP e os níveis de ansiedade durante este período.
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Based on a retrospective case-control study we evaluated the score system adopted by the Ministry of Health of Brazil (Ministério da Saúde - MS), to diagnose pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) in childhood. This system is independent of bacteriological or histopathological data to define a very likely (> or = 40 points), possible (30-35 points) or unlikely (< or = 25 points) diagnosis of tuberculosis. Records of hospitalized non-infected HIV children at the Instituto de Puericultura e Pediatria Martagão Gesteira of Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (IPPMG-UFRJ), were reviewed. Patients were adjusted for age and divided in two different groups: 45 subjects in the case group (culture-positive) [mean of age = 10.64 mo; SD 9.66]; and 96 in the control group (culture-negative and clinic criteria that dismissed the disease) [mean of age = 11.79 mo.; SD 11.31]. Among the variables analyzed, the radiological status had the greater impact into the diagnosis (OR = 25.39), followed by exposure to adult with tuberculosis (OR = 10.67), tuberculin skin test >10mm (OR = 8.23). The best cut-off point to the diagnosis of PTB was 30 points, where the score system was more accurate, with sensitivity of 88.9% and specificity of 86.5%.