Risk based decision support system for effective implementation of projects

Conventional project management techniques are not always sufficient to ensure time, cost and quality achievement of large-scale construction projects due to complexity in planning, design and implementation processes. The main reasons for project non-achievement are changes in scope and design, changes in government policies and regulations, unforeseen inflation, underestimation and improper estimation. Projects that are exposed to such an uncertain environment can be effectively managed with the application of risk management throughout the project's life cycle. However, the effectiveness of risk management depends on the technique through which the effects of risk factors are analysed/quantified. This study proposes the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), a multiple attribute decision making technique, as a tool for risk analysis because it can handle subjective as well as objective factors in a decision model that are conflicting in nature. This provides a decision support system (DSS) to project management for making the right decision at the right time for ensuring project success in line with organisation policy, project objectives and a competitive business environment. The whole methodology is explained through a case application of a cross-country petroleum pipeline project in India and its effectiveness in project management is demonstrated.

Development of risk based treatability and engineering measures for reducing exposure to lead contaminated media in the Miami inner city, Florida

A major consequence of contamination at the local level’s population as it relates to environmental health and environmental engineering is childhood lead poisoning. Environmental contamination is one of the pressing environmental concerns facing the world today. Current approaches often focus on large contaminated industrial size sites that are designated by regulatory agencies for site remediation. Prior to this study, there were no known published studies conducted at the local and smaller scale, such as neighborhoods, where often much of the contamination is present to remediate. An environmental health study of local lead-poisoning data in Liberty City, Little Haiti and eastern Little Havana in Miami-Dade County, Florida accounted for a disproportionately high number of the county’s reported childhood lead poisoning cases. An engineering system was developed and designed for a comprehensive risk management methodology that is distinctively applicable to the geographical and environmental conditions of Miami-Dade County, Florida. Furthermore, a scientific approach for interpreting environmental health concerns, while involving detailed environmental engineering control measures and methods for site remediation in contained media was developed for implementation. Test samples were obtained from residents and sites in those specific communities in Miami-Dade County, Florida (Gasana and Chamorro 2002). Currently lead does not have an Oral Assessment, Inhalation Assessment, and Oral Slope Factor; variables that are required to run a quantitative risk assessment. However, various institutional controls from federal agencies’ standards and regulation for contaminated lead in media yield adequate maximum concentration limits (MCLs). For this study an MCL of .0015 (mg/L) was used. A risk management approach concerning contaminated media involving lead demonstrates that the linkage of environmental health and environmental engineering can yield a feasible solution.

RISK-BASED MULTIOBJECTIVE PATH PLANNING AND DESIGN OPTIMIZATION FOR UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES

Safe operation of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) over populated areas requires reducing the risk posed by a UAV if it crashed during its operation. We considered several types of UAV risk-based path planning problems and developed techniques for estimating the risk to third parties on the ground. The path planning problem requires making trade-offs between risk and flight time. Four optimization approaches for solving the problem were tested; a network-based approach that used a greedy algorithm to improve the original solution generated the best solutions with the least computational effort. Additionally, an approach for solving a combined design and path planning problems was developed and tested. This approach was extended to solve robust risk-based path planning problem in which uncertainty about wind conditions would affect the risk posed by a UAV.

Metodologia para otimização da manutenção

Trabalho Final de Mestrado para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia da Manutenção

Painelaitteiden kunnonvalvonta ja kemikaaliputkistojen rakennuttaminen

Painelaitteet ja kemikaaliputkistot ovat yleisiä varsinkin kemian alan yrityksissä. Omista-jan ja haltijan on tiedettävä niihin liittyvä lainsäädäntö, ja osattava soveltaa niitä käytän-töön. Työssä on selvitetty painelaitteisiin ja kemikaaliputkistoihin liittyvän lainsäädännön olen-naisin sisältö. Nykyisin painelaitteiden määräaikaistarkastuksia voidaan korvata painelait-teen seurannalla ja kunnonvalvontajärjestelmällä. Mitä se käytännössä tarkoittaa, ja onko Suomessa mahdollisuutta kuinka laajasti hyödynnetty? On tärkeää tuntea painelaitteiden ja kemikaaliputkistojen vikaantumismekanismit ja kunnonvalvontamenetelmät, jotta yritys voi luoda omaan toimintaympäristöön soveltuvan kunnonvalvontajärjestelmän tai paine-laitteiden seurannan. On pyrittävä siihen, että ongelmat havaitaan, ennen kuin vaurio syn-tyy. Kunnonvalvontajärjestelmän luomiseen ja ylläpitoon voidaan hyödyntää painelaittei-den riskiperusteiseen kunnossapitoon ja tarkastukseen tarkoitettua menettelyä. Työssä on tarkemmin käyty läpi menettelyn sisältö. Kustannustehokkuus ja tuotantolaitteiden käytettävyys ovat nousseet tärkeiksi osa-alueiksi kilpailukyvyn takaamiseksi. Painelaitteiden tarkastuksista ja muista painelaitteisiin ja ke-mikaaliputkistoihin liittyvistä ennakkohuolloista syntyvät kustannukset ovat merkittäviä. Näihin kohdistuvia kustannussäästöjä voidaan saavuttaa monin keinoin huonontamatta kuitenkaan turvallisuutta. Työssä on selvitetty kohdeyrityksen painelaitteet ja kemikaali-putkistot. Lisäksi on käyty läpi nykyinen tarkastusjaksotus, keskeisimmät viat ja tarkastuk-siin liittyvää kustannushistoriaa. Lopputuloksena on syntynyt esiselvitys ja kemikaaliputkistojen hankkimista helpottavaa tietoa. Esiselvityksen avulla kohdeyritys voi yhdessä kunnossapitoyrityksen kanssa laatia strategian painelaitteiden kunnossapidolle ja tarkastuksille. Merkittäviä kustannussäästöjä on saavutettavissa ehdotetuilla jatkotoimenpiteillä, vaikka päädyttäisiin edelleen painelait-teiden tarkastuksien osalta noudattamaan olemassa olevaa käytäntöä.

Kriittisyysanalyysin kehittäminen kemianalan tuotantolaitokseen

Tutkimuksen tarkoituksena oli löytää menetelmä, jolla löydetään tuotannon kannalta kriittiset laitteet. Vertailu suoritettiin suomalaisen PSK 6800-standardin ja saksalaisen DIN standardin mukainen BASF:n laatiman Risk-based Maintenance concept:n välillä. Tutkimuksessa kehitettiin tehtaan tarpeisiin soveltuva kriittisyysanalyysi. Tarkoituksena oli kehittää tehtaalle ominaisilla tunnusluvuilla soveltuva analysointimenetelmä. Tehtaan kunnossapidolta kerätyn pohjatiedon avulla laadittiin kriittisyysanalyysi. PSK-6800 standardin pohjalle kehitetty kriittisyysanalyysi testattiin ja vertailtiin BASF:n mallin mukaisesti kehitetyn kriittisyysanalyysin tuloksiin. Analysointi suoritetaan tuotantoprosessin alkupään laitteistolle. Kahden kriittisyysanalyysin tulokset ovat yhtenevät. Tuotantolaitos voi valita kahdesta kriittisyysanalyysistä tarpeisiinsa sopivan analysointi menetelmän.

Analisi dei guasti di un termovalorizzatore

L’obiettivo del presente lavoro di tesi è stato quello di effettuare, tramite l’applicazione di una metodologia RBM – Risk Based Maintenance, l’analisi dei guasti avvenuti nel biennio 2012-2013 nel termovalorizzatore di rifiuti solidi urbani di Modena gestito dalla società Herambiente.

Establishment of optimal physical assets inspection frequency based on risk principles

Risk Based Inspection (RBI) is a risk methodology used as the basis for prioritizing and managing the efforts for an inspection program allowing the allocation of resources to provide a higher level of coverage on physical assets with higher risk. The main goal of RBI is to increase equipment availability while improving or maintaining the accepted level of risk. This paper presents the concept of risk, risk analysis and RBI methodology and shows an approach to determine the optimal inspection frequency for physical assets based on the potential risk and mainly on the quantification of the probability of failure. It makes use of some assumptions in a structured decision making process. The proposed methodology allows an optimization of inspection intervals deciding when the first inspection must be performed as well as the subsequent intervals of inspection. A demonstrative example is also presented to illustrate the application of the proposed methodology.

Maintenance of fire sprinkler systems based on the dynamic assessment of its condition

Safety is one of the major concerns of process safety engineers in most industrial facilities all over the world. To this scope, some events play an important role once the effect of their consequences can be assumed as totally undesirable. One of these events refers to the occurrence of a fire. Such event can result in catastrophic consequences for life, equipment, and continuity of activities or even leading to environmental damage. A fire protection equipment with low reliability means that this equipment are often unavailable and thus the risk of a fire increases. Maintenance of fire protection equipment is very important because this kind of systems is mostly in a dormant mode, which gives uncertainty about their operability when demanded in a real situation of fire. This article outlines the importance of tests, inspection, and maintenance operations in the context of a fire sprinkler system and proposes a methodology based on international standards and supported by test/inspection reports to correct the frequency of these actions according to the level of degradation of the components and regarding safety purposes. © 2015 American Institute of Chemical Engineers.

Community center-based resistance training for the maintenance of glycemic control in adults with type 2 diabetes

OBJECTIVE - The purpose of this study was to determine whether beneficial effects on glycemic control of an initial laboratory-supervised resistance training program could be sustained through a community center-based maintenance program. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS - We studied 57 overweight (BMI >= 27 kg/m(2)) sedentary men and women aged 40-80 years with established (> 6 months) type 2 diabetes. initially, all participants attended a twice-weekly 2-month supervised resistance training program conducted in the exercise laboratory. Thereafter, participants undertook a resistance training maintenance program (2 times/week) for 12 months and were randomly assigned to carry this out either in a community fitness and recreation center (center) or in their domestic environment (home). Glycemic control (HbA(1c) [A1C]) was assessed at 0, 2, and 14 months. RESULTS - Pooling data from the two groups for the 2-month supervised resistance training program showed that compared with baseline, mean A1C fell by -0.4% [95% CI -0.6 to -0.2]. Within-group comparisons showed that A I C remained lower than baseline values at 14 months in the center group (- 0.4% [-0.7 to -0.03]) but not in the home group (-0.1% [-0.4 to 0.3]). However, no between-group differences were observed at each time point. Changes in AIC during the maintenance period were positively associated with exercise adherence in the center group only. CONCLUSIONS - Center-based but not home-based resistance training was associated with the maintenance of modestly improved glycemic control from baseline, which was proportional to program adherence. Our findings emphasize the need to develop and test behavioral methods to promote healthy lifestyles including increased physical activity in adults with type 2 diabetes.