470 resultados para Judgement


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Please consult the paper edition of this thesis to read. It is available on the 5th Floor of the Library at Call Number: Z 9999 P65 F47 2003

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Cada vez se utilizan mas las pruebas psicométricas, como parte del procedimiento de selección laboral. Casi todas las baterías de pruebas psicométricas incluyen un subtest de razonamiento verbal o una serie de preguntas. Este manual está pensado para quienes se enfrentan a una prueba de razonamiento verbal en el nivel intermedio y que carecen de cualquier práctica o confianza en sus destrezas. Ayuda a preparar estas pruebas con setecientas preguntas prácticas, una prueba de larga duración de simulación de práctica real, una explicación detallada de las respuestas y la interpretación de los resultados.

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Resumen tomado de la publicaci??n

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In this paper, we investigate the role of judgement in the formation of forecasts in commercial property markets. The investigation is based on interview surveys with the majority of UK forecast producers, who are using a range of inputs and data sets to form models to predict an array of variables for a range of locations. The findings suggest that forecasts need to be acceptable to their users (and purchasers) and consequently forecasters generally have incentives to avoid presenting contentious or conspicuous forecasts. Where extreme forecasts are generated by a model, forecasters often engage in ‘self‐censorship’ or are ‘censored’ following in‐house consultation. It is concluded that the forecasting process is significantly more complex than merely carrying out econometric modelling, forecasts are mediated and contested within organisations and that impacts can vary considerably across different organizational contexts.