Correlation between symptoms of the irritable bowel syndrome and the response to the food extract skin prick test

The relationship between the irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) and food intolerance is not clear. We studied the cutaneous response to food antigens in 43 volunteers who were students and employees of the Faculty of Medicine of Universidade Federal Fluminense. Subjects were divided into 3 groups after evaluation for Roma II criteria for functional disease of the gastrointestinal tract: group I, 14 volunteers with IBS; group II, 15 volunteers with functional dyspepsia; group III, 14 volunteers without habitual gastrointestinal symptoms. The subjects were submitted to the skin prick test with 9 food antigen extracts, for a total of 387 skin tests (9 per volunteer). Of the 126 tests applied to group I, 24 (19.4%) were positive (a 3-mm wider papule than the negative control) and of the 135 tests applied to group II, 3 (2.3%) were positive. Of the 126 tests applied to group III, 6 (4%) were positive. The number of positive responses obtained in group I (IBS) differed significantly from the other 2 groups (P < 0.01). None of the volunteers with IBS reported intolerance to any isolated food. The higher reactivity to food antigens in group I compared to groups II and III suggests that intestinal permeability may be increased in patients with IBS.

Les mécanismes endogènes de modulation de la douleur et leur dysfonction dans le syndrome de l'intestin irritable

La douleur est une expérience subjective multidimensionnelle accompagnée de réponses physiologiques. Ces dernières sont régulées par des processus cérébraux qui jouent un rôle important dans la modulation spinale et cérébrale de la douleur. Cependant, les mécanismes de cette régulation sont encore mal définis et il est essentiel de bien les comprendre pour mieux traiter la douleur. Les quatre études de cette thèse avaient donc comme objectif de préciser les mécanismes endogènes de modulation de la douleur par la contreirritation (inhibition de la douleur par une autre douleur) et d’investiguer la dysfonction de ces mécanismes chez des femmes souffrant du syndrome de l’intestin irritable (Sii). Dans un premier temps, un modèle expérimental a été développé pour mesurer l’activité cérébrale en imagerie par résonance magnétique fonctionnelle concurremment à l’enregistrement du réflexe nociceptif de flexion (RIII : index de nociception spinale) et des réponses de conductance électrodermale (SCR : index d’activation sympathique) évoqués par des stimulations électriques douloureuses. La première étude indique que les différences individuelles d’activité cérébrale évoquée par les stimulations électriques dans les cortex orbitofrontal (OFC) et cingulaire sont associées aux différences individuelles de sensibilité à la douleur, de réactivité motrice (RIII) et de réactivité autonomique (SCR) chez des sujets sains. La deuxième étude montre que l’analgésie par contreirritation produite chez des sujets sains est accompagnée de l’inhibition de l’amygdale par OFC et d’une modulation du réflexe RIII par la substance grise périaqueducale (PAG) et le cortex somesthésique primaire (SI). Dans les troisième et quatrième études, il est montré que la contreirritation ne produit pas d’inhibition significative de la douleur et du réflexe RIII chez les patientes Sii en comparaison aux contrôles. De plus, les résultats indiquent que la sévérité des symptômes psychologiques est associée au déficit de modulation de la douleur et à une hypersensibilité diffuse chez les patientes Sii. Dans l’ensemble, cette thèse précise le rôle de certaines structures cérébrales dans les multiples composantes de la douleur et dans l’analgésie par contreirritation et montre que les patientes Sii présentent une dysfonction des mécanismes spinaux et cérébraux impliqués dans la perception et la modulation de la douleur.

Síndrome de intestino irritable y trastornos de ansiedad y depresión. Bogotá – Colombia

Introducción: El Síndrome de intestino irritable (SII) es de las patologías gastrointestinales más frecuentes a nivel mundial y de difícil manejo y control, con una prevalencia actual del 14% de acuerdo con los criterios ROMA II en Colombia, con tendencia al aumento. Su origen es multifactorial y no se ha logrado establecer un origen común, se ha encontrado asociación entre el SII y la presencia de ansiedad y depresión. Metodología: Estudio de corte transversal con componente exploratorio de la asociación de ansiedad y depresión con SII; muestra consecutiva de 315 pacientes que se calculó mediante stat calc epi info tomando una prevalencia del 14%, con un número de pacientes esperados de 1200 al mes. Se seleccionaron los pacientes que asisten a consulta de gastroenterología de la IPS CAFAM entre el 8 y el 29 de noviembre de 2010, se les aplicó la encuesta para medir factores sociodemográficos, establecer diagnóstico de SII mediante criterios Roma III y escala ZUNG para depresión y ansiedad. El análisis estadístico se realizó utilizando los programas SPSS versión 18.0 y EPI INFO versión 3.5.1 Resultados: La prevalencia del SII en los pacientes de la consulta de gastroenterología fue del 23% (n 63), con IC 95% (18%-28%). Se hallo una asociación significativa entre el género femenino (p:0.035),el grupo de edad de 31 a 55 (p: 0.043), y una fuerte asociación entre depresión severa y el síndrome de intestino irritable (p: 0.08). No se encontró asociación entre el SII y la ansiedad. Discusión: Existen factores de riesgo asociados a la presencia SII, como el género, la edad y la depresión severa documentados en la literatura (22). Se observó que la depresión severa está asociada significativamente con el SII, no así la ansiedad en ninguna de sus presentaciones; es necesario realizar estudios posteriores, que contribuyan a verificar la existencia y fuerza de dicha asociación y así aportar mayor evidencia que permita incentivar y fomentar el manejo multidisciplinario de la depresión en los pacientes con SII. Palabras clave: Síndrome de Intestino Irritable, Ansiedad, Desordenes de ansiedad, Depresión.

Propuesta de Instrumentos de Promoción Dd Inversión Directa en el Extranjero Enfocados en Encadenamientos Productivos

La Inversión Directa en el Exterior representa el proceso más grande hacia la internacionalización de las empresas después de las exportaciones. Tal proceso significa una mejora en la competitividad de las empresas, traducida en mayor penetración en el mercado internacional, acceso a mejores tecnologías, recursos naturales e investigación. Este proyecto de investigación pretende formular una propuesta de instrumentos o servicios de promoción de inversión directa en el exterior, enfocados en encadenamientos productivos. En un primer lugar, se establecerá el marco teórico bajo el cual se desarrollara el proyecto, mediante la recolección de información relevante en teorías de internacionalización y en la descripción de encadenamientos productivos y clúster. En segundo lugar, se presentara el entorno macroeconómico y la evolución de los flujos de inversión directa en el extranjero en Colombia y Latinoamérica. Y finalmente, se hará un estudio comparativo de los servicios prestados por las principales agencias de promoción de inversión, que servirá de base para la posterior formulación de la propuesta de instrumentos de promoción de inversión.

A multicriteria lifespan energy efficiency approach to intelligent building assessment

This paper presents a multicriteria decision-making model for lifespan energy efficiency assessment of intelligent buildings (IBs). The decision-making model called IBAssessor is developed using an analytic network process (ANP) method and a set of lifespan performance indicators for IBs selected by a new quantitative approach called energy-time consumption index (ETI). In order to improve the quality of decision-making, the authors of this paper make use of previous research achievements including a lifespan sustainable business model, the Asian IB Index, and a number of relevant publications. Practitioners can use the IBAssessor ANP model at different stages of an IB lifespan for either engineering or business oriented assessments. Finally, this paper presents an experimental case study to demonstrate how to use IBAssessor ANP model to solve real-world design tasks.

Application of computer-aided facilities management (CAFM) for intelligent buildings operation

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the concepts of intelligent buildings (IBs), and the opportunities offered by the application of computer-aided facilities management (CAFM) systems. Design/methodology/approach – In this paper definitions of IBs are investigated, particularly definitions that are embracing open standards for effective operational change, using a questionnaire survey. The survey further investigated the extension of CAFM to IBs concepts and the opportunities that such integrated systems will provide to facilities management (FM) professionals. Findings – The results showed variation in the understanding of the concept of IBs and the application of CAFM. The survey showed that 46 per cent of respondents use a CAFM system with a majority agreeing on the potential of CAFM in delivery of effective facilities. Research limitations/implications – The questionnaire survey results are limited to the views of the respondents within the context of FM in the UK. Practical implications – Following on the many definitions of an IB does not necessarily lead to technologies of equipment that conform to an open standard. This open standard and documentation of systems produced by vendors is the key to integrating CAFM with other building management systems (BMS) and further harnessing the application of CAFM for IBs. Originality/value – The paper gives experience-based suggestions for both demand and supply sides of the service procurement to gain the feasible benefits and avoid the currently hindering obstacles, as the paper provides insight to the current and future tools for the mobile aspects of FM. The findings are relevant for service providers and operators as well.

Clinical trial: the effects of a trans-galactooligosaccharide prebiotic on faecal microbiota and symptoms in irritable bowel syndrome

Gut microflora-mucosal interactions may be involved in the pathogenesis of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS). To investigate the efficacy of a novel prebiotic trans-galactooligosaccharide in changing the colonic microflora and improve the symptoms in IBS sufferers. In all, 44 patients with Rome II positive IBS completed a 12-week single centre parallel crossover controlled clinical trial. Patients were randomized to receive either 3.5 g/d prebiotic, 7 g/d prebiotic or 7 g/d placebo. IBS symptoms were monitored weekly and scored according to a 7-point Likert scale. Changes in faecal microflora, stool frequency and form (Bristol stool scale) subjective global assessment (SGA), anxiety and depression and QOL scores were also monitored. The prebiotic significantly enhanced faecal bifidobacteria (3.5 g/d P < 0.005; 7 g/d P < 0.001). Placebo was without effect on the clinical parameters monitored, while the prebiotic at 3.5 g/d significantly changed stool consistency (P < 0.05), improved flatulence (P < 0.05) bloating (P < 0.05), composite score of symptoms (P < 0.05) and SGA (P < 0.05). The prebiotic at 7 g/d significantly improved SGA (P < 0.05) and anxiety scores (P < 0.05). The galactooligosaccharide acted as a prebiotic in specifically stimulating gut bifidobacteria in IBS patients and is effective in alleviating symptoms. These findings suggest that the prebiotic has potential as a therapeutic agent in IBS.

Artichoke leaf extract reduces symptoms of irritable bowel syndrome and improves quality of life in otherwise healthy volunteers suffering from concomitant dyspepsia: a subset analysis

Objectives: Does artichoke leaf extract (ALE) ameliorate symptoms of Irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) in otherwise healthy volunteers suffering concomitant dyspepsia? Methods: A subset analysis of a previous dose-ranging, open, postal study, in adults suffering dyspepsia. Two hundred and eight (208) adults were identified post hoc as suffering with IBS. IBS incidence, self-reported usual bowel pattern, and the Nepean Dyspepsia Index (NDI) were compared before and after a 2-month intervention period. Results: There was a significant fall in IBS incidence of 26.4% (p<0.001) after treatment. A significant shift in self-reported usual bowel pattern away from "alternating constipation/diarrhea" toward "normal" (p<0.001) was observed. NDI total symptom score significantly decreased by 41% (p<0.001) after treatment. Similarly, there was a significant 20% improvement in the NDI total quality-of-life (QOL) score in the subset after treatment. Conclusion: This report supports previous findings that ALE ameliorates symptoms of IBS, plus improves health-related QOL.

Turmeric extract may improve irritable bowel syndrome symptomology in otherwise healthy adults: a pilot study

Objectives: To assess the effects of turmeric (Curcuma longa) extract on irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) symptomology in otherwise healthy adults. Design: Partially blinded, randomized, two-dose, pilot study. Subjects: Five hundred (500) volunteers were screened for IBS using the Rome II criteria. Two hundred and seven (207) suitable volunteers were randomized. Interventions: One or two tablets of a standardized turmeric extract taken daily for 8 weeks. Outcomes measures: IBS prevalence, symptom-related quality of life (IBSQOL) and self-reported effectiveness. Results: IBS prevalence decreased significantly in both groups between screening and baseline (41% and 57%), with a further significant drop of 53% and 60% between baseline and after treatment, in the one- and two-tablet groups respectively (p < 0.001). A post-study analysis revealed abdominal pain/discomfort score reduced significantly by 22% and 25% in the one- and two-tablet group respectively, the difference tending toward significance (p = 0.071). There were significant improvements in all bar one of the IBSQOL scales of between 5% and 36% in both groups, approximately two thirds of all subjects reported an improvement in symptoms after treatment, and there was a favorable shift in self-reported bowel pattern. There were no significant differences between groups. Conclusions: Turmeric may help reduce IBS symptomology. Placebo controlled trials are now warranted to confirm these findings.

Role for protease activity in visceral pain in irritable bowel syndrome

Mediators involved in the generation of symptoms in patients with irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) are poorly understood. Here we show that colonic biopsy samples from IBS patients release increased levels of proteolytic activity (arginine cleavage) compared to asymptomatic controls. This was dependent on the activation of NF-kappaB. In addition, increased proteolytic activity was measured in vivo, in colonic washes from IBS compared with control patients. Trypsin and tryptase expression and release were increased in colonic biopsies from IBS patients compared with control subjects. Biopsies from IBS patients (but not controls) released mediators that sensitized murine sensory neurons in culture. Sensitization was prevented by a serine protease inhibitor and was absent in neurons lacking functional protease-activated receptor-2 (PAR2). Supernatants from colonic biopsies of IBS patients, but not controls, also caused somatic and visceral hyperalgesia and allodynia in mice, when administered into the colon. These pronociceptive effects were inhibited by serine protease inhibitors and a PAR2 antagonist and were absent in PAR2-deficient mice. Our study establishes that proteases are released in IBS and that they can directly stimulate sensory neurons and generate hypersensitivity symptoms through the activation of PAR2.

Activated mast cells in proximity to colonic nerves correlate with abdominal pain in irritable bowel syndrome

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The mechanisms underlying abdominal pain perception in irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) are poorly understood. Intestinal mast cell infiltration may perturb nerve function leading to symptom perception. We assessed colonic mast cell infiltration, mediator release, and spatial interactions with mucosal innervation and their correlation with abdominal pain in IBS patients. METHODS: IBS patients were diagnosed according to Rome II criteria and abdominal pain quantified according to a validated questionnaire. Colonic mucosal mast cells were identified immunohistochemically and quantified with a computer-assisted counting method. Mast cell tryptase and histamine release were analyzed immunoenzymatically. Intestinal nerve to mast cell distance was assessed with electron microscopy. RESULTS: Thirty-four out of 44 IBS patients (77%) showed an increased area of mucosa occupied by mast cells as compared with controls (9.2% +/- 2.5% vs. 3.3 +/- 0.8%, respectively; P < 0.001). There was a 150% increase in the number of degranulating mast cells (4.76 +/- 3.18/field vs. 2.42 +/- 2.26/field, respectively; P = 0.026). Mucosal content of tryptase was increased in IBS and mast cells spontaneously released more tryptase (3.22 +/- 3.48 pmol/min/mg vs. 0.87 +/- 0.65 pmol/min/mg, respectively; P = 0.015) and histamine (339.7 +/- 59.0 ng/g vs. 169.3 +/- 130.6 ng/g, respectively; P = 0.015). Mast cells located within 5 microm of nerve fibers were 7.14 +/- 3.87/field vs. 2.27 +/- 1.63/field in IBS vs. controls (P < 0.001). Only mast cells in close proximity to nerves were significantly correlated with severity and frequency of abdominal pain/discomfort (P < 0.001 and P = 0.003, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Colonic mast cell infiltration and mediator release in proximity to mucosal innervation may contribute to abdominal pain perception in IBS patients.

Human microbiota in health and disease

Each human body plays host to a microbial population which is both numerically vast (at around 1014 microbial cells) and phenomenally diverse (over 1,000 species). The majority of the microbial species in the gut have not been cultured but the application of culture-independent approaches for high throughput diversity and functionality analysis has allowed characterisation of the diverse microbial phylotypes present in health and disease. Studies in monozygotic twins, showing that these retain highly similar microbiota decades after birth and initial colonisation, are strongly indicative that diversity of the microbiome is host-specific and affected by the genotype. Microbial diversity in the human body is reflected in both richness and evenness. Diversity increases steeply from birth reaching its highest point in early adulthood, before declining in older age. However, in healthy subjects there appears to be a core of microbial phylotypes which remains relatively stable over time. Studies of individuals from diverse geopraphies suggest that clusters of intestinal bacterial groups tend to occur together, constituting ‘enterotypes’. So variation in intestinal microbiota is stratified rather than continuous and there may be a limited number of host/microbial states which respond differently to environmental influences. Exploration of enterotypes and functional groups may provide biomarkers for disease and insights into the potential for new treatments based on manipulation of the microbiome. In health, the microbiota interact with host defences and exist in harmonious homeostasis which can then be disturbed by invading organisms or when ‘carpet bombing’ by antibiotics occurs. In a portion of individuals with infections, the disease will resolve itself without the need for antibiotics and microbial homeostasis with the host’s defences is restored. The administration of probiotics (live microorganisms which when administered in adequate amounts confer a health benefit on the host) represents an artificial way to enhance or stimulate these natural processes. The study of innate mechanisms of antimicrobial defence on the skin, including the production of numerous antimicrobial peptides (AMPs), has shown an important role for skin commensal organisms. These organisms may produce AMPs, and also amplify the innate immune responses to pathogens by activating signalling pathways and processing host produced AMPs. Research continues into how to enhance and manipulate the role of commensal organisms on the skin. The challenges of skin infection (including diseases caused by multiply resistant organisms) and infestations remain considerable. The potential to re-colonise the skin to replace or reduce pathogens, and exploring the relationship between microbiota elsewhere and skin diseases are among a growing list of research targets. Lactobacillus species are among the best known ‘beneficial’ bacterial members of the human microbiota. Of the approximately 120 species known, about 15 are known to occur in the human vagina. These organisms have multiple properties, including the production of lactic acid, hydrogen peroxide and bacteriocins, which render the vagina inhospitable to potential pathogens. Depletion of the of the normal Lactobacillus population and overgrowth of vaginal anaerobes, accompanied by the loss of normal vaginal acidity can lead to bacterial vaginosis – the commonest cause of abnormal vaginal discharge in women. Some vaginal anaerobes are associated with the formation of vaginal biofilms which serve to act as a reservoir of organisms which persists after standard antibiotic therapy of bacterial vaginosis and may help to account for the characteristically high relapse rate in the condition. Administration of Lactobacillus species both vaginally and orally have shown beneficial effects in the treatment of bacterial vaginosis and such treatments have an excellent overall safety record. Candida albicans is a frequent coloniser of human skin and mucosal membranes, and is a normal part of the microbiota in the mouth, gut and vagina. Nevertheless Candida albicans is the most common fungal pathogen worldwide and is a leading cause of serious and often fatal nosocomial infections. What turns this organism from a commensal to a pathogen is a combination of increasing virulence in the organism and predisposing host factors that compromise immunity. There has been considerable research into the use of probiotic Lactobacillus spp. in vaginal candidiasis. Studies in reconstituted human epithelium and monolayer cell cultures have shown that L. rhamnosus GG can protect mucosa from damage caused by Candida albicans, and enhance the immune responses of mucosal surfaces. Such findings offer the promise that the use of such probiotic bacteria could provide new options for antifungal therapy. Studies of changes of the human intestinal microbiota in health and disease are complicated by its size and diversity. The Alimentary Pharmabiotic Centre in Cork (Republic of Ireland) has the mission to ‘mine microbes for mankind’ and its work illustrates the potential benefits of understanding the gut microbiota. Work undertaken at the centre includes: mapping changes in the microbiota with age; studies of the interaction between the microbiota and the gut; potential interactions between the gut microbiota and the central nervous system; the potential for probiotics to act as anti-infectives including through the production of bacteriocins; and the characterisation of interactions between gut microbiota and bile acids which have important roles as signalling molecules and in immunity. The important disease entity where the role of the gut microbiota appears to be central is the Irritable Bowel Syndrome (IBS). IBS patients show evidence of immune activation, impaired gut barrier function and abnormal gut microbiota. Studies with probiotics have shown that these organisms can exert anti-inflammatory effects in inflammatory bowel disease and may strengthen the gut barrier in IBS of the diarrhoea-predominant type. Formal randomised trials of probiotics in IBS show mixed results with limited benefit for some but not all. Studies confirm that administered probiotics can survive and temporarily colonise the gut. They can also stimulate the numbers of other lactic acid bacilli in the gut, and reduce the numbers of pathogens. However consuming live organisms is not the only way to influence gut microbiota. Dietary prebiotics are selectively fermented ingredients that can change the composition and/or activity of the gastrointestinal microbiota in beneficial ways. Dietary components that reach the colon, and are available to influence the microbiota include poorly digestible carbohydrates, such as non-starch polysaccharides, resistant starch, non-digestible oligosaccharides (NDOs) and polyphenols. Mixtures of probiotic and prebiotic ingredients that can selectively stimulate growth or activity of health promoting bacteria have been termed ‘synbiotics’. All of these approaches can influence gut microbial ecology, mainly to increase bifidobacteria and lactobacilli, but metagenomic approaches may reveal wider effects. Characterising how these changes produce physiological benefits may enable broader use of these tactics in health and disease in the future. The current status of probiotic products commercially available worldwide is less than ideal. Prevalent problems include misidentification of ingredient organisms and poor viability of probiotic microorganisms leading to inadequate shelf life. On occasions these problems mean that some commercially available products cannot be considered to meet the definition of a probiotic product. Given the potential benefits of manipulating the human microbiota for beneficial effects, there is a clear need for improved regulation of probiotics. The potential importance of the human microbiota cannot be overstated. ‘We feed our microbes, they talk to us and we benefit. We just have to understand and then exploit this.’ (Willem de Vos).

Effect of breadmaking process on In Vitro gut microbiota parameters in irritable bowel syndrome

A variety of foods have been implicated in symptoms of patients with Irritable Bowel Syndrome (IBS) but wheat products are most frequently cited by patients as a trigger. Our aim was to investigate the effects of breads, which were fermented for different lengths of time, on the colonic microbiota using in vitro batch culture experiments. A set of in vitro anaerobic culture systems were run over a period of 24 h using faeces from 3 different IBS donors (Rome Criteria–mainly constipated) and 3 healthy donors. Changes in gut microbiota during a time course were identified by fluorescence in situ hybridisation (FISH), whilst the small -molecular weight metabolomic profile was determined by NMR analysis. Gas production was separately investigated in non pH-controlled, 36 h batch culture experiments. Numbers of bifidobacteria were higher in healthy subjects compared to IBS donors. In addition, the healthy donors showed a significant increase in bifidobacteria (P<0.005) after 8 h of fermentation of a bread produced using a sourdough process (type C) compared to breads produced with commercial yeasted dough (type B) and no time fermentation (Chorleywood Breadmaking process) (type A). A significant decrease of δ-Proteobacteria and most Gemmatimonadetes species was observed after 24 h fermentation of type C bread in both IBS and healthy donors. In general, IBS donors showed higher rates of gas production compared to healthy donors. Rates of gas production for type A and conventional long fermentation (type B) breads were almost identical in IBS and healthy donors. Sourdough bread produced significantly lower cumulative gas after 15 h fermentation as compared to type A and B breads in IBS donors but not in the healthy controls. In conclusion, breads fermented by the traditional long fermentation and sourdough are less likely to lead to IBS symptoms compared to bread made using the Chorleywood Breadmaking Process.

Omvårdnadsåtgärder som stärker egenvården hos patienter med Irritable Bowel Syndrome

Syftet med denna systematiska litteraturstudie var att belysa hur sjuksköterskans omvårdnad kan stödja egenvårdsförmågan hos patienter med IBS. Den viktigaste omvårdnadsåtgärden var att tidigt i samband med diagnostiseringen av IBS, ge information och kunskap om sjukdomen, dess prognos samt behandling, vilket visades förbättra upplevd livskvalitet samt ge symtom-lindring. IBS skolor startade av sjuksköterskor förbättrade patienternas hälsobeteende samt minskade symtomen. Genom introduktion av guidebok innehållande råd om kost, motion, stresshantering samt symtomkontroll upplevde patienterna en minskning av symtom, vilket även ledde till en minskning av antalet besök inom sjukvården. När sjuksköterskan använde olika frågeformulär i kontakten med patienter med IBS kunde patienternas problem identifieras och strategier för egenvården planeras samt individuella handlingsplaner skapas. Sjuksköterskans kunskap och förståelse om patientens egen sjukdomsupplevelse samt copingstrategi ledde till att patienten tog en mer aktiv roll i sjukdomshantering. Patienters behandling borde inriktas på livsstilsförändringar, som till exempel psykosocial arbetsmiljö, kost, fysisk aktivitet, samt stresshantering. Genom att patienten förde dagbok över kostintag och sedan gjorde jämförelser med ökade eller minskade symtom kunde faktorer identifieras i matvanor samt kostintag som inverkade på symtomen. Dorotea Orems omvårdnadsmodell har legat till grund för denna studie där tron på människans egna resurser framhålls.

Visão prospectiva da demanda de aços planos no Brasil

Ao longo da história da humanidade, vários esforços foram feitos na tentativa de prever o futuro. Isto ocorreu como uma forma de antever possíveis situações e também de estabelecer mudanças de objetivos devido às alternativas apresentadas. Inúmeros questionamentos surgiram diante deste processo e inegavelmente estavam centrados no quesito “incerteza” dos eventos. E é exatamente neste contexto que surge a técnica prospectiva, que tem o propósito de analisar as incertezas e refletir sobre as suas alternativas de ação no presente e trata de aprimorar o entendimento de como o futuro pode acontecer. As opções de futuro se materializam através da sua descrição ordenada e consistente, ou seja, através de um cenário que é a delimitação de uma situação futura e da seqüência dos acontecimentos que permitem passar da situação de origem a essa situação futura. Assim, o objetivo desse trabalho é realizar um estudo prospectivo e longo prazo sobre a demanda de aços planos no Brasil, tendo em vista a importância da indústria siderúrgica brasileira e às incertezas a ela relacionadas e utiliza a análise prospectiva na elaboração de cenários passíveis de ocorrência. Portanto, trata, inicialmente, de aspectos conceituais da visão prospectiva e sua evolução histórica, abordando e focalizando a técnica proposta por Michel Godet, porém utilizando o método PROSPEX de Eduardo Marques para a elaboração de cenários da demanda de aços planos no Brasil. Diante disso, foram identificados dois cenários qualitativos contrastantes e posteriormente submetidos a um modelo macroeconômico de projeção, o Projetar_e, que, devidamente calibrado, indicou quantitativamente o nível de diversas variáveis econômicas e o desempenho futuro do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB). Como resultado, concluímos que há uma forte relação de causalidade entre o PIB e o consumo de aços planos e identificamos uma equação de regressão linear que permite a projeção da referida demanda. As conclusões ainda demonstram que os resultados dos cenários quantitativos identificados neste trabalho apresentam diferenças significativas em relação às estimativas efetuadas pelo Instituto Brasileiro de Siderurgia (IBS), cabendo, portanto uma reflexão sobre a plausibilidade da utilização de cenários de caráter projetivos para estudos de longo vii prazo, baseados em dados históricos que simplesmente extrapolam para o futuro a imagem do passado. Finalmente, recomendamos pesquisas adicionais para a formalização da integração de métodos qualitativos com métodos quantitativos de elaboração de cenários e a utilização de estudos prospectivos nas empresas participantes da cadeia de valor que utilizam o aço plano como matéria-prima essencial nos seus processos produtivos.