Estimating parliamentary composition through electoral polls

Any electoral system has an electoral formula that converts voteproportions into parliamentary seats. Pre-electoral polls usually focuson estimating vote proportions and then applying the electoral formulato give a forecast of the parliament's composition. We here describe theproblems arising from this approach: there is always a bias in theforecast. We study the origin of the bias and some methods to evaluateand to reduce it. We propose some rules to compute the sample sizerequired for a given forecast accuracy. We show by Monte Carlo simulationthe performance of the proposed methods using data from Spanish electionsin last years. We also propose graphical methods to visualize how electoralformulae and parliamentary forecasts work (or fail).

Globalization and culture shaping the gender gap: A comparative analysis of urban Latin America and East Asia (1970 - 2000)

In this paper we present: 1. The available data on comparative gender inequality at themacroeconomic level and 2. Gender inequality measures at the microeconomic and case studylevel. We see that market openness has a significant effect on the narrowing of the human capitalgender gap. Globalization and market openness stand as factors that improve both the humancapital endowments of women and their economic position. But we also see that the effects ofculture and religious beliefs are very different. While Catholicism has a statistically significantinfluence on the improvement of the human capital gender gap, Muslim and Buddhist religiousbeliefs have the opposite effect and increase human capital gender differences.In the second global era, some Catholic Latin American countries benefited from market opennessin terms of the human capital and income gender gap, whereas we find the opposite impact inBuddhist and Muslim countries like China and South Korea where women s economic positionhas worsened in terms of human capital and wage inequality.

Attitudes towards morphine use among Swiss nurses and physicians

Background: There is little information regarding risk perception and attitudes on morphine use in Switzerland. Objectives: We aimed at assessing such attitudes in a sample of health professionals in the French-speaking part of Switzerland. Study design: Cross-sectional study. Setting: five non-university hospitals of the French-speaking canton of Valais, Switzerland. Methods: 431 nurses and 40 physicians (age range: 20-63). Risk perception and attitudes towards morphine use were assessed using a validated questionnaire. Results: Over half of participants showed a negative attitude regarding most adverse events related to morphine, while less than one third showed a similar attitude regarding other statements. On bivariate analyses, participants working in geriatrics showed a more negative attitude towards use of morphine than participants working in medicine and surgery. Non-Swiss participants also showed a more negative attitude than Swiss regarding use of morphine. Conversely, no differences were found between genders, profession (nurses or physicians), years of experience (<=14 and >14) and religion (catholic vs. others/no religion). These findings were further confirmed by multivariate adjustment. Limitations: possible selection bias due to responders only. Results limited to French speaking participants. Conclusion: Attitudes regarding morphine uses are mainly driven by its potential adverse effects and vary according to specialty and nationality. Educational measures directed at health professionals working in geriatrics or coming from abroad might reduce the high morphinophobia levels observed in these groups.

En el corazón de las tinieblas... del Putumayo, 1890-1932. Fronteras, caucho, mano de obra indígena y misiones católicas en la nacionalización de la Amazonía

Objetivo del artículo es reflexionar sobre el llamado «escándalo del Putumayo» estallado en la primera década del siglo XX, en la región objeto de litigio fronterizo entre Perú y Colombia. La denuncia en la prensa internacional de la explotación de los indígenas amazónicos hecha por la empresa «Peruvian Amazon Company», de la que el principal accionista fue el cauchero Julio C. Arana, presentó la región como un nuevo «Congo peruano» y provocó la intervención de Gran Bretaña, Perú, el Vaticano, Colombia y el propio Arana. A partir de repositorios documentales de la cancillería peruana, de los archivos de la Santa Sede, de la folletística y bibliografía publicada por las partes involucradas se plantea una reflexión sobre el escándalo, incidiendo en los argumentos sostenidos por las partes, en particular la peruanización de la región, defendida por Arana y el gobierno peruano.

Fermentative 2-carbon metabolism produces carcinogenic levels of acetaldehyde in Candida albicans.

Acetaldehyde is a carcinogenic product of alcohol fermentation and metabolism in microbes associated with cancers of the upper digestive tract. In yeast acetaldehyde is a by-product of the pyruvate bypass that converts pyruvate into acetyl-Coenzyme A (CoA) during fermentation. The aims of our study were: (i) to determine the levels of acetaldehyde produced by Candida albicans in the presence of glucose in low oxygen tension in vitro; (ii) to analyse the expression levels of genes involved in the pyruvate-bypass and acetaldehyde production; and (iii) to analyse whether any correlations exist between acetaldehyde levels, alcohol dehydrogenase enzyme activity or expression of the genes involved in the pyruvate-bypass. Candida albicans strains were isolated from patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma (n = 5), autoimmune polyendocrinopathy-candidiasis-ectodermal dystrophy (APECED) patients with chronic oral candidosis (n = 5), and control patients (n = 5). The acetaldehyde and ethanol production by these isolates grown under low oxygen tension in the presence of glucose was determined, and the expression of alcohol dehydrogenase (ADH1 and ADH2), pyruvate decarboxylase (PDC11), aldehyde dehydrogenase (ALD6) and acetyl-CoA synthetase (ACS1 and ACS2) and Adh enzyme activity were analysed. The C. albicans isolates produced high levels of acetaldehyde from glucose under low oxygen tension. The acetaldehyde levels did not correlate with the expression of ADH1, ADH2 or PDC11 but correlated with the expression of down-stream genes ALD6 and ACS1. Significant differences in the gene expressions were measured between strains isolated from different patient groups. Under low oxygen tension ALD6 and ACS1, instead of ADH1 or ADH2, appear the most reliable indicators of candidal acetaldehyde production from glucose.

A common ancestor DNA motif for invertebrate and vertebrate hormone response elements.

The ecdysone-responsive DNA sequence of the Drosophila hsp27 gene promoter contains four direct and inverted repeats reminiscent of those that compose the vertebrate palindromic estrogen response element (ERE) and the thyroid hormone/retinoic acid response element (TRE/RRE). Interestingly, a 3 bp substitution in the wild-type Hsp27 ecdysone response element (EcdRE) increases both its similarity with the vertebrate ERE and TRE/RRE and its capacity to confer ecdysone responsiveness to a heterologous promoter. Remarkably, increasing the spacing between the inverted repeats of this strong EcdRE by two nucleotides converts it into an ERE. Inversely, decreasing the spacing between the two inverted repeats of the vertebrate consensus palindromic ERE, from three to one nucleotide, converts it into a functional EcdRE. Thus, the only difference between an invertebrate EcdRE and a vertebrate palindromic ERE or TRE/RRE is in the spacing between the conserved inverted repeated motifs forming these palindromic HREs. The finding that the sequence motif 5'-GGTCA-3' present in the vertebrate ERE and TRE/RRE is also a functionally important characteristic of an invertebrate HRE, suggests that a common ancestor regulatory DNA sequence gave rise to all HREs known so far. We discuss the possibility that this progenitor motif is the GGTCA sequence.

SOMATIC MUTATIONS IN THE KREBS CYCLE ENZYME ISOCITRATE DEHYDROGENASE 1 (IDH1) CAUSE METAPHYSEAL ENCHONDROMATOSIS WITH D-2-HYDROXYGLUTARIC ACIDURIA

Metaphyseal chondromatosis with hydroxyglutaric aciduria (MC-HGA) is a generalized skeletal dysplasia, accompanied by urinary excretion of D-2- hydroxyglutarate (HGA), and variable cerebral involvement. By wholeexome sequencing 2 unrelated patients with MC-HGA, we have found mutations in isocitrate dehydrogenase 1 (IDH1) at codon 132, as apparent somatic mosaicism. IDH1 is a key enzyme of the Krebs cycle, which converts isocitrate into alpha-ketoglutarate (a-KG). Mutations at IDH1 Arg132 residue have originally been identified in different tumour types (isolated gliomas, leukemias, and chondrosarcomas). These mutations trans-specify the enzyme activity resulting in HGA accumulation and a-KG depletion. This induces activation of hypoxia-inducible factor 1-alpha (HIF-1a), an important regulator of chondrocyte proliferation at the growth plate. Differently from Arg132 somatic mutations found in isolated tumours, themutation in our patientsmust have occurred very early in embryogenesis to cause a generalized dysplasia with involvement of all long bones metaphyses and mutation detectability in blood. Identical mutations have subsequently been identified in chondromas excised from patients with multiple chondromatosis (Ollier disease). Tissue distribution of themutationmay explain variable cerebral involvement and the susceptibility to develop tumours in other organs. The postulated pathophysiology ofMC-HGA points out the link between Krebs cycle, hypoxia sensing and bone growth.

Artificial muscle: the human chimera is the future.

Severe heart failure and cerebral stroke are broadly associated with the impairment of muscular function that conventional treatments struggle to restore. New technologies enable the construction of "smart" materials that could be of great help in treating diseases where the main problem is muscle weakness. These materials "behave" similarly to biological systems, because the material directly converts energy, for example electrical energy into movement. The extension and contraction occur silently like in natural muscles. The real challenge is to transfer this amazing technology into devices that restore or replace the mechanical function of failing muscle. Cardiac assist devices based on artificial muscle technology could envelope a weak heart and temporarily improve its systolic function, or, if placed on top of the atrium, restore the atrial kick in chronic atrial fibrillation. Artificial sphincters could be used to treat urinary incontinence after prostatectomy or faecal incontinence associated with stomas. Artificial muscles can restore the ability of patients with facial paralysis due to stroke or nerve injury to blink. Smart materials could be used to construct an artificial oesophagus including peristaltic movement and lower oesophageal sphincter function to replace the diseased oesophagus thereby avoiding the need for laparotomy to mobilise stomach or intestine. In conclusion, in the near future, smart devices will integrate with the human body to fill functional gaps due to organ failure, and so create a human chimera.

Periodic forcing of scroll rings and control of Winfree turbulence in excitable media

By simulations of the Barkley model, action of uniform periodic nonresonant forcing on scroll rings and wave turbulence in three-dimensional excitable media is investigated. Sufficiently strong rapid forcing converts expanding scroll rings into the collapsing ones and suppresses the Winfree turbulence caused by the negative tension of wave filaments. Slow strong forcing has an opposite effect, leading to expansion of scroll rings and induction of the turbulence. These effects are explained in the framework of the phenomenological kinematic theory of scroll waves.

Tous égaux devant Dieu ? Réflexions sur les logiques d'éligibilité des miraculés

Le pentecôtisme a fait du miracle le coeur de sa théologie et l'élément central de ses activités d'évangélisation. Le catholicisme, par contre, a toujours voulu contrôler l'ensemble des déclarations de manifestations divines. Apparitions et guérisons miraculeuses ont donc systématiquement, et de plus en plus, été soumises à de lentes et rigoureuses procédures d'authentification. Les pentecôtistes voient Dieu comme un être extérieur qui surgit sur la terre pour chasser le mal qui l'envahit. Tous les convertis ont donc droit à la libération et personne ne doit accepter sagement la souffrance. Or, les pèlerins catholiques que nous avons étudiés ne partagent pas ces convictions pentecôtistes. Dieu agit de l'intérieur, non pas en les délivrant, mais en les soutenant dans leurs épreuves quotidiennes. Rare et peu recherchée, la guérison physique cède la place à la guérison spirituelle, accessible à tous. Il nous semble que ces deux types de représentations placent les fidèles dans des dispositions d'esprit très divergentes suscitant, dans un cas ou dans l'autre, des espoirs adaptés à la capacité du groupe à produire des miracles. Pentecostalism placed miracles at the centre of its theology as a key element of its evangelization activities. Catholicism, on the other hand, has always tried to control all declarations of divine demonstrations. Miraculous appearances and recoveries have been more and more systematically subjected to slow and rigorous procedures of verification. The Pentecostals see God as an external force which manifests itself on earth to drive out the evil which invades it. All believers have the right to be free from evil, and nobody should have to accept pain meekly. But the Catholic pilgrims we studied do not share these Pentecostal convictions. God acts from inside, not by delivering them but by supporting them in their daily tests. Physical recovery is rare and not very sought after so it takes second place to spiritual recovery which is accessible to everyone. It seems to us that these two types of representation place believers in very divergent frames of mind giving rise, in one group or the other, to hopes that correspond to the group's capacity to produce miracles.

Iowa Power Fund Board Project Report Update, July 29, 2009

Amana Farms is using an anaerobic digestion, which is a two-stage digester that converts manure and other organic wastes into three valuable by-products: 1) Biogas – to fuel an engine/generator set to create electricity; 2) Biosolids - used as a livestock bedding material or as a soil amendment; 3) Liquid stream - will be applied as a low-odor fertilizer to growing crops. (see Business Plan appendix H) The methane biogas will be collected from the two stages of the anaerobic digestion vessel and used for fuel in the combined heat and power engine/generator sets. The engine/generator sets are natural gasfueled reciprocating engines modified to burn biogas. The electricity produced by the engine/generator sets will be used to offset on-farm power consumption and the excess power will be sold directly to Amana Society Service Company as a source of green power. The waste heat, in the form of hot water, will be collected from both the engine jacket liquid cooling system and from the engine exhaust (air) system. Approximately 30 to 60% of this waste heat will be used to heat the digester. The remaining waste heat will be used to heat other farm buildings and may provide heat for future use for drying corn or biosolids. The digester effluent will be pumped from the effluent pit at the end of the anaerobic digestion vessel to a manure solids separator. The mechanical manure separator will separate the effluent digested waste stream into solid and liquid fractions. The solids will be dewatered to approximately a 35% solid material. Some of the separated solids will be used by the farm for a livestock bedding replacement. The remaining separated solids may be sold to other farms for livestock bedding purposes or sold to after-markets, such as nurseries and composters for soil amendment material. The liquid from the manure separator, now with the majority of the large solids removed, will be pumped into the farm’s storage lagoon. A significant advantage of the effluent from the anaerobic digestion treatment process is that the viscosity of the effluent is such that the liquid effluent can now be pumped through an irrigation nozzle for field spreading.

Visualization Resources for Iowa State University and the Iowa DOT: An Automated Design Model to Simulator Converter, November 2012

This project developed an automatic conversion software tool that takes input a from an Iowa Department of Transportation (DOT) MicroStation three-dimensional (3D) design file and converts it into a form that can be used by the University of Iowa’s National Advanced Driving Simulator (NADS) MiniSim. Once imported into the simulator, the new roadway has the identical geometric design features as in the Iowa DOT design file. The base roadway appears as a wireframe in the simulator software. Through additional software tools, textures and shading can be applied to the roadway surface and surrounding terrain to produce the visual appearance of an actual road. This tool enables Iowa DOT engineers to work with the universities to create drivable versions of prospective roadway designs. By driving the designs in the simulator, problems can be identified early in the design process. The simulated drives can also be used for public outreach and human factors driving research.

Looking for factors involved in the light-dependent degradation of phytochrome A

SUMMARY : Phytochromes constitute a family of red/far-red photoreceptors regulating all the major transitions during the life cycle of plants. In Arabidopsis, five members: phyA,_ B, C, D and E, were identified. Phytochromes are synthesized in their inactive red-light absorbing form called Pr. Upon light absorbance they convert to the far-red light absorbing Pfr form. The Pfr form is the active conformer which converts back to the Pr form either rapidly upon far-red perception or in a slower process called dark reversion. ph~A represents an exception, in that it does not significantly dark-revert and two specific processes have been developed by the plants to decrease the amount of biologically active phyA. The first one is alight-dependent repression of the PHYA gene expression and the second one is alight-dependent degradation of the phyA protein. The latter is the most efficient process to rapidly decrease the level of active phyA. The ability of plants to regulate the amount of active phyA is critical in a far-red rich environment, a situation observed under a canopy. In these conditions, phyA is essential to induce the germination and the deetiolation of the young seedling. Later in the development the ability of phyA to repress growth counteracts the shade avoidance response. Therefore decreasing the amount of phyA allows stem growth and to compete with neighbours for the light. In this thesis, I investigate the light-dependent degradation of phyA. I developed a reverse genetic approach based on the systematic analysis of the light-dependent accumulation of phyA in the different cullin mutant cull, cul3a; cul3b and cul4. This analysis allowed me to show that CUL1 and CUL3A-based E3 ligase complexes are involved in the regulation of phyA degradation. Surprisingly, our results also demonstrate that cu14 is not affected in the degradation of phyA whereas constitutive Photomorphogenic 1 (COP1) a subunit of one CUL4based E3 complex was reported to be involved. Further investigations showed that the phenotype of cop1 is conditional, the mutant being defective in phyA degradation only in the presence of metabolisable sugars. I also showed that phyA is degraded by a proteasome-dependent mechanism both in the cytoplasm and in the nucleus using mutants and transgenic lines affected in the localization of phyA. Interestingly, I observed that phyA degradation was faster in the nucleus than in the cytosol and that rapid degradation of Pr also occurred in the nucleus suggesting that cytosolic accumulation of phyA in the dark is a way to regulate its proteolysis. Finally, we identify a short region similar to a PEST sequence required for phyA stability and we developed a unbiased genetic screen to identify new components involved in the regulation of the light-dependent degradation of phyA. The significance of these results are discussed. RESUME : Les phytochromes (phy) constituent une famille de photorécepteurs absorbant la lumière rouge et rouge lointaine et régulant toutes les étapes de transitions majeures dans la vie des plantes. Chez Arabidopsis, cinq membres : phyA, B, C, D et E ont été identifiés. Les phytochromes sont synthétisés sous une forme inactive appelée Pr absorbant la lumière rouge. Après perception de lumière ils passent sous une forme active Pfr absorbant dans le rouge lointain. La forme Pfr peut retourner sous la forme Pr après absorption de lumiëre rouge lointaine ou dans un processus lent appelé «réversion à l'obscurité ». phyA représente une exception à cette règle car il ne retoune pas significativement sous sa forme inactive dans le noir. Deux processus spécifiques ont donc été développés pour diminuer le taux de phyA actif. Le premier consiste en la répression du gène PHYA en condition de lumière et le second en une dégradation induite par la lumière de la protéine phyA. Ce dernier processus est le plus efficace pour diminuer rapidement le niveau de phyA. La capacité des plantes à réguler le taux de phyA actifs est critique dans un environnement riche en lumière rouge lointaine, une situation observée sous une canopée. Sous une canopée, phyA est essentiel pour induire la germination et la dé-étiolation de la jeune pousse. Plus tard dans le développement la capacité de phyA de réprimer la croissance freine la «réponse à l'évitement de l'ombre ». Par conséquent diminuer le taux de phyA permet la croissance de la tige et donc de rentrer en compétition pour la lumière avec les plantes avoisinantes. Dans cette thèse, j'ai étudié la dégradation de phyA. J'ai développé une approche génétique inverse basée sur l'analyse systématique de l'accumulation de phyA en condition de lumière dans les différents mutants cullin, cul1, cul3a, cul3b et cul4. Ces analyses nous ont permis d'identifier qu'un complexe E3 ligase CUL1 et un complexe E3 ligase CUL3A sont impliqués dans la régulation de la dégradation de phyA. Mes résultats démontrent aussi que le mutant cul4 n'est pas affecté dans la dégradation de phyA alors que Çonstitutive Photomorphogenic 1 (COPI) une sous unité d'un complexe CUL4 à été identifier dans la régulation de cette dégradation. Des analyses supplémentaires suggèrent que l'effet de la mutation cop1 est dépendante dë la présence de sucres métabolisables. J'ai aussi montré que phyA est dégradé dans le noyau et dans le cytoplasme par un mécanisme dépendant du protéasome et que la dégradation dans le.noyau est non seulement aspécifique de la forme Pr ou Pfr mais aussi est plus rapide que dans le cytoplasme. Ceci suggère que l'accumulation de phyA dans le cytoplasme permet son accumulation à des niveaux élevés à l'obscurité. Enfin j'ai identifié une région similaire à un motif PEST requise pour la stabilité de phyA et j'ai aussi développé un criblage génétique non biaisé pour identifier de nouveaux composants impliqués dans la régulation de la dégradation de phyA. L'importance de ces résultats est discutée dans le dernier chapitre de cette thèse.

L'expulsió dels moriscos

Els moriscos constituirien probablement un grup més dins de la societat hispànica i fins i tot de la islàmica si no n'haguessin estat expulsats com a col·lectiu. Aquest article tracta de l'origen d'aquesta població, que cal considerar hispànica i que va ser desterrada, és a dir, foragitada de la seva pròpia terra. A principis del segle XVII unes tres-centes mil persones foren expulsades dels regnes hispànics, però les especials característiques dels moriscos catalans van fer possible que una bona part se salvés d'aquesta dràstica mesura.

The estrogen-responsive element as an inducible enhancer: DNA sequence requirements and conversion to a glucocorticoid-responsive element.

The estrogen-responsive element (ERE) present in the 5'-flanking region of the Xenopus laevis vitellogenin (vit) gene B1 has been characterized by transient expression analysis of chimeric vit-tk-CAT (chloramphenicol acetyltransferase) gene constructs transfected into the human estrogen-responsive MCF-7 cell line. The vit B1 ERE behaves like an inducible enhancer, since it is able to confer estrogen inducibility to the heterologous HSV thymidine kinase (tk) promoter in a relative position- and orientation-independent manner. In this assay, the minimal B1 ERE is 33 bp long and consists of two 13 bp imperfect palindromic elements both of which are required for the enhancer activity. A third imperfect palindromic element is present further upstream within the 5'-flanking region of the gene but is unable to confer hormone responsiveness by itself. Similarly, neither element forming the B1 ERE can alone confer estrogen inducibility to the tk promoter. However, in combinations of two, all three imperfect palindromes can act cooperatively to form a functional ERE. In contrast a single 13 bp perfect palindromic element, GGTCACTGTGACC, such as the one found upstream of the vit gene A2, is itself sufficient to act as a fully active ERE. Single point mutations within this element abolish estrogen inducibility, while a defined combination of two mutations converts this ERE into a glucocorticoid-responsive element.