Real-Time Simulation of Real-Time Pricing Demand Response to Meet Wind Variations

Recent changes of paradigm in power systems opened the opportunity to the active participation of new players. The small and medium players gain new opportunities while participating in demand response programs. This paper explores the optimal resources scheduling in two distinct levels. First, the network operator facing large wind power variations makes use of real time pricing to induce consumers to meet wind power variations. Then, at the consumer level, each load is managed according to the consumer preferences. The two-level resources schedule has been implemented in a real-time simulation platform, which uses hardware for consumer’ loads control. The illustrative example includes a situation of large lack of wind power and focuses on a consumer with 18 loads.

Randomized, double-blind trial comparing indinavir alone, zidovudine alone and indinavir plus zidovudine in antiretroviral therapy-naive hiv-infected individuals with CD4 cell counts between 50 and 250/mm3

Treatment with indinavir has been shown to result in marked decreases in viral load and increases in CD4 cell counts in HIV-infected individuals. A randomized double-blind study to evaluate the efficacy of indinavir alone (800 mg q8h), zidovidine alone (200 mg q8h) or the combination was performed to evaluate progression to AIDS. 996 antiretroviral therapy-naive patients with CD4 cell counts of 50-250/mm3 were allocated to treatment. During the trial the protocol was amended to add lamivudine to the zidovudine-containing arms. The primary endpoint was time to development of an AIDS-defining illness or death. The study was terminated after a protocol-defined interim analysis demonstrated highly significant reductions in progression to a clinical event in the indinavir-containing arms, compared to the zidovudine arm (p<0.0001). Over a median follow-up of 52 weeks (up to 99 weeks), percent reductions in hazards for the indinavir plus zidovudine and indinavir groups compared to the zidovudine group were 70% and 61%, respectively. Significant reductions in HIV RNA and increases in CD4 cell counts were also seen in the indinavir-containing groups compared to the zidovudine group. Improvement in both CD4 cell count and HIV RNA were associated with reduced risk of disease progression. All three regimens were generally well tolerated.

Otimização Energética na Produção de Biodiesel

Enquadrado num contexto cada vez mais marcado pela necessidade imperiosa de adoção e desenvolvimento de práticas ambientais e energeticamente sustentáveis, este trabalho visa contribuir para a caracterização e otimização do consumo de energia na produção de biodiesel. O biodiesel pode ser encarado como uma boa resposta aos graves problemas que os combustíveis fósseis estão a provocar nas sociedades modernas, pois é uma fonte de energia biodegradável, não-tóxica e sintetizada a partir de várias matérias-primas. Porém, o elevado custo de produção, como consequência do elevado preço das matérias-primas, constitui o maior problema para a sua implementação e comercialização a grande escala. A produção de biodiesel é, em sua quase totalidade, conduzida por via de reação de transesterificação, usando óleo vegetal e álcool como matérias-primas. O objetivo geral deste trabalho é otimizar energeticamente um processo de produção de biodiesel, via catálise homogênea alcalina (BCHA). Para alcançar esse objetivo, um fluxograma típico de produção foi construído e analisado, tanto do ponto de vista energético como econômico. Posteriormente oportunidades de otimização do processo foram identificadas, no sentido de reduzir o consumo de utilidades, impacto ambiental e aumentar a rentabilidade econômica. A construção do processo, a caracterização da alimentação, os critérios de operacionalidade, a obtenção de resultados e demais fatores foram efetuados com auxílio de um software de simulação Aspen Plus versão 20.0 criado pela Aspen Technology products. Os resultados do trabalho revelaram que o processo BCHA produz uma corrente com 99,9 % em biodiesel, obedecendo às normas internacionais em vigor. Na parte energética, o processo BCHA base necessitou de 21.405,1 kW em utilidades quentes e 14.886,3 kW em utilidades frias. A integração energética do processo BCHA, segundo a metodologia pinch, permitiu uma redução das necessidades quentes para 10.752,3 kW (redução de 50 %) e frias para 4.233,5 kW (redução de 72 %). A temperatura no ponto de estrangulamento (PE) foi de 157,7 ºC nas correntes quentes e 147,7 ºC nas correntes frias. Em termos econômicos, o custo total é reduzido em 35% com a integração energética proposta. Essa diminuição, deve-se sobretudo à redução do custo operacional, onde as necessidades de vapor de muita alta pressão (VMAP), vapor de alta pressão (VAP) e água de resfriamento (AR) apresentaram quebras de 2 %, 92 % e 71 %, respectivamente. Como conclusão final, salienta-se que a integração do processo BCHA estudado é energética e economicamente viável.

New and low cost plastic membrane electrode with low detection limits for sulfadimethoxine determination in aquaculture waters

Sulfadimethoxine (SDM) is one of the drugs, often used in the aquaculture sector to prevent the spread of disease in freshwater fish aquaculture. Its spread through the soil and surface water can contribute to an increase in bacterial resistance. It is therefore important to control this product in the environment. This work proposes a simple and low-cost potentiometric device to monitor the levels of SDM in aquaculture waters, thus avoiding its unnecessary release throughout the environment. The device combines a micropipette tip with a PVC membrane selective to SDM, prepared from an appropriate cocktail, and an inner reference solution. The membrane includes 1% of a porphyrin derivative acting as ionophore and a small amount of a lipophilic cationic additive (corresponding to 0.2% in molar ratio). The composition of the inner solution was optimized with regard to the kind and/or concentration of primary ion, chelating agent and/or a specific interfering charged species, in different concentration ranges. Electrodes constructed with inner reference solutions of 1 × 10−8 mol/L SDM and 1 × 10−4 mol/L chromate ion showed the best analytical features. Near-Nernstian response was obtained with slopes of −54.1 mV/decade, an extraordinary detection limit of 7.5 ng/mL (2.4 × 10−8 mol/L) when compared with other electrodes of the same type. The reproducibility, stability and response time are good and even better than those obtained by liquid contact ISEs. Recovery values of 98.9% were obtained from the analysis of aquaculture water samples.

A framework for using real data with distributed low cost sensors

Currently, due to the widespread use of computers and the internet, students are trading libraries for the World Wide Web and laboratories with simulation programs. In most courses, simulators are made available to students and can be used to proof theoretical results or to test a developing hardware/product. Although this is an interesting solution: low cost, easy and fast way to perform some courses work, it has indeed major disadvantages. As everything is currently being done with/in a computer, the students are loosing the “feel” of the real values of the magnitudes. For instance in engineering studies, and mainly in the first years, students need to learn electronics, algorithmic, mathematics and physics. All of these areas can use numerical analysis software, simulation software or spreadsheets and in the majority of the cases data used is either simulated or random numbers, but real data could be used instead. For example, if a course uses numerical analysis software and needs a dataset, the students can learn to manipulate arrays. Also, when using the spreadsheets to build graphics, instead of using a random table, students could use a real dataset based, for instance, in the room temperature and its variation across the day. In this work we present a framework which uses a simple interface allowing it to be used by different courses where the computers are the teaching/learning process in order to give a more realistic feeling to students by using real data. A framework is proposed based on a set of low cost sensors for different physical magnitudes, e.g. temperature, light, wind speed, which are connected to a central server, that the students have access with an Ethernet protocol or are connected directly to the student computer/laptop. These sensors use the communication ports available such as: serial ports, parallel ports, Ethernet or Universal Serial Bus (USB). Since a central server is used, the students are encouraged to use sensor values results in their different courses and consequently in different types of software such as: numerical analysis tools, spreadsheets or simply inside any programming language when a dataset is needed. In order to do this, small pieces of hardware were developed containing at least one sensor using different types of computer communication. As long as the sensors are attached in a server connected to the internet, these tools can also be shared between different schools. This allows sensors that aren't available in a determined school to be used by getting the values from other places that are sharing them. Another remark is that students in the more advanced years and (theoretically) more know how, can use the courses that have some affinities with electronic development to build new sensor pieces and expand the framework further. The final solution provided is very interesting, low cost, simple to develop, allowing flexibility of resources by using the same materials in several courses bringing real world data into the students computer works.

Desempenho energético de edifícios residenciais no contexto da regulamentação térmica com recurso ao Energy Plus e TRNSYS

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Civil

A low-cost method to test cytotoxic effects of Crotalus vegrandis (Serpentes: Viperidae) venom on kidney cell cultures

The pathogenesis of the renal lesion upon envenomation by snakebite has been related to myolysis, hemolysis, hypotension and/or direct venom nephrotoxicity caused by the venom. Both primary and continuous cell culture systems provide an in vitro alternative for quantitative evaluation of the toxicity of snake venoms. Crude Crotalus vegrandis venom was fractionated by molecular exclusion chromatography. The toxicity of C. vegrandis crude venom, hemorrhagic, and neurotoxic fractions were evaluated on mouse primary renal cells and a continuous cell line of Vero cells maintained in vitro. Cells were isolated from murine renal cortex and were grown in 96 well plates with Dulbecco's Modified Essential Medium (DMEM) and challenged with crude and venom fractions. The murine renal cortex cells exhibited epithelial morphology and the majority showed smooth muscle actin determined by immune-staining. The cytotoxicity was evaluated by the tetrazolium colorimetric method. Cell viability was less for crude venom, followed by the hemorrhagic and neurotoxic fractions with a CT50 of 4.93, 18.41 and 50.22 µg/mL, respectively. The Vero cell cultures seemed to be more sensitive with a CT50 of 2.9 and 1.4 µg/mL for crude venom and the hemorrhagic peak, respectively. The results of this study show the potential of using cell culture system to evaluate venom toxicity.

High-Accuracy Low-Cost RTK-GPS for an Unmanned Surface Vehicle

This work presents a low cost RTK-GPS system for localization of unmanned surface vehicles. The system is based on the use of standard low cost L1 band receivers and in the RTKlib open source software library. Mission scenarios with multiple robotic vehicles are addressed as the ones envisioned in the ICARUS search and rescue case where the possibility of having a moving RTK base on a large USV and multiple smaller vehicles acting as rovers in a local communication network allows for local relative localization with high quality. The approach is validated in operational conditions with results presented for moving base scenario. The system was implemented in the SWIFT USV with the ROAZ autonomous surface vehicle acting as a moving base. This setup allows for the performing of a missions in a wider range of environments and applications such as precise 3D environment modeling in contained areas and multiple robot operations.

Cost allocation model for distribution networks considering high penetration of distributed energy resources

The high penetration of distributed energy resources (DER) in distribution networks and the competitive environment of electricity markets impose the use of new approaches in several domains. The network cost allocation, traditionally used in transmission networks, should be adapted and used in the distribution networks considering the specifications of the connected resources. The main goal is to develop a fairer methodology trying to distribute the distribution network use costs to all players which are using the network in each period. In this paper, a model considering different type of costs (fixed, losses, and congestion costs) is proposed comprising the use of a large set of DER, namely distributed generation (DG), demand response (DR) of direct load control type, energy storage systems (ESS), and electric vehicles with capability of discharging energy to the network, which is known as vehicle-to-grid (V2G). The proposed model includes three distinct phases of operation. The first phase of the model consists in an economic dispatch based on an AC optimal power flow (AC-OPF); in the second phase Kirschen's and Bialek's tracing algorithms are used and compared to evaluate the impact of each resource in the network. Finally, the MW-mile method is used in the third phase of the proposed model. A distribution network of 33 buses with large penetration of DER is used to illustrate the application of the proposed model.

Municipal solid waste management system: decision support through systems analysis

Thesis submitted to the Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Environmental Engineering

Projeto de uma unidade de produção de biodiesel num reator ultrassónico pela via supercrítica

A concretização deste estágio na INCBIO teve como principal objetivo o projeto e dimensionamento de uma unidade de produção de biodiesel por transesterificação nãocatalítica num reator ultrassónico com condições supercríticas de pressão e temperatura. Com vista à concretização do trabalho, iniciou-se a realização do estudo do estado da arte relativo à produção de biodiesel, com particular enfoque na produção de biodiesel por via catalítica e por via supercrítica e na produção de biodiesel com uso de tecnologia ultrassónica. Conclui-se que nenhum estudo contempla a combinação simultânea da produção de biodiesel por via supercrítica através da tecnologia ultrassónica. Este estudo do estado da arte permitiu ainda definir as condições de temperatura, pressão e rácio mássico (250 °C, 95 bar e 1:1 respetivamente) a considerar no projeto da unidade de produção de biodiesel deste trabalho. Com base no estudo do estado da arte efetuado e com base nas características da matéria procedeu-se à definição do processo de produção de biodiesel. Para a definição do processo começou-se por elaborar o diagrama de blocos do processo (BFD) e o diagrama de fluxo do processo (PFD). Com base nos diagramas e na composição da matéria-prima, procedeu-se à quantificação dos reagentes (metanol) com base na estequiometria das reações envolvidas e ao cálculo do balanço de massa. O balanço de massa foi calculado com base na estequiometria das reações envolvidas e foi também calculado através do software de simulação ASPEN PLUS. Após o cálculo do balanço de massa elaborou-se o diagrama de tubulação e instrumentação (P&ID), que contém todos os equipamentos, válvulas, instrumentação e tubagens existentes na unidade. Após a definição do processo e cálculo do balanço de massa procedeu-se ao dimensionamento mecânico e cálculo hidráulico dos tanques, tubagem, bombas, permutador de calor, reator ultrassónico, válvulas de controlo e instrumentação de acordo com as normas ASME. Nesta fase do trabalho foram consultados diversos fornecedores possíveis para a compra de todo o material necessário. O dimensionamento mecânico e cálculo hidráulico efetuados permitiram, entre outras informações relevantes, obter as dimensões necessárias à construção do layout e à elaboração do desenho 3D. Com os resultados obtidos e desenhos elaborados, é possível avançar com a construção da unidade, pelo que pode-se inferir que o objetivo de projetar uma unidade de produção de biodiesel num reator ultrassónico com condições supercríticas foi alcançado. Por fim, efetuou-se uma análise económica detalhada que possibilita a comparação de uma unidade de produção de biodiesel por via catalítica (unidade de produção da INCBIO) com a unidade de produção de biodiesel num reator ultrassónico com condições supercríticas (unidade projetada neste trabalho). Por questões de confidencialidade, não foram revelados maior parte dos resultados da análise económica efetuada. No entanto, conclui-se que os custos de construção da unidade de produção de biodiesel num reator ultrassónico com condições supercríticas são mais baixos cerca de 35 a 40%, quando comparados com os custos de construção da unidade de produção de biodiesel por via catalítica, evidenciando assim que a combinação em simultâneo das condições supercríticas com a tecnologia ultrassónica possibilita a diminuição dos custos de produção.

Aircraft Engines Maintenance Costs and Reliability: An Appraisal of the Decision Process to Remove an Engine for a Shop Visit Aiming at Minimum Maintenance Unit Cost

Dissertação apresentada como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Estatística e Gestão de Informação.

A Pilot Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Treatments in Newly Diagnosed High-Grade Gliomas: The Example of 5-Aminolevulinic Acid Compared With White-Light Surgery

BACKGROUND: High-grade gliomas are aggressive, incurable tumors characterized by extensive diffuse invasion of the normal brain parenchyma. Novel therapies at best prolong survival; their costs are formidable and benefit is marginal. Economic restrictions thus require knowledge of the cost-effectiveness of treatments. Here, we show the cost-effectiveness of enhanced resections in malignant glioma surgery using a well-characterized tool for intraoperative tumor visualization, 5-aminolevulinic acid (5-ALA). OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of 5-ALA fluorescence-guided neurosurgery compared with white-light surgery in adult patients with newly diagnosed high-grade glioma, adopting the perspective of the Portuguese National Health Service. METHODS: We used a Markov model (cohort simulation). Transition probabilities were estimated with the use of data from 1 randomized clinical trial and 1 noninterventional prospective study. Utility values and resource use were obtained from published literature and expert opinion. Unit costs were taken from official Portuguese reimbursement lists (2012 values). The health outcomes considered were quality-adjusted life-years, lifeyears, and progression-free life-years. Extensive 1-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios are below €10 000 in all evaluated outcomes, being around €9100 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, €6700 per life-year gained, and €8800 per progression-free life-year gained. The probability of 5-ALA fluorescence-guided surgery cost-effectiveness at a threshold of €20000 is 96.0% for quality-adjusted life-year, 99.6% for life-year, and 98.8% for progression-free life-year. CONCLUSION: 5-ALA fluorescence-guided surgery appears to be cost-effective in newly diagnosed high-grade gliomas compared with white-light surgery. This example demonstrates cost-effectiveness analyses for malignant glioma surgery to be feasible on the basis of existing data.

Cost-Effectiveness of Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants for Atrial Fibrillation in Portugal

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES:Recently, three novel non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants received approval for reimbursement in Portugal for patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF). It is therefore important to evaluate the relative cost-effectiveness of these new oral anticoagulants in Portuguese AF patients. METHODS: A Markov model was used to analyze disease progression over a lifetime horizon. Relative efficacy data for stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), bleeding (intracranial, other major bleeding and clinically relevant non-major bleeding), myocardial infarction and treatment discontinuation were obtained by pairwise indirect comparisons between apixaban, dabigatran and rivaroxaban using warfarin as a common comparator. Data on resource use were obtained from the database of diagnosis-related groups and an expert panel. Model outputs included life years gained, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), direct healthcare costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). RESULTS:Apixaban provided the most life years gained and QALYs. The ICERs of apixaban compared to warfarin and dabigatran were €5529/QALY and €9163/QALY, respectively. Apixaban was dominant over rivaroxaban (greater health gains and lower costs). The results were robust over a wide range of inputs in sensitivity analyses. Apixaban had a 70% probability of being cost-effective (at a threshold of €20 000/QALY) compared to all the other therapeutic options. CONCLUSIONS:Apixaban is a cost-effective alternative to warfarin and dabigatran and is dominant over rivaroxaban in AF patients from the perspective of the Portuguese national healthcare system. These conclusions are based on indirect comparisons, but despite this limitation, the information is useful for healthcare decision-makers.