879 resultados para Multi Criteria Decision Analysis
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Introducción La miocardiopatía periparto es una alteración cardiaca que se puede presentar en gestantes durante el último mes de embarazo y los siguientes cinco meses postparto. Últimamente se ha propuesto la bromocriptina como tratamiento para la gestante con buenos resultados. Metodología: Se realizó una revisión sistemática de literatura para evaluar la principal evidencia sobre el uso de bromocriptina para el manejo de la miocardiopatía periparto, en los últimos 15 años. Resultados: Se encontraron un total de 44 artículos en bases de datos indexadas y 511 en literatura gris, de los cuales tan solo 6 cumplieron criterios de inclusión para su análisis. La evidencia fue clasificada como I y III. La bromocriptina mejoró la fracción de eyección y el pronóstico en la totalidad de los pacientes con miocardiopatía periparto. (p<0,05). A pesar de cifras altas de mortalidad, la bromocriptina dada por la enfermedad en si, no supone un riesgo mayor ni para la madre ni para el neonato. Discusión: La bromocriptina mostró excelentes resultados en cuanto al pronóstico de las pacientes con miocardiopatía periparto sin aumento en la mortalidad. Los efectos metabólicos y hormonales que produce la bromocriptina, a una dosis de 2.5mg dos veces al día por 8 semanas, mejoran de forma efectiva el pronóstico de la gestante para un siguiente embarazo.
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Ante el fenómeno de la globalización, el gigante asiático se presenta como un actor fundamental para establecer relaciones económicas, por su reciente ascenso en la jerarquía de poder, su creciente industria demandante de materias primas y su densa población, cuya capacidad de consumo aumenta día a día. Lo anterior le permite a Colombia abrir nuevos mercados que generen un mejoramiento económico y un mayor reconocimiento internacional La presente investigación se desarrolló mediante una metodología cualitativa que abarca la revisión de material bibliográfico, investigaciones realizadas y consulta de documentos oficiales. También se recogen datos estadísticos, fundamentales para soportar los objetivos de este documento y se citan casos de países como Brasil, Argentina y Chile, que constituyen un referente para conocer los procesos que llevan a cabo estas naciones con el gigante asiático relacionados a las importaciones de carne Bovina. La inclusión actual del sector ganadero en los nuevos contextos nacionales e internacionales de competencia por mercados, resulta indispensable para asegurar no sólo la estabilidad sino fundamentalmente la sostenibilidad de la actividad a mediano y largo plazo. Lo anterior debe convertirse en un propósito nacional de los sectores públicos y privados para comenzar a desarrollar, conjuntamente con los gremios; acciones que permitan remover los obstáculos que hoy en día se presentan y promover la modernización de esta actividad. Es pertinente elevar la condición de la producción, comercialización y mercadeo de la ganadería bovina colombiana, además de garantizar niveles de rentabilidad que permitan consolidar la confianza y el impulso necesario para el desarrollo de las inversiones básicas, que la normatividad a nivel de logística y salubridad exige para llegar a nuevos países.
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Introducción: El trasplante hepático ortotópico es la colocación de un nuevo hígado en la misma ubicación del explantado. El objetivo es prolongar la duración y la calidad de vida en pacientes con enfermedades hepáticas terminales. Sin embargo, las infecciones bacterianas son una complicación en los pacientes receptores del trasplante, comprometiendo el éxito del procedimiento. El objetivo fue determinar los factores asociados a infecciones bacterianas en el primer mes tras realizada la intervención y describir las características demográficas de esa población. De 332 trasplantes realizados, que 262 cumplieron criterios para el análisis. Métodos: Se realizó un estudio observacional analítico de casos y controles anidado en una cohorte, en mayores de 18 años, receptores de trasplante hepático primario, de la FCI-IC de 2005 a 2014; excluyendo trasplante combinado hígado riñón, retrasplantes o fallecidos por causa diferente a la infecciosa durante el primer mes. Resultados: Se encontró que la ventilación mecánica por más de 1 día, el catéter venoso central mayor de 3 días son los principales factores de riesgo para infecciones bacterianas. La albúmina mayor de 2,6gr/dl se asoció a menor infección. Los agentes etiológicos predominantes fueron gérmenes gram negativos como E. coli, K. pneumonia y E. cloacae. Mientras que bacteremia, infección urinaria y peritonitis fueron las infecciones más frecuentes. La incidencia de infección bacteriana en esta población fue 24%. Discusión: Se recomienda por tanto extubación antes de 24 horas, uso de catéter central menor de 3 días y limitar el uso del catéter vesical.
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Pantoea agglomerans strains are among the most promising biocontrol agents for a variety of bacterial and fungal plant diseases, particularly fire blight of apple and pear. However, commercial registration of P. agglomerans biocontrol products is hampered because this species is currently listed as a biosafety level 2 (BL2) organism due to clinical reports as an opportunistic human pathogen. This study compares plant-origin and clinical strains in a search for discriminating genotypic/phenotypic markers using multi-locus phylogenetic analysis and fluorescent amplified fragment length polymorphisms (fAFLP) fingerprinting. Results: Majority of the clinical isolates from culture collections were found to be improperly designated as P. agglomerans after sequence analysis. The frequent taxonomic rearrangements underwent by the Enterobacter agglomerans/Erwinia herbicola complex may be a major problem in assessing clinical associations within P. agglomerans. In the P. agglomerans sensu stricto (in the stricter sense) group, there was no discrete clustering of clinical/biocontrol strains and no marker was identified that was uniquely associated to clinical strains. A putative biocontrol-specific fAFLP marker was identified only in biocontrol strains. The partial ORF located in this band corresponded to an ABC transporter that was found in all P. agglomerans strains. Conclusion: Taxonomic mischaracterization was identified as a major problem with P. agglomerans, and current techniques removed a majority of clinical strains from this species. Although clear discrimination between P. agglomerans plant and clinical strains was not obtained with phylogenetic analysis, a single marker characteristic of biocontrol strains was identified which may be of use in strain biosafety determinations. In addition, the lack of Koch's postulate fulfilment, rare retention of clinical strains for subsequent confirmation, and the polymicrobial nature of P. agglomerans clinical reports should be considered in biosafety assessment of beneficial strains in this species
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O terceiro Setor ocupa um lugar central na governação, na generalidade das sociedades contemporâneas. As novas exigências de competitividade, impõem também às Misericórdias, uma reestruturação dos processos de gestão, de forma a ser possível alinhar a missão organizacional com o nível de desempenho esperado. Pretende-se identificar um modelo de avaliação do desempenho dos colaboradores da Santa Casa da Misericórdia da Marinha Grande, que permita adequar o desempenho individual, às exigências funcionais e da Instituição. Foi adotada como base científica, a Metodologia Multicritério de Apoio à Decisão (MMAD), com vista ao alcance de uma maior à transparência e clareza das avaliações, e ainda, à obtenção de dados que permitam uma melhorada gestão do desempenho (relação dos resultados da avaliação, com as politicas de recrutamento, seleção e formação), gerando assim um modelo, em que todos possam confiar; O autor deste estudo pretende extrapolar o modelo identificado, a outras Misericórdias do País.
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In this paper, a forward-looking infrared (FLIR) video surveillance system is presented for collision avoidance of moving ships to bridge piers. An image pre-processing algorithm is proposed to reduce clutter noises by multi-scale fractal analysis, in which the blanket method is used for fractal feature computation. Then, the moving ship detection algorithm is developed from image differentials of the fractal feature in the region of surveillance between regularly interval frames. Experimental results have shown that the approach is feasible and effective. It has achieved real-time and reliable alert to avoid collisions of moving ships to bridge piers
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The evaluation of EU policy in the area of rural land use management often encounters problems of multiple and poorly articulated objectives. Agri-environmental policy has a range of aims, including natural resource protection, biodiversity conservation and the protection and enhancement of landscape quality. Forestry policy, in addition to production and environmental objectives, increasingly has social aims, including enhancement of human health and wellbeing, lifelong learning, and the cultural and amenity value of the landscape. Many of these aims are intangible, making them hard to define and quantify. This article describes two approaches for dealing with such situations, both of which rely on substantial participation by stakeholders. The first is the Agri-Environment Footprint Index, a form of multi-criteria participatory approach. The other, applied here to forestry, has been the development of ‘multi-purpose’ approaches to evaluation, which respond to the diverse needs of stakeholders through the use of mixed methods and a broad suite of indicators, selected through a participatory process. Each makes use of case studies and involves stakeholders in the evaluation process, thereby enhancing their commitment to the programmes and increasing their sustainability. Both also demonstrate more ‘holistic’ approaches to evaluation than the formal methods prescribed in the EU Common Monitoring and Evaluation Framework.
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In this paper, a forward-looking infrared (FLIR) video surveillance system is presented for collision avoidance of moving ships to bridge piers. An image preprocessing algorithm is proposed to reduce clutter background by multi-scale fractal analysis, in which the blanket method is used for fractal feature computation. Then, the moving ship detection algorithm is developed from image differentials of the fractal feature in the region of surveillance between regularly interval frames. When the moving ships are detected in region of surveillance, the device for safety alert is triggered. Experimental results have shown that the approach is feasible and effective. It has achieved real-time and reliable alert to avoid collisions of moving ships to bridge piers.
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Projections of climate change impacts on crop yields are inherently uncertain1. Uncertainty is often quantified when projecting future greenhouse gas emissions and their influence on climate2. However, multi-model uncertainty analysis of crop responses to climate change is rare because systematic and objective comparisons among process-based crop simulation models1, 3 are difficult4. Here we present the largest standardized model intercomparison for climate change impacts so far. We found that individual crop models are able to simulate measured wheat grain yields accurately under a range of environments, particularly if the input information is sufficient. However, simulated climate change impacts vary across models owing to differences in model structures and parameter values. A greater proportion of the uncertainty in climate change impact projections was due to variations among crop models than to variations among downscaled general circulation models. Uncertainties in simulated impacts increased with CO2 concentrations and associated warming. These impact uncertainties can be reduced by improving temperature and CO2 relationships in models and better quantified through use of multi-model ensembles. Less uncertainty in describing how climate change may affect agricultural productivity will aid adaptation strategy development andpolicymaking.
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Approximately 20 % of individuals with Parkinson's disease (PD) report a positive family history. Yet, a large portion of causal and disease-modifying variants is still unknown. We used exome sequencing in two affected individuals from a family with late-onset PD to identify 15 potentially causal variants. Segregation analysis and frequency assessment in 862 PD cases and 1,014 ethnically matched controls highlighted variants in EEF1D and LRRK1 as the best candidates. Mutation screening of the coding regions of these genes in 862 cases and 1,014 controls revealed several novel non-synonymous variants in both genes in cases and controls. An in silico multi-model bioinformatics analysis was used to prioritize identified variants in LRRK1 for functional follow- up. However, protein expression, subcellular localization, and cell viability were not affected by the identified variants. Although it has yet to be proven conclusively that variants in LRRK1 are indeed causative of PD, our data strengthen a possible role for LRRK1 in addition to LRRK2 in the genetic underpinnings of PD but, at the same time, highlight the difficulties encountered in the study of rare variants identified by next-generation sequencing in diseases with autosomal dominant or complex patterns of inheritance.
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The present work describes a new tool that helps bidders improve their competitive bidding strategies. This new tool consists of an easy-to-use graphical tool that allows the use of more complex decision analysis tools in the field of Competitive Bidding. The graphic tool described here tries to move away from previous bidding models which attempt to describe the result of an auction or a tender process by means of studying each possible bidder with probability density functions. As an illustration, the tool is applied to three practical cases. Theoretical and practical conclusions on the great potential breadth of application of the tool are also presented.
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We analyse the ability of CMIP3 and CMIP5 coupled ocean–atmosphere general circulation models (CGCMs) to simulate the tropical Pacific mean state and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The CMIP5 multi-model ensemble displays an encouraging 30 % reduction of the pervasive cold bias in the western Pacific, but no quantum leap in ENSO performance compared to CMIP3. CMIP3 and CMIP5 can thus be considered as one large ensemble (CMIP3 + CMIP5) for multi-model ENSO analysis. The too large diversity in CMIP3 ENSO amplitude is however reduced by a factor of two in CMIP5 and the ENSO life cycle (location of surface temperature anomalies, seasonal phase locking) is modestly improved. Other fundamental ENSO characteristics such as central Pacific precipitation anomalies however remain poorly represented. The sea surface temperature (SST)-latent heat flux feedback is slightly improved in the CMIP5 ensemble but the wind-SST feedback is still underestimated by 20–50 % and the shortwave-SST feedbacks remain underestimated by a factor of two. The improvement in ENSO amplitudes might therefore result from error compensations. The ability of CMIP models to simulate the SST-shortwave feedback, a major source of erroneous ENSO in CGCMs, is further detailed. In observations, this feedback is strongly nonlinear because the real atmosphere switches from subsident (positive feedback) to convective (negative feedback) regimes under the effect of seasonal and interannual variations. Only one-third of CMIP3 + CMIP5 models reproduce this regime shift, with the other models remaining locked in one of the two regimes. The modelled shortwave feedback nonlinearity increases with ENSO amplitude and the amplitude of this feedback in the spring strongly relates with the models ability to simulate ENSO phase locking. In a final stage, a subset of metrics is proposed in order to synthesize the ability of each CMIP3 and CMIP5 models to simulate ENSO main characteristics and key atmospheric feedbacks.
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The impact of energy policy measures has been assessed with various appraisal and evaluation tools since the 1960s. Decision analysis, environmental impact assessment and strategic environmental assessment are all notable examples of progenitors of Regulatory Impact Assessment (RIA) in the assessment of energy policies, programmes and projects. This chapter provides overview of policy tools which have been historically applied to assess the impacts of energy policies, programmes and projects. It focuses on the types of data and models that typically inform RIAs for energy policies; the organisations involved; and issues of data exchange between energy companies and policy-makers. Examples are derived from the European Commission, the UK, Italy, the Netherlands and France. It is concluded that the technical and economic analysis underpinning RIAs on energy policy and regulation varies significantly depending on the type of organisation carrying them out.
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In this paper we consider the programming of job rotation in the assembly line worker assignment and balancing problem. The motivation for this study comes from the designing of assembly lines in sheltered work centers for the disabled, where workers have different task execution times. In this context, the well-known training aspects associated with job rotation are particularly desired. We propose a metric along with a mixed integer linear model and a heuristic decomposition method to solve this new job rotation problem. Computational results show the efficacy of the proposed heuristics. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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O tema desta dissertação de mestrado é o estudo da Engenharia Reversa como ferramenta de suporte à melhoria e adaptação de produtos. A partir de conceitos teóricos sobre desenvolvimento de produtos e melhoria de processos, propõe-se uma metodologia para adaptação de produtos destinados à exportação. A metodologia proposta consiste de oito passos, contemplando etapas de identificação e priorização das demandas de adaptação de produtos e elencando ferramentas auxiliares no atingimento dos objetivos desejados. A etapa inicial deste trabalho consiste de uma revisão bibliográfica dividida em duas partes: (i) adaptação de produtos através da utilização da Engenharia Reversa e seus habilitadores, e (ii) ferramentas para melhoria de processos. Os tópicos contemplados em (ii) incluem ferramentas para o mapeamento de processos de manufatura e para a sua melhoria. Destaque especial é dado ao Desdobramento da Função Qualidade – QFD (Quality Function Deployment), a Análise de Modos e Efeitos de Falhas (FMEA – Failure Mode and Effect Analysis) e às Cartas de Processos. Na seqüência, apresentam-se os passos da metodologia proposta para a adaptação de produtos às demandas de mercado utilizando a Engenharia Reversa e seus habilitadores. Finalmente, os passos metodológicos são aplicados a um caso prático, cujo objetivo é a adaptação de um pincel, produzido por uma empresa gaúcha, às demandas de um distribuidor alemão de ferramentas manuais.