941 resultados para Variabilidade climatológica
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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
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The objective of this study was to determine the seasonal and interannual variability and calculate the trends of wind speed in NEB and then validate the mesoscale numerical model for after engage with the microscale numerical model in order to get the wind resource at some locations in the NEB. For this we use two data sets of wind speed (weather stations and anemometric towers) and two dynamic models; one of mesoscale and another of microscale. We use statistical tools to evaluate and validate the data obtained. The simulations of the dynamic mesoscale model were made using data assimilation methods (Newtonian Relaxation and Kalman filter). The main results show: (i) Five homogeneous groups of wind speed in the NEB with higher values in winter and spring and with lower in summer and fall; (ii) The interannual variability of the wind speed in some groups stood out with higher values; (iii) The large-scale circulation modified by the El Niño and La Niña intensified wind speed for the groups with higher values; (iv) The trend analysis showed more significant negative values for G3, G4 and G5 in all seasons and in the annual average; (v) The performance of dynamic mesoscale model showed smaller errors in the locations Paracuru and São João and major errors were observed in Triunfo; (vi) Application of the Kalman filter significantly reduce the systematic errors shown in the simulations of the dynamic mesoscale model; (vii) The wind resource indicate that Paracuru and Triunfo are favorable areas for the generation of energy, and the coupling technique after validation showed better results for Paracuru. We conclude that the objective was achieved, making it possible to identify trends in homogeneous groups of wind behavior, and to evaluate the quality of both simulations with the dynamic model of mesoscale and microscale to answer questions as necessary before planning research projects in Wind-Energy area in the NEB
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In this work are presented the results of research on the variation of vertical plasma drift from the F layer that commonly occurs during the period close to the going down of the sun (between 21UT - 22UT), and consisting of an increase in the F layer in time of day and a drop at night on the cities of Natal / RN (The 33.7º, 5.6º S), Fortaleza / CE (38.45º O, 3.9º S) and Cachoeira Paulista / SP (45.0ºO, 22.7º S ). Thus, data was used (ionograms) virtual height t ( h' ) as a function of the frequency F for the layer of the ionosphere. These data were collected through ionossonda type CADI (Canadian Advanced Digital Ionosonde) to the cities of Natal and Fortaleza, and the Digisonde DPS to the town of Cachoeira Paulista. They considered only the data available 2000 maximum solar year. With the virtual height ( h' ) data reduced in the frequencies of 6MHz and 5MHz, the next step was to calculate. The results showed that the variability of the vertical drift rate F ionospheric layer periods of magnetic storms is related both to the penetration of the electric fields as the disturbance dynamo electric fields.
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Discovered in 1963, 3C 273 was the second quasar identified and cataloged in the Third Cambridge Catalog for radio sources, and the first one for which emission lines were identified with a hydrogen sequence redshifted. It is the brightest quasar of the celestial sphere, the most studied, analyzed, and with a resulting abundance of data available in a vast literature. The accurate analysis of the deviations of the spectral lines of quasars provides enough information to put in evidence the variation of fundamental constants of nature and similarly the universe expansion rate. The analysis of the variability of the light curves of these bodies, and the consequent accuracy of their periodicity, is of utmost importance as it provides an efficiency of their observations, enables a greater understanding of the physical phenomena, and makes it possible to conduct spectral observations on more accurate dates (when their light curves show pronounced peaks and therefore richer spectra information). In this master’s thesis twenty eight light curves from the quasar 3C 273 are studied, covering all the electromagnetic spectrum wavebands (radio emission to gamma rays), totaling in the analysis of four light curves for each waveband. We have applied the method of Continuous Wavelet Transform using the sixth-order (!0 = 6) Morlet wavelet function, and obtained excellent results in accordance with the literature.
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Discovered in 1963, 3C 273 was the second quasar identified and cataloged in the Third Cambridge Catalog for radio sources, and the first one for which emission lines were identified with a hydrogen sequence redshifted. It is the brightest quasar of the celestial sphere, the most studied, analyzed, and with a resulting abundance of data available in a vast literature. The accurate analysis of the deviations of the spectral lines of quasars provides enough information to put in evidence the variation of fundamental constants of nature and similarly the universe expansion rate. The analysis of the variability of the light curves of these bodies, and the consequent accuracy of their periodicity, is of utmost importance as it provides an efficiency of their observations, enables a greater understanding of the physical phenomena, and makes it possible to conduct spectral observations on more accurate dates (when their light curves show pronounced peaks and therefore richer spectra information). In this master’s thesis twenty eight light curves from the quasar 3C 273 are studied, covering all the electromagnetic spectrum wavebands (radio emission to gamma rays), totaling in the analysis of four light curves for each waveband. We have applied the method of Continuous Wavelet Transform using the sixth-order (!0 = 6) Morlet wavelet function, and obtained excellent results in accordance with the literature.
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The high-intensity interval exercise has been described as an option for increasing physical activity and its use also being suggested in the therapeutic management of many conditions such as diabetes mellitus and heart failure. However, the knowledge of its physiological effects and parameters that can assure greater safety for interval exercise prescription; especially its effect on short- and medium-term (24 hours after exercise) exercise recovery, need to be clarified. This study objective was to evaluate the effect of continuous and interval aerobic exercise on the cardiac autonomic control immediate and medium term (24 hours), by assessing heart rate variability (HRV). The present study is a randomized crossover clinical trial in which healthy young individuals with low level of physical activity had the VFC 24 hours measured by a heart rate sensor and portable accelerometer (3D eMotion HRV, Kuopio, Finland) before and after continuous aerobic exercise (60-70% HR max, 21 min.) and interval exercise (cycle 1 min. 80-90% HR max, 2 min. at 50-60% HR max, duration 21 min.). HRV was measured in the time and frequency domain and the sympathovagal balance determined by the ratio LF / HF. Nonlinear evaluation was calculated by Shannon entropy. The data demonstrated delayed heart rate recovery immediate after exercise and lower HR after 24 hours compared to pre intervention values, especially in the interval exercise group. There was a tendency to higher predominance and representatives index values of sympathetic stimulation during the day in interval exercise group; however, without statistical significance. The study results help to clarify the effects of interval exercise on the 24 hours following interval exercise, setting parameters for prescription and for further evaluation of groups with metabolic and cardiovascular diseases.
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The climate is still main responsible for the variations soybean productivity (Glycine max (L.) Merrill), exerting a limiting action on these agricultural systems. The bomjesuense cerrado, this culture has proved, over the years, an increase of cultivated areas, however, productivity does not keep the same pace, going through periods of oscillations. Thus, although the crop is added to high technology, culture has great vulnerability to climatic adversities. Thus, the present study aims to analyze possible trends in meteorological variables, which can influence the soybean yield in Bom Jesus. For this purpose, different datasets were used, as follows: i) two periods of daily data (1984-2014 and 1974-2014), both obtained from the National Meteorological Institute (INMET); ii) climate normals from 1961-1990 as defined by INMET; iii) local agricultural production data of soybean-year (1997/1998 to 2012/2013) obtained from the Municipal Agricultural Production (PAM) dataset, which is management by Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). The analysis procedures included calculations of climate normals for 1984 to 2014 period and some statistical applications, as follows: i) the Wilcoxon test, used to evaluate differences between climate normals (1961 to 1990 and 1984 to 2014); ii) the Mann-Kendall nonparametric test, in order to analyze the linear trend of agrometeorological variables (rainfall, maximum temperature, minimum temperature and diurnal range of temperature; iii) cluster analysis by Ward method and the Spearman correlation test (rs) to identify the relationship between agrometeorological variable and soybean annual productivity. We adopted a statistical significance level of 5%. The results indicate changes in seasonality of the 1984-2014 climatology with respect to past climatology for all variables analyzed, except for insolation and precipitation. However, the monthly analysis of precipitation indicate negative trend during October and positive trend in December, causing a delay in start of rainy season. If this trend is persistent this result must be considered in futures definitions of the soybean crop sowing date over the region studied. With Mann-Kendall test was possible to identify positive trends with statistical significance in maximum temperature for all month forming part of soybean cycle (from November to April), which in turn tends to cause adverse effects on crop physiology, and consequently impacts on the final yield. Was identified a significant positive correlation between soybean yield and precipitation observed in March, thus precipitation deficit in this month is harmful to the soybean crop development. No statistically significant correlation was identified among maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and DTR with annual soybean productivity due these range of meteorological variables are not limiting factors in the final soybean yield in Bom Jesus (PI). It is expected that this study will contribute to propose planning strategies considering the role of climate variability on soybean crop final yield.
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Leishmania infantum is the main etiologic agent of visceral leishmaniasis in the New World. The pattern of distribution of leishmaniasis has changed substantially and has presented an emerging profile within the periphery of the Large Urban Centers. Leishmania infection can compromise skin, mucosa and viscera. Only 10% of the individuals infected develop the disease and 90% of human infection is asymptomatic. The main factors involved in the development of the disease are the host immune response, the vector’s species and the parasite’s genetic content. The sequencing of Leishmania isolated seeks to increase the understanding of the symptoms of individuals. The aim of this study was to evaluate the genetic diversity of circulating Leishmania strains among humans, and symptomatic and asymptomatic, and dogs from endemic areas of Rio Grande do Norte State and analyze sandflies from endemic areas for cutaneous and visceral disease. The genetic variability was evaluated by the use of markers hsp70 , ITS1 and a whole genome sequencing was also carried out. The amplified hsp70 and ITS1 of samples were analyzed and assembled using a Phred / Phrap package. The dendograms were constructed using the same methodology, but adding 500 bootstraps, followed by inferences on the relationships between Leishmania variants. The sequences of the 20 Brazilian isolates were mapped to the reference genome L. infantum JPCM5, using the Bowtie2 program and the identification of 36 contigs. The information of the valid SNPs were used in the PCA. SNPs were visualized by Geneious 7.1 and IGV. The genome annotations were transferred to their respective chromosomes and displayed on Geneious. The matching sequences of all chromosomes were aligned using Mauve. The phylogenetic trees were calculated according to maximum likelihood and JTT models. Sandflies were analyzed by PCR for the identification of Leishmania infection, a blood meal source and GAPDH sand fly. As a result, hsp70 and ITS1 were not capable of identifying genetic variability among human isolates from symptomatic and asymptomatic, and dogs. The complete sequencing of the 20 Brazilian isolates revealed a strong similarity between the circulating Leishmania strains in Rio Grande do Norte. The isolates collected in the city of Natal from humans and canines remained grouped in all analyzes, suggesting that there is genotypic and geographic proximity among the isolates. The isolated samples in the 1990s had a higher genotypic diversity when compared to freshly isolated samples. All isolates presented 36 chromosomes with variable ploidy among them, no correlation was found between the number of amastina genes copies, gp63, A2 and SSG with such clinic forms. In general, we did not find correlation between symptomatic and asymptomatic clinical forms and the gene content of the Brazilian isolates of Leishmania. 34,28% of the sandflies collected in the upper west region were L. longipalpis and the main sources of blood meal were humans, dogs and chickens.
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Leishmania infantum is the main etiologic agent of visceral leishmaniasis in the New World. The pattern of distribution of leishmaniasis has changed substantially and has presented an emerging profile within the periphery of the Large Urban Centers. Leishmania infection can compromise skin, mucosa and viscera. Only 10% of the individuals infected develop the disease and 90% of human infection is asymptomatic. The main factors involved in the development of the disease are the host immune response, the vector’s species and the parasite’s genetic content. The sequencing of Leishmania isolated seeks to increase the understanding of the symptoms of individuals. The aim of this study was to evaluate the genetic diversity of circulating Leishmania strains among humans, and symptomatic and asymptomatic, and dogs from endemic areas of Rio Grande do Norte State and analyze sandflies from endemic areas for cutaneous and visceral disease. The genetic variability was evaluated by the use of markers hsp70 , ITS1 and a whole genome sequencing was also carried out. The amplified hsp70 and ITS1 of samples were analyzed and assembled using a Phred / Phrap package. The dendograms were constructed using the same methodology, but adding 500 bootstraps, followed by inferences on the relationships between Leishmania variants. The sequences of the 20 Brazilian isolates were mapped to the reference genome L. infantum JPCM5, using the Bowtie2 program and the identification of 36 contigs. The information of the valid SNPs were used in the PCA. SNPs were visualized by Geneious 7.1 and IGV. The genome annotations were transferred to their respective chromosomes and displayed on Geneious. The matching sequences of all chromosomes were aligned using Mauve. The phylogenetic trees were calculated according to maximum likelihood and JTT models. Sandflies were analyzed by PCR for the identification of Leishmania infection, a blood meal source and GAPDH sand fly. As a result, hsp70 and ITS1 were not capable of identifying genetic variability among human isolates from symptomatic and asymptomatic, and dogs. The complete sequencing of the 20 Brazilian isolates revealed a strong similarity between the circulating Leishmania strains in Rio Grande do Norte. The isolates collected in the city of Natal from humans and canines remained grouped in all analyzes, suggesting that there is genotypic and geographic proximity among the isolates. The isolated samples in the 1990s had a higher genotypic diversity when compared to freshly isolated samples. All isolates presented 36 chromosomes with variable ploidy among them, no correlation was found between the number of amastina genes copies, gp63, A2 and SSG with such clinic forms. In general, we did not find correlation between symptomatic and asymptomatic clinical forms and the gene content of the Brazilian isolates of Leishmania. 34,28% of the sandflies collected in the upper west region were L. longipalpis and the main sources of blood meal were humans, dogs and chickens.
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Data variability analysis has been the focus of a number of studies seeking to capture differences of patterns generated by biological systems. Although several studies related to gait employ the analysis of variability in their observations, we noticed a lack of such information for subjects with unilateral coxarthrosis undergoing total hip arthroplasty (THA). To tackle this deficiency of information, we conducted a study of the gait on a treadmill with10 healthy subjects (30.7 ± 6.75 years old) from G1 and 24 subjects (65 ± 8.5 years old) with unilateral THA from G2. Thus, by means of two inertial measurement units (IMUs) positioned in the pelvis, we have developed a detection method of the step and stride for calculating these intervals and extract the signal characteristics. The variability analysis (coefficient of variation) was performed, taking into consideration the extracted features and the step and stride times. The average and the 95% confidence interval estimate for the average of the step and stride times to each group were in agreement with literature. The mean coefficient of variation for the step and stride times was calculated and compared among groups by the Kruskal-Wallis test with 95% confidence interval. Each component X, Y and Z of the two IMUs (accelerometer, magnetometer and gyroscope) corresponded to a variable. The resultants of each sensor, the linear velocity (accelerometers) and the instantaneous angular displacement (gyroscopes) completed the set of variables. The characteristics were extracted from the signals of these variables to check the variability in the G1 and G2 groups . There were significant differences (p <0.05) between G1 and G2 for the average of the step and stride times. The variability of the step and stride, as well as the variability of all other evaluated characteristics were higher for the group G2 (p <0.05). The method proposed in this study proved to be suitable for the measuring of variability of biomechanical parameters related to the extracted features. All the extracted features categorized the groups. The G2 group showed greater variability, so it is possible that the age and the pathological condition of the hip both contributed to this result.
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A farinha é um derivado da mandioca de grande importância alimentar, porém com pequena padronização, por causa do processo artesanal de fabricação. O objetivo deste estudo foi analisar a variabilidade da farinha de mandioca artesanal, produzida no Território da Cidadania do Vale do Juruá, Acre, e agrupar os municípios produtores de acordo com suas características físico-químicas, por meio de análises multivariadas, determinando sua influência na qualidade da farinha de mandioca. Foram analisadas 138 amostras de farinhas, coletadas nos municípios de Cruzeiro do Sul, Mâncio Lima, Rodrigues Alves, Porto Walter e Marechal Thaumaturgo, com determinação da umidade, cinzas, proteína total, extrato etéreo, fibra total, carboidratos totais, valor energético, acidez titulável, pH e atividade de água. Os dados foram analisados pela estatística descritiva com comparação de médias pelo teste de Tukey e estatística multivariada, de forma complementar entre si; com análises de agrupamento hierárquica, pela distância euclidiana e método de Ward, e, não hierárquica, k-means, análise de componentes principais, pela matriz de correlação, e análise discriminante, pelo método da exclusão progressiva passo a passo. Os resultados mostraram que as farinhas encontram-se dentro das normas de qualidade exigidas em legislação. As diferentes análises multivariadas foram coerentes, indicando que há um padrão de distribuição das características físico-químicas das farinhas, o que sugere padrões no processo de fabricação, distribuídos conforme a localização dos municípios analisados. As características de maior influência na discriminação das farinhas são acidez, pH, atividade de água e umidade, indicando que o modo de fabricação tem grande influência na qualidade da farinha produzida.
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Estudou-se a Camada Limite Noturna ? CLN sobre área de floresta tropical primária a nordeste do Estado do Amazonas, no Observatório Amazônico da Torre Alta ? OATA ou Amazon Tall Tower Observatory ? ATTO. Foi aplicada a metodologia disponível na literatura que permitiu a caracterização da CLN em três regimes turbulentos: 1º) de turbulência fraca, com velocidade média do vento baixa; 2º) de turbulência forte, com velocidade do vento alta e, 3º) turbulência intermitente e condições de não estacionariedade. Existem variações sazonais nos valores de ?c? e ao passar de um regime para outro. Foram investigadas algumas das principais características estatísticas das concentrações de CO2 ? ?c? de cada um dos regimes turbulentos. ?c? aumenta levemente com a elevação do valor de uma escala característica de velocidade turbulenta, VTKE, até um valor limiar, VL, a partir do qual tem-se um aumento súbito nos valores de ?c?. Esses resultados têm importantes consequências para a parametrização de grandezas meteorológicas na CLN e modelagem do escoamento atmosférico na interface floresta-atmosfera.
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O objetivo do trabalho foi avaliar o estoque de raízes finas (<2mm) com uma variabilidade espacial e distribuídas horizontalmente em três cultivos de palma de óleo (Elaeis guineensis), sendo dois em sistemas agroflorestais (SAF?s) e em um cultivo convencional. O estudo foi realizado no município de Tomé-Açu (PA), em área de agricultor familiar. As amostras foram coletadas entre 0 e 10 cm através de um trado com as dimensões de anel de 10 cm de profundidade e com um diâmetro de 5 cm, em diferentes locais e distâncias da planta. Os locais foram: entre saf?s, entre plantas e entre o carreador, e as distâncias foram: 0,6; 1,2; 2 e 4m. Em seguida, foram lavadas com água corrente sobre peneiras de 2 e 1 mm, nessa ordem, para retirada de partículas de solo e separadas nas classes de diâmetro: ≤2,0; 2,1-5,0 e 5,1-10,0. Depois foram secas em estufa (65 ºC, 48 h) e pesadas. Grande parte da biomassa de raízes, foi encontrada na primeira distância da planta, nas outras distâncias houve um decréscimo na biomassa de raízes, evidenciando uma distribuição horizontal decrescente.
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O objetivo deste trabalho foi avaliar a diversidade genotípica da capacidade de nodulação em materiais presentes em duas coleções nucleares do banco de germoplasma da Embrapa Arroz e Feijão.
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Avaliou-se a variabilidade genética dos estoques de reprodutores e dos peixes jovens de Piaractus mesopotamicus de três pisciculturas do estado do Paraná, utilizadas no programa de aumento de estoque de peixes no rio Paranapanema. Foi utilizado o marcador RAPD para avaliar as amostras do estoque de reprodutores e dos peixes jovens das pisciculturas de Palotina, Cambará e Andirá. A porcentagem de fragmentos polimórficos e o índice de diversidade genética de Shannon dos estoques de reprodutores variaram de 75,0% a 71,4% e de 0,434 a 0,376, respectivamente. Os peixes jovens das pisciculturas apresentaram valores mais elevados para ambos os parâmetros, com exceção da piscicultura de Palotina, na qual o índice de diversidade genética de Shannon foi semelhante. Os estoques de reprodutores apresentaram alta variabilidade genética, e esta foi mantida nos peixes jovens.