Specification and testing of multiplicative time-varying GARCH models with applications

In this article, we develop a specification technique for building multiplicative time-varying GARCH models of Amado and Teräsvirta (2008, 2013). The variance is decomposed into an unconditional and a conditional component such that the unconditional variance component is allowed to evolve smoothly over time. This nonstationary component is defined as a linear combination of logistic transition functions with time as the transition variable. The appropriate number of transition functions is determined by a sequence of specification tests. For that purpose, a coherent modelling strategy based on statistical inference is presented. It is heavily dependent on Lagrange multiplier type misspecification tests. The tests are easily implemented as they are entirely based on auxiliary regressions. Finite-sample properties of the strategy and tests are examined by simulation. The modelling strategy is illustrated in practice with two real examples: an empirical application to daily exchange rate returns and another one to daily coffee futures returns.

60,000 years of interactions between Central and Eastern Africa documented by major African mitochondrial haplogroup L2

Mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) haplogroup L2 originated in Western Africa but is nowadays spread across the entire continent. L2 movements were previously postulated to be related to the Bantu expansion, but L2 expansions eastwards probably occurred much earlier. By reconstructing the phylogeny of L2 (44 new complete sequences) we provide insights on the complex net of within-African migrations in the last 60 thousand years (ka). Results show that lineages in Southern Africa cluster with Western/Central African lineages at a recent time scale, whereas, eastern lineages seem to be substantially more ancient. Three moments of expansion from a Central African source are associated to L2: (1) one migration at 70-50 ka into Eastern or Southern Africa, (2) postglacial movements (15-10 ka) into Eastern Africa; and (3) the southward Bantu Expansion in the last 5 ka. The complementary population and L0a phylogeography analyses indicate no strong evidence of mtDNA gene flow between eastern and southern populations during the later movement, suggesting low admixture between Eastern African populations and the Bantu migrants. This implies that, at least in the early stages, the Bantu expansion was mainly a demic diffusion with little incorporation of local populations.

As imigrantes brasileiras no jornalismo impresso regional

O estudo sobre a representação das brasileiras nos media é revisto sob vários aspectos e nos diversos meios de comunicação. Alguns estudos aprofundam a imagem das imigrantes, enquanto outros se concentram nos meios (rádio, televisão e imprensa). Existe ainda uma linha de investigação que se centra nos estudos da recepção. Todavia, verificámos a escassez de um estudo específico sobre a representação deste grupo no jornalismo de proximidade. Esta comunicação tem por objectivo apresentar parte dos resultados sobre a representação dos imigrantes brasileiros nas notícias publicadas durante o ano de 2007 em dois jornais regionais (um português – Diário do Minho – e um italiano – L'Adige). A escolha de um jornal externo ao contexto português foi extremamente enriquecedora para identificar possíveis convergências no tratamento dos imigrantes brasileiros (homens e mulheres) em diferentes contextos sócioculturais. Além disso, tanto Portugal como Itália foram países de forte emigração, influenciando os processos migratórios de ambos. A investigação inicial mostrou uma acentuada assimetria de género, o que nos levou a aprofundar a análise sob este aspecto. Observámos que os jornais analisados, em relação ao tratamento informativo da imigrante brasileira, trabalham na mesma linha dos jornais de âmbito nacional e, mesmo que em escala inferior, continuam a representar estas mulheres com um baixo estatuto, associadas a temas e comportamentos socialmente conotados com a marginalidade. De salientar que as imigrantes brasileiras que têm visibilidade nas peças noticiosas dos dois jornais são geralmente conotadas com a prostituição, clandestinidade, crime e exploração.

From software extensions to product lines of dataflow programs

Abstract Dataflow programs are widely used. Each program is a directed graph where nodes are computations and edges indicate the flow of data. In prior work, we reverse-engineered legacy dataflow programs by deriving their optimized implementations from a simple specification graph using graph transformations called refinements and optimizations. In MDE-speak, our derivations were PIM-to-PSM mappings. In this paper, we show how extensions complement refinements, optimizations, and PIM-to-PSM derivations to make the process of reverse engineering complex legacy dataflow programs tractable. We explain how optional functionality in transformations can be encoded, thereby enabling us to encode product lines of transformations as well as product lines of dataflow programs. We describe the implementation of extensions in the ReFlO tool and present two non-trivial case studies as evidence of our work’s generality

Metaphorisms in programming

This paper introduces the metaphorism pattern of relational specification and addresses how specification following this pattern can be refined into recursive programs. Metaphorisms express input-output relationships which preserve relevant information while at the same time some intended optimization takes place. Text processing, sorting, representation changers, etc., are examples of metaphorisms. The kind of metaphorism refinement proposed in this paper is a strategy known as change of virtual data structure. It gives sufficient conditions for such implementations to be calculated using relation algebra and illustrates the strategy with the derivation of quicksort as example.

Using mouse dynamics to assess stress during online exams

"Lecture notes in computer science series", ISSN 0302-9743, vol. 9121

Impact of Delftia tsuruhatensis and Achromobacter xylosoxidans on Escherichia coli dual-species biofilms treated with antibiotic agents

Recently it was demonstrated that for urinary tract infections species with a lower or unproven pathogenic potential, such as Delftia tsuruhatensis and Achromobacter xylosoxidans, might interact with conventional pathogenic agents such as Escherichia coli. Here, single- and dual-species biofilms of these microorganisms were characterized in terms of microbial composition over time, the average fitness of E. coli, the spatial organization and the biofilm antimicrobial profile. The results revealed a positive impact of these species on the fitness of E. coli and a greater tolerance to the antibiotic agents. In dual-species biofilms exposed to antibiotics, E. coli was able to dominate the microbial consortia in spite of being the most sensitive strain. This is the first study demonstrating the protective effect of less common species over E. coli under adverse conditions imposed by the use of antibiotic agents.

Optimization of peptide nucleic acid fluorescence in situ hybridization (PNA-FISH) for the detection of bacteria: the effect of pH, dextran sulfate and probe concentration

Fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) is a molecular technique widely used for the detection and characterization of microbial populations. FISH is affected by a wide variety of abiotic and biotic variables and the way they interact with each other. This is translated into a wide variability of FISH procedures found in the literature. The aim of this work is to systematically study the effects of pH, dextran sulfate and probe concentration in the FISH protocol, using a general peptide nucleic acid (PNA) probe for the Eubacteria domain. For this, response surface methodology was used to optimize these 3 PNA-FISH parameters for Gram-negative (Escherichia coli and Pseudomonas fluorescens) and Gram-positive species (Listeria innocua, Staphylococcus epidermidis and Bacillus cereus). The obtained results show that a probe concentration higher than 300 nM is favorable for both groups. Interestingly, a clear distinction between the two groups regarding the optimal pH and dextran sulfate concentration was found: a high pH (approx. 10), combined with lower dextran sulfate concentration (approx. 2% [w/v]) for Gram-negative species and near-neutral pH (approx. 8), together with higher dextran sulfate concentrations (approx. 10% [w/v]) for Gram-positive species. This behavior seems to result from an interplay between pH and dextran sulfate and their ability to influence probe concentration and diffusion towards the rRNA target. This study shows that, for an optimum hybridization protocol, dextran sulfate and pH should be adjusted according to the target bacteria.

Índice Digital Regional 2014

O objetivo subjacente a toda a investigação que deu origem ao Índice Digital Regional (IDR), inserida num projeto de doutoramento, ia no sentido da “compreensão da realidade da Sociedade da Informação nas sete regiões NUTs II portuguesas, comparando-as e contrastando-as”. À semelhança do que acontece em grande parte dos indicadores de desenvolvimento, em que as assimetrias regionais são uma evidência verificada há várias décadas, importava perceber até que ponto o desenvolvimento da Sociedade da Informação em Portugal está a ser desencadeado sem ter ou não em atenção os valores da equidade, da coesão nacional e da solidariedade regional. Este artigo analisa os resultados do IDR recalculado com os dados estatísticos mais recentes.

Quantifying the legacy of the Chinese Neolithic on the maternal genetic heritage of Taiwan and Island Southeast Asia

There has been a long-standing debate concerning the extent to which the spread of Neolithic ceramics and Malay-Polynesian languages in Island Southeast Asia (ISEA) were coupled to an agriculturally driven demic dispersal out of Taiwan 4000 years ago (4 ka). We previously addressed this question using founder analysis of mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) control-region sequences to identify major lineage clusters most likely to have dispersed from Taiwan into ISEA, proposing that the dispersal had a relatively minor impact on the extant genetic structure of ISEA, and that the role of agriculture in the expansion of the Austronesian languages was therefore likely to have been correspondingly minor. Here we test these conclusions by sequencing whole mtDNAs from across Taiwan and ISEA, using their higher chronological precision to resolve the overall proportion that participated in the "out-of-Taiwan" mid-Holocene dispersal as opposed to earlier, postglacial expansions in the Early Holocene. We show that, in total, about 20 % of mtDNA lineages in the modern ISEA pool result from the "out-of-Taiwan" dispersal, with most of the remainder signifying earlier processes, mainly due to sea-level rises after the Last Glacial Maximum. Notably, we show that every one of these founder clusters previously entered Taiwan from China, 6-7 ka, where rice-farming originated, and remained distinct from the indigenous Taiwanese population until after the subsequent dispersal into ISEA.

Myocardial Revascularization Surgery with Regional Anesthesia Without an Endotracheal Tube in Conscious Patients

OBJECTIVE: To report initial experience with myocardial revascularization surgery (MRS) performed on patients who were totally awake and without an endotracheal tube.METHODS: Between January 1994 and May 2001, 272 patients underwent MRS without extracorporeal circulation. In 24, the operations were performed without the use of an endotracheal tube and with the patients totally awake and breathing normally. The age ranged from 51-75 years with the predominant male sex. Epidural thoracic administratios of the anesthesia was performed. Surgery was performed through a habitual anterolateral thoracotomy. During the entire procedure, the left lung remained partially collapsed.RESULTS: The 24 patients progressed well through the surgery. Pneumothorax time ranged from 70-190 minutes. No electrocardiographic, echocardiographic, or enzymatic alterations occurred that characterized pre- and postoperative infarcts. Twenty-three patients were stable enough to be released after 24 hours.CONCLUSION: This technique could be performed on an large number of selected patients. However, more experience is necessary.

Regional myocardial function in healthy adults: assessment through tissue Doppler echocardiography

OBJECTIVE: To characterize left ventricular regional myocardial function through tissue Doppler echocardiography in healthy adults and to assess the influence of aging in this function. METHODS: In 45 healthy volunteers divided in two groups (< 45 and > 45 years old) we assessed longitudinal and radial regional function (velocities, times intervals and velocity-time integrals). Data were compared in each group and between groups. RESULTS: Systolic function: a) longitudinal: higher velocities and integrals in lateral and inferior walls and in basal segments, with a trend to reduction of these parameters with aging; b) radial: higher basal velocities, no significant change with aging. Diastolic function: a) longitudinal: higher velocities in lateral and inferior walls and in basal segments. With aging e and e/a velocities and integrals decreased, a increased and older individuals showed lower percentage of segments with e/a >1; b) radial: aging was associated with lower e and higher a velocities. CONCLUSION: 1) Tissue Doppler echocardiography detects physiological differences between regional myocardial function of different ventricular segments, in velocities, times intervals and integrals, with physiological heterogeneity and asynchrony; 2) Many of these data are age dependent; 3) Our data contribute to define normal values, and may become useful when compared with data from populations with heart diseases.

Análise exploratória dos turistas estrangeiros : o caso dos pastéis de Belém

Mestrado em Economia Internacional e Estudos Europeus

Avaliação quantitativa da movimentação parietal regional do ventrículo esquerdo na endomiocardiofibrose

OBJETIVO: Analisar a movimentação parietal regional do ventrículo esquerdo (VE) em pacientes com endomiocardiofibrose (EMF). MÉTODOS: Estudados 88 pacientes, 59 do sexo feminino, com idade média de 39±13 anos (variação de 9 a 65) com evidência ecocardiográfica e angiográfica de EMF do VE. A intensidade da deposição de tecido fibroso na cineventriculografia contrastada foi classificada como discreta, moderada ou importante. A fração de ejeção global do ventrículo esquerdo (FEVE) foi determinada pelo método área-comprimento por meio da ventriculografia. O movimento foi medido em 100 cordas eqüidistantes e perpendiculares à linha média desenhada no meio dos contornos diastólico e sistólico finais e normalizadas para o tamanho cardíaco. Analisaram-se cinco segmentos do VE: A - apical; AL - ântero-lateral; AB - ântero-basal; IA - ínfero-apical; IB - ínfero-basal. A anormalidade foi expressa em unidades de desvio padrão do movimento médio em uma população de referência normal, composta por 103 pacientes com VE normal, conforme dados de clínica, eletrocardiograma e padrões angiográficos. RESULTADOS: A FEVE média foi de 0,47±0,12. O envolvimento de tecido fibroso do VE foi discreto em 12 pacientes, moderado em 40 e importante em 36. As regiões com pior movimentação parietal foram A (-1,4±1,6 desvio-padrão/cordas) e IA (-1,6±1,8 desvio-padrão/cordas) comparadas com AB (-0,3±1,9 desvio-padrão /cordas), AL (-0,5±1,8 desvio-padrão/cordas) e IB (-0,9±1,3 desvio-padrão/cordas). Não se observou relação entre a intensidade de envolvimento do tecido fibroso e a manutenção parietal regional. CONCLUSÃO : Existe alteração da movimentação parietal regional na EMF e é independente da intensidade de deposição de tecido fibroso avaliada qualitativamente. O envolvimento não uniforme do VE deve ser levado em conta no planejamento cirúrgico dessa doença.

Compatibilidad jurídica de la celebración de Tratados de Libre Comercio (TLCs) extra bloque por parte de Estados miembros de acuerdos de integración regional latinoamericanos con la normativa regional: Especial referencia al Mercado Común del Sur (MERCOSUR) y a la Comunidad Andina de Naciones (CAN)

El objetivo focal del proyecto consiste en efectuar un estudio sobre la compatibilidad y factibilidad jurídica de la celebración y concreción de Tratados de Libre Comercio (TLCs) por parte de Estados miembros de acuerdos de integración regionales con terceros Estados, sobre la base de lo establecido en la normativa propia de los procesos de integración del Mercado Común del Sur (MERCOSUR) y de la Comunidad Andina de Naciones (CAN); También se examinará la conformidad de lo planteado con lo dispuesto por la normativa de la Organización Mundial del Comercio (OMC), organización multilateral de la cual son miembros los países miembros del MERCOSUR y de la CAN. Dicho estudio se plasmará en una publicación especializada. En el supuesto de determinarse mediante la investigación la compatibilidad y factibilidad jurídica para la celebración y concreción de los tratados descriptos (en uno o en ambos casos), el proyecto prevé precisar los respectivos requisitos pertinentes, tanto en lo vinculado a la normativa regional como en lo relacionado con la normativa de la OMC. La celebración y/o la manifiesta intención de concretar TLCs por parte de algunos Estados miembros del MERCOSUR y de la CAN, así como la enérgica oposición política de otros Estados miembros de dichos procesos de integración regional, hacen que la investigación jurídica además de resultar pertinente por actualidad, derive de indudable necesidad. El proyecto pretende efectuar un riguroso análisis jurídico de la temática, a fin de contribuir de esta forma a intentar resolver, sobre bases sólidas, las actuales discrepancias interestatales en el seno de cada uno de los procesos de integración a los que pertenecen las universidades involucradas en el proyecto de investigación (Universidad Católica de Córdoba -UCC- y Pontificia Universidad Javeriana -PUJ-). Se aspira a que los resultados del proyecto de investigación constituyan una respuesta de calidad de la comunidad universitaria