Booster Breaks in the workplace: Effects on employee stress

The current study examined the effects of a 15-minute daily physical activity break on the stress levels of white collar employees. An innovative group physical activity program, the Booster Break, was implemented in two worksites, both located in a large metropolitan area. One hundred sixteen participants were randomly assigned to one of three conditions; 43 participants were assigned to the Booster Break condition, 40 participants were assigned to an individual, computer-based physical activity condition, and 32 were assigned to a no-physical activity control condition. Self-report and objective measures were taken at baseline and after the completion of the intervention. There were no significant differences among conditions in perceived stress or blood pressure after the intervention. However, the data showed trends in the direction predicted with a decrease in perceived stress among Booster Break (change in perceived stress = -0.1) and computer prompt participants (change in perceived stress = -0.2) and an increase in perceived stress among the control group (change in perceived stress = 0.2). More research is recommended to fully understand the effects of worksite physical activity on stress.^

Innovating global value chains : creation of the netbook market by Taiwanese firms

This paper explores the process of creation of the netbook market by Taiwanese firms as an example of a disruptive innovation by latecomer firms. As an analytical framework, I employ the global value chain perspective to capture the dynamics of vertical inter-firm relationships that drive some firms in the chain to change the status quo of the industry. I then divide the process of the emergence of the netbook market into three consecutive stages, i.e. (1) the launch of the first-generation netbook by a Taiwanese firm named ASUSTeK, (2) the response of the two powerful platform leaders of the industry, Intel and Microsoft Intel, to ASUSTeK’s innovation, and (3) the market entry by another powerful Taiwanese firm, Acer, and explain how Taiwanese firms broke the Intel-centric market and tapped into the market-creating innovation opportunities that had been suppressed by the two powerful platform leaders. I also show that the creation of the netbook industry was an evolutionary process in which a series of responses by different industry players led to changes in the status quo of the industry.

Mapping of mechanical properties of cement paste microstructures

The presented study is related to the EU 7 th Framework Programme CODICE (COmputationally Driven design of Innovative CEment-based materials). The main aim of the project is the development of a multi-scale model for the computer based simulation of mechanical and durability performance of cementitious materials. This paper reports results of micro/nano scale characterisation and mechanical property mapping of cementitious skeletons formed by the cement hydration at different ages. Using the statistical nanoindentation and micro-mechanical property mapping technique, intrinsic properties of different hydrate phases, and also the possible interaction (or overlapping) of different phases (e.g. calcium-silcate-hydrates) has been studied. Results of the mapping and statistical indentation testing appear to suggest the possible existence of more hydrate phases than the commonly reported LD and HD C-S-H and CH phases

Improving web learning through model optimization using bootstrap for a tour-guide robot

We perform a review of Web Mining techniques and we describe a Bootstrap Statistics methodology applied to pattern model classifier optimization and verification for Supervised Learning for Tour-Guide Robot knowledge repository management. It is virtually impossible to test thoroughly Web Page Classifiers and many other Internet Applications with pure empirical data, due to the need for human intervention to generate training sets and test sets. We propose using the computer-based Bootstrap paradigm to design a test environment where they are checked with better reliability.

On a meaningful integration of web services in data-intensive biomedical environments: The DICODE approach

This paper reports on an innovative approach that aims to reduce information management costs in data-intensive and cognitively-complex biomedical environments. Recognizing the importance of prominent high-performance computing paradigms and large data processing technologies as well as collaboration support systems to remedy data-intensive issues, it adopts a hybrid approach by building on the synergy of these technologies. The proposed approach provides innovative Web-based workbenches that integrate and orchestrate a set of interoperable services that reduce the data-intensiveness and complexity overload at critical decision points to a manageable level, thus permitting stakeholders to be more productive and concentrate on creative activities.

Signals and Systems Students trainer.

Higher education students demand fast feedback about their assignments and the opportunity to repeat them in case they do in a wrong way. Here a computer based trainer for Signals and Systems students is presented. An application, that automatically generates and assesses thousands of numerically different versions of several Signals and Systems problems have been developed. This applet guides the students to find the solution and automatically assesses and grades the students proposed solution. The students can use the application to practice in solving several types of Signals and Systems basic problems. After selecting the problem type, the student introduces a seed and the application generates a numerical version of the selected problem. Then the application presents a sequence of questions that the students must solve and the application automatically assess their answers. After solving a given problem, the students can repeat the same numerical variation of the problem by introducing the same seed to the application. In this way, they can review their solution with the help of the hints given by the application for wrong solutions. This application can also be used as an automatic assessment tool by the instructor. When the assessment is made in a controlled environment (examination classroom or laboratory) the instructor can use the same seed for all students. Otherwise, different seeds can be assigned to different students and in this way they solve different numerical variation of the proposed problem, so cheating becomes an arduous task. Given a problem type, the mathematical or conceptual difficulty of the problem can vary depending on the numerical values of the parameters of the problem. The application permits to easily select groups of seeds that yield to numerical variations with similar mathematical or conceptual difficulty. This represents an advantage over a randomised task assignment where students are asked to solve tasks with different difficulty.

Providing a consensus definition for the term "Smart Product"

The term "Smart Product" has become commonly used in recent years. This is because there has been an increasing interest in these kinds of products as part of the consumer goods industry, impacting everyday life and industry. Nevertheless, the term "Smart Product" is used with different meanings in different contexts and application domains. The use of the term "Smart Product" with different meanings and underlying semantics can create important misunderstandings and dissent. The aim of this paper is to analyze the different definitions of Smart Product available in the literature, and to explore and analyze their commonalities and differences, in order to provide a consensus definition that satisfies, and can therefore be used by, all parties. To embrace the identified definitions, the concept of "Smart Thing" is introduced. The methodology used was a systematic literature review. The definition is expressed as an ontology.

Interconexión monolítica de módulos fotovoltaicos de silicio amorfo en lámina delgada sobre vidrio mediante ablación láser en régimen de nanosegundos

Esta tesis se centra en el estudio de una secuencia de procesos basados en la tecnología láser y ejecutados en dispositivos fotovoltaicos, que son imprescindibles para el desarrollo en general de las tecnologías fotovoltaicas basadas en lámina delgada y, en particular, de aquellas que utilizan silicio amorfo como absorbente, así como en aplicaciones posteriores de estas tecnologías de alto valor añadido como es la integración arquitectónica de este tipo de dispositivos. En gran parte de las tecnologías FV de lámina delgada, y muy particularmente en la de silicio amorfo, el material se deposita sobre un substrato en un área lo suficientemente grande para que se requiera de un proceso de subdivisión del dispositivo en células de tamaño adecuado, y su posterior conexión en serie para garantizar las figuras eléctricas nominales del dispositivo. Este proceso se ha desarrollado industrialmente hace años, pero no ha habido un esfuerzo científico asociado que permitiera conocer en profundidad los efectos que los procesos en si mismos tiene de forma individualizada sobre los materiales que componen el dispositivo y sus características finales. Este trabajo, desarrollado durante años en el Centro Láser de la UPM, en estrecha colaboración con Centro de Investigaciones Energéticas y Medioambientales (CIEMAT), la Universidad de Barcelona (UB), y la Universidad Politécnica de Cataluña (UPC), se centra justamente en un estudio detallado de dichos procesos, denominados habitualmente P1, P2, P3 y P4 atendiendo al orden en el que se realizan en el dispositivo. Este estudio incluye tanto la parametrización de los procesos, el análisis del efecto que los mismos producen sobre los materiales que componen el dispositivo y su comportamiento fotoeléctrico final, así como la evaluación del potencial uso de fuentes láser de última generación (ultrarrápidas) frente al estándar industrial en la actualidad que es el empleo de fuentes láser convencionales de ancho temporal en el rango de los nanosegundos. En concreto se ha estudiado en detalle las ventajas y limitaciones del uso de sistemas con diferentes rangos espectrales (IR, VIS y UV) y temporales (nanosegundos y picosegundos) para diferentes tipos de configuraciones y disposiciones tecnológicas (entendiendo por estas las habituales configuraciones en substrato y superestrato de este tipo de dispositivos). La caracterización individual de los procesos fue realizada primeramente en células de laboratorio específicamente diseñadas, abriendo nuevos planteamientos y conceptos originales para la mejora de los procesos láser de interconexión y posibilitando el empleo y desarrollo de técnicas y métodos avanzados de caracterización para el estudio de los procesos de ablación en las distintas láminas que conforman la estructura de los dispositivos fotovoltaicos, por lo que se considera que este trabajo ha propuesto una metodología completamente original, y que se ha demostrado efectiva, en este ámbito. Por último el trabajo aborda un tema de particular interés, como es el posible uso de los procesos desarrollados, no para construir los módulos fotovoltaicos en sí, sino para personalizarlos en forma y efectos visuales para potenciar su uso mediante elementos integrables arquitectónicamente, lo que es un ámbito de gran potencial de desarrollo futuro de las tecnologías fotovoltaicas de lámina delgada. En concreto se presentan estudios de fabricación de dispositivos integrables arquitectónicamente y plenamente funcionales no solo en dispositivos de silicio amorfo con efectos de transparencias y generación de formas libres, si no que también se incluye la posibilidad de hacer tales dispositivos con células de silicio cristalino estándar que es la tecnología fotovoltaica de mayor presencia en mercado. Es importante, además, resaltar que la realización de este trabajo ha sido posible gracias a la financiación obtenida con dos proyectos de investigación aplicada, MICROSIL (PSE-120000-2008-1) e INNDISOL (IPT-420000-2019-6), y los correspondientes al Plan Nacional de I+D+I financiados por el ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación y el Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad: CLÁSICO (ENE 2007- 67742-C04-04) y AMIC ENE2010-21384-C04-02. De hecho, y en el marco de estos proyectos, los resultados de este trabajo han ayudado a conseguir algunos de los hitos más importantes de la tecnología fotovoltaica en nuestro país en los últimos años, como fue en el marco de MICROSIL la fabricación del primer módulo de silicio amorfo con tecnología íntegramente española (hecho en colaboración con el CIEMAT), o la fabricación de los dispositivos para integración arquitectónica con geometrías libres que se describen en esta Tesis y que fueron parte de los desarrollos del proyecto INNDISOL. ABSTRACT This thesis focuses on the study of a sequence of laser-based technology and processes executed in photovoltaic devices, which are essential for the overall development of photovoltaic technologies based on thin film and, in particular, those using amorphous silicon as absorbent and subsequent applications of these technologies with high added value such as the architectural integration of such devices. In much of the PV thin film technologies, and particularly in the amorphous silicon material is deposited on a substrate in an area large enough so that it requires a process of subdivision of the device in cells of appropriate size, and subsequent serial connection to ensure nominal device power figures. This process has been industrially developed years ago, but there has been an associate scientific effort that would learn more about the effects that the processes themselves have either individually on the materials that make up the device and its final characteristics. This work, developed over years in the Laser Center of the UPM, in close collaboration with Centre for Energy and Environmental Research (CIEMAT), the University of Barcelona (UB) and the Polytechnic University of Catalonia (UPC)., Focuses precisely in a detailed study of these processes, usually they called P1, P2, P3 and P4 according to the order in which they perform on the device. This study includes both the parameters of the processes, the analysis of the effect they produce on the materials making up the device and its final photoelectric behavior as well as the potential use of EVALUATION of next-generation laser sources (ultrafast) versus standard industry today is the use of conventional laser sources temporal width in the range of nanoseconds. In particular we have studied in detail the advantages and limitations of using systems with different spectral ranges (IR, UV and VIS) and time (nanosecond and picosecond) for different configurations and technological provisions (meaning these typical configurations in substrate and superstrate such devices). Individual characterization of the processes was conducted primarily in laboratory cells specifically designed, opening new approaches and original concepts for improving laser interconnection processes and enabling the use and development of advanced techniques and characterization methods for studying the processes ablation in the different sheets making up the structure of the photovoltaic devices, so it is considered that this work has proposed a completely original methodology, which has proven effective in this area. Finally, the paper addresses a topic of particular interest, as is the possible use of lso developed processes, not to build the photovoltaic modules themselves but to customize fit and visual effects to enhance their use by integrated architectural elements, which is an area of great potential for future development of thin film photovoltaic technologies. Specifically studies manufacture of integrated architecturally and fully functional not only in amorphous silicon devices with transparency effects and generating freeform devices occur, if not also include the ability to make such devices with cells of standard crystalline silicon photovoltaic technology is more visible in the market. It is also important to note that the completion of this work has been possible thanks to the financing obtained with two applied research projects, Microsil (PSE-120000- 2008-1) and INNDISOL (IPT-420000-2019-6), and those for the National R & D funded by the Ministry of Science and Innovation and the Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness: CLASSIC (ENE 2007-67742-C04-04) and AMIC ENE2010-21384-C04- 02. In fact, within the framework of these projects, the results of this work have helped get some of the most important milestones of photovoltaic technology in our country in recent years, as it was under Microsil making the first module Amorphous silicon technology with entirely Spanish (made in collaboration with CIEMAT), or the manufacture of devices for architectural integration with free geometries that are described in this thesis and that were part of the project Inndisol developments.

Co-simulation Methodologies for Hybrid and Electric Vehicle Dynamics

In recent decades, full electric and hybrid electric vehicles have emerged as an alternative to conventional cars due to a range of factors, including environmental and economic aspects. These vehicles are the result of considerable efforts to seek ways of reducing the use of fossil fuel for vehicle propulsion. Sophisticated technologies such as hybrid and electric powertrains require careful study and optimization. Mathematical models play a key role at this point. Currently, many advanced mathematical analysis tools, as well as computer applications have been built for vehicle simulation purposes. Given the great interest of hybrid and electric powertrains, along with the increasing importance of reliable computer-based models, the author decided to integrate both aspects in the research purpose of this work. Furthermore, this is one of the first final degree projects held at the ETSII (Higher Technical School of Industrial Engineers) that covers the study of hybrid and electric propulsion systems. The present project is based on MBS3D 2.0, a specialized software for the dynamic simulation of multibody systems developed at the UPM Institute of Automobile Research (INSIA). Automobiles are a clear example of complex multibody systems, which are present in nearly every field of engineering. The work presented here benefits from the availability of MBS3D software. This program has proven to be a very efficient tool, with a highly developed underlying mathematical formulation. On this basis, the focus of this project is the extension of MBS3D features in order to be able to perform dynamic simulations of hybrid and electric vehicle models. This requires the joint simulation of the mechanical model of the vehicle, together with the model of the hybrid or electric powertrain. These sub-models belong to completely different physical domains. In fact the powertrain consists of energy storage systems, electrical machines and power electronics, connected to purely mechanical components (wheels, suspension, transmission, clutch…). The challenge today is to create a global vehicle model that is valid for computer simulation. Therefore, the main goal of this project is to apply co-simulation methodologies to a comprehensive model of an electric vehicle, where sub-models from different areas of engineering are coupled. The created electric vehicle (EV) model consists of a separately excited DC electric motor, a Li-ion battery pack, a DC/DC chopper converter and a multibody vehicle model. Co-simulation techniques allow car designers to simulate complex vehicle architectures and behaviors, which are usually difficult to implement in a real environment due to safety and/or economic reasons. In addition, multi-domain computational models help to detect the effects of different driving patterns and parameters and improve the models in a fast and effective way. Automotive designers can greatly benefit from a multidisciplinary approach of new hybrid and electric vehicles. In this case, the global electric vehicle model includes an electrical subsystem and a mechanical subsystem. The electrical subsystem consists of three basic components: electric motor, battery pack and power converter. A modular representation is used for building the dynamic model of the vehicle drivetrain. This means that every component of the drivetrain (submodule) is modeled separately and has its own general dynamic model, with clearly defined inputs and outputs. Then, all the particular submodules are assembled according to the drivetrain configuration and, in this way, the power flow across the components is completely determined. Dynamic models of electrical components are often based on equivalent circuits, where Kirchhoff’s voltage and current laws are applied to draw the algebraic and differential equations. Here, Randles circuit is used for dynamic modeling of the battery and the electric motor is modeled through the analysis of the equivalent circuit of a separately excited DC motor, where the power converter is included. The mechanical subsystem is defined by MBS3D equations. These equations consider the position, velocity and acceleration of all the bodies comprising the vehicle multibody system. MBS3D 2.0 is entirely written in MATLAB and the structure of the program has been thoroughly studied and understood by the author. MBS3D software is adapted according to the requirements of the applied co-simulation method. Some of the core functions are modified, such as integrator and graphics, and several auxiliary functions are added in order to compute the mathematical model of the electrical components. By coupling and co-simulating both subsystems, it is possible to evaluate the dynamic interaction among all the components of the drivetrain. ‘Tight-coupling’ method is used to cosimulate the sub-models. This approach integrates all subsystems simultaneously and the results of the integration are exchanged by function-call. This means that the integration is done jointly for the mechanical and the electrical subsystem, under a single integrator and then, the speed of integration is determined by the slower subsystem. Simulations are then used to show the performance of the developed EV model. However, this project focuses more on the validation of the computational and mathematical tool for electric and hybrid vehicle simulation. For this purpose, a detailed study and comparison of different integrators within the MATLAB environment is done. Consequently, the main efforts are directed towards the implementation of co-simulation techniques in MBS3D software. In this regard, it is not intended to create an extremely precise EV model in terms of real vehicle performance, although an acceptable level of accuracy is achieved. The gap between the EV model and the real system is filled, in a way, by introducing the gas and brake pedals input, which reflects the actual driver behavior. This input is included directly in the differential equations of the model, and determines the amount of current provided to the electric motor. For a separately excited DC motor, the rotor current is proportional to the traction torque delivered to the car wheels. Therefore, as it occurs in the case of real vehicle models, the propulsion torque in the mathematical model is controlled through acceleration and brake pedal commands. The designed transmission system also includes a reduction gear that adapts the torque coming for the motor drive and transfers it. The main contribution of this project is, therefore, the implementation of a new calculation path for the wheel torques, based on performance characteristics and outputs of the electric powertrain model. Originally, the wheel traction and braking torques were input to MBS3D through a vector directly computed by the user in a MATLAB script. Now, they are calculated as a function of the motor current which, in turn, depends on the current provided by the battery pack across the DC/DC chopper converter. The motor and battery currents and voltages are the solutions of the electrical ODE (Ordinary Differential Equation) system coupled to the multibody system. Simultaneously, the outputs of MBS3D model are the position, velocity and acceleration of the vehicle at all times. The motor shaft speed is computed from the output vehicle speed considering the wheel radius, the gear reduction ratio and the transmission efficiency. This motor shaft speed, somehow available from MBS3D model, is then introduced in the differential equations corresponding to the electrical subsystem. In this way, MBS3D and the electrical powertrain model are interconnected and both subsystems exchange values resulting as expected with tight-coupling approach.When programming mathematical models of complex systems, code optimization is a key step in the process. A way to improve the overall performance of the integration, making use of C/C++ as an alternative programming language, is described and implemented. Although this entails a higher computational burden, it leads to important advantages regarding cosimulation speed and stability. In order to do this, it is necessary to integrate MATLAB with another integrated development environment (IDE), where C/C++ code can be generated and executed. In this project, C/C++ files are programmed in Microsoft Visual Studio and the interface between both IDEs is created by building C/C++ MEX file functions. These programs contain functions or subroutines that can be dynamically linked and executed from MATLAB. This process achieves reductions in simulation time up to two orders of magnitude. The tests performed with different integrators, also reveal the stiff character of the differential equations corresponding to the electrical subsystem, and allow the improvement of the cosimulation process. When varying the parameters of the integration and/or the initial conditions of the problem, the solutions of the system of equations show better dynamic response and stability, depending on the integrator used. Several integrators, with variable and non-variable step-size, and for stiff and non-stiff problems are applied to the coupled ODE system. Then, the results are analyzed, compared and discussed. From all the above, the project can be divided into four main parts: 1. Creation of the equation-based electric vehicle model; 2. Programming, simulation and adjustment of the electric vehicle model; 3. Application of co-simulation methodologies to MBS3D and the electric powertrain subsystem; and 4. Code optimization and study of different integrators. Additionally, in order to deeply understand the context of the project, the first chapters include an introduction to basic vehicle dynamics, current classification of hybrid and electric vehicles and an explanation of the involved technologies such as brake energy regeneration, electric and non-electric propulsion systems for EVs and HEVs (hybrid electric vehicles) and their control strategies. Later, the problem of dynamic modeling of hybrid and electric vehicles is discussed. The integrated development environment and the simulation tool are also briefly described. The core chapters include an explanation of the major co-simulation methodologies and how they have been programmed and applied to the electric powertrain model together with the multibody system dynamic model. Finally, the last chapters summarize the main results and conclusions of the project and propose further research topics. In conclusion, co-simulation methodologies are applicable within the integrated development environments MATLAB and Visual Studio, and the simulation tool MBS3D 2.0, where equation-based models of multidisciplinary subsystems, consisting of mechanical and electrical components, are coupled and integrated in a very efficient way.

Natural genetic exchange between Haemophilus and Neisseria: Intergeneric transfer of chromosomal genes between major human pathogens

Members of the bacterial families Haemophilus and Neisseria, important human pathogens that commonly colonize the nasopharynx, are naturally competent for DNA uptake from their environment. In each genus this process is discriminant in favor of its own and against foreign DNA through sequence specificity of DNA receptors. The Haemophilus DNA uptake apparatus binds a 29-bp oligonucleotide domain containing a highly conserved 9-bp core sequence, whereas the neisserial apparatus binds a 10-bp motif. Each motif (“uptake sequence”, US) is highly over-represented in the chromosome of the corresponding genus, particularly concentrated with core sequences in inverted pairs forming gene terminators. Two Haemophilus core USs were unexpectedly found forming the terminator of sodC in Neisseria meningitidis (meningococcus), and sequence analysis strongly suggests that this virulence gene, located next to IS1106, arose through horizontal transfer from Haemophilus. By using USs as search strings in a computer-based analysis of genome sequence, it was established that while USs of the “wrong” genus do not occur commonly in Neisseria or Haemophilus, where they do they are highly likely to flag domains of chromosomal DNA that have been transferred from Haemophilus. Three independent domains of Haemophilus-like DNA were found in the meningococcal chromosome, associated respectively with the virulence gene sodC, the bio gene cluster, and an unidentified orf. This report identifies intergenerically transferred DNA and its source in bacteria, and further identifies transformation with heterologous chromosomal DNA as a way of establishing potentially important chromosomal mosaicism in these pathogenic bacteria.

A test of the "jigsaw puzzle" model for protein folding by multiple methionine substitutions within the core of T4 lysozyme.

To test whether the structure of a protein is determined in a manner akin to the assembly of a jigsaw puzzle, up to 10 adjacent residues within the core of T4 lysozyme were replaced by methionine. Such variants are active and fold cooperatively with progressively reduced stability. The structure of a seven-methionine variant has been shown, crystallographically, to be similar to wild type and to maintain a well ordered core. The interaction between the core residues is, therefore, not strictly comparable with the precise spatial complementarity of the pieces of a jigsaw puzzle. Rather, a certain amount of give and take in forming the core structure is permitted. A simplified hydrophobic core sequence, imposed without genetic selection or computer-based design, is sufficient to retain native properties in a globular protein.

Expansion of a recurrent V beta 5.3+ T-cell population in newly diagnosed and untreated HLA-DR2 multiple sclerosis patients.

We have used a PCR-based technology to study the V beta 5 and V beta 17 repertoire of T-cell populations in HLA-DR2 multiple sclerosis (MS) patients. We have found that the five MS DR2 patients studied present, at the moment of diagnosis and prior to any treatment, a marked expansion of a CD4+ T-cell population bearing V beta 5-J beta 1.4 beta chains. The sequences of the complementarity-determining region 3 of the expanded T cells are highly homologous. One shares structural features with that of the T cells infiltrating the central nervous system and of myelin basic protein-reactive T cells found in HLA-DR2 MS patients. An homologous sequence was not detectable in MS patients expressing DR alleles other than DR2. However, it is detectable but not expanded in healthy DR2 individuals. The possible mechanisms leading to its in vivo proliferation at the onset of MS are discussed.

Debating the European debt crisis: Government leadership, party ideology and supranational integration as focal points of parliamentary debates in Austria, Germany and the United Kingdom. ACES Cases No. 2012.3

Parliamentary debates about the resolution of the EU debt crisis seem to provide a good example for the frequently assumed “politicizationˮ of European governance. Against this background, the paper argues that in order to make sense of this assumption, a clearer differentiation of three thematic focal points of controversies – with regard to the assessment of government leadership, concerning the debate between competing party ideologies within the left/right dimension, and with regard to the assessment of supranational integration – is needed. Applying this threefold distinction, the paper uses a theory of differential Europeanization to explain differences in the thematic structure of debates in the Austrian Nationalrat, the British House of Commons, and the German Bundestag. Empirically, the paper is based on data gained from the computer-based coding of plenary debates about the resolution of the European debt crisis between 2010 and 2011.

Is Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG effective in preventing the onset of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea: A systematic review

Objective: To evaluate the efficacy of Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG in the prevention of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea. Data Sources: A computer-based search of MED-LINE, CINAHL, AMED, the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews was conducted. A hand-search of the bibliographies of relevant papers and previous meta-analyses was undertaken. Review Methods: Trials were included in the review if they compared the effects of L. rhamnosus GG and placebo and listed diarrhoea as a primary end-point. Studies were excluded if they were not placebo-controlled or utilised other probiotic strains. Results:Six trials were found that met all eligibility requirements. Significant statistical heterogeneity of the trials precluded meta-analysis. Four of the six trials found a significant reduction in the risk of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea with co-administration of Lactobacillus GG. One of the trials found a reduced number of days with antibiotic-induced diarrhoea with Lactobacillus GG administration, whilst the final trial found no benefit of Lactobacillus GG supplementation. Conclusion: Additional research is needed to further clarify the effectiveness of Lactobacillus GG in the prevention of antibiotic-associated diarrhoea. Copyright (c) 2005 S. Karger AG, Basel.

Efficient accommodation of local minima in watershed model calibration

The Gauss-Marquardt-Levenberg (GML) method of computer-based parameter estimation, in common with other gradient-based approaches, suffers from the drawback that it may become trapped in local objective function minima, and thus report optimized parameter values that are not, in fact, optimized at all. This can seriously degrade its utility in the calibration of watershed models where local optima abound. Nevertheless, the method also has advantages, chief among these being its model-run efficiency, and its ability to report useful information on parameter sensitivities and covariances as a by-product of its use. It is also easily adapted to maintain this efficiency in the face of potential numerical problems (that adversely affect all parameter estimation methodologies) caused by parameter insensitivity and/or parameter correlation. The present paper presents two algorithmic enhancements to the GML method that retain its strengths, but which overcome its weaknesses in the face of local optima. Using the first of these methods an intelligent search for better parameter sets is conducted in parameter subspaces of decreasing dimensionality when progress of the parameter estimation process is slowed either by numerical instability incurred through problem ill-posedness, or when a local objective function minimum is encountered. The second methodology minimizes the chance of successive GML parameter estimation runs finding the same objective function minimum by starting successive runs at points that are maximally removed from previous parameter trajectories. As well as enhancing the ability of a GML-based method to find the global objective function minimum, the latter technique can also be used to find the locations of many non-global optima (should they exist) in parameter space. This can provide a useful means of inquiring into the well-posedness of a parameter estimation problem, and for detecting the presence of bimodal parameter and predictive probability distributions. The new methodologies are demonstrated by calibrating a Hydrological Simulation Program-FORTRAN (HSPF) model against a time series of daily flows. Comparison with the SCE-UA method in this calibration context demonstrates a high level of comparative model run efficiency for the new method. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.