On the efficient evaluation of ruin probabilities for completely monotone claim size distributions

In this paper we propose a highly accurate approximation procedure for ruin probabilities in the classical collective risk model, which is based on a quadrature/rational approximation procedure proposed in [2]. For a certain class of claim size distributions (which contains the completely monotone distributions) we give a theoretical justification for the method. We also show that under weaker assumptions on the claim size distribution, the method may still perform reasonably well in some cases. This in particular provides an efficient alternative to a related method proposed in [3]. A number of numerical illustrations for the performance of this procedure is provided for both completely monotone and other types of random variables.

From Empirical Bayes to Full Bayes: Methods for Analysing Traffice Safety Data, October 25, 2004

Traffic safety engineers are among the early adopters of Bayesian statistical tools for analyzing crash data. As in many other areas of application, empirical Bayes methods were their first choice, perhaps because they represent an intuitively appealing, yet relatively easy to implement alternative to purely classical approaches. With the enormous progress in numerical methods made in recent years and with the availability of free, easy to use software that permits implementing a fully Bayesian approach, however, there is now ample justification to progress towards fully Bayesian analyses of crash data. The fully Bayesian approach, in particular as implemented via multi-level hierarchical models, has many advantages over the empirical Bayes approach. In a full Bayesian analysis, prior information and all available data are seamlessly integrated into posterior distributions on which practitioners can base their inferences. All uncertainties are thus accounted for in the analyses and there is no need to pre-process data to obtain Safety Performance Functions and other such prior estimates of the effect of covariates on the outcome of interest. In this slight, fully Bayesian methods may well be less costly to implement and may result in safety estimates with more realistic standard errors. In this manuscript, we present the full Bayesian approach to analyzing traffic safety data and focus on highlighting the differences between the empirical Bayes and the full Bayes approaches. We use an illustrative example to discuss a step-by-step Bayesian analysis of the data and to show some of the types of inferences that are possible within the full Bayesian framework.

From Empirical Bayes to Full Bayes: Methods for Analyzubg Traffic Safey Data, October 25, 2004

Traffic safety engineers are among the early adopters of Bayesian statistical tools for analyzing crash data. As in many other areas of application, empirical Bayes methods were their first choice, perhaps because they represent an intuitively appealing, yet relatively easy to implement alternative to purely classical approaches. With the enormous progress in numerical methods made in recent years and with the availability of free, easy to use software that permits implementing a fully Bayesian approach, however, there is now ample justification to progress towards fully Bayesian analyses of crash data. The fully Bayesian approach, in particular as implemented via multi-level hierarchical models, has many advantages over the empirical Bayes approach. In a full Bayesian analysis, prior information and all available data are seamlessly integrated into posterior distributions on which practitioners can base their inferences. All uncertainties are thus accounted for in the analyses and there is no need to pre-process data to obtain Safety Performance Functions and other such prior estimates of the effect of covariates on the outcome of interest. In this light, fully Bayesian methods may well be less costly to implement and may result in safety estimates with more realistic standard errors. In this manuscript, we present the full Bayesian approach to analyzing traffic safety data and focus on highlighting the differences between the empirical Bayes and the full Bayes approaches. We use an illustrative example to discuss a step-by-step Bayesian analysis of the data and to show some of the types of inferences that are possible within the full Bayesian framework.

Leadership at the upper echelons : three essays

"IT'S THE ECONOMY STUPID", BUT CHARISMA MATTERS TOO: A DUAL PROCESS MODEL OF PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OUTCOMES. ABSTRACT Because charisma is assumed to be an important determinant of effective leadership, the extent to which a presidential nominee is more charismatic than his opponent should be an important determinant of voter choices. We computed a composite measure of the rhetorical richness of acceptances speeches given by U.S. presidential candidates at their national party convention. We added this marker of charisma to Ray C. Fair's presidential vote-share equation (1978; 2009). We theorized that voters decide using psychological attribution (i.e., due to macroeconomics and incumbency) as well as inferential processes (i.e., due to leader charismatic behavior) when voting. Controlling for the macro-level variables and incumbency in the Fair model, our results indicated that difference between nominees' charisma is a significant determinant of electoral success, particularly in close elections. This extended model significantly improves the precision of the Fair model and correctly predicts 23 out of the last 24 U.S. presidential elections. Paper 2: IT CEO LEADERSHIP, CORPORATE SOCIAL AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE. ABSTRACT We investigated whether CEO leadership predicted corporate financial performance (CFP) and corporate social performance (CSP). Using longitudinal data on 258 CEOs from 117 firms across 19 countries and 10 industry sectors, we found that determinants of CEO leadership (i.e., implicit motives) significantly predicted both CFP and CSP. As expected, the most consistent positive predictor was Responsibility Disposition when interacting with n (need for) Power. n Achievement and n Affiliation were generally negatively related or unrelated to outcomes. CSP was positively related to accounting measures of CFP. Our findings suggest that executive leader characteristics have important consequences for corporate level outcomes. Paper 3. PUNISHING THE POWERFUL: ATTRIBUTIONS OF BLAME AND LEADERSHIP ABSTRACT We propose that individuals are more lenient in attributing blame to leaders than to nonleaders. We advance a motivational explanation building on the perspective of punishment and on system justification theory. We conducted two scenario experiments which supported our proposition. In study 1, wrongdoer leader status was negatively related to blame and the perceived seriousness of the wrongdoing. In study 2, controlling for the Big-Five personality factor and individual differences in moral evaluation (i.e., moral foundations), wrongdoer leader status was negatively related with desired severity of punishment, and fair punishments were perceived as more just for non-leaders than for leaders.

Jugements moraux et motivation à la lumière des données empiriques

Cet article contient un « tableau affectif », une analyse détaillée, largement basée sur des données empiriques, de la manière dont les gens jugent et se comportement moralement, où sont précisés les rôles respectifs des processus réflexifs et affectifs dans l'activité morale. Il est utile de distinguer différentes sortes de jugements, certains étant plus complexes que d'autres. Les « jugements sophistiqués » interviennent dans le cadre d'une activité rationnelle alors que les « jugements de valeur spontanés » sont une manière primitive et non réflexive d'évaluer le monde. Cette analyse permettra de prendre position dans le traditionnel débat sur l'internalisme et l'externalisme. Je défendrai l'idée que les normes et les jugements moraux que nous défendons n'exercent pas d'effet particulier sur nos actions si nous n'avons pas, par ailleurs, une attitude émotionnelle correspondante. Or cette dernière semble relever davantage de nos jugements spontanés.

Horae secundum usum romanum.

F. A-B. Bifolium contenant la fin de l’office du Saint Esprit ; cf. le même texte aux ff. 156-156v. XVe siècle. Copie inachevée dont les initialesont été laissées en blanc. Le f. B réglé est blanc. La justification est la même que celle du corps du manuscrit.F. 1-12v. Calendrier écrit à l’encre rouge et bleue et à l’or: nombreux saints méridionaux, en particulier de la vallée du Rhône et du Languedoc : « Fulcrani ep. [Lodevensis] » (13 févr.) ; « translatio s. Pauli » (20 février) ; « translatio s.Augustini » (28 février) ; « Pauli archi. Narbo[nensis] » (22 mars) ; « translatio b. Ferreoli [ ?] (1er avril) ; « Baudilii mart. [Nemausiensis] (20 mai) ; « Quiterie (21 mai) ; « Eutropii [ep. Arausicani] (27 mai) ; « translatio s. Saturnini » (22 juin) ; « Petri de Lucemburgo » (5 juillet) ; « Roqui mart. [Montispessulani] » (16 août) ; « Ludovici regis fratris [ep. Toletani]» (19 août) ; « Privati conf. [ep. Gabalitanus (Gévaudan)] » (21 août) ; « Fereoli mart. [Viennae] (18 sept.) ; « Apolinaris ep. [Valentinensis] » (10 oct.) ; « Firmini ep. [Ucetensis] » (11 oct.] ; « Florencii ep. [Arausicani] » (17 oct.] ; « Amancii ep. [Ruthenensis] » (5 nov.) ; « Restituti ep. [Tricastini] » (8 nov.) ; « Rufi ep. [Avenionensis] » (14 nov.) ; « Pauli ep. [Narbonensis] » (11 déc.) ; « Dominici conf. [de Silos] » (20 déc.). Mentions zodiacales et de comput, parmi lesquelles on note une « renovatio indicionum », le 24 septembre. F. 13-17. Extraits des quatre Evangiles : Io (13-14) ; Lc (14-15) ; Mt (15-16v) ; Mc (16v-17).F. 17v-71. [Horae beatae Mariae virginis secundum usum romanum]. [Ad matutinas], psaumes répartis selon les jours de la semaine (18-32v) ; — « In laudibus » (32v-42v) ; — « Ad primam » (43-46v) ; — « Ad tertiam » (46v-49) ; — « Ad sextam » (49v-52) ; « Ad IXa » (52-55) ; — « Ad vesperas » (55-60) ; — « Ad comple[c]torium » (60-64) ; — Antiennes, psaumes, leçons et répons pour les différents temps de l’année (64v-71) .F. 71-77v. Messe votive. « Missa beate Marie virginis ». « Salve sancta parens... » F. 78-85. Prières et hymnes. [Septem gaudia spiritualia b. Mariae virginis], incomplet des quatre premiers vers par lacune matérielle. « [Gaude flore virginali...] et sanctorum decoratum//...-... per eterna secula » (AH, XXXI, n° 198) ; « O sponsa Dei electa// Esto nobis via recta... » ; « ...Oratio. Domine Jhesu Christe qui beatissimam gloriosam virginem...-... pervenire mereamur » ; « Gaudia. Gaude virgo mater Christi// Que per aurem concepisti// ...-... perhemni gaudio. » (AH, XXIV, n° 57) ; cf. Leroquais, Livres d’heures, I, XXVI-XXVII ; « ... Oratio. Deus qui beatissimam virginem Mariam in consceptu... pervenire. Per... » ; « Gaudia beate Marie spiritualia. Gaude stirpe regis nata// Ab angelo saluta[ta]...-... et celorum mansio » (AH, XXXI, n° 182) ; « Oratio. Consolator mitissime Deus... sempiternis perfrui. Per... » ; « Alia oratio. Deus qui Gabrielem archangelum... mereamur habere. Qui... » ; « Devota oratio ad beatam virginem Mariam. Obsecro te domina... et michi famulo tuo pauperrimo N. ... » (Leroquais, Livres d’heures, II, 346-347).F. 85v blanc.F.86-91v. [Horae Trinitatis].F.91v-93v. Messe votive. « Missa de Trinitate ».F. 93v-97. « Devota oratio. Deus omnipotens propicius esto michi peccatori, custos mei omnibus diebus et horis vite mee, Deus Abraham... Omnes sancti angeli et archangeli Dei succurrite et subvenite michi peccatori... horis vite mee » ; cf. Leroquais, Livres d’heures, II, 396 ; — « O bone Jhesu illumina oculos meos ne unquam obdormiam... impietatem peccati mei » ; cf. Leroquais, Livres d’heures, I, XXX-XXXI ; — « Omnipotens, sempiterne et clementissime Deus qui Ezechie regi ... merear et optinere. Per... », à la forme masculine ; cf. Leroquais, Livres d’heures, II, 438 ; — « Oratio. Omnipotens sempiterne Deus te supplices exoramus ut celesti... consequantur. Per... » (Corpus orationum, VI, n° 4076).F. 97v blanc.F. 98-108. [Psaumes de la pénitence]. F. 108-117v. « Letania ». A noter parmi les confesseurs, la séquence inattendue de trois évêques de Toul honorés en Lorraine : « ... s. Mansuete, s. Gerarde, s. Aper ». Parmi les saintes : « ... s. Martha, s. Eulalia... s. Radegundis... ». — Oraisons diverses : « Propicius esto, parce nobis Domine... ut michi indigno famulo tuo N... exaudire digneris » ; — ... « Omnipotens sempiterne Deus miserere michi indigno famulo tuo N.... perficiat. Per... » ; — « Pie et exaudibilis domine Jhesu Christe Deus noster clementiam tuam... digneris eternam » ; cf. Leroquais, Psautiers, I, 25 ; — « Pietate tua quesumus Domine nostrorum solve vincula delictorum et intercedente pro nobis... virgine Dei genitrice Maria cum beatis apostolis tuis Petro et Paulo atque Andrea... eternam concede. Per... » (Corpus orationum, VI, n° 4227)...F. 118-145. [Officium mortuorum secundum usum romanum]F. 145-147v. Messe votive. « Missa pro omnibus fidelibus defunctis ». F. 148-151. [Horae sancti Spiritus].F. 151-153v. Messe votive. « Missa de sancto Spiritu », incomplet de la fin par lacune matérielle.F. 154-156v. [Horae omnium sanctorum], incomplet du premier feuillet.F. 156v-159v. Messe votive. « Missa de omnibus sanctis. F. 160-162v. [Horae sancti Sacramentis], incomplet du début par lacune matérielle. F. 162v-164v. Messe votive. « Missa de corpore Christi ».F. 164v-169v. Prières et hymnes. « ... salutatio sacratissimi corporis domini nostri Jhesu Christi. Ave Jhesu Christe verbum Patris filius [Virginis] agnus Dei...-... requies nostra vita perhemnis » ; cf. ms NAL 3211, 342 ; — « Alia oratio. Salve sancta caro Dei per quam salvi...-... da michi sedem justorum. Qui... » (ed. Leroquais, Livres d’heures, II, 348) ; — In elevatione corporis Christi. Anima Christi sanctifica me // Corpus Christi salva me... secula seculorum. Amen » ; (ed. Leroquais, Livres d’heures, II, 340 variantes) ; — « Alia. Ave verum corpus natum... o pia... ora pro nobis » (AH, LIV, n° 257) ; — « Alia devota oratio. Domine Jhesu Christe qui hanc sacratissimam carnem tuam... et periculis et in eternum » ; cf.ms NAL 3203, 26v ; — « Dum volueris communicare dic orationem. Omnipotens et misericors Deus ecce accedo ad sacratissimum accedo inquam infirmus ad medicum...-... tutela finalis in morte. Qui... » ; — « Alia oratio ante communionem. Domine sancte Pater, omnipotens eterne Deus, da mihi corpus et sanguinem... in infinita secula... » ; cf. Leroquais, Livres d’heures, II, 108 ; — « Post communionem. Gratias tibi ago Domine sancte pater omnipotens eterne Deus qui me peccatorem indignum famulum tuum saciare... et gaudium sempiternum... » ; cf. Leroquais, Livres d’heures, I, 51 ; — « Post communionem ad beatam Virginem. Serenissima Virgo et inclita mater nostri Jhesu Christi, sancta Maria regina celi et terre que eundem creatorem... hodie veracis [incomplet de la fin par lacune matérielle] ; cf. Leroquais, Livres d’heures, I, 156, 299.F. 170-173. [Horae sanctae Crucis], incomplet du début.F. 173-178. Messe votive. « Missa in honore sancte Crucis ». « Crucem tuam adoramus et veneramur domine Jhesu Christe, et per ipsam tuam sanctissimam recolimus passionem...-...defunctis vitam et gloriam sempiternam... » ; — « Alia oratio. Domine Jhesu Christe plasmator tocius creature, rex glorie obsecro miserere mei quia locutus sum... semper benedictus... » ; — « Alia oratio. Domine Jhesu Christe qui voluisti pro redemptione mundi nasci et circumcidi... ego miserrimus, vilissimus, nequissimus atque indignissimus peccator...-... latronem crucifixum. Qui... » ; — « Alia oratio. Precor te, piissime domine Jhesu Christe, per illam eximiam caritatem qua tu rex celestis... mihi tribuere digneris. Qui... » ; — « Alia oratio. Deus propicius esto michi peccatori. Quid est Jhesus nisi salvator ergo Jhesus per te ipsum redemptus sum... miserere michi Deus » ; — « Dic totum deinde dic oracionem. Tribulacionem nobis [sic], quesumus, Domine propicius respice... clementer averte. Per... ». F. 178-200. « ... suffragia sanctorum ». « ... de Trinitate » ; — « De sancto Michaele archangelo » ; — « De sancto Johanne Baptista » ; — « De sancto Petro et Paulo » ; — « De sancto Andrea apostolo » ; — « De sancto Johanne evangelista » ; — « De sancto Jacobo minori » ; — « Sanctorum Philippi et Jacobi » ; — « De innocentibus » ; — « De apostolis et evvangelistis » ; — « De sancto Stephano » ; — « De sancto Laurencio » ; — « De sancto Eutropio... Eutropium martyrem tuum (f. 183v)... » ; — « De sancto Georgio » ; — « De sancto Blasio » ; — « De sancto Dyonisio » ; — « De sancto Yppolito » ; — « De sancto Christophoro » ; — « De sancto Sebastiano. Omnipotens sempiterne Deus qui meritis beati Sebastiani martyris gloriosissimi quemdam pestem epydimie generalem hominibus mortiferam revocasti, presta supplicibus tuis ut qui hanc orationem super se portavit aut in domibus vel mansionibus scriptam aut alias de ea in tuo nomine memoriam habuerint sive in die aut in nocte legerint a simili a peste et morbo epydimie sub ejus confidencia ad te confugerint ipsius meritis et precibus ab ipsis peste et morbo epydimie et ab omnibus nocumentis venenosis necnon ab omnibus periculis corporis et anime atque a subitanea et improvisa morte et ab omnibus inimicis visibilibus et invisibilibus singulis diebus et noctibus horis atque momentis liberemur. Per Dominum. Pater noster. Ave Maria. Credo. Salva regina. Ave stella matutina, rosa sine spinis, cum reliquis ». — « Unius martyris communis » ; — « De martyribus communis » ; — « De sancto Martino » ; — « De sancto Nicholao » ; — « De sancto Anthonio » ; — « De sancto Lazaro » ; — « De sancto Restituto... Deus qui per merita beati Restituti confessoris atque pontificis a multorum oculis dolorem sanas, labem removes et visum clarificas... (189v-190) » ; — « Unius confessoris » ; — « De confessoribus communis » ; — « De beata Maria Magdalena prosa. Gaude pia Magdalena // Spes salutis // Vite vena // Lapsorum fiducia // Gaude dulcis advocata // ... » ; — « De beata Catherina. Gaude virgo Catherina /// Quam refecit lux divina // Ter quaternis noctibus //... » ; — « De beata Lucia » ; — « De beata Apollonia » ; — « De beata Agatha » ; — « De virginibus » ; — « De omnibus sanctis » ; — « De pace » ; — « De sancto Petro de Lucemburgo » ; le suffrage commence par la prière attribuée à s. Pierre de Luxembourg : « Deus pater qui creasti // Mundum et illuminasti // Suscipe...-... requiescant in pace. Amen » ; cf.ms NAL 3196, 152.F. 200v-204, feuillets réglés blancs.

How Much Does It Cost? Optimization of Costs in Sequence Analysis of Social Science Data

One major methodological problem in analysis of sequence data is the determination of costs from which distances between sequences are derived. Although this problem is currently not optimally dealt with in the social sciences, it has some similarity with problems that have been solved in bioinformatics for three decades. In this article, the authors propose an optimization of substitution and deletion/insertion costs based on computational methods. The authors provide an empirical way of determining costs for cases, frequent in the social sciences, in which theory does not clearly promote one cost scheme over another. Using three distinct data sets, the authors tested the distances and cluster solutions produced by the new cost scheme in comparison with solutions based on cost schemes associated with other research strategies. The proposed method performs well compared with other cost-setting strategies, while it alleviates the justification problem of cost schemes.

Thymostimulin versus placebo for palliative treatment of locally advanced or metastasised hepatocellular carcinoma: a phase III clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Thymostimulin is a thymic peptide fraction with immune-mediated cytotoxicity against hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in vitro and palliative efficacy in advanced HCC in two independent phase II trials. The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy of thymostimulin in a phase III trial. METHODS: The study was designed as a prospective randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind, multicenter clinical phase III trial. Between 10/2002 and 03/2005, 135 patients with locally advanced or metastasised HCC (Karnofsky >or=60%/Child-Pugh <or= 12) were randomised to receive thymostimulin 75 mg s.c. 5x/week or placebo stratified according to liver function. Primary endpoint was twelve-month survival, secondary endpoints overall survival (OS), time to progression (TTP), tumor response, safety and quality of life. A subgroup analysis according to liver function, KPS and tumor stage (Okuda, CLIP and BCLC) formed part of the protocol. RESULTS: Twelve-month survival was 28% [95%CI 17-41; treatment] and 32% [95%CI 19-44; control] with no significant differences in median OS (5.0 [95% CI 3.7-6.3] vs. 5.2 [95% CI 3.5-6.9] months; p = 0.87, HR = 1.04 [95% CI 0.7-1.6]) or TTP (5.3 [95%CI 2.0-8.6] vs. 2.9 [95%CI 2.6-3.1] months; p = 0.60, HR = 1.13 [95% CI 0.7-1.8]). Adjustment for liver function, Karnofsky status or tumor stage did not affect results. While quality of life was similar in both groups, fewer patients on thymostimulin suffered from accumulating ascites and renal failure. CONCLUSIONS: In our phase III trial, we found no evidence of any benefit to thymostimulin in the treatment of advanced HCC and there is therefore no justification for its use as single-agent treatment. The effect of thymostimulin on hepato-renal function requires further confirmation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN64487365.

Time scarcity and the market for news

We develop a theory of news coverage in environments of information abundance. News consumersare time-constrained and browse through news items that are available across competingoutlets, choosing which ones to read or skip. Media firms are aware of consumers' preferences andconstraints, and decide on rankings of news items that maximize their profits. We find that, evenwhen readers and outlets are rational and unbiased and when markets are competitive, readersmay read more than they would like to, and the stories they read may be significantly differentfrom the ones they prefer. Next, we derive implications on diverse aspects of new and traditionalmedia. These include a rationale for tabloid news, a theory of optimal advertisement placementin newscasts, and a justification for readers' migration to online media platforms in order to circumventinefficient rankings found in traditional media. We then analyze methods for restoringreader-efficient standards and discuss the political economy implications of the theory.

Experiencias vividas por niños y niñas con cáncer a través de la musicoterapia: un proyecto de acción- participación

Justificación: este trabajo muestra una mirada más profunda acerca de cómo viven los niños y niñasla experiencia de vivir con el Cáncer, enfermedad que representa la primera causa de mortalidadentre los 5-14 años, en Cataluña.El profesional de Enfermería es clave en indagar y reflexionar acerca de la experiencia, y endesarrollar el papel que juega la intervención enfermera denominada Musicoterapia comoherramienta de expresión y comunicación, para descubrir que hay detrás de su realidad.Indagar en este contexto puede contribuir a mejorar la calidad de vida del colectivo infantil inmersoen la patología.Objetivo: conocer cómo viven la experiencia oncológica los niños y niñas, utilizando comoherramienta de trabajo la Musicoterapia en el escenario del Hospital Materno-Infantil Vall d´Hebrónde Barcelona.Diseño: proyecto de Investigación Acción-Participativa (IAP), enmarcado en el paradigma cualitativo.Metodología: se llevó a cabo una búsqueda en bases de datos: Pubmed, CINAHL, Cuiden, Cuidatge,entre otras y diferentes fuentes de información. Los sujetos de estudio fueron 14 niños y niñas entre8 y 12 años de edad ingresados en la planta de Oncología durante al menos 8 semanas. Para larecogida de datos se utilizaron las siguientes estrategias: entrevistas semiestructuradas, notas decampo y grupos de discusión.En cuanto al análisis mencionar que se siguió un riguroso trabajo para asignar unidades de significadoa la información obtenida.Consideraciones finales: Este proyecto ha permitido avanzar hacia el conocimiento enfermero yprofundizar en el cuidado holístico de los niños.

Segmentation of foot and ankle complex based on kinematic criteria.

Although various foot models were proposed for kinematics assessment using skin makers, no objective justification exists for the foot segmentations. This study proposed objective kinematic criteria to define which foot joints are relevant (dominant) in skin markers assessments. Among the studied joints, shank-hindfoot, hindfoot-midfoot and medial-lateral forefoot joints were found to have larger mobility than flexibility of their neighbour bonesets. The amplitude and pattern consistency of these joint angles confirmed their dominancy. Nevertheless, the consistency of the medial-lateral forefoot joint amplitude was lower. These three joints also showed acceptable sensibility to experimental errors which supported their dominancy. This study concluded that to be reliable for assessments using skin markers, the foot and ankle complex could be divided into shank, hindfoot, medial forefoot, lateral forefoot and toes. Kinematics of foot models with more segments must be more cautiously used.

Repensar i repracticar l'educació des de la idea de xarxa

Aquest treball és una recerca entorn la necessitat de repensar i repracticar l‟educació des de l‟idea de xarxa. Està estructurat en tres grans blocs: un primer, on es justifica des de l‟àmbit personal, educatiu i científic el per què de la tria de la nostra recerca i on es planteja la pregunta inicial des de la qual es desenvoluparà tot el treball: En quina situació es troba el treball educatiu en xarxa en les escoles Pereanton, Camí del mig, Guillem de Mont-rodon i Artur Martorell?. Un segon, centrat en la fonamentació conceptual del que els referents teòrics han dit sobre el tema. I un tercer, de caire més pràctic, on per una banda s‟exposa el paradigma, la orientació metodològica i les eines de recollida de dades utilitzades en l‟estudi de camp . I per altra, s‟analitzen les informacions obtingudes amb l‟objectiu de determinar quin és el grau d‟aplicació de treball en xarxa a cada un dels centres estudiats. Finalment la recerca es tanca amb les conclusions pràctiques fruit del contrast entre el marc teòric i el resultat pràctic obtingut de l‟anàlisi de la visita als centres.

La atenuación en artículos de revisión odontológicos en español: estudio exploratorio

Describimos el uso de estrategias de atenuación en 40 artículos de revisión (AR), publicados en español en revistas iberoamericanas entre 1994 y 2004. Identificamos las estrategias empleadas en las secciones retóricas por medio de un análisis contextual de género y clasificamos los atenuantes en cinco categorías: construcciones impersonales, deícticos temporales, aproximadores, escudos y atenuantes compuestos. Los resultados muestran que hay abundantes y variadas estrategias de atenuación en las tres secciones retóricas del AR, aunque son más frecuentes en el desarrollo y en la introducción. Predomina el modal epistémico “poder”, los adverbios y los adjetivos de posibilidad y probabilidad, y los verbos epistémicos. Registramos varias construcciones impersonales empleadas para atenuar. Los aproximadores se usan para expresar honestidad y varios niveles de certidumbre en las proposiciones; los deícticos temporales, para expresar provisionalidad y sugerir varias interpretaciones. Concluimos que la atenuación puede estar relacionada con la posición de los autores en la comunidad científica y con las características del AR como género discursivo. Asimismo, el nivel de expectativa en la escritura de este género podría condicionar cómo se presentan las proposiciones.

L'équité d'accès aux ressources en eau : fin ou moyen d'amélioration de l'efficacité de l'irrigation ? : la gestion des ressources en eau dans l'état du Gujarat (Inde) dans la perpective de la political ecology

La thèse présentée ici est le résultat d'une étroite collaboration avec une ONG indienne, AKRSP(I), intervenant dans le développement de l'irrigation au Gujarat depuis plus de 25 ans. Un SIG prototype a été mis en oeuvre et nous permet de proposer ime analyse spatiale et quantitative de l'action de cette ONG ainsi qu'une réflexion plus générale sur les leviers de mise en valeur et de gestion des ressources en eau à des fins agricoles. On peut souligner trois principaux enseignements: Les perspectives d'application des SIG au sein des ONG sont manifestes. Les exigences des bailleurs de fonds peuvent néanmoins faire obstacle à leur développement car, indi-rectement, ils favorisent la mise en oeuvre de SI voués à la justification plutôt qu'à la planification et au suivi des programmes d'actions. Ce résultat soulève la question de la pertinence de l'encadrement, des critères d'évaluation et de la conditionnalité de l'aide publique au développement. Les ONG ont un fort potentiel pour participer à la mise en valeur des ressources en eau en Inde et aider à relever le défi agro-démographique indien, en particulier dans les zones marginales où les services étatiques sont en retrait. Les stratégies d'action basées principalement sur l'application des instruments économiques et techniques doivent cependant être modifiées. Nous montrons qu'elles favorisent une inégalité d'accès aux ressources qui débouche sur une efficacité limitée des pratiques d'irrigation, sur un plan agro-technique. Ces résultats soulignent la nécessité de poursuivre une réflexion critique des discours et solutions dominants en matière de gestion des ressources en eau. Deux pistes d'amélioration sont avancées: 1. considérer l'équité d'accès comme un moyen d'optimiser la gestion de la ressource (limiter le volume d'eau par agriculteur pour encourager les choix de cultures irriguées peu consommatrices et l'adoption des technologies d'économie d'eau), 2. prêter attention à l'ordre dans lequel les différents instruments de gestion disponibles sont employés afin de les articuler dans un séquençage temporel pertinent. La Political Ecology apparait comme un cadre conceptuel très pertinent pour engager cette réflexion critique. Elle permet d'intégrer différentes échelles d'asymétries de pouvoirs à la compréhension des situations et des blocages observables localement : inégalités de capabilités et forces socio-politiques à l'échelle locale, politiques agro-industrielles (coton) et jeux d'alliances politiques des castes à l'échelle nationale, discours et conflits idéologiques ou orientations stratégiques des bailleurs de fonds à l'échelle internationale... Notre recherche empirique contribue modestement au développement de cette Political Ecology de la mise en valeur et de la gestion des ressources en eau. - The present research is based on a close collaboration with an indian NGO, AKRSP(I), which is active in the development of irrigation facilities in Gujarat for the past 25 years. We built a GIS prototype providing quantitative and spatial datas to analyse the NGO intervention and propose a general reflection about water resources development and management issues. Three main findings may be emphasized : The potential of GIS within the workings of an NGO is obvious, as an information ma-nagement tool as much as for developing analytical capacity. However, financial backers expectations may not favour a relevant development of this technology. Indirectly, they promote Information Systems built to justify rather than to plan or monitor action pro¬grammes. This raises the question of stricter framework, conditionality criters and stan¬dardised assessment indicators surrounding official development assistance. There is strong potential that NGOs can assist with the improvement of water resources in India. They can help in overcoming Indian demographic-related agricultural challenges, especially in marginal rural areas neglected by state services. However, intervention strategies mainly based on technical and economic management tools has to be adapted. We found that they lead to inequitable access and distribution of water resources what induces a low efficiency of irrigation practices from an agro-technical point of view. These results underline the need to go further in criticizing dominant ideas and guidelines regarding water resources management. We suggest two other options : 1. to consider equitable access has a tool to improve the effective use of water for agricul¬tural purposes (limiting the volume of water available per farmer would encourage them to adopt low water consumption crops and water saving technics), 2. to consider more carefully the order of use of the various management tools available and to structure them in a relevant sequence. Here, Political Ecology seems to be a relevant conceptual framework to enter into such a critical reflection, integrating different levels and scales of political asymmetries at the core of environmental issues. Indeed, the understanding of regional water situations and social stumbling blocks needs not only to consider local capabilities and socio-political inequities, but also agro-industrial policy (e.i. cotton) and caste political alliances at a national scale, as well as ideological and narrative struggles or strategical orientations of financial backers at an international level. Our empirical research modestly contributes to the development of such a Political Ecology of water resources development and management.

Asset Management Program Enhancement Plan: Baseline Assessment Phases I and II, 2015

This project resulted in the development of a framework for making asset management decisions on low-volume bridges. The research focused on low-volume bridges located in the agricultural counties of Iowa because recent research has shown that these counties have the greatest percentage of structurally deficient bridges in the nation. Many of the same counties also have the highest crop yields in the state, creating a situation where detours caused by deficient bridges on farm-to-market roads increase the cost to transport the crops. Thus, the research proposed the use of social return on investment (SROI), a tool used by international institutions such as the World Bank, as an asset management metric to gauge to the socioeconomic impact of structurally deficient bridges on the state in an effort to provide quantified justification to fund improvements on low-volume assets such as these rural bridges. The study found that combining SROI with current asset management metrics like average daily traffic (ADT) made it possible to prioritize the bridges in such a way that the limited resources available are allocated in a manner that promotes a more equitable distribution and that directly benefits the user, in this case Iowa farmers. The result is a system that more closely aligns itself with the spirit of MAP-21, in that infrastructure investments are used to facilitate economic growth for Iowa’s agricultural economy.