994 resultados para Cumulative Prospect Theory


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Trabalho apresentado no mbito do Doutoramento em Informtica, como requisito parcial para obteno do grau de Doutor em Informtica

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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for degree of Master in Statistics and Information Management.

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Etnogrfica, 15 (2): 313-336

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Smart Grids (SGs) have emerged as the new paradigm for power system operation and management, being designed to include large amounts of distributed energy resources. This new paradigm requires new Energy Resource Management (ERM) methodologies considering different operation strategies and the existence of new management players such as several types of aggregators. This paper proposes a methodology to facilitate the coalition between distributed generation units originating Virtual Power Players (VPP) considering a game theory approach. The proposed approach consists in the analysis of the classifications that were attributed by each VPP to the distributed generation units, as well as in the analysis of the previous established contracts by each player. The proposed classification model is based in fourteen parameters including technical, economical and behavioural ones. Depending of the VPP strategies, size and goals, each parameter has different importance. VPP can also manage other type of energy resources, like storage units, electric vehicles, demand response programs or even parts of the MV and LV distribution network. A case study with twelve VPPs with different characteristics and one hundred and fifty real distributed generation units is included in the paper.

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This paper presents a decision support methodology for electricity market players bilateral contract negotiations. The proposed model is based on the application of game theory, using artificial intelligence to enhance decision support methods adaptive features. This model is integrated in AiD-EM (Adaptive Decision Support for Electricity Markets Negotiations), a multi-agent system that provides electricity market players with strategic behavior capabilities to improve their outcomes from energy contracts negotiations. Although a diversity of tools that enable the study and simulation of electricity markets has emerged during the past few years, these are mostly directed to the analysis of market models and power systems technical constraints, making them suitable tools to support decisions of market operators and regulators. However, the equally important support of market negotiating players decisions is being highly neglected. The proposed model contributes to overcome the existing gap concerning effective and realistic decision support for electricity market negotiating entities. The proposed method is validated by realistic electricity market simulations using real data from the Iberian market operatorMIBEL. Results show that the proposed adaptive decision support features enable electricity market players to improve their outcomes from bilateral contracts negotiations.

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There is no complete overview or discussion of the literature of the economics of federalism and fiscal decentralization, even though scholarly interest in the topic has been increasing significantly over recent years. This paper provides a general, brief but comprehensive overview of the main insights from the literature on fiscal federalism and decentralization. In doing so, literature on fiscal federalism and decentralization is grouped into two main approaches: first generation of theories and second generation of theories.

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Trabalho de Projeto apresentado como requisito parcial para obteno do grau de Mestre em Estatstica e Gesto de Informao

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A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA School of Business and Economics

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A PhD Dissertation, presented as part of the requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy from the NOVA - School of Business and Economics

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As estratgias de malevolncia implicam que um indivduo pague um custo para infligir um custo superior a um oponente. Como um dos comportamentos fundamentais da sociobiologia, a malevolncia tem recebido menos ateno que os seus pares o egosmo e a cooperao. Contudo, foi estabelecido que a malevolncia uma estratgia vivel em populaes pequenas quando usada contra indivduos negativamente geneticamente relacionados pois este comportamento pode i) ser eliminado naturalmente, ou ii) manter-se em equilbrio com estratgias cooperativas devido disponibilidade da parte de indivduos malevolentes de pagar um custo para punir. Esta tese prope compreender se a propenso para a malevolncia nos humanos inerente ou se esta se desenvolve com a idade. Para esse efeito, considerei duas experincias de teoria de jogos em crianas em ambiente escolar com idades entre os 6 e os 22 anos. A primeira, um jogo 2x2 foi testada com duas variantes: 1) um prmio foi atribudo a ambos os jogadores, proporcionalmente aos pontos acumulados; 2), um prmio foi atribudo ao jogador com mais pontos. O jogo foi desenhado com o intuito de causar o seguinte dilema a cada jogador: i) maximizar o seu ganho e arriscar ter menos pontos que o adversrio; ou ii) decidir no maximizar o seu ganho, garantindo que este no era inferior ao do seu adversrio. A segunda experincia consistia num jogo do ditador com duas opes: uma escolha egosta/altrusta (A), onde o ditador recebia mais ganho, mas o seu recipiente recebia mais que ele e uma escolha malevolente (B) que oferecia menos ganhos ao ditador que a A mas mais ganhos que o recipiente. O dilema era que se as crianas se comportassem de maneira egosta, obtinham mais ganho para si, ao mesmo tempo que aumentavam o ganho do seu colega. Se fossem malevolentes, ento prefeririam ter mais ganho que o seu colega ao mesmo tempo que tinham menos para eles prprios. As experincias foram efetuadas em escolas de duas reas distintas de Portugal (continente e Aores) para perceber se as preferncias malevolentes aumentavam ou diminuam com a idade. Os resultados na primeira experincia sugerem que (1) os alunos compreenderam a primeira variante como um jogo de coordenao e comportaram-se como maximizadores, copiando as jogadas anteriores dos seus adversrios; (2) que os alunos repetentes se comportaram preferencialmente como malevolentes, mais frequentemente que como maximizadores, com especial nfase para os alunos de 14 anos; (3) maioria dos alunos comportou-se reciprocamente desde os 12 at aos 16 anos de idade, aps os quais comearam a desenvolver uma maior tolerncia s escolhas dos seus parceiros. Os resultados da segunda experincia sugerem que (1) as estratgias egostas eram prevalentes at aos 6 anos de idade, (2) as tendncias altrustas emergiram at aos 8 anos de idade e (3) as estratgias de malevolncia comearam a emergir a partir dos 8 anos de idade. Estes resultados complementam a literatura relativamente escassa sobre malevolncia e sugerem que este comportamento est intimamente ligado a preferncias de considerao sobre os outros, o paroquialismo e os estgios de desenvolvimento das crianas.************************************************************Spite is defined as an act that causes loss of payoff to an opponent at a cost to the actor. As one of the four fundamental behaviours in sociobiology, it has received far less attention than its counterparts selfishness and cooperation. It has however been established as a viable strategy in small populations when used against negatively related individuals. Because of this, spite can either i) disappear or ii) remain at equilibrium with cooperative strategies due to the willingness of spiteful individuals to pay a cost in order to punish. This thesis sets out to understand whether propensity for spiteful behaviour is inherent or if it develops with age. For that effect, two game-theoretical experiments were performed with schoolboys and schoolgirls aged 6 to 22. The first, a 2 x 2 game, was tested in two variants: 1) a prize was awarded to both players, proportional to accumulated points; 2), a prize was given to the player with most points. Each player faced the following dilemma: i) to maximise pay-off risking a lower pay-off than the opponent; or ii) not to maximise pay-off in order to cut down the opponent below their own. The second game was a dictator experiment with two choices, (A) a selfish/altruistic choice affording more payoff to the donor than B, but more to the recipient than to the donor, and (B) a spiteful choice that afforded less payoff to the donor than A, but even lower payoff to the recipient. The dilemma here was that if subjects behaved selfishly, they obtained more payoff for themselves, while at the same time increasing their opponent payoff. If they were spiteful, they would rather have more payoff than their colleague, at the cost of less for themselves. Experiments were run in schools in two different areas in Portugal (mainland and Azores) to understand whether spiteful preferences varied with age. Results in the first experiment suggested that (1) students understood the first variant as a coordination game and engaged in maximising behaviour by copying their opponents plays; (2) repeating students preferentially engaged in spiteful behaviour more often than maximising behaviour, with special emphasis on 14 year-olds; (3) most students engaged in reciprocal behaviour from ages 12 to 16, as they began developing higher tolerance for their opponent choices. Results for the second experiment suggested that (1) selfish strategies were prevalent until the age of 6, (2) altruistic tendencies emerged since then, and (3) spiteful strategies began being chosen more often by 8 year-olds. These results add to the relatively scarce body of literature on spite and suggest that this type of behaviour is closely tied with other-regarding preferences, parochialism and the childrens stages of development.

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Software as a service (SaaS) is a service model in which the applications are accessible from various client devices through internet. Several studies report possible factors driving the adoption of SaaS but none have considered the perception of the SaaS features and the pressures existing in the organizations environment. We propose an integrated research model that combines the process virtualization theory (PVT) and the institutional theory (INT). PVT seeks to explain whether SaaS processes are suitable for migration into virtual environments via an information technology-based mechanism. INT seeks to explain the effects of the institutionalized environment on the structure and actions of the organization. The research makes three contributions. First, it addresses a gap in the SaaS adoption literature by studying the internal perception of the technical features of SaaS and external coercive, normative, and mimetic pressures faced by an organization. Second, it empirically tests many of the propositions of PVT and INT in the SaaS context, thereby helping to determine how the theory operates in practice. Third, the integration of PVT and INT contributes to the information system (IS) discipline, deepening the applicability and strengths of these theories.

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O objetivo final deste estudo contribuir para a discusso sobre qual a medida em que conceitos semnticos e discursivos esto sintaticamente codificados. Mais especificamente, investiga-se se existe alguma correlao consistente entre alguns aspetos interpretativos e sintticos de quatro construes clivadas do Portugus Europeu, e como se deve dar conta teoricamente destas potenciais correlaes. As clivadas consideradas so as clivadas cannicas, as pseudoclivadas, as clivadas de que e as clivadas de SER. Sintaticamente podemos distinguir dois tipos: clivadas bioracionais (cannicas e pseudoclivadas) e clivadas mono-oracionais (clivadas de que e de SER). Todas as estruturas tm um constituinte clivado focalizado que pode constituir tanto um foco informacional como um foco contrastivo, e uma orao clivada que introduz uma pressuposio existencial. Adicionalmente, o constituinte clivado identifica exaustivamente uma posio vazia na orao clivada. Adota-se a semntica alternativa para o foco (Rooth 1985), segundo a qual o foco entoacional contribui uniformemente um conjunto de alternativas na Forma Lgica. Regras pragmticas operando neste conjunto do origem a duas implicaturas que podem ser suspensas: pressuposio existencial e exaustividade. Dado que as clivadas de que e as de SER tm a mesma interpretao que oraes no-clivadas, conclui-se que a sua estrutura sinttica particular no contribui para estas propriedades interpretativas. Em contrapartida, as clivadas bioracionais, que so oraes copulativas especificacionais, tm uma presuposio existencial e uma interpretao exaustiva que no pode ser suspensa, tal como as oraes especificacionais no-clivadas. Argumenta-se que isto se deve ao facto de o constituinte clivado identificar uma varivel introduzida por uma descrio definida. Demonstra-se que a orao clivada, uma relativa em posio de complemento de um determinador definido nas clivadas cannicas e uma relativa livre nas pseudoclivadas, tem a mesma denotao que um DP definido, e portanto tem uma pressuposio existencial inerente. A interpretao exaustiva deve-se relao identificacional entre o constituinte clivado e a descrio definida. Alm disso, defende-se que em Portugus Europeu um trao de foco no desencadeia movimento-A para um FocP especializado. Os constituintes focalizados movem-se antes por razes independentes do foco. Isto confirmado pelo facto de apenas o constituinte clivado das clivadas de que ter propriedades de movimento A, os outros parecem estar in situ. Prope-se que o constituinte clivado das clivadas de que um tpico com um trao de foco que se move para um TopP. Esta anlise d conta da existncia de restries discursivas semelhantes para tpicos no focalizados e para o constituinte clivado das clivadas de que. O trao quantificacional de foco arrastado pela topicalizao d origem a efeitos de interveno, causando a no-recursividade do foco na periferia esquerda e a sua incompatibilidade com movimento de outros constituintes com traos quantificacionais. A anlise prediz as restries de encaixe observadas para as clivadas de que. Finalmente, desenvolve-se uma anlise sinttica das clivadas de SER que aproxima estas estruturas das estruturas com partculas de foco. Prope-se que a cpula um operador sensvel ao foco que merged juntamente com o constituinte clivado. As restries distribucionais da cpula devem-se a requisitos selecionais de ncleos.

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The computation of the optical conductivity of strained and deformed graphene is discussed within the framework of quantum field theory in curved spaces. The analytical solutions of the Dirac equation in an arbitrary static background geometry for one dimensional periodic deformations are computed, together with the corresponding Dirac propagator. Analytical expressions are given for the optical conductivity of strained and deformed graphene associated with both intra and interbrand transitions. The special case of small deformations is discussed and the result compared to the prediction of the tight-binding model.

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A modified version of the metallic-phase pseudofermion dynamical theory (PDT) of the 1D Hubbard model is introduced for the spin dynamical correlation functions of the half-filled 1D Hubbard model Mott Hubbard phase. The MottHubbard insulator phase PDT is applied to the study of the model longitudinal and transverse spin dynamical structure factors at finite magnetic field h, focusing in particular on the sin- gularities at excitation energies in the vicinity of the lower thresholds. The relation of our theoretical results to both condensed-matter and ultra-cold atom systems is discussed.