913 resultados para multiple simultaneous equation models
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Pour permettre de mieux comprendre la problématique du désengagement des adolescents en éducation physique et aussi à l’endroit de l’activité physique en général, la présente étude avait pour objectif d’examiner les liens entre, d’une part, le climat motivationnel en classe d’éducation physique (maîtrise et performance) et les besoins psychologiques des élèves des deux sexes (compétence, autonomie et appartenance) et, d’autre part, les buts d’accomplissement (maîtrise, performance-approche et performance-évitement) poursuivis en éducation physique. Elle visait aussi à examiner l’impact des buts d’accomplissement sur les attitudes et habitudes des adolescents à l’endroit de l’activité physique en général. Pour atteindre ces objectifs, 909 élèves (âge moyen = 13,87[0,94]) ont rempli des questionnaires à items auto-révélés à trois reprises pendant l’année scolaire. Des modèles d’équations structurelles (AMOS 22), des analyses d’invariance ainsi que l’approche sans contrainte ont servi à analyser les données. Les résultats indiquent que les buts d’accomplissement des élèves varient en fonction du climat motivationnel perçu et que le sentiment de compétence entretient une relation positive avec les trois buts d’accomplissement. Ces relations étaient invariantes selon le sexe des élèves. Par ailleurs, une seule interaction climat-besoin s’est avérée significative : l’interaction entre le climat de maîtrise et le sentiment d’autonomie prédit négativement l’adoption de buts de performance-évitement. Cela signifie que la perception d’un climat de maîtrise réduit l’adoption de buts de performance-évitement par les élèves, mais seulement lorsque ceux-ci affichent un fort sentiment d’autonomie. Finalement, l’adoption de buts de maîtrise et de buts de performance-approche en éducation physique exerce une influence positive sur les attitudes des élèves qui, à leur tour, influencent leurs habitudes en activité physique. Seule l’adoption de buts de performance-approche entretient une relation positive directe avec les habitudes des élèves. En conclusion, l’enseignant d’éducation physique peut agir sur la motivation et l’engagement des élèves en classe, mais aussi à l’extérieur des cours, en instaurant un climat motivationnel de maîtrise et en aidant les élèves à satisfaire leur besoin de compétence.
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Objective: To examine sociodemographic and dental factors for associations with dental sealant placement in children and adolescents aged 6-18 years old. Methods: Secondary data analysis of 2011-2012 NHANES data was conducted. Multiple logistic regression models were used to assess relationships between predictor variables and sealant presence. Results: More than a third (37.1%) of children and adolescents have at least one sealant present; 67.9% of children compared with 40.4% of adolescents. Racial/ethnic differences exist, with Non-Hispanic black youth having the lowest odds of having sealants. Sealant placement odds vary by presence of dental home; the magnitude of the odds varies by age group. Those with untreated decay have lower odds of having sealants than those who do not have untreated decay (child OR: 2.6, 95% CI: 1.83-3.72; adolescent OR: 3.9, 95% CI: 2.59-6.07). Conclusion: Disparities exist in odds of sealant prevalence across racial/ethnic groups, income levels, and dental disease and visit characteristics. Further research is necessary to understand the reasons for these differences and to inform future interventions.
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As azeitonas de mesa são consumidas e apreciadas em todo o mundo e, embora a sua classificação comercial não seja legalmente exigida, o Conselho Oleícola Internacional sugere que seja regulamentada com base na avaliação sensorial por um painel de provadores. A implementação de tal requer o cumprimento de diretrizes estabelecidas pelo Conselho Oleícola Internacional, resultando numa tarefa complexa, demorada e cujas avaliações não estão isentas de subjetividade. Neste trabalho, pela primeira vez, uma língua eletrónica foi utilizada com o intuito de classificar azeitonas de mesa em categorias comerciais, estipuladas com base na presença e na mediana das intensidades do defeito organolético predominante percebido pelo painel de provadores. Modelos de discriminação lineares foram estabelecidos com base em subconjuntos de sinais potenciométricos de sensores da língua eletrónica, selecionados recorrendo ao algoritmo de arrefecimento simulado. Os desempenhos qualitativo de previsão dos modelos de classificação estabelecidos foram avaliados recorrendo à técnica de validação cruzada leave-one-out e à técnica de validação cruzada K-folds com repetição, que permite minimizar o risco de sobreajustamento, permitindo obter resultados mais realistas. O potencial desta abordagem qualitativa, baseada nos perfis eletroquímicos gerados pela língua eletrónica, foi satisfatoriamente demonstrado: (i) na classificação correta (sensibilidades ≥ 93%) de soluções padrão (ácido n-butírico, 2-mercaptoetanol e ácido ciclohexanocarboxílico) de acordo com o defeito sensorial que mimetizam (butírico, pútrido ou sapateira); (ii) na classificação correta (sensibilidades ≥ 93%) de amostras de referência de azeitonas e salmouras (presença de um defeito único intenso) de acordo com o tipo de defeito percebido (avinhado-avinagrado, butírico, mofo, pútrido ou sapateira), e selecionadas pelo painel de provadores; e, (iii) na classificação correta (sensibilidade ≥ 86%) de amostras de azeitonas de mesa com grande heterogeneidade, contendo um ou mais defeitos organoléticos percebidos pelo painel de provadores nas azeitona e/ou salmouras, de acordo com a sua categoria comercial (azeitona extra sem defeito, extra, 1ª escolha, 2ª escolha e azeitonas que não podem ser comercializadas como azeitonas de mesa). Por fim, a capacidade língua eletrónica em quantificar as medianas das intensidades dos atributos negativos detetados pelo painel nas azeitonas de mesa foi demonstrada recorrendo a modelos de regressão linear múltipla-algoritmo de arrefecimento simulado, com base em subconjuntos selecionados de sinais gerados pela língua eletrónica durante a análise potenciométrica das azeitonas e salmouras. O xii desempenho de previsão dos modelos quantitativos foi validado recorrendo às mesmas duas técnicas de validação cruzada. Os modelos estabelcidos para cada um dos 5 defeitos sensoriais presentes nas amostras de azeitona de mesa, permitiram quantificar satisfatoriamente as medianas das intensidades dos defeitos (R² ≥ 0,97). Assim, a qualidade satisfatória dos resultados qualitativos e quantitativos alcançados permite antever, pela primeira vez, uma possível aplicação prática das línguas eletrónicas como uma ferramenta de análise sensorial de defeitos em azeitonas de mesa, podendo ser usada como uma técnica rápida, económica e útil na avaliação organolética de atributos negativos, complementar à tradicional análise sensorial por um painel de provadores.
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Dissertação de Mestrado apresentada ao Instituto Superior de Psicologia Aplicada para obtenção de grau de Mestre na especialidade de Psicologia Clínica.
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The introduction of delays into ordinary or partial differential equation models is well known to facilitate the production of rich dynamics ranging from periodic solutions through to spatio-temporal chaos. In this paper we consider a class of scalar partial differential equations with a delayed threshold nonlinearity which admits exact solutions for equilibria, periodic orbits and travelling waves. Importantly we show how the spectra of periodic and travelling wave solutions can be determined in terms of the zeros of a complex analytic function. Using this as a computational tool to determine stability we show that delays can have very different effects on threshold systems with negative as opposed to positive feedback. Direct numerical simulations are used to confirm our bifurcation analysis, and to probe some of the rich behaviour possible for mixed feedback.
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Research on attitudes toward seeking professional help among college students has examined the influence of social class and stigma. This study tested 4 theoretically and empirically derived structural equation models of college students’ attitudes toward seeking counseling with a sample of 2230 incoming university students. The models represented competing hypotheses regarding the manners in which objective social class, subjective social class, classism, public stigma, stigma by close others, and self-stigma related to attitudes toward seeking professional help. Findings supported the social class direct and indirect effects model, as well as the notion that classism and stigma domains could explain the indirect relationships between social class and attitudes. Study limitations, future directions for research, and implications for counseling are discussed.
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En éste artículo se analiza las características y dimensiones de los indicadores de las Estrategias Genéricas (Porter, 1980) y de los Cuadro de Mando Integral (Kaplan y Norton, 1992), para posteriormente integrarlas y conjugarlas con el propósito de conformar un “Modelo de Medición de la Gestión Estrategia mediante una Estructura del Cuadro de Mando Integral para el Sector Manufacturero de Talabartería y Guarnicionería de Venezuela” (CMI-EGP). Los datos fueron recolectados con dos cuestionarios basados en dimensiones de éstas dos teorías, relacionadas con la alineación entre el recurso humano y la gestión organizacional. Es decir, donde cada dependencia busca alinear los enfoques estratégicos propios de la organización, para así convertirse en un factor de éxito. La metodología empírica empleada esta basada en la técnica de reducción de datos o análisis factorial y por un análisis confirmatorio mediante la técnica Structural Equation Models (SEM), que es una herramienta integral de modelización multiecuacional que fusiona la econometría con los principios de medición de la psicología y la sociología. Esta técnica estadística de análisis multivariante tiene como objetivos primordiales, el aumentar la capacidad explicativa del investigador y la eficacia estadística. La investigación proporciona una modelización confirmatoria que correlaciona las variables latentes y manifiestas, que determinan el grado de relación y alineación entre las cuatro perspectivas de cuadro de mando integral (procesos internos, financieros, del cliente y aprendizaje y crecimiento) y las estrategias genéricas de Porter. Para el procesamiento se emplea el software LISREL versión más reciente 8.8 del año 2009, que es un programa usado en el análisis de ecuaciones estructurales, que fue desarrollado en los años setenta por Karl Jöreskog y Dag Sörbom, ambos profesores de la Universidad de Upsala, Suecia.
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Dissertação de Mestrado em Políticas de Desenvolvimento dos Recursos Humanos
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Background: The World Health Organization (WHO) defines mental health as “a state of well-being in which every individual realizes own potential, can cope with the normal pressures of life, is able to work effectively, and can make a contribution to community”. Objectives: Mental Health Problems (MHP) is a great concern for all societies in terms of its burden and impact. This survey screened MHP and its impact in an Iranian urban population aged 6 - 12 years old, and explored its associated socio-familial factors. Patients and Methods: The survey was conducted in the elementary schools of Semnan, using random cluster sampling. Collection and analysis of data was performed using the parent version of the “Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ)” and survey commands of Stata-nine, taking into account cluster effect and population weights. Associations were assessed by fitting simple and multiple logistic regression models. P < 0.05 was considered significant. Results: With regard to the SDQ total score, 19.3% (95% CI: 8.6, 30.1) scored above the normal threshold (9.6% abnormal, 9.7% borderline). The frequency of problems ranged between 16.1% (peer problems) and 8.4% (emotional symptoms), and in all subscales boys were affected more than girls. The impact score was abnormal in 68.4% of all children, and was greater in girls than in boys. “A previously diagnosed mental health disorder” (OR = 11.11, 95% CI: 5.55, 25.00), “male gender” (OR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.10, 1.87 and “less time spent with the child by father” (OR = 1.61, 95% CI: 1.20, 2.17) were significantly associated with an abnormal SDQ. Conclusions: The high rate of MHP in 6 - 12 year-old children and the lack of any significant correlation with their age, underpins the importance of early screening for MHP in schools, with particular focus on high risk groups.
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The scalar Schrödinger equation models the probability density distribution for a particle to be found in a point x given a certain potential V(x) forming a well with respect to a fixed energy level E_0. Formally two real inversion points a,b exist such that V(a)=V(b)=E_0, V(x)<0 in (a,b) and V(x)>0 for xb. Following the work made by D.Yafaev and performing a WKB approximation we obtain solutions defined on specific intervals. The aim of the first part of the thesis is to find a condition on E, which belongs to a neighbourhood of E_0, such that it is an eigenvalue of the Schrödinger operator, obtaining in this way global and linear dependent solutions in L2. In quantum mechanics this condition is known as Bohr-Sommerfeld quantization. In the second part we define a Schrödinger operator referred to two potential wells and we study the quantization conditions on E in order to have a global solution in L2xL2 with respect to the mutual position of the potentials. In particular their wells can be disjoint,can have an intersection, can be included one into the other and can have a single point intersection. For these cases we refer to the works of A.Martinez, S. Fujiié, T. Watanabe, S. Ashida.
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The severe accidents deriving from the impact of natural events on industrial installations have become a matter of growing concern in the last decades. In the literature, these events are typically referred to as Natech accidents. Several peculiarities distinguish them from conventional industrial accidents caused by internal factors, such as the possible occurrence of multiple simultaneous failures, and the enhanced probability of cascading events. The research project provides a comprehensive overview of Natech accidents that occurred in the Chemical and Process Industry, allowing for the identification of relevant aspects of Natech events. Quantified event trees and probability of ignition are derived from the collected dataset, providing a step forward in the quantitative risk assessment of Natech accidents. The investigation of past Natech accidents also demonstrated that wildfires may cause technological accidents. Climate change and global warming are promoting the conditions for wildfire development and rapid spread. Hence, ensuring the safety of industrial facilities exposed to wildfires is paramount. This was achieved defining safety distances between wildland vegetation and industrial equipment items. In addition, an innovative methodology for the vulnerability assessment of Natech and Domino scenarios triggered by wildfires was developed. The approach accounted for the dynamic behaviour of wildfire events and related technological scenarios. Besides, the performance of the emergency response and the related intervention time in the case of cascading events caused by natural events were evaluated. Overall, the tools presented in this thesis represent a step forward in the Quantitative Risk Assessment of Natech accidents. The methodologies developed also provide a solid basis for the definition of effective strategies for risk mitigation and reduction. These aspects are crucial to improve the resilience of industrial plants to natural hazards, especially considering the effects that climate change may have on the severity of such events.
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Quantifying the health effects associated with simultaneous exposure to many air pollutants is now a research priority of the US EPA. Bayesian hierarchical models (BHM) have been extensively used in multisite time series studies of air pollution and health to estimate health effects of a single pollutant adjusted for potential confounding of other pollutants and other time-varying factors. However, when the scientific goal is to estimate the impacts of many pollutants jointly, a straightforward application of BHM is challenged by the need to specify a random-effect distribution on a high-dimensional vector of nuisance parameters, which often do not have an easy interpretation. In this paper we introduce a new BHM formulation, which we call "reduced BHM", aimed at analyzing clustered data sets in the presence of a large number of random effects that are not of primary scientific interest. At the first stage of the reduced BHM, we calculate the integrated likelihood of the parameter of interest (e.g. excess number of deaths attributed to simultaneous exposure to high levels of many pollutants). At the second stage, we specify a flexible random-effect distribution directly on the parameter of interest. The reduced BHM overcomes many of the challenges in the specification and implementation of full BHM in the context of a large number of nuisance parameters. In simulation studies we show that the reduced BHM performs comparably to the full BHM in many scenarios, and even performs better in some cases. Methods are applied to estimate location-specific and overall relative risks of cardiovascular hospital admissions associated with simultaneous exposure to elevated levels of particulate matter and ozone in 51 US counties during the period 1999-2005.
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Whereas numerical modeling using finite-element methods (FEM) can provide transient temperature distribution in the component with enough accuracy, it is of the most importance the development of compact dynamic thermal models that can be used for electrothermal simulation. While in most cases single power sources are considered, here we focus on the simultaneous presence of multiple sources. The thermal model will be in the form of a thermal impedance matrix containing the thermal impedance transfer functions between two arbitrary ports. Eachindividual transfer function element ( ) is obtained from the analysis of the thermal temperature transient at node ¿ ¿ after a power step at node ¿ .¿ Different options for multiexponential transient analysis are detailed and compared. Among the options explored, small thermal models can be obtained by constrained nonlinear least squares (NLSQ) methods if the order is selected properly using validation signals. The methods are applied to the extraction of dynamic compact thermal models for a new ultrathin chip stack technology (UTCS).
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This study examines criteria for the existence of two stable states of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) using a combination of theory and simulations from a numerical coupled atmosphere–ocean climate model. By formulating a simple collection of state parameters and their relationships, the authors reconstruct the North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) OFF state behavior under a varying external salt-flux forcing. This part (Part I) of the paper examines the steady-state solution, which gives insight into the mechanisms that sustain the NADW OFF state in this coupled model; Part II deals with the transient behavior predicted by the evolution equation. The nonlinear behavior of the Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW) reverse cell is critical to the OFF state. Higher Atlantic salinity leads both to a reduced AAIW reverse cell and to a greater vertical salinity gradient in the South Atlantic. The former tends to reduce Atlantic salt export to the Southern Ocean, while the latter tends to increases it. These competing effects produce a nonlinear response of Atlantic salinity and salt export to salt forcing, and the existence of maxima in these quantities. Thus the authors obtain a natural and accurate analytical saddle-node condition for the maximal surface salt flux for which a NADW OFF state exists. By contrast, the bistability indicator proposed by De Vries and Weber does not generally work in this model. It is applicable only when the effect of the AAIW reverse cell on the Atlantic salt budget is weak.
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Integrated choice and latent variable (ICLV) models represent a promising new class of models which merge classic choice models with the structural equation approach (SEM) for latent variables. Despite their conceptual appeal, applications of ICLV models in marketing remain rare. We extend previous ICLV applications by first estimating a multinomial choice model and, second, by estimating hierarchical relations between latent variables. An empirical study on travel mode choice clearly demonstrates the value of ICLV models to enhance the understanding of choice processes. In addition to the usually studied directly observable variables such as travel time, we show how abstract motivations such as power and hedonism as well as attitudes such as a desire for flexibility impact on travel mode choice. Furthermore, we show that it is possible to estimate such a complex ICLV model with the widely available structural equation modeling package Mplus. This finding is likely to encourage more widespread application of this appealing model class in the marketing field.