The Optimal Confidence Region for a Random Parameter

Under a two-level hierarchical model, suppose that the distribution of the random parameter is known or can be estimated well. Data are generated via a fixed, but unobservable realization of this parameter. In this paper, we derive the smallest confidence region of the random parameter under a joint Bayesian/frequentist paradigm. On average this optimal region can be much smaller than the corresponding Bayesian highest posterior density region. The new estimation procedure is appealing when one deals with data generated under a highly parallel structure, for example, data from a trial with a large number of clinical centers involved or genome-wide gene-expession data for estimating individual gene- or center-specific parameters simultaneously. The new proposal is illustrated with a typical microarray data set and its performance is examined via a small simulation study.

Confidence Bands for Convex Median Curves using Sign-Tests

Suppose that one observes pairs (x1,Y1), (x2,Y2), ..., (xn,Yn), where x1 < x2 < ... < xn are fixed numbers while Y1, Y2, ..., Yn are independent random variables with unknown distributions. The only assumption is that Median(Yi) = f(xi) for some unknown convex or concave function f. We present a confidence band for this regression function f using suitable multiscale sign tests. While the exact computation of this band seems to require O(n4) steps, good approximations can be obtained in O(n2) steps. In addition the confidence band is shown to have desirable asymptotic properties as the sample size n tends to infinity.

Fatal sepsis in an AIDS patient during therapy for Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia

The case of a patient with a newly diagnosed HIV infection and Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia is presented. Despite treatment with high-dose trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole (TMP/SMX) and prednisone with initial improvement, the patient acutely deteriorated with severe acidosis and died on the 4th day of hospitalization. Cryptococcus neoformans grew the next day in broncheoalveolar lavage (BAL) and blood culture. As simultaneous presence of more than one opportunistic infection can occur in these patients, systematic workup for other common opportunistic infections must be performed.

[Community-acquired pneumonia--pathogens and assessment]

Pneumonia is one of the most important infectious diseases, both in terms of incidence as well as potential severity. Streptococcus pneumoniae remains the most prevalent etiologic agent, accounting for about two-thirds of bacteremic cases. Diagnostic procedures include chest radiography, blood culture, Gram staining and culture of expectorated sputum, urine antigen assays for Legionella pneumophila and pneumococci, and asservation of an initial serum sample for comparative serologic investigations. Molecular biology techniques continue to gain importance for the diagnosis of Chlamydia pneumoniae, Mycoplasma pneumoniae, Legionellae and viral respiratory infections, however, their availability at present is mainly restricted to research and reference laboratories.

Pneumonia due to resistant Streptococcus pneumoniae

In the past 10 to 20 years the pneumococcus, the most common pathogen of community-acquired pneumonia, has developed resistance to most antibiotics used for its treatment. Classes with important resistance problems include the beta-lactams, the macrolides and lincosamides, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, and the tetracyclines. Unfortunately, resistance to more than one class of antibiotics is common in pneumococci, and their treatment is thus becoming more difficult. Patients likely to harbour resistant organisms include young children, particularly those attending day care, older patients, and subjects who have received recent antibiotic therapy, suffer from underlying diseases including HIV, or have nosocomial or polymicrobial pneumonia. The consequences of resistance development are different for different classes of antibiotics. With beta-lactams, the increase in minimal inhibitory concentrations is usually moderate in resistant strains, and because of the high concentrations that can be achieved with this class of drugs resistance does not usually lead to treatment failure. Thus, beta-lactams continue to be important drugs for the treatment of pneumococcal pneumonia, even if the organism is resistant. In contrast, resistance to other classes of antibiotics must be assumed to render these drugs ineffective. Newer quinolones represent valuable alternatives for the treatment of pneumococcal pneumonia, since their efficacy is not affected by resistance to other classes of antibiotics and they cover almost all pathogens of community-acquired pneumonia, including the atypical pathogens. However, they should be used with restraint in order to preserve this valuable class of drugs.

[Pneumonia: what's new?]

Pneumonia continues to be one of the most important infectious diseases which often leads to hospital admissions and is occasionally fatal. The spectrum of causative organisms, their sensitivity pattern to antibiotics, diagnostic tools, and available antibiotics are continually changing. Currently, the most disquieting trend is the increasing development of resistance to commonly used antibiotics by the pneumococcus. Although this trend has thus far been observed primarily in other countries, it will most likely not spare Switzerland. Rational empiric therapy must include careful clinical assessment of the patient, knowledge of the spectrum of organisms locally causing pneumonias, including their resistance patterns, as well as a prognostic assessment of the patient. Using these factors, possible antibiotic schemes for empiric therapy of community-acquired pneumonia are reviewed.

Lung epithelial apoptosis in influenza virus pneumonia: the role of macrophage-expressed TNF-related apoptosis-inducing ligand

Mononuclear phagocytes have been attributed a crucial role in the host defense toward influenza virus (IV), but their contribution to influenza-induced lung failure is incompletely understood. We demonstrate for the first time that lung-recruited "exudate" macrophages significantly contribute to alveolar epithelial cell (AEC) apoptosis by the release of tumor necrosis factor-related apoptosis-inducing ligand (TRAIL) in a murine model of influenza-induced pneumonia. Using CC-chemokine receptor 2-deficient (CCR2(-/-)) mice characterized by defective inflammatory macrophage recruitment, and blocking anti-CCR2 antibodies, we show that exudate macrophage accumulation in the lungs of influenza-infected mice is associated with pronounced AEC apoptosis and increased lung leakage and mortality. Among several proapoptotic mediators analyzed, TRAIL messenger RNA was found to be markedly up-regulated in alveolar exudate macrophages as compared with peripheral blood monocytes. Moreover, among the different alveolar-recruited leukocyte subsets, TRAIL protein was predominantly expressed on macrophages. Finally, abrogation of TRAIL signaling in exudate macrophages resulted in significantly reduced AEC apoptosis, attenuated lung leakage, and increased survival upon IV infection. Collectively, these findings demonstrate a key role for exudate macrophages in the induction of alveolar leakage and mortality in IV pneumonia. Epithelial cell apoptosis induced by TRAIL-expressing macrophages is identified as a major underlying mechanism.

Interferon-gamma regulates idiopathic pneumonia syndrome, a Th17+CD4+ T-cell-mediated graft-versus-host disease

RATIONALE: Pulmonary complications of hematopoietic stem cell transplantation include infections and graft-versus-host diseases, such as idiopathic pneumonia syndrome (IPS). Conflicting data exist regarding the role of the interferon (IFN)-gamma-producing Th1 CD4(+) T-cell subset and IL-17A in IPS. OBJECTIVES: To determine the role of IFN-gamma and IL-17A in the establishment of pulmonary graft-versus-host disease. METHODS: A semiallogeneic murine model based on C57BL/6 x BALB/c as recipients with transplantation of BALB/c RAG2(-/-) bone marrow and transfer of different genetic knockout T cells (T-bet(-/-), IFN-gamma(-/-), IFN-gammaR(-/-)) on a BALB/c background. Lung tissue was examined for parenchymal changes and infiltrating cells by histology and fluorescence-activated cell sorter analysis. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: After transfer of semiallogeneic bone marrow together with donor CD4(+) T cells lacking IFN-gamma or T-bet-a T-box transcription factor controlling Th1 commitment-we found severe inflammation in the lungs, but no enhancement in other organs. In contrast, wild-type donor CD4(+) T cells mediated minimal inflammation only, and donor CD8(+) T cells were not required for IPS development. Mechanistically, the absence of IFN-gamma or IFN-gamma signaling in pulmonary parenchymal cells promoted expansion of IL-17A-producing CD4(+) T cells and local IL-17A release. In vivo depletion of IL-17A reduced disease severity. CONCLUSIONS: One mechanism of IFN-gamma protection against IPS is negative regulation of the expansion of pathogenic IL-17A-producing CD4(+) T cells through interaction with the IFN-gamma receptor on the pulmonary parenchymal cell population.