Sinais digitais de um durômetro portátil para a estimativa de propriedades de madeiras para dormentes

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Energia na Agricultura) - FCA

Estimativa da turbidez atmosférica e radiação solar direta na incidência com base no modelo de Linke para Botucatu/SP, Brasil

O conhecimento sobre a turbidez atmosférica é de grande importância para áreas de climatologia, monitoramento de poluição e estudos da atenuação da radiação solar em condições de céu limpo. Neste trabalho o modelo de turbidez atmosférica de Linke (TL), modificado por Li e Lam é descrito e utilizado na estimativa da turbidez atmosférica e radiação solar direta na incidência (Ib). Os dados de Ib na incidência e radiação global utilizados são do período de 1996 a 2003. Os resultados mostram que TL apresenta sazonalidade em função do clima local variando entre 3,10±0,72 (maio) e 3,93±0,91(setembro), com média anual igual a 3,51±0,25. Na estimativa de Ib, ocorreu sub/superestimativa (MBE), espalhamento (RMSE) e ajustamento (d), respectivamente, em: janeiro: -4,38%; 13,87%; 0,83 e junho: 2,00%; 8,98%; 0,94. Com base nos valores dos três indicativos estatísticos, o melhor desempenho do modelo foi obtido nos meses de céu sem nuvens e baixa poluição.

Estimativa da radiação solar global em estufa de polietileno a partir do brilho solar

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Construção e validação de um túnel de vento para ensaios de estimativa da deriva em pulverizações agrícolas

The aim of this study was to build and validate a low cost reduced-scale wind tunnel for drift evaluation on pesticide application technology. The work was carried out at the NEMPA - Núcleo de Ensaio de Máquinas e Pneus Agroflorestais (NEMPA), FCA/UNESP, Departamento de Engenharia Rural, Botucatu/SP, Brazil. The wind tunnel main characteristics were an open circuit and a closed working section with a fan blowing air into the tunnel. Screens were fitted downstream after the fan in order to stabilize the air flow on the working section. The tunnel was built with 3.0 mm eucalyptus hardboard, with a total length of 4.8 m and a squared section of 0.56 m. The air flow was provided by a 180 W axial fan. The system was adjusted and calibrated to provide a laminar and stable flow at 2.0 m s-1. Validation studies were carried out by using a Teejet XR 8003 flat fan nozzle at 200 kPa (medium droplets) to apply a spray solutions containing water plus a food dye (Blue FDC) at 0,6% m v-1 mixed with two adjuvants: a polymer based anti drift formulation at 0,06% m v-1 and a sodium lauryl ether sulfate based surfactant at 0,2% v v-1. After a 10-second application the drift was collected on nylon strips transversally fixed along the tunnel at different distances from the nozzle and different high from the bottom part of the tunnel. Drift deposits were evaluated by spectrophotometry. The wind tunnel had low levels of turbulence and high repeatability of the data, which means that the flow was uniform and able to be used for carrying out measures to estimate drift. The validation results showed that the tunnel was effective to enable comparative drift measurements on the spray solution used in this work making possible the evaluation of drift risk potential under those spray technologies. The use of an adjuvant based on a polymer reduced the amount of drift from the nozzle compared to the surfactant.

Eficiência da cokrigagem na estimativa da produtividade do café conilon

The objective of this research was to estimate the productivity (PRODUT) in sc/ha of coffee conilon through the technique of cokriging, using as covariate the production of humid coffee (PROD) in kg and compare the results with estimates obtained by kriging ordinary. The study was conducted in a commercial area of conilon coffee, Coffea canephora Pierre var. conilon, located in São Mateus Municipality, Espirito Santo State. For the field work was sampled the humid coffee production in a sampling grid irregular of 18.5 ha, 87 sampling points in the total. We also determined the production of dry coffee beans and coffee benefited 12% moisture, to obtain the PRODUT variable. After exploratory data analysis, which showed the correlation between variables in the order of 0.899, was performed variogram analysis. Were adjusted theoretical variograms to PROD and PRODUT and cross variogram between two variables. Finally we estimated the value of productivity, both by ordinary kriging as per cokriging. The validation of the estimation by cokriging not shows, however, significant gains in relation to validation by ordinary kriging.

Estimativa da irradiação solar global pelo método de Angstrom-Prescott e técnicas de aprendizado de máquinas

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Estimativa do potencial de acréscimo da oferta de energia no setor sucroalcooleiro paulista a partir de cogeração e gaseificação do bagaço de cana-de-açúcar com utilização de ciclo combinado

This work evaluates the existing potential in the state of Sao Paulo for the generation of electrical energy using the sugar cane bagasse as fuel. As the bagasse is a by-product of the sugarcane and alcohol industry and it is produced in large scale in the country, mainly in the state of Sao Paulo, it is important to develop researches that aim the best utilization of this input. In order to determine its potential, at first, a study was conducted considering the utilization of the cogeneration, which is a common practice in the plants of the sector. However, it was concluded that the cogeneration could provide a higher quantity of energy if more modern technologies and more efficient processes were used. Another study to estimate the potential considered a system of gasification of the sugar cane bagasse integrated with the combined cycle (BIG/GTCC). It was concluded that this technology can provide a considerable increase in the electrical supply. In this work it was also developed an energetic study based on real data from a plant located in the state of Sao Paulo. A thermodynamic analysis was done in the existing equipment of the cogeneration section of the plant. And another analysis was done considering the implementation of the BIG/GTCC technology to the cogeneration system. Comparing the results of both settings, it was concluded that the utilization of the sugar cane bagasse integrated to a combined cycle increased considerably the efficiency in the generation of electricity of the plant, increasing more than six times its production capacity of electrical energy

Estimativa do potencial de acréscimo da oferta de energia no setor sucroalcooleiro paulista a partir de cogeração e gaseificação do bagaço de cana-de-açúcar com utilização de ciclo combinado

This work evaluates the existing potential in the state of Sao Paulo for the generation of electrical energy using the sugar cane bagasse as fuel. As the bagasse is a by-product of the sugarcane and alcohol industry and it is produced in large scale in the country, mainly in the state of Sao Paulo, it is important to develop researches that aim the best utilization of this input. In order to determine its potential, at first, a study was conducted considering the utilization of the cogeneration, which is a common practice in the plants of the sector. However, it was concluded that the cogeneration could provide a higher quantity of energy if more modern technologies and more efficient processes were used. Another study to estimate the potential considered a system of gasification of the sugar cane bagasse integrated with the combined cycle (BIG/GTCC). It was concluded that this technology can provide a considerable increase in the electrical supply. In this work it was also developed an energetic study based on real data from a plant located in the state of Sao Paulo. A thermodynamic analysis was done in the existing equipment of the cogeneration section of the plant. And another analysis was done considering the implementation of the BIG/GTCC technology to the cogeneration system. Comparing the results of both settings, it was concluded that the utilization of the sugar cane bagasse integrated to a combined cycle increased considerably the efficiency in the generation of electricity of the plant, increasing more than six times its production capacity of electrical energy

Estimativa de densidade amostral para elaboração de mapas de produtividade

Yield mapping represents the spatial variability concerning the features of a productive area and allows intervening on the next year production, for example, on a site-specific input application. The trial aimed at verifying the influence of a sampling density and the type of interpolator on yield mapping precision to be produced by a manual sampling of grains. This solution is usually adopted when a combine with yield monitor can not be used. An yield map was developed using data obtained from a combine equipped with yield monitor during corn harvesting. From this map, 84 sample grids were established and through three interpolators: inverse of square distance, inverse of distance and ordinary kriging, 252 yield maps were created. Then they were compared with the original one using the coefficient of relative deviation (CRD) and the kappa index. The loss regarding yield mapping information increased as the sampling density decreased. Besides, it was also dependent on the interpolation method used. A multiple regression model was adjusted to the variable CRD, according to the following variables: spatial variability index and sampling density. This model aimed at aiding the farmer to define the sampling density, thus, allowing to obtain the manual yield mapping, during eventual problems in the yield monitor.

Software para estimativa do custo operacional de máquinas agrícolas - MAQCONTROL

A seleção e a otimização de sistemas mecanizados são os principais objetivos da mecanização racional. Não é suficiente uma compra adequada do maquinário agrícola se sua utilização não for controlada em aspectos operacionais e financeiros. Neste trabalho, é descrito o desenvolvimento de software para estimativa do custo operacional de máquinas agrícolas (MAQCONTROL), utilizando o ambiente de desenvolvimento Borland Delphi e o banco de dados Firebird. Os custos operacionais foram divididos em fixos e variáveis. Nos custos fixos, foram estimadas as despesas com depreciação, juros, alojamento e seguros. Nos custos variáveis, foi dada ênfase aos custos de manutenção como: óleos lubrificantes, filtros, pneus, graxa, combustível, pequenos reparos e troca de peças. Os resultados demonstraram a eficiência do software para os objetivos propostos. Assim, o MAQCONTROL pode ser uma importante ferramenta no processo de administração rural, pois reduz os custos da informação e agiliza a determinação precisa dos custos operacionais de máquinas agrícolas.

Desempenho de métodos de estimativa da evapotranspiração de referência nas localidades de Frederico Westphalen e Palmeira das Missões, RS

A estimativa da evapotranspiração de referência (ETo), usada no balanço hídrico, possibilita quantificar o armazenamento de água no solo, auxiliando no manejo da irrigação. O objetivo do trabalho foi comparar métodos mais simples de estimativa da evapotranspiração de referência com o método Penman-Monteith (FAO), nas escalas diária e de 5, 10, 15 e 30 dias, e mensal, para os municípios de Frederico Westphalen e Palmeira das Missões, no RS. Os métodos avaliados tenderam a melhorar a eficiência com o aumento da escala temporal de estudo, mantendo o mesmo desempenho para ambas as localidades. Os maiores e menores valores de ETo ocorreram nos meses de dezembro e junho, respectivamente. A maioria dos métodos subestimou os valores de ETo. Em qualquer escala temporal, os métodos de Makking e da Radiação FAO24 podem substituir o modelo de Penman-Monteith.

Tamanho de amostra e estimativa de custo em levantamento epidemiológico de cárie dentária

O objetivo do presente estudo foi analisar como a prevalência e a distribuição da cárie dentária influenciam o tamanho da amostra em levantamentos epidemiológicos, e os custos para sua realização. Foram utilizados dados de levantamentos realizados em escolares de 12 anos em Bauru nos anos de 1976, 1984, 1990, 1994 e 2001, e em Piracicaba nos anos de 2001 e 2005. Os tamanhos amostrais foram dimensionados considerando-se a média e o desvio padrão obtidos, fixando-se erro amostral em 1%, 2%, 5% e 10%. Os custos foram estimados considerando material permanente, de consumo e recursos humanos. Verificou-se aumento no tamanho das amostras em ambos os municípios, variando de 119 em 1976 para 1.118 em 2001 em Bauru, e de 954 em 2001 para 1.252 em 2005 em Piracicaba, considerando-se um erro amostral de 10%. Considerando-se diferentes erros amostrais, verificou-se o custo para o levantamento, sendo que o mesmo depende do quanto o pesquisador se permite errar em relação ao verdadeiro valor da média da população. Conclui-se que a diminuição da prevalência da cárie dentária determinou o aumento no tamanho das amostras e a elevação dos custos para realização dos levantamentos.

Estimativa do índice de área foliar e temperatura em uma área de eucalipto

It is known that the presence of large masses of vegetation is a factor that can influence the microclimate of a region. In this paper we analyzed the correlation between leaf area index (LAI) and land surface temperature (LST), both estimated from remote sensing images from Landsat-5 TM in an area of eucalyptus plantation, and these estimates were compared to the observed data. The correlation between LAI and LST was not significant (16%), which indicates that there is no necessarily a direct influence of vegetation in the local temperature. The comparison between estimated and observed data shows that the application of remote sensing techniques in the estimative of interested variables is efficient, because the estimatives followed consistently the observed values.