Administrative authorization for the demolition of urban rental units pursuant to the law of 1964: a spanish example of problematic over-activity in the application of transitional laws

Transitional provisions are defined as the set of regulations that rule juridical relationships on the occasion of a legislative change. Out of this context of law succession, their indiscriminate application can lead to serious inconsistencies. The analysis of a Spanish private law example is offered to illustrate this fact. It concerns the administrative authorization for the demolition of rented buildings in the cities. A regulation repealed more than fifteen years ago and however widespread utilised on ancient constructions that, after recent urban development, have acquired great economic value; something that in the end explains the current importance of such provisions. What is happening in Spain: denaturalization of the original  figure due to a mixture of formalist interpretations and speculative market interests, is presented here to call the attention on the necessary limitation of transitional provisions’ effects.

La enfermedad respiratoria crónica: reflexiones en el contexto del sistema de salud colombiano

La enfermedad respiratoria crónica (ERC) es un problema de salud pública en Colombia, cuya gravedad va en aumento por la presencia de factores de riesgo, como el tabaquismo, que tienden a imponerse en poblaciones cada vez más jóvenes y que con el tiempo generan consecuencias a nivel físico, social y mental. La ERC comprende una serie de entidades clínicas con características propias, dadas por el sufrimiento, el aislamiento social, el deterioro fisiológico y la morbilidad asociada, que contribuyen a la limitación funcional, a la pérdida de la calidad de vida y, en definitiva, pueden convertir al individuo que la padece en un ser dependiente y sin futuro. Lo anterior lleva a un mayor consumo de recursos en salud sin que esto signifique una mejor atención, ya que en muchas oportunidades los esfuerzos aislados, la falta de normatividad, de propuestas sustentadas y el no uso de guías clínicas, entre otras causas, consienten que la intervención realizada esté destinada a paliar los síntomas presentes, pero lejos de abarcar un manejo integral, efectivo y que responda a necesidades individuales. En este artículo se pretende analizar las normas y políticas públicas que cobijan a los pacientes con ERC, los aspectos relacionados con los derechos a un tratamiento integral, seguro y real en el individuo afectado, así como los obstáculos para su realización.

Metodologías de valoración de empresas

La valoración de una empresa como sistema dinámico es bastante compleja, los diferentes modelos o métodos de valoración son una aproximación teórica y por consiguiente simplificadora de la realidad. Dichos modelos, se aproximan mediante supuestos o premisas estadísticas que nos permiten hacer dicha simplificación, ejemplos de estos, son el comportamiento del inversionista o la eficiencia del mercado. Bajo el marco de un mercado emergente, este proceso presenta de indistinta forma retos paracualquier método de valoración, dado a que el mercado no obedece a los paradigmas tradicionales. Lo anterior hace referencia a que la valoración es aún más compleja, dado que los inversionistas se enfrentan a mayores riesgos y obstáculos. Así mismo, a medida que las economías se globalizan y el capital es más móvil, la valoración tomaráaún más importancia en el contexto citado. Este trabajo de gradopretende recopilar y analizar los diferentes métodos de valoración, además de identificar y aplicar aquellos que se reconocen como “buenas prácticas”. Este proceso se llevó a cabo para una de las empresas más importantes de Colombia, donde fundamentalmente se consideró el contexto de mercado emergente y específicamente el sector petrolero, como criterios para la aplicación del tradicional DCF y el práctico R&V.

Modelo integral de gerencia basada en valor para la empresa Colombiana

El criterio con el que se juzga actualmente en nuestro país la gestión empresarial parte del punto del logro de resultados contables, mas no es tenido en cuenta el obtener resultados económicos, que le garanticen al accionista un resultado

El imaginario de la crisis: caricatura económica en Colombia en época de la gran depresión

ABSTRACT In this paper we use economic cartoons that were published in the leading Colombian newspaper -El Tiempo-between 1928 and 1937,as a valid primary source for analysis of the tensionsand economic situations lived in Colombia during a tough worldwide economic period. Through economic cartoon it is possible to observe the perception of public opinion on economic policies and the fear and uncertainty that these were having on ordinary people. This document is part of a larger analysis that used economic cartoons as a source for examining Colombian economic history.

Formação continuada de professores e mudança na prática pedagógica na sala de aula

O presente estudo trata da formação continuada com foco na prática pedagógica do professor na sala de aula, tendo como objetivo maior analisar se a formação continuada ofertada pela rede municipal de ensino de Itupiranga, estado do Pará, tem contribuído para a mudança da prática do professor na sala de aula. No referencial teórico autores como Nóvoa (2007, 2009), Tardif (2002), Romanowski (2010), Alarcão (2001, 2007), Lüdke (2004) contribuem com suas pesquisas no sentido do entendimento sobre a prática do professor e do processo de formação continuada docente. A pesquisa incorreu sobre um grupo de docentes e de formadores de professores atuantes em cursos, programas e/ou projetos de formação continuada ofertados pela rede municipal de ensino, sendo alvo apenas os envolvidos entre o período de 2005 a 2012. A metodologia de abordagem qualitativa aliados a dados quantitativos desta pesquisa foi realizada a partir de estudos de Bignardi (2009), Oliveira (2007), Bogdan e Bicklen (1994). Optou-se pela aplicação de questionário e entrevista; seguido para uma análise de conteúdo profunda dos dados coletados que apontam que a formação continuada de professores realizada em âmbito municipal contribui de forma significativa para que haja mudança na prática pedagógica dos docentes, os respondentes destacaram três aspectos considerados como alteração de suas práticas, o primeiro está relacionado ao entendimento sobre o reconhecimento e identificação dos níveis de desenvolvimento da leitura e escrita dos educandos; o segundo refere –se ao não uso de cartilhas e de sílabas soltas no processo de alfabetização, as quais foram substituídas por textos, por acreditarem que estes viabilizam tanto o processo de decodificação, identificação de palavras quanto o letramento propriamente dito, o terceiro aspecto demonstra que a mudança ocorreu quando começaram a planejar, de forma coletiva, vários projetos didáticos e sequências didáticas envolvendo os vários gêneros textuais levando em consideração aquilo que o educando já sabe para aprender o que ainda não sabe. Parte significativa dos docentes concordam que a formação continuada por eles frequentada alterou sua forma de atuação em sala de aula, entretanto, surgem outros questionamentos que apontam para a continuidade de pesquisa desta temática.

The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions

Faced by the realities of a changing climate, decision makers in a wide variety of organisations are increasingly seeking quantitative predictions of regional and local climate. An important issue for these decision makers, and for organisations that fund climate research, is what is the potential for climate science to deliver improvements - especially reductions in uncertainty - in such predictions? Uncertainty in climate predictions arises from three distinct sources: internal variability, model uncertainty and scenario uncertainty. Using data from a suite of climate models we separate and quantify these sources. For predictions of changes in surface air temperature on decadal timescales and regional spatial scales, we show that uncertainty for the next few decades is dominated by sources (model uncertainty and internal variability) that are potentially reducible through progress in climate science. Furthermore, we find that model uncertainty is of greater importance than internal variability. Our findings have implications for managing adaptation to a changing climate. Because the costs of adaptation are very large, and greater uncertainty about future climate is likely to be associated with more expensive adaptation, reducing uncertainty in climate predictions is potentially of enormous economic value. We highlight the need for much more work to compare: a) the cost of various degrees of adaptation, given current levels of uncertainty; and b) the cost of new investments in climate science to reduce current levels of uncertainty. Our study also highlights the importance of targeting climate science investments on the most promising opportunities to reduce prediction uncertainty.

Chess endgame update

This is a review of progress in the Chess Endgame field. It includes news of the promulgation of Endgame Tables, their use, non-use and potential runtime creation. It includes news of data-mining achievements related to 7-man chess and to the field of Chess Studies. It includes news of an algorithm to create Endgame Tables for variants of the normal game of chess.

Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility

Quantile forecasts are central to risk management decisions because of the widespread use of Value-at-Risk. A quantile forecast is the product of two factors: the model used to forecast volatility, and the method of computing quantiles from the volatility forecasts. In this paper we calculate and evaluate quantile forecasts of the daily exchange rate returns of five currencies. The forecasting models that have been used in recent analyses of the predictability of daily realized volatility permit a comparison of the predictive power of different measures of intraday variation and intraday returns in forecasting exchange rate variability. The methods of computing quantile forecasts include making distributional assumptions for future daily returns as well as using the empirical distribution of predicted standardized returns with both rolling and recursive samples. Our main findings are that the Heterogenous Autoregressive model provides more accurate volatility and quantile forecasts for currencies which experience shifts in volatility, such as the Canadian dollar, and that the use of the empirical distribution to calculate quantiles can improve forecasts when there are shifts

Essays on labour market dualisation in Western Europe: active labour market policies, temporary work regulation and inequality

European labour markets are increasingly divided between insiders in full-time permanent employment and outsiders in precarious work or unemployment. Using quantitative as well as qualitative methods, this thesis investigates the determinants and consequences of labour market policies that target these outsiders in three separate papers. The first paper looks at Active Labour Market Policies (ALMPs) that target the unemployed. It shows that left and right-wing parties choose different types of ALMPs depending on the policy and the welfare regime in which the party is located. These findings reconcile the conflicting theoretical expectations from the Power Resource approach and the insider-outsider theory. The second paper considers the regulation and protection of the temporary work sector. It solves the puzzle of temporary re-regulation in France, which contrasts with most other European countries that have deregulated temporary work. Permanent workers are adversely affected by the expansion of temporary work in France because of general skills and low wage coordination. The interests of temporary and permanent workers for re-regulation therefore overlap in France and left governments have an incentive to re-regulate the sector. The third paper then investigates what determines inequality between median and bottom income workers. It shows that non-inclusive economic coordination increases inequality in the absence of compensating institutions such as minimum wage regulation. The deregulation of temporary work as well as spending on employment incentives and rehabilitation also has adverse effects on inequality. Thus, policies that target outsiders have important economic effects on the rest of the workforce. Three broader contributions can be identified. First, welfare state policies may not always be in the interests of labour, so left parties may not always promote them. Second, the interests of insiders and outsiders are not necessarily at odds. Third, economic coordination may not be conducive to egalitarianism where it is not inclusive.

What does “retrofit” mean, and how can we scale up action in the UK sector?

Purpose – Progress in retrofitting the UK's commercial properties continues to be slow and fragmented. New research from the UK and USA suggests that radical changes are needed to drive large-scale retrofitting, and that new and innovative models of financing can create new opportunities. The purpose of this paper is to offer insights into the terminology of retrofit and the changes in UK policy and practice that are needed to scale up activity in the sector. Design/methodology/approach – The paper reviews and synthesises key published research into commercial property retrofitting in the UK and USA and also draws on policy and practice from the EU and Australia. Findings – The paper provides a definition of “retrofit”, and compares and contrasts this with “refurbishment” and “renovation” in an international context. The paper summarises key findings from recent research and suggests that there are a number of policy and practice measures which need to be implemented in the UK for commercial retrofitting to succeed at scale. These include improved funding vehicles for retrofit; better transparency in actual energy performance; and consistency in measurement, verification and assessment standards. Practical implications – Policy and practice in the UK needs to change if large-scale commercial property retrofit is to be rolled out successfully. This requires mandatory legislation underpinned by incentives and penalties for non-compliance. Originality/value – This paper synthesises recent research to provide a set of policy and practice recommendations which draw on international experience, and can assist on implementation in the UK.

Baroclinic instability on hot extrasolar planets

We investigate baroclinic instability in flow conditions relevant to hot extrasolar planets. The instability is important for transporting and mixing heat, as well as for influencing large-scale variability on the planets. Both linear normal mode analysis and non-linear initial value cal- culations are carried out – focusing on the freely-evolving, adiabatic situation. Using a high- resolution general circulation model (GCM) which solves the traditional primitive equations, we show that large-scale jets similar to those observed in current GCM simulations of hot ex- trasolar giant planets are likely to be baroclinically unstable on a timescale of few to few tens of planetary rotations, generating cyclones and anticyclones that drive weather systems. The growth rate and scale of the most unstable mode obtained in the linear analysis are in qual- itative, good agreement with the full non-linear calculations. In general, unstable jets evolve differently depending on their signs (eastward or westward), due to the change in sign of the jet curvature. For jets located at or near the equator, instability is strong at the flanks – but not at the core. Crucially, the instability is either poorly or not at all captured in simulations with low resolution and/or high artificial viscosity. Hence, the instability has not been observed or emphasized in past circulation studies of hot extrasolar planets.

Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game

Probabilistic hydro-meteorological forecasts have over the last decades been used more frequently to communicate forecastuncertainty. This uncertainty is twofold, as it constitutes both an added value and a challenge for the forecaster and the user of the forecasts. Many authors have demonstrated the added (economic) value of probabilistic over deterministic forecasts across the water sector (e.g. flood protection, hydroelectric power management and navigation). However, the richness of the information is also a source of challenges for operational uses, due partially to the difficulty to transform the probability of occurrence of an event into a binary decision. This paper presents the results of a risk-based decision-making game on the topic of flood protection mitigation, called “How much are you prepared to pay for a forecast?”. The game was played at several workshops in 2015, which were attended by operational forecasters and academics working in the field of hydrometeorology. The aim of this game was to better understand the role of probabilistic forecasts in decision-making processes and their perceived value by decision-makers. Based on the participants’ willingness-to-pay for a forecast, the results of the game show that the value (or the usefulness) of a forecast depends on several factors, including the way users perceive the quality of their forecasts and link it to the perception of their own performances as decision-makers.

Modificação estrutural de bentonitas nacionais : caracterização e estudos de adsorção

São apresentados os aspectos teóricos, práticos e bibliográficos envolvidos no desenvolvimento da tese de doutorado intitulada Modificação estrutural de bentonitas nacionais: caracterização e estudos de adsorção. O trabalho consistiu no desenvolvimento de um material adsorvente a partir de bentonitas, do tipo montmorilonitas, modificadas estruturalmente com o objetivo de aumentar sua capacidade de adsorção de poluentes, orgânicos e inorgânicos. O estudo visa incrementar o valor agregado deste recurso mineral e insere-se na área de tratamento de efluentes líquidos usando adsorventes não tradicionais, eficientes e de baixo custo em substituição ao carvão ativado ou às resinas de troca iônica. Foram estudadas as propriedades físicas e químicas; distribuição de tamanho de partículas, área superficial, potenciais eletrocinéticos, capacidade de troca catiônica, composição mineralógica, morfologia superficial e espaçamento basal, bem como as propriedades adsorptivas dos argilominerais não tratados e modificados, não modificadas e pilarizadas respectivamente. Também são discutidos os mecanismos de adsorção envolvidos e o desenvolvimento de um reator contínuo (adsorção em flocos) e de separação sólido/líquido. As modificações estruturais dos argilominerais foram realizadas via homoionização com cloreto de cálcio e posterior intercalação com compostos orgânicos com ação quelante de metais. A FENAN, bentonita obtida pela intercalação com Orto Fenantrolina (OF), foi a que apresentou melhor viabilidade técnica em termos de adsorção, adsorção/dessorção, floculação e de acumulação de poluentes na forma floculada e não floculada. Adicionalmente os estudos de reversibilidade da intercalação revelaram a alta estabilidade da OF na FENAN, em soluções fortemente ácidas, onde aproximadamente 90% da OF permanece ligada à superfície da argila. A quantidade de OF adsorvida na forma de unidades micelares foi de 112 mg por grama de bentonita a pH 8,5 ± 0,5. A caracterização das bentonitas, via difração de Raios X, análise térmica, microscopia eletrônica de varredura e por microscopia de força atômica, revelou que as FENAN possuem um comportamento estrutural muito estável ao longo da seqüência de adsorção/dessorção e que após a adsorção de poluentes inorgânicos, o quelato metálico formado apresenta alta estabilidade dentro da estrutura da organobentonita. A capacidade de acumulação alcançada nas FENAN foi de 110 mg de Cu/g de bentonita, valor superior à de diversos materiais adsorventes alternativos propostos em outros trabalhos similares. Os estudos de acumulação das FENAN floculadas – FENANFLOC, indicaram que a presença de floculante, na quantidade utilizada, não afeta significativamente a capacidade de remoção das bentonitas modificadas. Este comportamento apresentado, permitiu o desenvolvimento do Reator Expandido de Flocos Adsorventes (REFA), cujas características e parâmetros operacionais são discutidos em detalhe. Finalmente, os resultados são discutidos em termos dos fenômenos interfaciais envolvidos e dos potenciais práticos deste novo adsorvente e da nova técnica de adsorção em flocos no REFA.

Avaliação de empresas por fluxo de caixa descontado: o impacto dos ativos intangíveis no valor da empresa

Ao mesmo tempo que os ativos intangíveis têm sido amplamente discutidos e apresentados como condutores de sucesso, ainda são poucas as reflexões sobre a influência destes ativos no valor das empresas. Este trabalho surge portanto com o objetivo de identificar uma maneira de se contemplar os ativos intangíveis no valor de uma empresa, quando a mesma é avaliada pelo método de Fluxo de Caixa Descontado. A partir desta metodologia foram analisadas como os intangíveis marca, reputação, redes e alianças estratégicas, tecnologias e processos, capital humano, capital intelectual, inovação, adaptabilidade, cultura organizacional, liderança, responsabilidade socioambiental, e comunicação e transparência podem impactar o valor da empresa, e como eles relacionam-se entre si.